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BALL

Ball State 3 at Western Michigan 55

WMU
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadBALL aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreBALL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.6WMU 98.6%Morgan Hagee 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 38 · Q3 10:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:18 · Morgan Hagee 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Home team on offense+28.7Score differential+21.8Pregame prior+11.8Blowout margin+12.4Garbage-time factor+6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:38: Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 12 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +2.7 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:16: LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +6.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:14: Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +4.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:06: Josh Grant 43 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 10:18: Morgan Hagee 28 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6BALL made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 14:50BALL 4th & 16 at BALL 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:34BALL 4th & 10 at WMU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−2.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:34WMU 4th & 5 at BALL 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:16BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:07WMU 4th & 7 at BALL 44, up 21
    Close callPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:47BALL 4th & 17 at BALL 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:14BALL 4th & 5 at BALL 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:06WMU 4th & 18 at BALL 26, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:31BALL 4th & 12 at BALL 43, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:32BALL 4th & 2 at WMU 45, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:18BALL 4th & 11 at WMU 11, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:00WMU 4th & 1 at BALL 16, up 42
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:48BALL 4th & 7 at BALL 33, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:40WMU 4th & 7 at BALL 40, up 52
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:21WMU 4th & 13 at BALL 39, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:38WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:16WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:14WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:32WMU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:28WMU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:04WMU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
76.9%
Malik Dunner run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 20Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+10
76.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 10 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q1 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+5
76.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Nolan Givan for 5 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
76.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
76.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Sam BealSimilar
Q1 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-6
76.9%
Jack Milas sacked by Caleb Bailey for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 29Similar
Q1 14:50
4TH & 16
OWN 29
-6
76.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 44 yds , Darius Phillips returns for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 23 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the WMich 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 89 yds · 4:3277% → 80%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
77.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 3
OWN 18
-1
77.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 17Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+9
76.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 9 yds to the WMich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
77.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
77.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 15 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
77.1%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
77.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+3
77.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
77.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+7
77.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
77.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 12 yds to the BalSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
77.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 12 yds to the BalSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
80.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 12 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 4MISSED FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:0421% → 20%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
79.1%
Caleb Huntley run for 9 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
78.8%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, offside defense (Caleb Bailey) to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
79.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 2 yds to the BalSt 41Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+5
79.0%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+17
78.8%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 17 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
78.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 22 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
78.4%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
78.4%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by Eric AssouaSimilar
Q1 7:38
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
78.7%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
79.7%
Morgan Hagee 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
80.7%
Darius Phillips run for 8 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
80.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Darius Phillips for 9 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
80.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Darius Phillips for 7 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
81.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
80.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
81.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
81.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
81.0%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
80.7%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 46 yds, downed at the BalSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 6PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:0419% → 19%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
80.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 6Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
80.9%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
81.3%
Jack Milas pass incomplete N/A punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the BalSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:3383% → 89%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
82.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the BalSt 38Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+6
82.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the BalSt 32Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
82.3%
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+23
82.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 23 yds to the BalSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
88.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
87.8%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
87.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 3 yds to the BalSt 25Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
88.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
89.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 40Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+13
89.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Anton Curtis for 13 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
89.3%
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds to the BalSt 45Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
89.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the BalSt 44Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
89.1%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
88.7%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
89.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 5
OWN 16
-5
89.8%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 11Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
89.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Malik Dunner for no gain to the BalSt 11Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
89.9%
Jack Milas sacked by Andre Turner for 0 yards to the BalSt 4 Jack Milas fumbled, recovered by BalSt Nolan Givan , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the BalSt 4Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 17
OWN 4
0
90.2%
Nathan Snyder punt for 37 yds, downed at the BalSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:1692% → 97%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
92.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the BalSt 40Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+4
92.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+18
91.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 18 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
