Try the model
BUF

Buffalo 27 at Kent State 13

KENT
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Dix Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadBUF aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreBUF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:50 · Adam Mitcheson 51 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Home team on offense−9.9Pregame prior−9.9Score differential−4.9Garbage-time factor−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:02: Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK) — BUF win probability +5.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:52: Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 75 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +6.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:18: Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson PAT MISSED) — BUF win probability +3.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:18: Shane Hynes 20 yd FG GOOD — KENT win probability +5.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:59: Drew Anderson pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK) — BUF win probability +12.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BUF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9BUF made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00BUF 4th & 9 at BUF 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:07KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:41KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:55KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:46BUF 4th & 4 at BUF 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:50KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:26KENT 4th & 8 at BUF 16, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:50BUF 4th & 8 at KENT 34, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.5%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:18KENT 4th & 3 at BUF 3, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.8%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00KENT 4th & 1 at BUF 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−4.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−13.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:59KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−1.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:56BUF 4th & 4 at KENT 8, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−6.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:56KENT 4th & 3 at BUF 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:05BUF 4th & 12 at BUF 42, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:26BUF 4th & 5 at KENT 20, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BUF made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:01BUF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:02BUF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:52KENT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:18BUF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:59BUF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BUFDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.6%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Buff 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
32.6%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Emmanuel ReedSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
32.6%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
32.6%
Kyle DeWeen punt for 33 yds, downed at the KntSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
33.1%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
33.1%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Justin Rankin for 3 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-6
33.1%
Dustin Crum sacked by Khalil Hodge for a loss of 6 yards to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 9
OWN 42
-5
33.0%
ADAMS, Derek punt 48 yards to the UB10, downed, PENALTY KENT illegal formation 5 yards to the KENT37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
33.0%
Derek Adams punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 3INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
34.0%
Drew Anderson pass intercepted Manny Lawrence-Burke return for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
34.5%
Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
34.4%
Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the Buff 43Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-8
34.4%
Dustin Crum sacked by Demone Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 11:41
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
33.9%
Derek Adams punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 5TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 2:0365% → 68%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
34.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Buff 21Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
34.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the Buff 27Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+55
34.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 55 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
32.3%
Emmanuel Reed run for 18 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
33.1%
Kesean Gamble run for 3 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+13
33.1%
Dustin Crum run for 13 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
33.2%
Kesean Gamble run for 3 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
33.5%
Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
33.6%
Kesean Gamble run for 4 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
33.7%
Dustin Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
33.7%
Kavious Price run for 3 yds to the Buff 49Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-7
33.6%
Dustin Crum sacked by Charles Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the KENTST 44 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 14
OWN 44
+7
32.8%
Derek Adams punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 15 , Jacob Martinez returns for 7 yds to the Buff 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 7TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 5:4167% → 74%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
33.1%
KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Buff 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
32.8%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Buff 31Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+13
32.8%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 13 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
32.2%
Drew Anderson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 9 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+4
32.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
32.1%
Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+21
32.1%
Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Jon Cunningham) to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
31.9%
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-3
31.4%
Emmanuel Reed run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+15
31.8%
ANDERSON, Drew pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Anthon, PENALTY KENT pass interference (FOSTER, Jerrell) 15 yards to the KENT5, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
31.4%
Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the KntSt 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
31.4%
Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
26.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:0033% → 34%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
33.2%
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 75 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
33.8%
KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the KntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
31.8%
Theo Anderson run for 1 yd to the Buff 40Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
31.9%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Jamarl Eiland for 5 yds to the Buff 45Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
31.9%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Kamathi Holsey, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
32.5%
Kyle DeWeen punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
33.2%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
33.2%
Justin Rankin run for 4 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
33.0%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
32.6%
TEAM punt blocked by Kobe Green blocked by Kobe Green Derek Adams run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 11TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:3869% → 73%
Q2 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
30.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
26.9%
Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:5228% → 29%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
28.4%
Kavious Price run for 24 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
29.5%
George Bollas pass complete to Will Matthews for 2 yds to the Buff 49Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+9
29.7%
Will Matthews run for 9 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
29.7%
George Bollas run for 22 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
30.5%
Will Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 19Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
30.5%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+3
29.4%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the Buff 16Similar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
29.2%
Shane Hynes 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:3071% → 73%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
29.4%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 16 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
28.9%
Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the Buff 35Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+29
28.4%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 29 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
27.8%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
27.9%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+1
28.2%
Drew Anderson run for 1 yd to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+51
27.5%
Adam Mitcheson 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 2:3228% → 31%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
27.9%
Kavious Price run for 5 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+16
28.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Kris White for 16 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
29.8%
