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AKR

Akron 34 at Bowling Green 23

BGSU
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:33 · James Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Brian Reinke
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:38: Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +6.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:10: James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:11: James Morgan pass complete to Andrew Clair for 26 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK) — BGSU win probability +15.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:17: Thomas Woodson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +18.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:59: James Morgan pass intercepted for a TD Kyron Brown return for 38 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +22.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 14:06AKR 4th & 1 at BGSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:02AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:34BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:42BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:57BGSU 4th & 1 at AKR 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.8%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:54AKR 4th & 13 at BGSU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−1.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    63.6%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:07AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:02BGSU 4th & 8 at AKR 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−11.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:12BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.8%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:53BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 47, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:20AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 41, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−1.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:54BGSU 4th & 12 at BGSU 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:38AKR 4th & 6 at BGSU 30, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:44AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:13BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:59AKR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:38AKR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:10BGSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:11BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:17AKR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:59AKR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
45.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 3 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+8
45.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 8 yds Scott Miller fumbled, forced by Andrew Hauser, recovered by Akron Alvin Davis , return for 16 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2TD
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:2255% → 56%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
45.1%
Warren Ball run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-5
45.1%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 14
OPP 23
0
45.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Warren BallSimilar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+13
45.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kevin Gladney for 13 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q1 14:06
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+7
45.2%
Warren Ball run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
45.1%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.2%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 4 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3INT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:4045% → 45%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
45.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
45.0%
Josh Cleveland run for 7 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+6
45.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 6 yds to the Akron 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
45.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 5 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
45.1%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+10
45.2%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Darian Dailey return for 10 yds to the Akron 34 Darian Dailey fumbled, forced by Hunter Folkertsma, recovered by BwGrn Jarret DoegeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:0345% → 48%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
45.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+18
45.4%
Matthew Wilcox Jr. pass complete to Jarret Doege for 18 yds to the Akron 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
45.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 10 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
47.5%
Matt Domer run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1453% → 57%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
46.8%
BALL, Warren rush for loss of 2 yards to the AKRON23 (SCHWIETERMAN, G), PENALTY BGSU offside defense 5 yards to the AKRON30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
46.7%
Van Edwards Jr. run for no gain to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
46.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 13 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
46.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von Chapman, broken up by Marcus MiltonSimilar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
46.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 3
50
+7
46.2%
WOODSON, Thomas pass incomplete to WOLF, Austin (GREGORY, Montre), PENALTY BGSU pass interference (GREGORY, Montre) 7 yards to the BGSU43, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
42.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 43 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
44.6%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
44.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 3 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-11
44.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Teo Redding for a loss of 11 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
43.2%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
43.1%
Thomas Woodson run for 2 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
43.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:02
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+3
43.6%
Nick Gasser punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 29 , Marcus Milton returns for 3 yds to the BwGrn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
43.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+2
44.0%
Josh Cleveland run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
43.8%
Matt Domer run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
43.6%
Joseph Davidson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3258% → 57%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
42.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
42.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 6 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
42.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Montre GregorySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+24
42.9%
Nick Gasser punt for 53 yds , Marcus Milton returns for 24 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
43.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 9 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-2
44.3%
James Morgan run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 44 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by BwGrnSimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+1
43.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 1 yd to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
43.4%
Joseph Davidson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:4458% → 68%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
42.4%
Kato Nelson run for 5 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+20
41.1%
Kato Nelson run for 20 yds to the Akron 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
40.3%
Kato Nelson run for 4 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+15
40.3%
Kato Nelson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 15 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
39.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
39.6%
Kato Nelson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+17
39.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 17 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
38.8%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
32.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 71 yds · 3:2135% → 43%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
35.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+8
35.6%
Andrew Clair run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
36.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Josh WardSimilar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
36.4%
Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+8
35.9%
James Morgan run for 8 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+8
35.2%
Leonard Skattebo run for 8 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
35.6%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
35.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+39
35.2%
Matt Domer run for 39 yds to the Akron 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
36.6%
Matt Domer run for no gain to the Akron 2Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
36.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
43.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Hunter Folkertsma for 17 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13MISSED FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 5:1059% → 64%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
41.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 10 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
40.1%
Manny Morgan run for 4 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
