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APSU

Austin Peay 10 at Miami (OH) 31

M-OH
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadAPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreAPSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · TEAM run for 1 yd to the APeay 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:20: JaVaughn Craig run for 22 yds for a TD, (Logan Birchfield KICK) — APSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: APSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:55: Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 34 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:14: Cole Phillips 37 yd FG GOOD — APSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: APSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:55: Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 16 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST down — M-OH win probability +2.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:54: Leonard Ross run for 1 yd for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 8 of 9APSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:43APSU 4th & 4 at APSU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:23M-OH 4th & 1 at APSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 11:23M-OH 4th & 7 at APSU 30, tied
    Close callWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:46APSU 4th & 9 at APSU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:21M-OH 4th & 1 at APSU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:50APSU 4th & 5 at M-OH 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:22M-OH 4th & 2 at APSU 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:49APSU 4th & 23 at APSU 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:39APSU 4th & 8 at M-OH 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:14APSU 4th & 7 at M-OH 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:17M-OH 4th & 16 at M-OH 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.9
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:09APSU 4th & 19 at APSU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:34M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:55M-OH 4th & 20 at M-OH 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−1.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:28M-OH 4th & 8 at APSU 23, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:23APSU 4th & 2 at APSU 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:45APSU 4th & 2 at APSU 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4APSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:35M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:20APSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:46M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:55M-OH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:54M-OH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.1%
Gus Ragland run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.1%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.1%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Kyle Kramer punt for 50 yds, downed at the APeay 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
97.8%
Kentel Williams run for 1 yd to the APeay 13Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
97.8%
JaVaughn Craig pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+5
97.8%
JaVaughn Craig run for 5 yds to the APeay 18Similar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 4
OWN 18
+5
97.8%
Devin Stuart punt for 47 yds , Jared Murphy returns for 5 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3TD
16 plays · 60 yds · 6:4898% → 97%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
97.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+9
97.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 9 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+11
97.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Sam Martin for 11 yds to the APeay 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
97.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 6 yds to the APeay 38Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+3
97.7%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the APeay 35Similar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
97.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the APeay 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
97.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the APeay 30Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
97.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
97.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+11
97.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 11 yds to the APeay 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+12
97.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 12 yds to the APeay 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
97.7%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to BECKER, Nate, PENALTY APSU holding (SAULSBERRY, Rod) 4 yards to the APSU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
97.7%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 5Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 5 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:093% → 4%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
97.0%
Kyran Moore run for 2 yds to the APeay 31Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
96.9%
Kentel Williams run for 4 yds to the APeay 35Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+18
96.9%
JaVaughn Craig run for 18 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
96.8%
Ahmaad Tanner run for 25 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
95.6%
JaVaughn Craig run for 22 yds for a TD, (Logan Birchfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:2796% → 97%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.0%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
96.0%
Kenny Young run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
96.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
96.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
96.2%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the APeay 48Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+6
96.2%
Kenny Young run for 6 yds to the APeay 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.8%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+42
96.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 42 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
96.2%
WILLIAMS, Kente rush over left end for 4 yards to the APSU29 (REID, Tony), PENALTY APSU holding (EWOLDT, Max) 10 yards to the APSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+13
96.2%
JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Gorel Soumare for 13 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
96.2%
Prince Momodu run for 3 yds to the APeay 31Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
96.2%
JaVaughn Craig pass incomplete to Kyran MooreSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
96.3%
STUART, Devin punt 45 yards to the MIAMI24, MURPHY, Jared return to the MIAMI23 (SHEPPARD, Elija), PENALTY APSU illegal formation (STUART, Devin) 5 yards to the APSU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
96.4%
Devin Stuart punt for 19 yds, downed at the APeay 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:5596% → 97%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
96.2%
Maurice Thomas run for 6 yds to the APeay 39Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
96.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the APeay 36Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
95.8%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the APeay 36Similar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
95.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the APeay 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
96.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 34 yds for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
96.4%
JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Kyran Moore for 8 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+2
96.3%
Tre Nation run for 2 yds to the APeay 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.3%
Kentel Williams run for no gain to the APeay 30Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
96.4%
Kentel Williams run for 4 yds to the APeay 34Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+23
96.3%
JaVaughn Craig pass complete to James Coleman for 8 yds to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (Brad Earnest) to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
96.1%
JaVaughn Craig run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 3
OPP 36
-8
96.0%
Terrius Callahan run for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+6
96.2%
JaVaughn Craig pass complete to Ahmaad Tanner for 6 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 5
OPP 38
+2
96.2%
JaVaughn Craig run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
96.1%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
96.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the APeay 47Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
96.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Nate Becker for 3 yds to the APeay 44Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
96.1%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 2
OPP 44
-4
95.9%
Gus Ragland run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line Gus Ragland fumbled, recovered by APeay Gunnar Scholato , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
50
-5
95.2%
MONTGOMERY, DJ rush reverse for 14 yards to the MIAMI36 (DANIELS, D.), PENALTY APSU illegal formation 5 yards to the APSU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+6