George Bollas pass complete to Conor Brumfield for 8 yds to the Buff 37Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+3
29.8%
Kesean Gamble run for 3 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
30.8%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 9 yds to the Buff 25Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+3
30.8%
George Bollas run for 3 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
30.8%
BOLLAS, George pass incomplete to JAMES, Raekwon, PENALTY UB pass interference (SLACK, Tatum) 15 yards to the UB7, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
30.8%
Kesean Gamble run for 2 yds to the Buff 5Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-7
29.3%
George Bollas sacked by Jordan Collier for a loss of 7 yards to the Buff 12Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 0
OPP 12
+7
27.8%
BUFFALO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jordan Collier) to the Buff 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
29.3%
Kesean Gamble run for 2 yds to the Buff 3Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
29.3%
Kesean Gamble run for no gain to the Buff 3Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
25.5%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
31.1%
Shane Hynes 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
28.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16DOWNS
14 plays · 74 yds · 0:0031% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.0%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Trey HarrellSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.9%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
30.1%
George Bollas pass complete to Kris White for 16 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
33.0%
Justin Rankin run for 8 yds to the Buff 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+5
34.2%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
34.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 8 yds to the Buff 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
35.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Trey HarrellSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
34.1%
Justin Rankin run for 3 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+23
35.4%
George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for 23 yds to the Buff 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
35.4%
Will Matthews run for 6 yds to the Buff 3Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
35.4%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the Buff 2Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
34.1%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the Buff 1Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
32.7%
George Bollas run for no gain to the Buff 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 17TD
11 plays · 99 yds · 4:4570% → 88%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
29.8%
KENT ST Penalty, offside defense (Anthony McKay) to the Buff 6Similar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 5
OWN 6
-4
29.8%
ANDERSON, Drew pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Anthon (FOSTER, Jerrell), PENALTY UB ineligible downfield on pass (GOLDSBY, David) 4 yards to the UB2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 9
OWN 2
+64
29.8%
Drew Anderson run for 64 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
26.2%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+15
26.2%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 15 yds to the KntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
26.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
26.0%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 5 yds to the KntSt 10Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
26.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the KntSt 9Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+5
26.4%
MITCHESON, Adam field goal attempt from 26 GOOD, clock 05:42, PENALTY KENT roughing the kicker 5 yards to the KENT4, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
24.3%
Emmanuel Reed run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 5Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
11.9%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
15.2%
George Bollas run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
15.5%
George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for 9 yds to the KntSt 38 KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Johnny Woods) to the KntSt 28Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
15.4%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
14.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Johnny Woods for 10 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
16.5%
George Bollas run for 2 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-5
16.4%
Kavious Price run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 13
OWN 35
0
14.8%
George Bollas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 13
OWN 35
0
14.7%
Derek Adams punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 19MISSED FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 6:3588% → 93%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
12.0%
Theo Anderson run for 2 yds to the Buff 20Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+10
12.1%
Theo Anderson run for 10 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
11.9%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for no gain to the Buff 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
11.3%
Jacob Martinez run for 1 yd to the Buff 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+9
11.5%
ANDERSON, Drew pass incomplete to BAKER, Roy (PARKER, Jamal), PENALTY KENT personal foul (PARKER, Jamal) 9 yards to the UB40, 1ST DOWN UB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
10.4%
Emmanuel Reed run for 4 yds to the Buff 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-5
10.2%
BUFFALO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Buff 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+36
10.6%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 36 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
9.7%
Drew Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+11
10.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 11 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
9.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the KntSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+1
9.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the KntSt 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+3
9.9%
Theo Anderson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 8Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
6.8%
Adam Mitcheson 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 48 yds · 0:009% → 11%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
9.4%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Trey Harrell, broken up by Roy BakerSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
9.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 15 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
9.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 11 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
10.7%
BOLLAS, George pass incomplete to JAMES, Raekwon, PENALTY UB pass interference (RUSSELL, Devon) 15 yards to the UB39, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
11.3%
Justin Rankin run for 5 yds to the Buff 34Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+2
12.7%
George Bollas run for 2 yds to the Buff 32Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
11.9%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Trey Harrell, broken up by Tatum SlackSimilar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 3
OPP 32
0
11.0%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:4794% → 96%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
6.1%
Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Buff 33Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+2
6.1%
Drew Anderson run for 2 yds to the Buff 35Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+9
6.2%
Drew Anderson pass complete to Jacob Martinez for 9 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
5.6%
Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the Buff 44Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-2
5.7%
Emmanuel Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 42Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 12
OWN 42
0
4.3%
Drew Anderson pass incomplete to Jamarl EilandSimilar
Q4 5:05
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
4.4%
Kyle DeWeen punt for 40 yds, downed at the KntSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22INT
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:004% → 6%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+54
4.4%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 54 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
5.6%
Kavious Price pass intercepted Tito Overton return for 21 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BUFDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:2797% → 98%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
3.0%
Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+13
2.9%
Drew Anderson run for 13 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
2.9%
Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
2.4%
Emmanuel Reed run for 2 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
2.3%
Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 5
OPP 20
-4
1.7%
Drew Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24Uncategorized
6 plays · 56 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
1.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Kris White for 7 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+4
1.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for 4 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
1.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Justin Rankin for 14 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
1.2%
George Bollas pass complete to Kris White for 11 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
1.3%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Raekwon James) to the Buff 45Similar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+25
1.4%
George Bollas pass complete to Trey Harrell for 25 yds to the Buff 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:59
Drew Anderson pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam Mitcheson KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q2 12:52
Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 75 yds for a TD, (Shane Hynes KICK)
+6.6
FG · Q2 0:18
Shane Hynes 20 yd FG GOOD
+5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com