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TNTC

Tennessee Tech 13 at Ball State 28

BALL
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Scheumann Stadium
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Win probability · BALL
modelBALL aheadTNTC aheadconfidence bandkey playBALL scoreTNTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:05 · Andre Sale pass incomplete to Dontez Byrd
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Pregame prior+7.3Home team on offense+22.7Score differential+9.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9Garbage-time factor+6.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:38: Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +2.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:13: Andrew Goldsmith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Madonia KICK) — TNTC win probability +3.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 0:09: Riley Neal pass complete to James Gilbert for 17 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +3.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:21: Malik Dunner run for 66 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK) — BALL win probability +5.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:45: Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 11 — BALL win probability +2.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BALL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BALL made the numbers' call on 3 of 5TNTC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00BALL 4th & 1 at TNTC 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:11TNTC 4th & 22 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:33BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:41TNTC 4th & 24 at TNTC 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:33TNTC 4th & 12 at TNTC 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:59BALL 4th & 1 at BALL 30, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:13BALL 4th & 4 at BALL 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:54TNTC 4th & 5 at BALL 23, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:33TNTC 4th & 14 at BALL 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:57TNTC 4th & 4 at BALL 4, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−3.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:58TNTC 4th & 6 at TNTC 32, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:16BALL 4th & 24 at TNTC 35, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:05TNTC 4th & 3 at BALL 42, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:17TNTC 4th & 24 at BALL 24, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BALL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TNTC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:17BALL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:38BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:13TNTC Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:09BALL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:21BALL Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BALLDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4394% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
93.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 15 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
93.6%
James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the BalSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
93.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Nolan Givan for 5 yds to the BalSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+13
93.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Danny Pinter for 13 yds to the TnTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
93.6%
James Gilbert run for 7 yds to the TnTch 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
93.6%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+2
93.6%
James Gilbert run for 2 yds to the TnTch 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+2
93.6%
Riley Neal run for 2 yds to the TnTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
93.6%
Riley Neal run for 9 yds to the TnTch 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+2
93.6%
Malik Dunner run for 2 yds to the TnTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
93.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to Antwan Davis for 14 yds to the TnTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Nolan Givan for 3 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
92.8%
Andre Sale pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 15 yds to the TnTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
92.8%
Andre Sale pass complete to Andrew Goldsmith for 13 yds to the BalSt 47 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, personal foul (Marc Walton) to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
92.6%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 1 yd to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
92.6%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Dontez ByrdSimilar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-9
92.7%
Andre Sale sacked by Anthony Winbush for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line Andre Sale fumbled, , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:11
4TH & 22
50
+10
92.9%
Nick Madonia punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 17 , Corey Lacanaria returns for 10 yds to the BalSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2793% → 92%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
92.5%
Riley Neal pass complete to Malik Dunner for 12 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
92.5%
James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
92.6%
James Gilbert run for no gain to the BalSt 37Similar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+1
92.5%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 38Similar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
92.2%
Nathan Snyder punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Dontez Byrd at the TnTch 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:458% → 7%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
92.1%
Andre Sale pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 4 yds to the TnTch 14Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+8
92.5%
Andre Sale pass complete to Jake Warwick for 8 yds to the TnTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
92.5%
Dontez Byrd run for 17 yds to the TnTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
92.3%
Andre Sale pass complete to Dontez Byrd for a loss of 2 yards to the TnTch 37Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 12
OWN 37
-3
92.5%
Andrew Goldsmith run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnTch 34Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 15
OWN 34
-9
92.6%
Andre Sale sacked by Christian Albright for a loss of 9 yards to the TnTch 25 Andre Sale fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 24
OWN 25
0
92.7%
Nick Madonia punt for 37 yds, downed at the BalSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 5INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:1992% → 92%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
91.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Nolan Givan for 8 yds to the BalSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-5
91.9%
BALL ST Penalty, false start (Nolan Givan) to the BalSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+8
91.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
91.9%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Elliott Normand return for no gain to the TnTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 6INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
91.1%
Seth Huner run for a loss of 5 yards to the TnTch 44Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+6
