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M-OH

Miami (OH) 31 at Central Michigan 14

CMU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Jack Sheldon punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Home team on offense−13.0Score differential−6.8Garbage-time factor−3.8Pregame prior−3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:19: Gus Ragland pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 3 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +5.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:20: Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 50 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +9.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:35: Kenny Young run for 31 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +11.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:00: Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 28 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK) — CMU win probability +9.1 pts (now 29%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:12: RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to MAYOCK, Luke, PENALTY CMU pass interference 15 yards to the CMU38, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY. — M-OH win probability +10.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10M-OH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 10:37CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:19CMU 4th & 6 at M-OH 30, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.1%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:39CMU 4th & 2 at M-OH 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−6.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:20CMU 4th & 15 at CMU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:59M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:19CMU 4th & 12 at CMU 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00CMU 4th & 4 at CMU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:25M-OH 4th & 6 at M-OH 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:24CMU 4th & 8 at CMU 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:49M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:38M-OH 4th & 7 at CMU 16, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−9.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:38CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 17, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:03CMU 4th & 5 at M-OH 5, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−0.4
    92% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−7.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:59M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 12, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:51CMU 4th & 7 at M-OH 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:19M-OH 4th & 7 at CMU 43, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:37M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:19M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:39CMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:20M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:35M-OH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:00CMU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2357% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.1%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.1%
Gus Ragland run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
43.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, BG (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+13
43.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 13 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
43.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+34
43.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 34 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
43.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 7 yds to the CMich 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+6
43.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 6 yds to the CMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
43.1%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q1 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
42.1%
Gus Ragland run for 6 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
42.7%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
42.7%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 35Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
42.5%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Devon SpaldingSimilar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+4
42.4%
Jack Sheldon punt for 52 yds , Jared Murphy returns for 4 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
42.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
42.9%
Kyle Kramer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the CMich 39Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-10
42.4%
RAGLAND, Gus pass complete to MURPHY, Jared for 14 yards to the MIAMI37, PENALTY MIAMI holding 10 yards to the MIAMI13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 14
OWN 13
-5
42.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 19
OWN 8
+6
42.7%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+5
42.8%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4MISSED FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:3943% → 42%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
42.5%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+23
42.9%
Shane Morris run for 23 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
43.5%
Shane Morris run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
43.5%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
43.1%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
42.4%
Michael Armstrong 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Joshua AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:0059% → 65%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
41.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 22 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
40.8%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
40.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+9
41.0%
Gus Ragland run for 9 yds to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
40.8%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
40.8%
Kenny Young run for 8 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+25
40.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Ryan Smith for 25 yds to the CMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
40.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
40.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the CMich 3Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
34.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Quentin Hardy for 3 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:4036% → 41%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.2%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
36.3%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
36.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 10 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
36.6%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 1 yd to the CMich 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+20
36.6%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jay Roberson for 5 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
36.8%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+22
36.8%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 22 yds to the MiaOh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
37.2%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+9
37.2%
Jonathan Ward pass complete to Mark Chapman for 9 yds to the MiaOh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
37.2%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
37.2%
Shane Morris run for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 13 MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.2%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the MiaOh 3Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
36.8%
Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
41.3%
Shane Morris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:1960% → 71%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+24
39.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 24 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
38.4%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 7
50
+50
29.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 50 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.4%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 25Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
31.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 7 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+14
32.0%
Shane Morris pass complete to Cameron Cole for 14 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
32.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 10 yds to the CENTMICH 44 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding (-15 Yards) to the CMich 41Similar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
32.1%
Shane Morris pass incomplete, broken up by Ben KimplerSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
32.0%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
31.6%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
31.4%
Jack Sheldon punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
29.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+15
29.5%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to MARTIN, Sam, PENALTY CMU pass interference (BUNTING,Sean) 15 yards to the MIAMI26, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
29.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
29.4%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
29.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
30.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the CMich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
28.6%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the CMich 20Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-1
28.7%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 19Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
