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2017 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2017 · Rynearson Stadium
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Win probability · EMU
modelEMU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playEMU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:57 · Arthur Hart punt for 35 yds, downed at the EMich 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Pregame prior+3.7Home team on offense+25.6Score differential+10.4Garbage-time factor+7.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:03: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 21 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Nigel Macauley KICK) — CLT win probability +1.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 9:26: Timeout CHARLOTTE, clock 09:26 — EMU win probability +1.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:54: Robert Washington run for no gain to the EMich 49 — CLT win probability +1.8 pts (now 17%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 11:32: Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 27 — EMU win probability +2.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:58: Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +7.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
EMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 2:30CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:26CLT 4th & 25 at EMU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 2:02EMU 4th & 8 at CLT 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    77.4%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:21CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:32EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:05EMU 4th & 2 at CLT 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:27CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:53CLT 4th & 14 at CLT 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:56EMU 4th & 5 at CLT 43, up 17
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:49CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 26, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:05EMU 4th & 19 at EMU 11, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−1.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:51CLT 4th & 12 at EMU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:51EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:23CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:57CLT 4th & 28 at EMU 41, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:58EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:27CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 45, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:44EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:03CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:35EMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:58EMU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1FUMBLE
10 plays · 56 yds · 2:2783% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
83.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+20
83.0%
Shaq Vann run for 20 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
83.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 8 yds to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
83.0%
Shaq Vann run for 1 yd to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
83.0%
Brogan Roback run for 1 yd to the EMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
83.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 21 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
83.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Shaq Vann for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+12
82.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 12 yds Antoine Porter fumbled, forced by Juwan Foggie, recovered by Charl Juwan FoggieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2INT TD
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:4118% → 18%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
82.2%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+6
82.2%
Robert Washington run for 6 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+4
82.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 4 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.2%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
82.1%
Robert Washington run for 3 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+35
82.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted for a TD Brody Hoying return for 35 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:3618% → 20%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+51
82.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for 51 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
82.0%
Robert Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 11
OPP 23
+2
82.0%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the EMich 21Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+21
80.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 21 yds for a TD EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Nigel Macauley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:2281% → 82%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
80.9%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+20
80.8%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 20 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
81.3%
Shaq Vann run for 18 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
81.4%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-1
81.5%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+15
81.3%
ROBACK, Brogan pass incomplete to PORTER, Antoine, PENALTY CHA personal foul (KING, K.) 15 yards to the CHA20, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
81.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
81.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+6
81.4%
Brogan Roback run for 6 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
81.5%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 5 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
81.6%
Blake Banham run for 2 yds to the Charl 2Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
81.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Trent Bostick for 9 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 1
OWN 28
-8
81.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 7 yds to the Charl 35 CHARLOTTE Penalty, IB (-15 Yards) to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+4
81.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 5
OWN 24
-3
81.9%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+9
82.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 40 yds , Blake Banham returns for 9 yds to the EMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:2182% → 83%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
82.4%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 43Similar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+4
82.0%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the EMich 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+10
82.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 10 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
82.2%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
82.6%
Brogan Roback run for 2 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
82.5%
Brogan Roback pass intercepted Ed Rolle return for no gain to the Charl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
15 plays · 45 yds · 3:4219% → 18%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
81.3%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the Charl 10Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+8
81.4%
Robert Washington run for 8 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
81.2%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 5
OWN 23
+15
80.8%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass incomplete to FORD II, T.L. (PHELPS, Jalen), PENALTY EMU pass interference (PHELPS, Jalen) 15 yards to the CHA38, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
80.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 14 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
79.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, UR (-15 Yards) to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
80.7%
Chris Montgomery run for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
80.1%
Robert Washington run for 1 yd to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-5
80.2%
KLUGH, Hasaan rush for 8 yards to the EMU47 (HARRIS, J.), PENALTY CHA illegal formation 5 yards to the CHA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+26
80.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 26 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
79.3%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-8
79.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 7 yds to the EMich 25 CHARLOTTE Penalty, UR (-15 Yards) to the EMich 40Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 16
OPP 40
-9
81.6%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Jeremiah Harris and Maxx Crosby for a loss of 9 yards to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 25
OPP 49
0
82.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 42 yds, downed at the EMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8FG
16 plays · 74 yds · 6:3081% → 84%
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
81.3%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+7
81.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 7 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+2
80.9%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
81.5%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 17Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+8
81.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 8 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+16
81.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 16 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
82.5%
Brogan Roback run for 3 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
82.5%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to John Niupalau, broken up by Markevis DavisSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+18
81.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 18 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
82.7%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Jaron Johnson for 8 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+9
82.8%
Shaq Vann run for 9 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
82.8%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+4
82.7%
Shaq Vann run for 4 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
82.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Anthony CovingtonSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+3
82.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for 3 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+32