39.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 4 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+10
39.1%
Thomas Woodson run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
38.1%
Manny Morgan run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
37.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Manny Morgan for 4 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+8
37.6%
Manny Morgan run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
37.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius Smith, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
38.1%
Manny Morgan run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 6
OPP 23
-7
32.0%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Kyle Junior for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+47
36.0%
Tom O'Leary 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
38.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (James Morgan) to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+8
37.6%
Josh Cleveland run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
38.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin Guyton, broken up by Kyron BrownSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+3
37.5%
Josh Cleveland run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
34.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 9 yds A.J. Coney fumbled, forced by Aaron Banks, recovered by BwGrn Clint Stephens , return for 7 yds to the Akron 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:3140% → 57%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
40.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 8 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+4
41.7%
Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the Akron 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
41.7%
Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+26
56.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Andrew Clair for 26 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
47.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
45.7%
Thomas Woodson run for 2 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
46.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
48.2%
Nick Gasser punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Milton at the BwGrn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:4152% → 61%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
51.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+31
51.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 31 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
55.3%
Andrew Clair run for 16 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
56.1%
Andrew Clair run for 2 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
56.1%
Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+9
55.7%
Josh Cleveland run for 9 yds to the Akron 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
57.1%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+19
57.0%
Josh Cleveland run for 19 yds to the Akron 6 Josh Cleveland fumbled, forced by Shawn Featherstone, recovered by BwGrn Leonard Skattebo for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
57.1%
Josh Cleveland run for 4 yds to the Akron 2Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
57.1%
Josh Cleveland run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 4Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
55.7%
Grant Loy sacked by Ulysees Gilbert III for a loss of 4 yards to the Akron 8Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
61.1%
Jake Suder 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:3643% → 66%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
56.7%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 19 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
53.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
53.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+18
54.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kobie Booker for 18 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
52.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+5
52.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
33.9%
Thomas Woodson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20FUMBLE
12 plays · 25 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
40.9%
Josh Cleveland run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
42.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Datrin Guyton for 5 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+1
42.9%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+2
41.3%
James Morgan run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
43.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
41.9%
Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+6
44.4%
Josh Cleveland run for 6 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
45.2%
James Morgan run for no gain to the Akron 43Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
45.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 5 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-10
44.7%
CLAIR, Andrew rush for 14 yards to the AKRON24 (BROWN, Kyron), PENALTY BGSU holding 10 yards to the AKRON48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+8
40.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Andrew Clair for 8 yds Andrew Clair fumbled, forced by Jordan George, recovered by Akron Deon'Tae Moore BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
32.0%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Clint Stephens return for no gain to the BwGrn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0042% → 39%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
41.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 5 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
42.3%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+1
41.0%
Josh Cleveland run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
39.3%
Joseph Davidson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
34.6%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 13Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+24
35.0%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 24 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
32.9%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
32.4%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
32.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
35.4%
Nick Gasser punt for 41 yds, downed at the BwGrn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24INT TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:2338% → 15%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
37.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Scott MillerSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
37.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Teo Redding for 7 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+4
36.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 4 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
38.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+38
15.2%
James Morgan pass intercepted for a TD Kyron Brown return for 38 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
14.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
13.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 3 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
13.7%
Josh Cleveland run for no gain to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
12.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
12.1%
Joseph Davidson punt for 47 yds, downed at the Akron 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26DOWNS
16 plays · 42 yds · 6:0189% → 96%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
11.3%
Thomas Woodson run for no gain to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
11.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 9 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
11.1%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 3 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
10.5%
Manny Morgan run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 2
50
0
10.2%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 2
50
+6
7.8%
Thomas Woodson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
7.5%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+11
7.6%
Manny Morgan run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
7.6%
Manny Morgan run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
4.8%
Thomas Woodson run for no gain to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 9
OPP 0
+3
4.4%
Manny Morgan run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 30 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+5
3.6%
Manny Morgan run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 28 Manny Morgan fumbled, forced by Nico Lautanen, recovered by Akron Trevor BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 27END OF GAME
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
2.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 5 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+7
3.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
3.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Josh Cleveland for 7 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
3.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Datrin GuytonSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
3.1%
James Morgan run for 4 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-12
3.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the BwGrn 39 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BwGrn James MorganSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 22
OWN 39
+17
2.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Scott Miller for 17 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
3.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete, broken up by Brian ReinkeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:59
James Morgan pass intercepted for a TD Kyron Brown return for 38 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
-22.8
TD · Q3 4:17
Thomas Woodson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
-18.2
TD · Q3 13:11
James Morgan pass complete to Andrew Clair for 26 yds for a TD, (Jake Suder KICK)
+15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com