28.3%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Jonathan WardSimilar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 7
OWN 19
-5
28.1%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 14Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 12
OWN 14
0
28.1%
Jack Sheldon punt for 38 yds, downed at the MiaOh 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 1:1874% → 85%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
26.4%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the CMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
26.3%
Gus Ragland run for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+31
15.3%
Kenny Young run for 31 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 1:3518% → 29%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
18.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for 9 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+2
19.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
19.4%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 18 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
20.0%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
19.8%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Jonathan WardSimilar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+10
19.6%
MORRIS,Shane pass incomplete to ROBERSON,Jay (HARDING, Heath), PENALTY MIAMI holding 10 yards to the MIAMI28, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
28.7%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 28 yds for a TD, (Michael Armstrong KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13MISSED FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 1:0075% → 80%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
24.7%
Kenny Young run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
23.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 14 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
23.3%
Gus Ragland run for 7 yds to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
22.2%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the CMich 39Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+4
22.2%
Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
20.9%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+38
20.1%
Samuel Sloman 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
25.1%
Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
25.9%
Berkley Edwards run for no gain to the CMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
25.4%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark Chapman, broken up by Heath HardingSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
25.0%
Jack Sheldon punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2277% → 77%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
23.3%
Gus Ragland run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+1
22.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
21.3%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-5
22.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
22.7%
Kyle Kramer punt for 64 yds, downed at the CMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
23.0%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 1Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
22.9%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+2
22.5%
Shane Morris run for 2 yds to the CMich 3Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 8
OWN 3
+12
22.5%
Jack Sheldon punt for 51 yds , Jared Murphy returns for 12 yds to the MiaOh 15 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (22 Yards) to the MiaOh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
17.9%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
17.6%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
17.9%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
18.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the CMich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18INT
10 plays · 80 yds · 0:0021% → 24%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
21.0%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+8
21.3%
Shane Morris run for 8 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
21.5%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
21.9%
Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the CMich 34Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+8
21.4%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 8 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
23.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (Tony Reid) to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+31
23.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 31 yds to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
25.0%
Jonathan Ward run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+1
25.0%
Shane Morris run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+47
24.3%
Shane Morris pass intercepted Matt Merimee return for 47 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:3487% → 92%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
13.5%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to MAYOCK, Luke, PENALTY CMU pass interference 15 yards to the CMU38, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
13.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 19 yds to the CMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-7
12.9%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 26Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 17
OPP 26
+13
13.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 13 yds to the CMich 13Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 4
OPP 13
-3
13.0%
Gus Ragland sacked by Joe Ostman for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 16Similar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
8.2%
Samuel Sloman 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
13.9%
Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
14.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Berkley Edwards for 1 yd to the CMich 38Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
13.9%
Tony Poljan pass incomplete to Eric CooperSimilar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
13.8%
Jack Sheldon punt for 59 yds, downed at the MiaOh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:1493% → 93%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
7.5%
Kenny Young run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+5
7.0%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
7.0%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
-5
7.0%
Gus Ragland sacked by Joe Ostman for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 16
+1
7.3%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
7.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Amari Coleman at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
50
+6
8.1%
Shane Morris pass complete to Eric Cooper for 6 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
8.7%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jonathan Ward for no gain to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+23
8.3%
Shane Morris pass complete to Mark Chapman for 23 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
9.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+1
9.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+5
9.1%
Jonathan Ward run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
9.4%
Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
9.4%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
9.0%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Berkley Edwards, broken up by Jacob SwartzSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
8.8%
Shane Morris pass incomplete, broken up by Doug CostinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4096% → 97%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
4.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+1
4.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
3.3%
Kyle Kramer punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
4.6%
Shane Morris pass complete to Berkley Edwards for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-1
4.9%
Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
4.7%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 7
OPP 40
+7
4.5%
Shane Morris pass intercepted Sam Connolly return for 7 yds to the MiaOh 33 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 2:1798% → 99%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
2.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+9
2.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 9 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
2.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the CMich 45Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+3
1.6%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+4
1.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-5
1.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 43Similar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
1.1%
Kyle Kramer punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
1.1%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 5 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+4
1.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Zach Crouch for 4 yds to the CMich 21Similar
Q4 2:14
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+2
1.0%
Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 2 yds to the CMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
1.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Eric Cooper for 12 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
1.1%
Tony Poljan pass complete to Kumehnnu Gwilly for 7 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+16
1.1%
Tony Poljan run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
1.3%
Tony Poljan run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:35
Kenny Young run for 31 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)
-11
KEY PLAY · Q3 4:12
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to MAYOCK, Luke, PENALTY CMU pass interference 15 yards to the CMU38, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.
-10.8
TD · Q2 9:20
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 50 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)
-9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com