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WAG

Wagner 14 at Western Michigan 49

WMU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreWAG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:37 · Eric Silvester punt for 43 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 5 yds to the WMich 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+42.4Home team on offense+5.8Score differential+1.8Garbage-time factor+0.8Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:37: Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:34: Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) WAGNER Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — WMU win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:19: Denzel Knight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK) — WAG win probability +2.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: WAG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:22: Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +2.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:11: Jarvion Franklin run for 23 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1WAG made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WAG 4th & 8 at WAG 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:30WAG 4th & 8 at WMU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:37WAG 4th & 8 at WAG 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:34WAG 4th & 17 at WAG 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:22WAG 4th & 9 at WAG 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  6. Q4 15:00WAG 4th & 9 at WAG 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:31WMU 4th & 9 at WAG 41, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:49WAG 4th & 6 at WAG 35, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WAG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:38WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:37WMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:34WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:19WAG Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:22WMU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:11WMU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:36WMU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:33WMU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:31WAG Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAGDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.3%
Ryan Fulse run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
98.3%
Ryan Fulse run for 3 yds to the Wagn 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
98.3%
Ryan Fulse run for 1 yd to the Wagn 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
98.3%
Eric Silvester punt for 25 yds, downed at the WMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 52 yds · 4:1698% → 98%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the Wagn 47Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
98.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Wagn 43Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
98.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Wagn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
98.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 6 yds to the Wagn 34Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+7
98.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the Wagn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.1%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 5 yds to the Wagn 22Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+7
98.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the Wagn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
98.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 9 yds to the Wagn 6Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+1
98.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Wagn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Wagn 2Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) WAGNER Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 6:082% → 3%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
97.7%
Luke Massei pass complete to Willie Dale for 21 yds to the Wagn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
97.7%
Ryan Fulse run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 44Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+15
97.7%
MASSEI, Luke pass incomplete to FULSE, Ryan, PENALTY WMU personal foul (CLARK, Steven) 15 yards to the WMU41, 1ST DOWN WAGNER, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
97.7%
Ryan Fulse run for 4 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
97.7%
Ryan Fulse run for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+2
97.7%
Ryan Fulse run for 2 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
97.7%
Luke Massei pass complete to Chris Woodard for 9 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
97.6%
Luke Massei pass incomplete to Willie Dale, broken up by Obbie JacksonSimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+2
97.7%
Ryan Fulse run for 2 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
97.6%
Luke Massei pass complete to Chris Woodard for 2 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
97.6%
Luke Massei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
97.7%
Luke Massei pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
96.9%
James Cooper 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5397% → 98%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
97.0%
Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+48
97.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 48 yds to the Wagn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
97.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Wagn 19Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+4
97.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Wagn 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+8
96.8%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 8 yds to the Wagn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
96.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the Wagn 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Wagn 3Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.2%
Ryan Fulse run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 23Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
97.2%
Denzel Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 22Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+5
97.2%
Luke Massei pass complete to Chris Woodard for 5 yds to the Wagn 27Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
97.3%
Eric Silvester punt for 43 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 5 yds to the WMich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:3697% → 99%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
97.2%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-15
97.2%
BOGAN, Jamauri rush for 1 yard to the WMU31 (McCLEOD, Julian), PENALTY WMU personal foul (OKORAFOR, Chuke) 15 yards to the WMU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 30
OWN 15
+71
97.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 71 yds to the Wagn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
97.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 5 yds to the Wagn 9Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+5
97.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the Wagn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
97.4%
Jon Wassink run for 1 yd to the Wagn 3Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) WAGNER Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.3%
Denzel Knight run for 6 yds to the Wagn 31Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
98.3%
Denzel Knight run for 6 yds to the Wagn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
98.3%
Denzel Knight run for 4 yds to the Wagn 41Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-4
98.2%
Denzel Knight run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wagn 37Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-7
98.3%
Luke Massei sacked by Drake Spears for a loss of 7 yards to the Wagn 30Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
98.4%
Eric Silvester punt for 55 yds, downed at the WMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
98.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 8 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+7
98.5%
Jon Wassink run for 7 yds to the WMich 32 Jon Wassink fumbled, forced by Quintin Hampton, recovered by Wagn Tyamonee JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 9TD
