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BALL

Ball State 3 at Akron 31

AKR
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:18 · Nick Gasser punt for 41 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Home team on offense+20.1Score differential+8.4Pregame prior+2.4Garbage-time factor+10.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:18: Morgan Hagee 31 yd FG GOOD — BALL win probability +2.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:09: Deltron Sands run for 32 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +7.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:09: Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 9 yds to the Akron 43 — AKR win probability +6.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 15:00: Thomas Woodson run for 5 yds to the BalSt 48 — AKR win probability +5.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:16: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 21 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +6.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 8 of 8BALL made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 11:39BALL 4th & 6 at BALL 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:35AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:35BALL 4th & 13 at BALL 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:24AKR 4th & 3 at BALL 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    65.8%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:18BALL 4th & 9 at AKR 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:44BALL 4th & 1 at AKR 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    26.3%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:39AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:32BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 48, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:30AKR 4th & 12 at BALL 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:30BALL 4th & 3 at AKR 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:51BALL 4th & 10 at AKR 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:36AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:40BALL 4th & 3 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:52AKR 4th & 8 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:18AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:06BALL 4th & 19 at BALL 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−2.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:20BALL 4th & 10 at AKR 22, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:27AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:54BALL 4th & 9 at AKR 9, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:46AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:09AKR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:16AKR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:01AKR Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1459% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
58.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 17 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
58.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
58.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. Coney, broken up by Brett Anderson IISimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+9
58.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 9 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
58.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 14 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
58.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 7 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+24
60.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 24 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
59.9%
Jack Milas run for 9 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
59.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
59.7%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
59.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
59.8%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+3
60.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 38 yds , A.J. Coney returns for 3 yds to the Akron 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
61.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 14 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
61.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
61.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+1
60.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Van Edwards Jr. for 1 yd to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
60.7%
Nick Gasser punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
60.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
60.5%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-5
60.8%
Jack Milas sacked by Deon'Tae Moore for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 27Similar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
61.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 43 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
62.2%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Kevin Willis and Damon Singleton for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 29Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+15
62.1%
Manny Morgan run for 15 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
62.8%
Manny Morgan run for 13 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
62.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
62.8%
Manny Morgan run for 7 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
62.6%
Thomas Woodson run for no gain to the BalSt 36Similar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
62.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 3:3138% → 39%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
62.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+11
62.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 11 yds to the BalSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
61.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+14
61.6%
Caleb Huntley run for 14 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
61.2%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
61.2%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+11
61.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 11 yds to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
61.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the Akron 13Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
62.2%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
63.1%
Jack Milas pass incomplete BALL ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:18
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
61.0%
Morgan Hagee 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:0961% → 70%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
61.1%
Deltron Sands run for 7 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
61.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Anthony Young for 4 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
61.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Anthony YoungSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
61.4%
Deltron Sands run for 1 yd to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+12
61.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 12 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
62.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 13 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
62.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 6 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+32
69.9%
Deltron Sands run for 32 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8DOWNS
14 plays · 74 yds · 4:2532% → 29%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
68.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 19 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
67.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Caleb Huntley for 9 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
66.4%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+7
66.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
66.8%
Jack Milas pass complete to Nolan Givan for no gain to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
66.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 15 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
65.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the Akron 24Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+19
65.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Malik Dunner for 19 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
65.7%
Malik Dunner run for 3 yds to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
65.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
66.4%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
71.1%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the Akron 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+15
72.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 15 yds to the Akron 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
73.0%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-5
73.0%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Sean Hammonds Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 14 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+5
72.4%
Manny Morgan run for 5 yds to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
71.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
73.1%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for no gain to the BalSt 39Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+9
73.6%
Malik Dunner run for 9 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
72.2%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 48Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
72.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 32 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 2:1876% → 81%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
75.6%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+14
75.4%
Kato Nelson run for 14 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+38
75.7%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 38 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