91.5%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 9
50
0
91.3%
Luke Ward pass intercepted Josh Miller return for no gain to the 50 yard line TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, IF ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 7TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:0291% → 94%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+48
91.4%
James Gilbert run for 48 yds to the TnTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-10
91.8%
HUNTLEY, Caleb rush for 12 yards to the TTU3 (LEWIS, Randy;AKERS, Anthony), PENALTY BALL holding (RICKETTS, Zac) 10 yards to the TTU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 20
OPP 25
+16
91.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Malik Dunner for 16 yds to the TnTch 9Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
91.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the TnTch 8Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
93.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 8 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
93.1%
Andre Sale pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 1 yd to the TnTch 21Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+14
93.1%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 14 yds to the TnTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
93.0%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 5 yds to the TnTch 40Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-2
92.7%
Andrew Goldsmith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnTch 38Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-5
93.0%
TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TnTch 33Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
93.1%
Andre Sale pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:33
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
93.2%
Nick Madonia punt for 46 yds, downed at the BalSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2893% → 93%
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
93.3%
Justin Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 20Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+4
93.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Antwan Davis for 4 yds to the BalSt 24Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+6
93.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 6 yds to the BalSt 30Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
93.0%
Nathan Snyder punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dontez Byrd at the TnTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 10TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:397% → 12%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+44
92.7%
Andre Sale pass complete to Andrew Goldsmith for 44 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
91.7%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 1 yd to the BalSt 15Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
91.7%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Yeedee ThaenratSimilar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+10
92.2%
Andre Sale pass complete to Yeedee Thaenrat for 10 yds to the BalSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
91.7%
Jake Warwick run for 2 yds to the BalSt 3Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.2%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Madonia KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin Hall, broken up by A.J. FlemisterSimilar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.8%
Riley Neal pass complete to Antwan Davis for 6 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
89.7%
Riley Neal run for no gain to the BalSt 31Similar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
89.4%
Nathan Snyder punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dontez Byrd at the TnTch 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 12INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:1310% → 12%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
89.8%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 25Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+3
90.0%
Luke Ward run for 3 yds to the TnTch 28Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+33
90.1%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 33 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.9%
Andre Sale pass intercepted David Rueth return for no gain to the BalSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 13TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:0890% → 95%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
90.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 19 yds to the TnTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
90.7%
Riley Neal pass complete to Antwan Davis for 9 yds to the TnTch 40Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
90.9%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Antwan DavisSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+6
90.6%
James Gilbert run for 6 yds to the TnTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Justin HallSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+17
91.0%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 17 yds to the TnTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
91.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Riley MillerSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
94.6%
Riley Neal pass complete to James Gilbert for 17 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.6%
Andre Sale pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 15FG
17 plays · 62 yds · 7:217% → 9%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
92.8%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 3 yds to the TnTch 21Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
92.9%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Andrew GoldsmithSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+26
93.0%
Andre Sale pass complete to Hunter Coleman for 26 yds to the TnTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
92.2%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Mitchell McClurg, broken up by Damon SingletonSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
92.3%
Andre Sale pass complete to Mitchell McClurg for 13 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
92.0%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 4 yds to the BalSt 36Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
91.8%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 5 yds to the BalSt 31Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
91.9%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 3 yds to the BalSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
91.5%
Andre Sale pass complete to Roderick Napper for no gain to the BalSt 28Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
91.7%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Andrew GoldsmithSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+5
92.1%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 5 yds to the BalSt 23Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+7
92.4%
Andre Sale pass complete to Alex Carling for 7 yds to the BalSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
91.5%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Jake WarwickSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-1
91.5%
Andre Sale pass complete to Mitchell McClurg for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 17Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 11
OPP 17
-3
92.1%
Andre Sale sacked by Anthony Winbush for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 20Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+37
90.6%
Nick Madonia 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 16INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:1391% → 91%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.8%