12 plays · 32 yds · 3:312% → 4%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
98.1%
Luke Massei pass complete to Willie Dale for 6 yds to the WMich 26Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+5
98.0%
Ryan Fulse run for 5 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.0%
Luke Massei pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-4
98.1%
Ryan Fulse run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 14
OPP 25
-5
98.3%
WAGNER Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 19
OPP 30
0
98.3%
Luke Massei pass incomplete to Willie Dale, broken up by Malik RuckerSimilar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 19
OPP 30
+15
98.3%
SILVESTER, Eric field goal attempt from 47 MISSED - short,, clock 01:11, PENALTY WMU roughing the kicker 15 yards to the WMU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
97.9%
Luke Massei pass incomplete to Denzel KnightSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
97.9%
Denzel Knight run for 2 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+11
98.1%
MASSEI, Luke pass incomplete to WILSON, D'Erren (PHILLIPS, Dariu), PENALTY WMU pass interference (TANNER, Brad) 11 yards to the WMU2, 1ST DOWN WAGNER, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.7%
Denzel Knight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
96.8%
Jon Wassink run for 2 yds to the WMich 46 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal forward pass (Jon Wassink) to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+14
96.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 14 yds to the Wagn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:3897% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
96.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+44
96.5%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 44 yds to the Wagn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
96.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 11 yds to the Wagn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
96.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the Wagn 3Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Wagn 1Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
98.4%
Luke Massei pass complete to D.J. Paul for 13 yds to the Wagn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.3%
Denzel Knight run for 3 yds to the Wagn 43Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-2
98.3%
Luke Massei pass complete to Jeffrey Bost for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 41Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
98.3%
Luke Massei pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
98.4%
Eric Silvester punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0999% → 100%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+12
98.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Luke Sanders for 12 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Luke SandersSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+38
98.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 38 yds to the Wagn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 23 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Luke Massei pass incomplete to John WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
KNIGHT, Denzel rush for no gain to the WAGNER25 (SPEARS, Drake), PENALTY WMU offside defense (BALABANI, Anton) 5 yards to the WAGNER30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
99.8%
Denzel Knight run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 28Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-14
99.8%
WAGNER Penalty, player disqualification (-14 Yards) to the Wagn 14Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 21
OWN 14
-11
99.8%
Luke Massei sacked by Darius Phillips for a loss of 11 yards to the Wagn 3 WAGNER Penalty, intentional grounding (Luke Massei) to the Wagn 3Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 32
OWN 3
0
99.8%
Eric Silvester punt for 32 yds, downed at the Wagn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 21 yds to the Wagn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the Wagn 10Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-1
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 11Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Mitch Heimbuch for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Ryan Fulse run for 8 yds to the Wagn 35Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-1
99.9%
Ryan Fulse run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 34Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-5
99.8%
WAGNER Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wagn 29Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
MASSEI, Luke pass incomplete to BOST, Jeffrey, PENALTY WMU pass interference (SPEARS, Drake) 11 yards to the WAGNER40, 1ST DOWN WAGNER, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
99.9%
Donald Glenn run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wagn 36 Donald Glenn fumbled, recovered by WMich Nick MatichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
1 play · 36 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 36 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:330% → 0%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Ryan Fulse run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wagn 21Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
KNIGHT, Denzel rush for 6 yards to the WAGNER27 (THOMAS, A.J.;JACKSON, Emanue), PENALTY WMU offside defense (FOSTER, DeShawn) 5 yards to the WAGNER26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-3
99.9%
Denzel Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wagn 23Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Donald Glenn pass complete to Denzel Knight for 3 yds to the Wagn 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Eric Silvester punt for 47 yds , Keishawn Watson returns for 1 yd to the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 5 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+26
99.9%
Reece Goddard run for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 28 Reece Goddard fumbled, recovered by Wagn Maurice Diawara , return for 11 yds to the WMich 44 WAGNER Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 20TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
99.9%
Ryan Fulse run for 20 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Ryan Fulse run for 8 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 7 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the WMich 42Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+14
99.9%
GODDARD, Reece pass incomplete to BROERSMA, Hunte, PENALTY WAGNER pass interference (GAMBLE, Darryl) 14 yards to the WAGNER42, 1ST DOWN WMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 2 yds to the Wagn 40Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 1 yd to the Wagn 39Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-2
99.9%
Leo Ekwoge run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 41Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
Ryan Fulse run for 5 yds to the Wagn 19Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+12
99.9%
Ryan Fulse run for 12 yds to the Wagn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Andrew Cordani run for 3 yds to the Wagn 34Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Andrew Cordani run for 1 yd to the Wagn 35Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Andrew Cordani run for no gain to the Wagn 35Similar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Eric Silvester punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23END OF GAME
6 plays · 49 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
99.9%
Leo Ekwoge run for 12 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Leo Ekwoge run for 5 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 6 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 7
50
+4
99.9%
Davon Tucker run for 4 yds to the Wagn 46Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+19
99.9%
Leo Ekwoge run for 19 yds to the Wagn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:19
Denzel Knight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Eric Silvester KICK)
-2.5
TD · Q3 12:22
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 8:34
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) WAGNER Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com