Try the model
EIU

Eastern Illinois 10 at Northern Illinois 38

NIU
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Huskie Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:13 · Cody Edwards punt for 52 yds, downed at the NORTHERNIL 37 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive holding (Antonio Jones-Davis) to the NoIll 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 189Pregame prior+2.9Home team on offense+36.2Score differential+31.7Blowout margin+16.8Garbage-time factor+11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:51: Nick Wilson 20 yd FG GOOD — EIU win probability +1.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:51: Marcus Jones run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +2.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:11: Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Christian Blake for 18 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +4.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:05: Marcus Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK) — NIU win probability +3.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:52: Christian Hagan 20 yd FG GOOD — NIU win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6EIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:28EIU 4th & 11 at NIU 25, tied
    Close callWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:53EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:51EIU 4th & 3 at NIU 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:46NIU 4th & 11 at NIU 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:45EIU 4th & 18 at EIU 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:58NIU 4th & 7 at EIU 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:58EIU 4th & 9 at EIU 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:18EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:52NIU 4th & 3 at EIU 3, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:55NIU 4th & 5 at EIU 14, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:34EIU 4th & 12 at NIU 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:22EIU 4th & 12 at NIU 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 42, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:30NIU 4th & 14 at NIU 16, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:55NIU 4th & 3 at NIU 48, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:13EIU 4th & 10 at EIU 11, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5EIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:57NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:51NIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:11NIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:05NIU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:34NIU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:01EIU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
85.3%
Jordan Huff run for 8 yds to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+10
85.3%
Jordan Huff run for 10 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
85.3%
Jordan Huff run for a loss of 10 yards to the NoIll 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 23
0
85.3%
Matt Ference punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 2:1315% → 16%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for no gain to the EIlln 36Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
85.0%
Isaiah Johnson run for 10 yds to the EIlln 47 Isaiah Johnson fumbled, forced by Jawuan Johnson, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
84.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Dennis Turner for 14 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
84.9%
KIMBLE, Mitch pass incomplete to SHEEHAN, James, PENALTY NIU personal foul (SMITH, Sutton) 15 yards to the NIU24, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
84.9%
Mitch Kimble pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
84.9%
Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the NoIll 24Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+4
84.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 4 yds to the NoIll 20Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 6
OPP 20
-5
84.2%
WILSON, Nick field goal attempt from 37 GOOD, clock 11:28, PENALTY EIU illegal procedure 5 yards to the NIU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 11
OPP 25
0
84.4%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal procedure ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2584% → 85%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.4%
Tommy Mister run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
84.3%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Chad Beebe for 13 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
84.5%
Marcus Jones run for 6 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+12
84.6%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Chad Beebe for 12 yds to the EIlln 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+15
84.4%
Tommy Mister run for no gain to the EIlln 40 for a 1ST down EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal procedure (15 Yards) to the EIlln 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 32
OWN 48
+3
84.5%
Jonathan Parker run for 3 yds to the EIlln 49Similar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-22
84.7%
JONES, Marcus rush for loss of 7 yards to the EIU37 (HORNE, Nick), PENALTY NIU personal foul 22 yards to the NIU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 19
OPP 39
+39
85.0%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Spencer Tears for 39 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
84.8%
Alexander Hollins run for a loss of 5 yards to the EIlln 15Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+9
84.8%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Jacob Welch for 9 yds to the EIlln 24Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
84.9%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
85.0%
Cody Edwards punt for 47 yds , Chad Beebe returns for no gain to the NoIll 29 Chad Beebe fumbled, recovered by EIlln Ben BergesonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 5FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:4816% → 17%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
83.9%
Robert Columbus run for no gain to the NoIll 29Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+15
83.9%
KIMBLE, Mitch pass incomplete to HOLLINS, A., PENALTY NIU personal foul (SANDERS, Joe) 15 yards to the NIU14, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
83.9%
Darshon McCullough run for no gain to the NoIll 14Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
83.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 1 yd to the NoIll 13Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+9
84.2%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 9 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
83.9%
Mitch Kimble run for 2 yds to the NoIll 2Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
83.9%
Isaiah Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 3Similar
Q1 6:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
84.1%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Alexander HollinsSimilar
Q1 2:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
82.8%
Nick Wilson 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
83.4%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the EIlln 49Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-15
83.5%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the NoIll 36Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 18
OWN 36
-1
82.8%
Christian Blake run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 35Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 19
OWN 35
+8
82.5%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to D.J. Brown for 8 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 2:46
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
82.6%
Matt Ference punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Aaron Gooch at the EIlln 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 7INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
82.7%
Darshon McCullough run for 3 yds to the EIlln 18Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+17
82.7%
Mitch Kimble pass intercepted Mycial Allen return for 17 yds to the EIlln 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:3783% → 86%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
83.3%
Tommy Mister run for 2 yds to the EIlln 9Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
83.3%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 5 yds to the EIlln 4Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
85.7%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
85.4%
Darshon McCullough run for 5 yds to the EIlln 18Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+16