83.7%
Paul Fricano 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:3317% → 16%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
83.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 14
OWN 39
-10
84.1%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass complete to KOFA, Workpeh for 32 yards to the EMU29, out-of-bounds (MOODY, Justin), PENALTY CHA holding (GERMAN, Eugene) 10 yards to the CHA29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 24
OWN 29
+22
84.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 22 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
82.6%
Robert Washington run for no gain to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 2
OPP 49
-5
83.3%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
84.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
84.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11INT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
83.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 14 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
82.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 12 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
81.6%
Robert Washington run for 5 yds to the EMich 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
81.3%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+4
81.5%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-8
81.6%
LEMAY, Benny rush for 8 yards to the EMU28 (SPEARMAN, Ike), PENALTY CHA holding 8 yards to the EMU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 18
OPP 44
+3
82.2%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+5
82.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 5 yds to the EMich 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
82.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted Jason Beck return for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.9%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
84.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 10 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey IISimilar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
85.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
85.0%
Brogan Roback run for no gain to the EMich 40Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+37
84.0%
Ivan Oraha punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the EASTMICH 18 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Charl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
84.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for no gain to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+11
84.8%
Chris Montgomery pass intercepted Justin Moody return for 11 yds to the Charl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
86.4%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Blake Banham for 9 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 1
OPP 32
-10
86.7%
VANN, Shaq rush for 2 yards to the CHA30 (FOGGIE, Juwan), PENALTY EMU holding (TALLMAN, D.) 10 yards to the CHA42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+9
86.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Isaac Holder for 9 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 2
OPP 33
0
85.9%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to John Niupalau, broken up by Juwan FoggieSimilar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 2
OPP 33
-1
85.1%
Shaq Vann run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
84.6%
Robert Washington run for 4 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
84.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete, broken up by Dion DawsonSimilar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
84.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
85.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:4386% → 95%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
85.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 10 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
86.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 15 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+41
87.0%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Antoine Porter for 41 yds to the Charl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
87.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 9 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
93.9%
Robert Washington run for 2 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
93.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
94.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete, broken up by Brody HoyingSimilar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-5
94.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal motion (Darren Drake) to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 14
OWN 32
0
94.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete, broken up by Brody HoyingSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 14
OWN 32
+3
94.5%
Arthur Hart punt for 51 yds , Blake Banham returns for 3 yds to the EMich 35 EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, IB (Vince Calhoun) to the EMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:1795% → 95%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
94.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 11 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
95.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Ian Eriksen) to the EMich 16Similar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+23
94.9%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 23 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
95.3%
Brogan Roback pass complete to John Niupalau for 13 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
95.4%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
95.4%
Shaq Vann run for no gain to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
95.8%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
95.3%
Ivan Oraha punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
95.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+7
95.4%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+2
95.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 2 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
95.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 74 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.3%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete, broken up by Ben DeLucaSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the EMich 22Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-11
96.3%
Brogan Roback sacked by Jeff Gemmell for a loss of 11 yards to the EMich 11Similar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
95.9%
Ivan Oraha punt for 31 yds , Nate Mullen returns for no gain to the EMich 43 Nate Mullen fumbled, recovered by Charl Anthony CovingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21MISSED FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:194% → 4%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford II, broken up by Ross WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
96.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+13
96.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 13 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
95.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-2
95.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 32Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
96.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+50
96.5%
Nigel Macauley 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
96.7%
Shaq Vann run for 5 yds to the EMich 37Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
96.8%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
96.9%
Blake Banham run for no gain to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 3
OWN 39
-5
96.6%
ORAHA, Ivan punt 37 yards to the CHA24, MULLEN, Nate return to the CHA24, fumble by MULLEN, Nate recovered by CHA TEAM at CHA21, PENALTY EMU illegal formation 5 yards to the EMU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
96.5%
Ivan Oraha punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Robert WashingtonSimilar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
96.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to R.J. Tyler, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
97.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to T.L. Ford IISimilar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
97.0%
Arthur Hart punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
97.2%
Brogan Roback pass complete to Dieuly Aristilde for 7 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Brogan Roback pass incomplete to Dieuly Aristilde Brogan Roback punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
97.1%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+8
97.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to T.L. Ford II for 8 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-3
97.1%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
97.2%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass complete to TYLER, R.J. for 2 yards to the CHA42 (CALDERON, Ikie), PENALTY CHA illegal use of hands (TYLER, R.J.) 0 yards to the CHA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 9
OWN 40
-19
97.3%
KLUGH, Hasaan pass complete to FORD II, T.L. for 19 yards to the EMU41 (MOODY, Justin), PENALTY CHA holding 19 yards to the EMU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 28
OPP 41
0
97.3%
Arthur Hart punt for 35 yds, downed at the EMich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5798% → 99%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
98.0%
Shaq Vann run for 3 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+2
98.0%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+2
98.5%
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 13Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
98.6%
Ivan Oraha punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the Charl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:242% → 1%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Nate MullenSimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
98.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Nate Mullen for 7 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OPP 48
-7
98.2%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Kyle Rachwal for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Uriah LeMay, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 46Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-1
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:58
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
+7.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 11:32
Shaq Vann run for 2 yds to the EMich 27
+2.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:54
Robert Washington run for no gain to the EMich 49
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com