77.1%
Kato Nelson run for no gain to the BalSt 29Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-2
76.8%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 12
OPP 31
0
78.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Deltron SandsSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 12
OPP 31
+48
80.5%
Tom O'Leary 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
80.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Nolan Givan for 19 yds to the BalSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
79.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
79.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Malik Dunner for 7 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
78.7%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
79.8%
Nathan Snyder punt for 33 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
81.5%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Akron 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
80.2%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 22Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
80.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Nolan Givan for 4 yds to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+8
80.5%
Jack Milas run for 8 yds to the BalSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
79.6%
Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
79.5%
Jack Milas pass complete to Malik Dunner for 2 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+15
79.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 15 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
78.2%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
78.8%
Jack Milas run for no gain to the Akron 47Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
79.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Nolan GivanSimilar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
80.1%
Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, downed at the Akron 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
83.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 2 yds to the Akron 9Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
83.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius Smith, broken up by Josh MillerSimilar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
82.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 8
OWN 9
0
82.0%
Nick Gasser punt for 59 yds, downed at the BalSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
82.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 11 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
81.8%
Jack Milas pass complete to Caleb Huntley for 2 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
81.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+5
82.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 3
50
+4
82.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 36 yds , A.J. Coney returns for 4 yds to the Akron 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+30
85.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 30 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
86.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Anthony YoungSimilar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
86.4%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+2
85.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:52
4TH & 8
50
0
84.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:0016% → 18%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
84.5%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 22Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
84.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 9 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
83.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Nolan Givan for 16 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
82.8%
Jack Milas run for 4 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
82.5%
Jack Milas pass intercepted Andrew Hauser return for no gain to the Akron 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5189% → 90%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
88.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 9 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+1
89.3%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
89.4%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-1
89.1%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
90.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
89.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
86.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 14 yds to the BalSt 30 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 15Similar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 11
OWN 15
+9
87.1%
Malik Dunner run for 9 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+5
85.6%
Malik Dunner run for 5 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-8
86.0%
Jack Milas sacked by Ulysees Gilbert III for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 21Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 18
OWN 21
-1
87.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 20 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 19
OWN 20
0
87.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 2:06
4TH & 19
OWN 20
0
87.7%
Nathan Snyder punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:4493% → 99%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
92.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 5 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-1
92.7%
Deltron Sands run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+14
92.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 14 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
92.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
92.7%
Deltron Sands run for 11 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
92.8%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to YOUNG, Anthony (MILLER, Josh), PENALTY AKRON offside 5 yards to the BALL29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+6
92.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 6 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+2
92.8%
Thomas Woodson run for 2 yds to the BalSt 21Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+21
99.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 21 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22INT
15 plays · 40 yds · 1:482% → 2%
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
98.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
98.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
98.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.3%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
98.3%
Malik Dunner run for 8 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+10
98.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Antwan Davis for 10 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
98.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the Akron 27Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
98.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Luke Endsley for 3 yds to the Akron 24Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
98.4%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
98.4%
Malik Dunner run for no gain to the Akron 22Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
98.5%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:20
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+50
98.5%
Jack Milas pass intercepted Darian Dailey return for 40 yds to the Akron 0 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Akron 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
99.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+6
99.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 6 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+2
99.5%
Deltron Sands run for 2 yds to the Akron 47Similar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Nick Gasser punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24INT TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:121% → 0%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+14
99.3%
Jack Milas pass complete to Hassan Littles for 14 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.2%
Jack Milas run for 4 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+13
99.2%
Jack Milas pass complete to Danny Pinter for 13 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.2%
Jack Milas run for no gain to the BalSt 41Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
99.2%
Jack Milas sacked by Jamal Davis II for a loss of 5 yards to the BalSt 36Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+35
99.9%
Jack Milas pass intercepted for a TD John Lako return for 35 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 2
50
+10
99.9%
Zack Blair pass complete to Caleb Huntley for 10 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Zack Blair pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Zack Blair pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Nathan BischofSimilar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+31
99.9%
Zack Blair pass complete to Antwan Davis for 31 yds to the Akron 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.9%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the Akron 4Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
99.9%
Zack Blair sacked by Nathan Bischof for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 9Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Zack Blair pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
-13
99.9%
Zack Blair sacked by Justin Sampson and John Lako for a loss of 13 yards to the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.9%
Chuck Turfe run for 8 yds to the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:09
Deltron Sands run for 32 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q4 11:16
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 21 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
+6.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 4:09
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 9 yds to the Akron 43
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com