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OHIO

Ohio 27 at Eastern Michigan 20

EMU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:50 · Louie Zervos 47 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialTime remainingGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 173Home team on offense−6.6Pregame prior+0.2Score differential−4.7Time remaining−2.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:10: Brogan Roback pass intercepted for a TD Bradd Ellis return for 46 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +16.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:54: Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +26.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 25 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +37.8 pts (now 86%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +38.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 7 yds for a TD Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 7 yds for a TD Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +17.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 10:46OHIO 4th & 17 at EMU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    44.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:42EMU 4th & 13 at OHIO 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:51OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:11EMU 4th & 13 at OHIO 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:06OHIO 4th & 14 at OHIO 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00EMU 4th & 2 at OHIO 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:49OHIO 4th & 14 at EMU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:49EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:25EMU 4th & 13 at OHIO 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    50.1%−5.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:44OHIO 4th & 12 at OHIO 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.7%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:32OHIO 4th & 4 at EMU 49, up 4
    Close callPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:13EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 43, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:22OHIO 4th & 4 at EMU 27, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.5%−0.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−10.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:15EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 24, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:40OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 30, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.0%−3.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:40EMU 4th & 5 at OHIO 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    37.1%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−2.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:44EMU 4th & 2 at OHIO 48, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−3.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:36OHIO 4th & 8 at OHIO 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−2.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:46EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−2.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:50OHIO 4th & 3 at EMU 30, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.2%−4.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−14.6
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:50EMU 4th & 2 at EMU 38, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.3 ptsPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−6.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:10OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 10:54EMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 4:1443% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
56.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 10 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
56.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
56.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+9
56.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 9 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
56.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+23
56.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 23 yds to the EMich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
56.8%
Nathan Rourke run for 2 yds to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+1
56.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the EMich 14Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 7
OPP 14
-10
56.5%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Luke Maclean for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 17
OPP 24
+41
56.8%
Louie Zervos 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
56.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 9 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+8
56.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 8 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
56.9%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
56.8%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+11
56.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 11 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
57.0%
Blake Banham run for 3 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-5
57.0%
Blake Banham run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 42 Blake Banham fumbled, forced by Quentin Poling, recovered by EMich Brogan RobackSimilar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 12
OPP 42
-5
56.6%
ROBACK, Brogan rush for loss of 26 yards to the EMU32 (Poling, Quentin), PENALTY EMU illegal motion 5 yards to the OHIO47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 17
OPP 47
+4
56.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for 4 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 10:42
4TH & 13
OPP 43
0
56.2%
Ivan Oraha punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
56.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 18
-6
56.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 23 OHIO Penalty, personal foul (-11 Yards) to the Ohio 12Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 11
OWN 12
-1
56.3%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Luke Maclean for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 11Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 12
OWN 11
+5
56.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Troy Mangen for 5 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 7
OWN 16
+1
56.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EMich 37 , Blake Banham returns for 1 yd to the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:2256% → 57%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
55.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
55.4%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+12
55.3%
Brogan Roback run for 12 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
56.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Jaron JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
56.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+26
56.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 26 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
57.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-9
56.9%
Brogan Roback sacked by Will Evans and Trent Smart for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 19
OPP 30
+6
55.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for 6 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+41
56.9%
Paul Fricano 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
56.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
56.4%
Dorian Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 22Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
56.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Dorian BrownSimilar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 9
OWN 22
-5
57.4%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 17Similar
Q1 1:06
4TH & 14
OWN 17
+8
57.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 38 yds , Eddie Daugherty returns for 8 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:2359% → 58%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
59.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 12 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
59.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Bradd EllisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
59.3%
Breck Turner run for 3 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+5
58.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 5 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 27
0
58.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Jalen FoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
55.9%
Dorian Brown run for 6 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
55.3%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+7
55.2%
Dorian Brown run for 7 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
54.7%
Dorian Brown run for 10 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
54.3%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 1 yd to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-8
54.4%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Chris Hendricks for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+21
56.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerrid Marhefka for 21 yds to the EMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
53.8%
Nathan Rourke run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 37Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 14
OPP 37
0
55.0%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Ross WilliamsSimilar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 14
OPP 37
0
55.8%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q2 13:49
4TH & 14
OPP 37
0
56.7%
Michael Farkas punt for 35 yds, downed at the EMich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:4757% → 56%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
57.0%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+5
56.9%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+6
56.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 6 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
57.6%
Brogan Roback pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+7
57.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 7 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+1
56.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 1 yd to the EMich 24Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 2
OWN 24
0
55.7%
Brogan Roback punt for 56 yds, downed at the Ohio 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 55 yds · 0:0046% → 50%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
54.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Jerrid Marhefka for 5 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
53.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+42
54.2%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 42 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
50.8%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+5
50.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 3 yds Brendan Cope fumbled, forced by Brody Hoying, recovered by EMich Brody Hoying , return for 40 yds to the Ohio 30 , return for 5 yds to the Ohio 21 OHIO Penalty, IR ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:4261% → 61%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
60.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 7 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
60.8%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
60.8%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
60.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to John Niupalau, broken up by Kylan NelsonSimilar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+10
59.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 10 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
60.8%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the Ohio 4Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
61.0%
ROBACK, Brogan pass complete to BAILEY, Sergio for 4 yards to the OHIO0, clock 02:19, PENALTY EMU pass interference (BAILEY, Sergio) 15 yards to the OHIO19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+6
60.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 6 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
59.2%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Cameron OdomSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
60.7%