93.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the BalSt 11Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+5
93.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the BalSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
93.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the BalSt 1Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the BalSt 1Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.9%
Malik Dunner run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
97.8%
Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 4:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
97.7%
Nathan Snyder punt for 37 yds , Darius Phillips returns for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:2398% → 99%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
97.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+49
97.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 49 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.9%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
97.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Donnie Ernsberger, broken up by Brett Anderson IISimilar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-8
97.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 2 yds to the BalSt 16 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the BalSt 26Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 18
OPP 26
0
97.9%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Keishawn WatsonSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 18
OPP 26
+43
98.5%
Josh Grant 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:352% → 1%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
98.4%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 9 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
98.2%
Jack Milas pass complete to Hassan Littles for 6 yds to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
98.3%
Jack Milas run for 1 yd to the BalSt 46Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-3
98.8%
Jack Milas pass complete to Malik Dunner for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 43Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 12
OWN 43
0
98.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Nolan Givan, broken up by Brad TannerSimilar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
98.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:2899% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
98.6%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 12 yds to the BalSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
98.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 22 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 4:141% → 1%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
98.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Danny Pinter for 3 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
98.7%
Malik Dunner run for 5 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q3 14:32
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+8
98.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+8
98.7%
Jack Milas run for 8 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 14:32
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
98.6%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Hassan Littles, broken up by Sam BealSimilar
Q3 14:32
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+7
98.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 7 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+37
98.6%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 37 yds to the WMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.4%
Malik Dunner run for no gain to the WMich 1Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.0%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the WMich 1Similar
Q3 14:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.1%
Jack Milas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
98.1%
DUNNER, Malik rush for 1 yard to the WMU0, clock 10:22, PENALTY BALL holding 10 yards to the WMU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
98.6%
Morgan Hagee 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:5099% → 100%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+8
99.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 8 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
99.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 52 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.5%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 9 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+6
99.4%
Jack Milas run for 6 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.5%
Jack Milas pass complete to Riley Miller for 5 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
99.4%
Malik Dunner run for 4 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+11
99.4%
Jack Milas run for 11 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+102
99.4%
Jack Milas pass intercepted Malik Rucker return for 87 yds to the BalSt 0 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the BalSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.6%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+4
99.6%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the BalSt 19Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+3
99.6%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the BalSt 16Similar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+33
99.7%
Josh Grant 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · -14 yds · 4:000% → 0%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 7 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+7
99.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+6
99.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
99.7%
MILAS, Jack pass incomplete to DAVIS, Antwan, PENALTY BALL false start (SLAVEN, Kaleb) 5 yards to the BALL47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 15
OWN 47
-5
99.7%
HUNTLEY, Caleb rush for 30 yards to the WMU23 (JACKSON, Obbie), PENALTY BALL false start 5 yards to the BALL42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 20
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 20
OWN 42
-15
99.7%
MILAS, Jack pass incomplete to HALL, Justin, PENALTY BALL personal foul 15 yards to the BALL27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 35
OWN 27
+1
99.7%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 1 yd Justin Hall fumbled, forced by Alex Grace, recovered by BalSt Malik DunnerSimilar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 33
OWN 29
-8
99.7%
Jack Milas sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 8 yards to the BalSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 41
OWN 21
-9
99.9%
Nathan Snyder run for a loss of 9 yards to the BalSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.8%
Reece Goddard run for 1 yd to the BalSt 11Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Jack Milas pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Malik Dunner run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 33Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Danny PinterSimilar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+22
99.9%
Nathan Snyder punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Keishawn Watson at the WESTMICH 30 BALL ST Penalty, kick catching interference (David Moore) to the WMich 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.9%
Reece Goddard run for 6 yds to the BalSt 49Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+6
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 6 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the BalSt 40Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 4
OPP 37
-3
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 40Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 39 yds, downed at the BalSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24PUNT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.9%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 1 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
99.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 2Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
100.0%
Jack Milas pass incomplete to Hassan Littles Nathan Snyder punt for 34 yds, downed at the BalSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
99.9%
Reece Goddard run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-10
99.9%
TUCKER, Davon rush for 4 yards to the BALL33 (CRUMB, Chris), PENALTY WMU holding 10 yards to the BALL47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 21
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 18
OPP 44
+5
99.9%
Alex Mussat pass complete to Hunter Broersma for 5 yds to the BalSt 39Similar
Q4 7:21
4TH & 13
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Riley Miller at the BalSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 26END OF GAME
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Zack Blair run for no gain to the BalSt 10Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 12Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+9
100.0%
Zack Blair run for 9 yds to the BalSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Zack Blair pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
100.0%
Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 28Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Zack Blair run for 4 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Zack Blair pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+9
100.0%
Zack Blair run for 9 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Zack Blair pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
100.0%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:16
LeVante Bellamy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q2 4:14
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q1 7:38
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 12 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com