85.3%
Mitch Kimble run for 1 yd to the EIlln 19 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Joe Sanders) to the EIlln 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-8
85.1%
Aaron Gooch run for 2 yds to the EIlln 36 EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding (James Sheehan) to the EIlln 26Similar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 18
OWN 26
0
85.3%
Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the EIlln 26Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 18
OWN 26
0
85.4%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Alexander Hollins, broken up by Jalen EmbrySimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 18
OWN 26
0
85.6%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Alexander HollinsSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 18
OWN 26
0
85.7%
Cody Edwards punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Chad Beebe at the NoIll 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:5686% → 86%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
86.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by Bradley DewberrySimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+16
86.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to D.J. Brown for 16 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
86.6%
Jordan Huff run for 18 yds to the EIlln 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
86.6%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the EIlln 22Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
86.6%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
86.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Spencer TearsSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
86.0%
Christian Hagan 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by David Johnson TEAM return for no gain to the EIlln 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
85.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for 1 yd to the EIlln 23Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
85.5%
Mitch Kimble run for no gain to the EIlln 23 EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
85.8%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Dennis TurnerSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+1
86.0%
Cody Edwards punt for 48 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 1 yd to the NoIll 24 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the NoIll 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:3086% → 91%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
86.2%
Marcus Jones run for 8 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
86.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Christian Blake for 7 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
86.2%
Marcus Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 14
OWN 31
-1
86.1%
Daniel Santacaterina sacked by Mack Weaver and David Owens for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+15
85.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to D.J. Brown for 15 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
86.8%
Marcus Jones run for 4 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
86.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+13
86.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Spencer Tears for 13 yds to the EIlln 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
86.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jordan Huff for 8 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+10
86.9%
Jordan Huff run for 10 yds to the EIlln 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
86.9%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 1 yd to the EIlln 19Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+1
86.9%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to D.J. Brown for 1 yd to the EIlln 18Similar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+18
91.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Christian Blake for 18 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.3%
Mitch Kimble pass intercepted Mykelti Williams return for 10 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:5892% → 95%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
91.6%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 7 yds to the EIlln 23Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+5
91.4%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 5 yds to the EIlln 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
91.4%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Marcus Jones for 8 yds to the EIlln 10Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+9
91.4%
Marcus Jones run for 9 yds to the EIlln 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.9%
Marcus Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:428% → 8%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
91.8%
Darshon McCullough run for no gain to the EIlln 22Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
91.9%
Darshon McCullough run for 1 yd to the EIlln 23Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+3
92.1%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Aaron Gooch for 3 yds to the EIlln 26Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
91.6%
Cody Edwards punt for 37 yds , Chad Beebe returns for no gain to the NoIll 26 EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16FG
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:2096% → 99%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
96.0%
Jordan Huff run for 12 yds to the EIlln 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+41
96.0%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to D.J. Brown for 41 yds to the EIlln 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
94.9%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the EIlln 3Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.9%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Spencer Tears, broken up by Mark WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.7%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Christian BlakeSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
98.7%
Christian Hagan 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 17END OF HALF
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Darshon McCullough, broken up by Sutton SmithSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 24Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
95.8%
Aaron Gooch run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 16Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+12
95.8%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 12 yds to the EIlln 28Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+4
94.8%
Scotty Gilkey Jr run for 4 yds to the EIlln 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
95.4%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Jacob Welch for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
50
0
95.2%
Isaiah Johnson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
50
-5
95.2%
Mitch Kimble run for a loss of 5 yards to the EIlln 41 Mitch Kimble fumbled, forced by Sutton Smith, recovered by NoIll Sutton SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19MISSED FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:3999% → 99%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.2%
Christian Blake run for 8 yds to the EIlln 33Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+14
99.1%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Christian Blake for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 34 for a 1ST down EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Josh Price) to the EIlln 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.2%
Marcus Jones run for 5 yds to the EIlln 14Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Marcus Jones run for no gain to the EIlln 14Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
99.2%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Christian Blake, broken up by Mack WeaverSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+30
99.3%
Christian Hagan 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Levi Watson TEAM return for no gain to the EIlln 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:211% → 1%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.2%
Darshon McCullough run for 6 yds to the EIlln 24Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+16
99.3%
Darshon McCullough run for 1 yd to the EIlln 25 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (William Lee) to the EIlln 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
99.2%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Dennis Turner for 21 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.2%
Darshon McCullough run for 3 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+5