Paul Fricano 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:4040% → 37%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
59.6%
Nathan Rourke sacked by Maxx Crosby and Kwanii Figueroa for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 13
OWN 26
0
60.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+1
62.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 12
OWN 27
+2
63.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 37 yds , Eddie Daugherty returns for 2 yds to the EMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12INT TD
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:2263% → 47%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
62.9%
ROBACK, Brogan pass complete to JOHNSON, Jaron for 29 yards to the OHIO33, PENALTY EMU illegal forward pass (ROBACK, Brogan) 4 yards to the EMU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+46
47.0%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted for a TD Bradd Ellis return for 46 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
47.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.9%
Shaq Vann run for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
51.6%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
50.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
49.0%
Brogan Roback punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ohio 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0052% → 53%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
47.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
47.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
45.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
45.6%
Julian Ross run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
45.6%
Julian Ross run for 4 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
45.7%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew Meyer, broken up by Vince CalhounSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
47.5%
Michael Farkas punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:3948% → 49%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
48.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 14 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
48.9%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
48.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 5 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+4
50.1%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 4 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
49.1%
Jake Julien punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:3553% → 65%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+30
46.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 30 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
44.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+15
43.7%
Rourke, Nathan pass incomplete to Odom, Cameron, PENALTY EMU pass interference (McGILL, Kevin) 15 yards to the EMU33, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
42.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 5 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
42.1%
DL Knock run for 1 yd to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
43.6%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Kevin McGillSimilar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
34.9%
Louie Zervos 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
37.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 3 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+6
38.0%
Breck Turner run for 6 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 1
OWN 24
0
37.7%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
36.4%
Brogan Roback punt for 55 yds, downed at the Ohio 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
34.2%
Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
33.7%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
33.0%
Julian Ross run for no gain to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+47
34.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds , Eddie Daugherty returns for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:0036% → 38%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
35.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 18 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
38.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to John NiupalauSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+25
37.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 25 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
42.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
42.6%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Bryce KempSimilar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
40.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine PorterSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
37.8%
Ivan Oraha pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:5769% → 69%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-15
30.7%
OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 15Similar
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
31.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
31.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+6
31.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 6 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
29.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
29.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
29.9%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
31.1%
Michael Farkas punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Eddie Daugherty at the EMich 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:2932% → 64%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
31.7%
Breck Turner run for 1 yd to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+12
31.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for 12 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
34.2%
Breck Turner run for 13 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
36.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 8 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+34
38.0%
Isaac Holder pass complete to John Niupalau for 34 yds to the Ohio 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.0%
Brogan Roback run for no gain to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.2%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
52.6%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 29 yds Cameron Odom fumbled, forced by Brody Hoying, recovered by EMich Kevin McGill , return for 1 yd to the EMich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0062% → 59%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
61.5%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 4 yards to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 14
OWN 40
0
58.2%
Breck Turner run for no gain to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 14
OWN 40
+12
56.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 12 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
59.1%
Ivan Oraha punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kylan Nelson at the Ohio 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0047% → 43%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
53.5%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete, broken up by Maxx CrosbySimilar
Q4 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+2
54.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q4 8:36
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
55.2%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to A.J. OuelletteSimilar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+54
56.8%
Michael Farkas punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Eddie Daugherty at the EASTMICH 47 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding (Kevin McGill) to the EMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 55%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
58.9%
Brogan Roback sacked by Chad Moore for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 16
OWN 30
+8
56.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 8 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
57.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
54.8%
Jake Julien punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 27MISSED FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:4050% → 56%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
50.1%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 13 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
46.6%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Jake Pruehs) to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+5
49.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 5 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
47.8%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 3
50
+3
45.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 3 yds to the EMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
44.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 10 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
44.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
42.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 4:24
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-2
44.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+47
43.8%
Louie Zervos 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
56.1%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Jaron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
54.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for 8 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
58.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by Trent SmartSimilar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
54.4%
Jake Julien punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 29END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5352% → 51%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
48.3%
Brendan Cope run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 15Similar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+9
50.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+5
48.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 30TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 25 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 31TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
80.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the EMich 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
80.4%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+15
87.6%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Justin Moody) to the EMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
79.3%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete, broken up by Jeremiah HarrisSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
40.5%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 32TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 77%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
41.1%
Nathan Rourke pass incomplete to Andrew MeyerSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+14
43.7%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Andrew Meyer for 14 yds to the EMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
40.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the EMich 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+3
40.5%
Nathan Rourke run for 3 yds to the EMich 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
22.9%
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 7 yds for a TD Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 7 yds for a TD Nathan Rourke pass complete to Cameron Odom for 7 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 33DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0028% → 23%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.1%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
24.0%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Antoine Porter, broken up by Quentin PolingSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+6
21.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Breck Turner for 6 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 19
0
22.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Nathan Rourke pass complete to Brendan Cope for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
-38.8
TD · OT 0:00
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 25 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
+37.8
TD · Q4 10:54
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
+26.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com