James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the BalSt 26Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
90.8%
James Gilbert run for 7 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
89.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 5 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+30
90.7%
Riley Neal pass intercepted Clay Davis return for 15 yds to the BALLST 47 TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, illegal formation (15 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 17FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:4112% → 12%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
88.3%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 5 yds to the BalSt 47Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+12
87.9%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 12 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
87.1%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 25 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
86.8%
Luke Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 11Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+7
87.1%
Roderick Napper run for 7 yds to the BalSt 4Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.7%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Alex CarlingSimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
87.6%
Nick Madonia 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 18TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3690% → 96%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.7%
James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the BalSt 34Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+66
95.5%
Malik Dunner run for 66 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:186% → 6%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
93.7%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 2 yds to the TnTch 30Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
93.6%
Andre Sale run for 2 yds to the TnTch 32Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
93.7%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Dantae WilkesSimilar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
94.3%
Nick Madonia punt for 58 yds, downed at the BalSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 20MISSED FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 6:2997% → 98%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
96.9%
Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 11Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+4
96.8%
Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the BalSt 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+5
96.9%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 5 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.8%
Malik Dunner run for 9 yds to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
96.9%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the BalSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+37
96.7%
Caleb Huntley run for 37 yds to the TnTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
97.2%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the TnTch 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
97.2%
Riley Neal pass complete to Keidren Davis for 2 yds to the TnTch 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+10
97.1%
Riley Neal pass complete to Corey Lacanaria for 10 yds to the TnTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
97.2%
Justin Hall run for 1 yd to the TnTch 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
97.2%
Caleb Huntley run for no gain to the TnTch 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 20
-15
97.1%
NEAL, Riley pass complete to GIVAN, Nolan for 13 yards to the TTU7, PENALTY BALL pass interference (GIVAN, Nolan) 15 yards to the TTU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 24
OPP 35
0
97.0%
Riley Neal pass incomplete to Malik DunnerSimilar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 24
OPP 35
+52
97.7%
Morgan Hagee 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Josh Cunningham N/A return for no gain to the TnTch 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:115% → 4%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
95.1%
Andre Sale pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 16 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
94.8%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Roderick NapperSimilar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
94.8%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 1 yd to the BalSt 48Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+6
94.9%
Andre Sale pass complete to Roderick Napper for 6 yds to the BalSt 42Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
96.3%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Dontez ByrdSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
98.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 44Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+21
98.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Justin Hall for 21 yds to the TnTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
98.3%
Malik Dunner run for 1 yd to the TnTch 34Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+15
98.3%
Riley Neal pass complete to Riley Miller for 15 yds to the TnTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
98.3%
Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the TnTch 13Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-3
98.3%
Caleb Huntley run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnTch 13 Caleb Huntley fumbled, forced by Elliott Normand, recovered by TnTch Joe RobertsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 63 yds · 2:312% → 2%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+46
97.7%
Andre Sale pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 46 yds to the BalSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
97.2%
Andre Sale pass complete to Hunter Coleman for 8 yds to the BalSt 33Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+4
96.8%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 4 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
96.8%
Andre Sale pass complete to Hunter Coleman for 12 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
96.8%
Andre Sale pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 13 yds to the BalSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
96.8%
Andrew Goldsmith run for no gain to the BalSt 4Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
96.8%
GOLDSMITH, Andr rush for loss of 2 yards to the BALL6 (JACKSON, J.;WADE, Romero), PENALTY TTU holding (HUFF, Kurt) 10 yards to the BALL14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
97.0%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Hunter ColemanSimilar
Q4 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
-10
97.1%
Andre Sale sacked by David Moore for a loss of 10 yards to the BalSt 24Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 24
0
97.7%
Andre Sale pass incomplete to Donte HortonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BALLDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0599% → 99%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 23Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-2
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 21Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 13
OWN 21
-2
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:21
Malik Dunner run for 66 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q2 0:09
Riley Neal pass complete to James Gilbert for 17 yds for a TD, (Morgan Hagee KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q2 3:13
Andrew Goldsmith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Madonia KICK)
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com