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BGSU

Bowling Green 37 at Miami (OH) 29

M-OH
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDFUMBLEEnd of GameFG+2.5M-OH 80.2%Samuel Sloman 45 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 29 · Q3 0:08
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:08 · Samuel Sloman 45 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior+10.9Home team on offense+9.9Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:22: James Morgan pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +12.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:50: James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 75 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +13.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:08: Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 36 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +10.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:15: James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 28 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — BGSU win probability +29.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. FUMBLE · Q4 1:21: TEAM run for no gain TEAM fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Brandon Harris , return for 93 yds, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +44.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 8BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 8:57BGSU 4th & 8 at M-OH 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:57BGSU 4th & 6 at M-OH 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:59M-OH 4th & 2 at midfield, up 3
    Close callPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:43M-OH 4th & 6 at BGSU 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    79.8%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:23M-OH 4th & 1 at BGSU 4, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.2%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−5.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:08BGSU 4th & 15 at M-OH 49, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:52M-OH 4th & 6 at BGSU 45, up 2
    Close callPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    73.9%−2.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:14BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 42, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:08M-OH 4th & 5 at BGSU 27, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−9.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:56M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 34, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:25BGSU 4th & 3 at M-OH 23, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.2%−2.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−25.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:21M-OH 4th & 5 at BGSU 39, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−1.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    5.5%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:31M-OH 4th & 10 at BGSU 27, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:00M-OH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:44M-OH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:04BGSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:22BGSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:50BGSU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:08M-OH Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:15BGSU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    46.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    46.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1INT
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:2187% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.9%
Gus Ragland run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
86.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 8 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
86.9%
Gus Ragland run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
86.9%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+14
86.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 14 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
86.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 14 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
86.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 12 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
86.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 5 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
85.9%
Gus Ragland pass intercepted, touchback. Clint Stephens return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 1:3615% → 15%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+43
85.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 43 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
85.2%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
85.3%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+13
85.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Janarvis Pough for 13 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
85.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
85.1%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
85.3%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
84.7%
Jake Suder 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5785% → 85%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
84.5%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+19
84.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 19 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
84.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 24 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
85.1%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+32
85.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 32 yds for a TD BOWLING GREEN Penalty, OF ( Yards) declined, (Samuel Sloman PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
84.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
84.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 9 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+13
84.1%
Andrew Clair run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
84.1%
Andrew Clair run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
84.0%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
84.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Janarvis Pough, broken up by Heath HardingSimilar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
84.4%
Joseph Davidson punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 5:3184% → 86%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
83.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+6
83.8%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+1
83.8%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+10
83.6%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to SMITH, Ryan, PENALTY BGSU pass interference (HAMPTON, T.) 10 yards to the MIAMI25, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.0%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
83.9%
Gus Ragland run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
84.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 23 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
84.7%
Kenny Young run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
84.8%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+15
83.6%
Kenny Young run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
83.6%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
85.8%
Gus Ragland run for 11 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:4015% → 20%
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
85.1%
Grant Loy pass complete to Teo Redding for 8 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+10
84.8%
MORGAN, James pass complete to WILSON, Donovan for 3 yards to the BGSU46 (MONTGOMERY, D.), PENALTY MIAMI holding (DANIELS, D.) 10 yards to the MIAMI47, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
84.6%
Andrew Clair run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
84.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Hunter FolkertsmaSimilar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
84.4%
MORGAN, James rush for 1 yard to the MIAMI37 (EARNEST, Brad;MONTGOMERY, D.), PENALTY MIAMI offside defense (TRAWICK, Nate) 5 yards to the MIAMI33, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
79.9%
Josh Cleveland run for 33 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
81.5%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to MAYOCK, Luke (STEPHENS, Clint), PENALTY BGSU pass interference (STEPHENS, Clint) 15 yards to the MIAMI42, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
82.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
82.4%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Armani PoseySimilar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
81.8%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+5
81.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 2
50
0
81.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8INT
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
81.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
80.9%
Josh Cleveland run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+21
80.1%
Andrew Clair run for 21 yds to the MIAMIOH 36 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
79.9%
Andrew Clair run for no gain to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
79.9%
James Morgan pass intercepted Heath Harding return for no gain to the MiaOh 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FG
17 plays · 91 yds · 5:2480% → 84%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
80.4%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
80.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke Mayock, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+10
80.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive holding (Clint Stephens) to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
81.2%
Gus Ragland run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
82.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (Nico Lautanen) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
50
+4
82.1%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
82.1%
Kenny Young run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
82.2%
Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
82.4%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
81.9%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+22
80.5%
Gus Ragland run for 22 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
82.1%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
82.1%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+9
81.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 9 yds to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+22