99.1%
Mitch Kimble run for 5 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 2
OPP 31
-5
99.0%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Alexander HollinsSimilar
Q3 8:34
4TH & 7
OPP 36
-5
99.5%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 8:34
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
99.5%
Cody Edwards punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Chad Beebe at the NoIll 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+21
99.5%
Jordan Huff run for 21 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.5%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Chad Beebe for 4 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+7
99.6%
Jordan Huff run for 7 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
99.6%
Daniel Santacaterina pass intercepted Joe Caputo return for 14 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 22MISSED FG
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:481% → 0%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.5%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Robbie LoftonSimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+14
99.5%
KIMBLE, Mitch pass incomplete to LOFTON, Robbie, PENALTY NIU pass interference (OLOOTU, Mayomi) 14 yards to the NIU27, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.5%
Isaiah Johnson run for 2 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+3
99.5%
Mitch Kimble run for 3 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+7
99.5%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 7 yds to the NoIll 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.4%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 12Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-5
99.5%
Mitch Kimble sacked by William Lee for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 17Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
99.5%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Alexander Hollins, broken up by Albert SmallsSimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+35
99.6%
Nick Wilson 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.8%
Marcus Jones run for 14 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to D.J. BrownSimilar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Chad Beebe for 3 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+15
99.8%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Bradley Dewberry) to the EIlln 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+23
99.8%
Marcus Jones run for 23 yds to the EIlln 25 for a 1ST down EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the EIlln 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Spencer Tears for 4 yds to the EIlln 21Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Spencer Tears for 5 yds to the EIlln 16Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 1
OPP 16
-8
99.8%
D.J. Brown run for 7 yds to the EIlln 9 NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Huff) to the EIlln 24Similar
Q3 2:01
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+23
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 23 yds to the EIlln 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Shane Wimann for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Alexander HollinsSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Robert Columbus run for 3 yds to the EIlln 23Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+15
99.8%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Javon Turner for 15 yds to the EIlln 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
Robert Columbus run for 2 yds to the EIlln 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-7
99.9%
Mitch Kimble sacked by Devin Webster for a loss of 7 yards to the EIlln 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Alexander Hollins for 9 yds to the EIlln 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Cody Edwards punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Embry at the NoIll 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass incomplete to Jonathan ParkerSimilar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
99.8%
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to D.J. Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 17Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-5
99.8%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (Jordan Steckler) to the NoIll 12Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Daniel Santacaterina run for 4 yds to the NoIll 16Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Matt Ference punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Aaron Gooch at the EIlln 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 26TD
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:220% → 0%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Mitch Kimble pass incomplete to Alexander HollinsSimilar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the EIlln 46Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+17
99.9%
Mitch Kimble run for 2 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (Alex Schwab) to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Mitch Kimble pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 5 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Scotty Gilkey Jr run for 2 yds to the NoIll 30Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+6
99.9%
Scotty Gilkey Jr run for 6 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Scotty Gilkey Jr run for 2 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+1
99.9%
Isaiah Johnson run for 1 yd to the NoIll 21Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+2
99.9%
Scotty Gilkey Jr run for 2 yds to the NoIll 19Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+15
99.8%
GILKEY, Scotty pass incomplete to TURNER, Javon, PENALTY NIU pass interference (FOSTER, Traysho) 15 yards to the NIU4, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
Scotty Gilkey Jr run for 3 yds to the NoIll 1Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Scotty Gilkey Jr run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Marcus Childers run for 6 yds to the NoIll 33Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Tommy Mister run for 2 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Marcus Childers run for 6 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Tommy Mister run for no gain to the NoIll 41Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Dwayne Milton run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 7:55
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Dwayne Milton run for 5 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Matt Ference punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Aaron Gooch at the EIlln 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Scotty Gilkey Jr pass incomplete to Robbie Lofton, broken up by Matt LorbeckSimilar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Scotty Gilkey Jr pass incomplete to Javon TurnerSimilar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Scotty Gilkey Jr pass incomplete to Alexander HollinsSimilar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 10
OWN 11
+62
100.0%
Cody Edwards punt for 52 yds, downed at the NORTHERNIL 37 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive holding (Antonio Jones-Davis) to the NoIll 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 29FUMBLE
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Marcus Childers run for 5 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Dwayne Milton run for no gain to the NoIll 32Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+17
100.0%
Marcus Childers pass complete to Daniel Crawford for 17 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
100.0%
Tre Harbison run for 6 yds to the EIlln 45Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-1
100.0%
Tre Harbison run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 46Similar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+6
100.0%
Marcus Childers run for 6 yds to the EIlln 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
100.0%
Marcus Childers run for 5 yds to the EIlln 35 Marcus Childers fumbled, forced by Xzavier Shugars, recovered by EIlln Mark WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
100.0%
Javon Turner run for 8 yds to the EIlln 43Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Scotty Gilkey Jr sacked by Quintin Wynne for 0 yards to the EIlln 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:11
Daniel Santacaterina pass complete to Christian Blake for 18 yds for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+4.5
FG · Q2 0:52
Christian Hagan 20 yd FG GOOD
+4
TD · Q2 3:05
Marcus Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian Hagan KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com