95.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Gorel Soumare for 6 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
95.3%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for a loss of 8 yards to the APeay 39 Jeremiah Oatsvall fumbled, recovered by APeay Jeremiah Oatsvall , return for no gain to the APeay 39Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 21
OWN 39
-2
95.8%
Jeremiah Oatsvall sacked by Brad Koenig for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 37Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 23
OWN 37
0
95.9%
Devin Stuart punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
95.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 11 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
96.0%
Gus Ragland sacked by Matthew Gayle for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+4
95.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jared Murphy for 4 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:214% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Kentel Williams run for no gain to the APeay 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.0%
Kentel Williams run for 7 yds to the APeay 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+25
95.8%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Kadeem Goulbourne for 25 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
95.5%
Ahmaad Tanner run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+6
95.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+13
95.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
95.2%
MOMODU, Prince rush up middle for 8 yards to the MIAMI15 (MONTGOMERY, D.), PENALTY APSU holding (MOSLEY, Charles) 10 yards to the MIAMI33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 33
0
95.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 33
+12
95.6%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
95.6%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
95.3%
Logan Birchfield 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
95.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-3
95.9%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 23 Alonzo Smith fumbled, forced by Jule Pace, recovered by APeay Malik BoyntonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 14FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:516% → 7%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
94.5%
Tre Nation run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
94.5%
Kyran Moore run for no gain to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+2
95.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to James Coleman for 2 yds to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+37
93.5%
Cole Phillips 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:5794% → 94%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
94.2%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-2
94.6%
Kenny Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-8
94.0%
Gus Ragland sacked by Kordell Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
93.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 41 yds , Daryl Rollins-Davis returns for no gain to the APeay 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
94.1%
Kentel Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 29Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+8
94.3%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to DJ Montgomery for 8 yds to the APeay 37Similar
Q3 6:09
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-16
94.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 36 AUSTINPEAY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the APeay 21Similar
Q3 6:09
4TH & 19
OWN 21
0
94.8%
Devin Stuart punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
94.8%
Kenny Young run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
94.9%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-1
94.6%
Gus Ragland sacked by Jaison Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
94.2%
Kyle Kramer punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the APeay 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:595% → 8%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
94.6%
Ahmaad Tanner run for 5 yds to the APeay 25Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+20
94.3%
Ahmaad Tanner run for 20 yds to the APeay 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
93.8%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Kentel Williams for 17 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
93.4%
Kentel Williams run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
92.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for no gain to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+8
93.6%
Kentel Williams run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
92.1%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass intercepted Tony Reid return for no gain to the MiaOh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
94.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 16 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete, broken up by Theron HodgesSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-12
94.3%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Kenny Young MIAMI OH Penalty, intentional grounding (Gus Ragland) to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
94.0%
Kyle Kramer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Daryl Rollins-Davis at the APeay 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
92.8%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 3 yds to the APeay 40 Jeremiah Oatsvall fumbled, forced by DJ Montgomery, recovered by MiaOh Tony Reid , return for 4 yds to the APeay 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21TD
10 plays · 40 yds · 5:1995% → 99%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
94.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the APeay 37Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+5
95.0%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the APeay 32Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+5
94.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 5 yds to the APeay 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
95.0%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the APeay 27Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
94.9%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the APeay 25Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+14
94.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 14 yds to the APeay 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
95.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete, broken up by Gunnar ScholatoSimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-2
95.0%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 13Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 12
OPP 13
+12
94.7%
Alonzo Smith run for 12 yds to the APeay 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 22FG
6 plays · 2 yds · 2:2699% → 100%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
98.7%
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd to the APeay 24Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
98.7%
Leonard Ross run for 3 yds to the APeay 21Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+3
98.7%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the APeay 18Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 3
OPP 18
-5
98.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the APeay 23Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
99.5%
Samuel Sloman 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.5%
Kyran Moore run for 9 yds to the APeay 34Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 1
OPP 0
0
99.4%
MOMODU, Prince rush over left end for 36 yards to the MIAMI30 (ALPERT, Jack), PENALTY APSU holding off-setting, PENALTY MIAMI personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
99.5%
Prince Momodu run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 33Similar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
99.5%
Prince Momodu run for 4 yds to the APeay 37 Prince Momodu fumbled, forced by DJ Montgomery, recovered by MiaOh Daryus ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 5 yds to the APeay 31Similar
Q4 3:53
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+3
99.6%
Maurice Thomas run for 3 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+4
99.6%
Leonard Ross run for 4 yds to the APeay 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
99.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 11 yds to the APeay 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.6%
Jaylon Bester run for no gain to the APeay 13 Jaylon Bester fumbled, forced by Gunnar Scholato, recovered by APeay Malik BoyntonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
99.6%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to James Coleman for 13 yds to the APeay 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 4 yds to the APeay 30Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
99.5%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Kadeem Goulbourne for 4 yds to the APeay 34Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Tre Nation run for no gain to the APeay 34Similar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to Gorel SoumareSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
99.7%
TEAM run for 1 yd to the APeay 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:54
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd for a TD, (Samuel Sloman KICK)
+4
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:55
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 16 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST down
+2.3
FG · Q3 8:14
Cole Phillips 37 yd FG GOOD
-1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com