83.9%
Samuel Sloman 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:0117% → 33%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
82.3%
Josh Cleveland run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
82.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+16
82.4%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (Tony Reid) to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
81.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 12 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
80.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Teo Redding, broken up by Cedric AssehSimilar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
80.4%
Grant Loy run for no gain to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+30
81.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 30 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
78.8%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Matthew Wilcox Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:1671% → 81%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
71.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+9
70.6%
Kenny Young run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+21
72.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 21 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
73.7%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke Mayock, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
73.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 10 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
74.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 10 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
74.8%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+39
81.0%
Samuel Sloman 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.6%
TEAM run for no gain to the BwGrn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
64.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 75 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 14TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:3869% → 80%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
68.8%
Kenny Young run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+7
69.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
69.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+36
79.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 36 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 9 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+22
75.0%
Josh Cleveland run for 22 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
73.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Andrew ClairSimilar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-5
73.9%
CLAIR, Andrew rush for 9 yards to the MIAMI35 (ALLEN, Josh), PENALTY BGSU illegal formation 5 yards to the MIAMI49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 15
OPP 49
0
75.2%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:08
3RD & 15
OPP 49
0
76.0%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 15
OPP 49
0
77.1%
Joseph Davidson punt for 47 yds, downed at the MiaOh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16PUNT
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:5576% → 77%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+14
76.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 14 yds to the MiaOh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
76.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
76.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 9 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+4
77.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
77.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
77.2%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+9
76.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
78.9%
Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
79.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
78.4%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
77.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Janarvis Pough at the BwGrn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
75.4%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to REDDING, Teo (HARDING, Heath), PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (HARDING, Heath) 7 yards to the BGSU15, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
74.6%
Andrew Clair run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+3
73.8%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
74.4%
James Morgan run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+6
73.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
72.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
72.4%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+2
73.5%
James Morgan run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
74.6%
Joseph Davidson punt for 30 yds, downed at the MiaOh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 4:2075% → 80%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
74.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Ryan Smith for 6 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+8
76.2%
Kenny Young run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
76.6%
Kenny Young run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 2
50
+3
77.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
77.7%
Kenny Young run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
79.0%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
79.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
77.7%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan SmithSimilar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
80.2%
Samuel Sloman 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5320% → 50%
Q3 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
80.2%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+22
80.5%
Andrew Clair run for 22 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
78.0%
Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+13
77.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 13 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
76.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-9
74.9%
James Morgan sacked by Doug Costin for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 44
+16
80.0%
Andrew Clair run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
50.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 28 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1960% → 55%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.8%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by Kyle JuniorSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
59.5%
Billy Bahl run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
61.4%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 10:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
54.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21MISSED FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 7:2446% → 66%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
54.2%
Donovan Wilson run for no gain to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
54.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Jared WyattSimilar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-10
56.8%
MORGAN, James pass complete to REDDING, Teo for 13 yards to the BGSU34 (HARDING, Heath), PENALTY BGSU holding (McAULIFFE, Tim) 10 yards to the BGSU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 20
OWN 11
+23
56.8%
Andrew Clair run for 23 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
52.7%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+12
54.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 12 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
50.5%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+9
49.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
49.2%
Donovan Wilson run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
46.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
47.3%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+6
46.6%
Donovan Wilson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-1
48.9%
Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
34.0%
Jake Suder 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22FUMBLE TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:0449% → 15%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
49.2%
BAHL, Billy pass incomplete, PENALTY BGSU offside (KONOWALSKI, D) 5 yards to the MIAMI28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 5
OWN 28
+6
52.8%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
49.9%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
49.4%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for 6 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+5
52.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+27
54.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Luke Mayock for 27 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
59.0%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 27 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 0
OPP 1
+93
15.0%
TEAM run for no gain TEAM fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Brandon Harris , return for 93 yds, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 48 yds · 0:506% → 6%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
6.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 31 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
8.6%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Kenny Young for 5 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
9.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Fred GarthSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
8.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Ryan Smith, broken up by Jerry McBride IIISimilar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+12
7.5%
Billy Bahl pass complete to James Gardner for 12 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
11.6%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
10.5%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete, broken up by Shannon SmithSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
8.9%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 10
OPP 27
0
6.2%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
3.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q4 1:21
TEAM run for no gain TEAM fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Brandon Harris , return for 93 yds, (Jake Suder KICK)
-44
TD · Q4 12:15
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 28 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
-29.5
TD · Q3 14:50
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 75 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
-13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com