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ELON

Elon 13 at Toledo 47

TOL
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2017 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadELON aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreELON score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:59 · Logan Woodside pass complete to Art Thompkins for 2 yds to the ElonU 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Pregame prior+43.2Home team on offense+9.3Score differential+4.3Garbage-time factor+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:54: Jameson Vest 28 yd FG GOOD — ELON win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:33: Brelynd Cyphers run for 9 yds for a TD, (Owen Johnson KICK) — ELON win probability +1.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:56: Jameson Vest 21 yd FG GOOD — TOL win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:46: Owen Johnson kickoff for 64 yds , Diontae Johnson return for 99 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +0.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ELON has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:23: Terry Swanson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK) — TOL win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ELON made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ELON 4th & 12 at ELON 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:54TOL 4th & 9 at ELON 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:49ELON 4th & 6 at ELON 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:33ELON 4th & 2 at ELON 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:57TOL 4th & 10 at ELON 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:52ELON 4th & 10 at ELON 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00TOL 4th & 4 at ELON 33, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:23TOL 4th & 14 at ELON 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:59TOL 4th & 3 at ELON 29, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:48ELON 4th & 10 at ELON 27, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:56TOL 4th & 4 at ELON 4, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:46ELON 4th & 10 at ELON 25, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:36TOL 4th & 15 at TOL 38, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:16ELON 4th & 7 at ELON 26, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:18ELON 4th & 4 at TOL 46, down 26
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:02ELON 4th & 11 at ELON 25, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00TOL 4th & 7 at TOL 37, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:22ELON 4th & 8 at midfield, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ELON made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:39TOL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:33ELON Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:46TOL Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:23TOL Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:05TOL Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:47ELON Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:49TOL Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ELONDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.4%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 3 yds to the ElonU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+9
99.4%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 9 yds to the ElonU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.4%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 3 yds to the ElonU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Brelynd Cyphers run for no gain to the ElonU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 41
-5
99.4%
ELON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ElonU 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 36
+12
99.4%
Hunter Stephenson punt for 42 yds for a 1ST down , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 12 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Toled 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:3599% → 99%
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.3%
Terry Swanson run for 8 yds to the ElonU 43Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+1
99.3%
Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the ElonU 42Similar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+3
99.3%
Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the ElonU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+27
99.3%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 27 yds to the ElonU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.3%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 1 yd to the ElonU 11Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
99.3%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Cody ThompsonSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
99.3%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-LewisSimilar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
99.1%
Jameson Vest 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.1%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 4 yds to the ElonU 25Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Davis Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+6
99.1%
Hunter Stephenson punt for 51 yds , Desmond Phillips returns for 6 yds to the Toled 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 4TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:2199% → 99%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+69
99.0%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 69 yds to the ElonU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Terry Swanson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.1%
De'Sean McNair run for 7 yds to the ElonU 38Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-5
99.1%
ELON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ElonU 33Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
99.1%
Jalen Greene run for 4 yds to the ElonU 37Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+2
99.1%
Jalen Greene run for 2 yds to the ElonU 39Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+1
99.1%
De'Sean McNair run for 1 yd to the ElonU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 6FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:4099% → 99%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
99.0%
Art Thompkins run for 7 yds to the ElonU 33Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+5
99.0%
Art Thompkins run for 5 yds to the ElonU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
99.0%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 18 yds to the ElonU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
99.0%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the ElonU 9Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.0%
Logan Woodside pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
99.0%
Logan Woodside sacked by Nick Groll for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 10Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
99.0%
Jameson Vest 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
98.9%
Jalen Greene run for 1 yd to the ElonU 22Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+3
98.9%
De'Sean McNair run for 3 yds to the ElonU 25Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-4
98.9%
Jalen Greene sacked by Ja'Wuan Woodley for a loss of 4 yards to the ElonU 21Similar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+6
98.9%
Hunter Stephenson punt for 39 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 6 yds to the Toled 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 8FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 4:2399% → 99%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.0%
Terry Swanson run for 5 yds to the ElonU 49Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
99.0%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 3 yds to the ElonU 46Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+7
98.9%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 7 yds to the ElonU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.0%
Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the ElonU 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
98.9%
Terry Swanson run for 2 yds to the ElonU 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
98.9%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Cody ThompsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+22
98.8%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 22 yds to the ElonU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.9%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
98.9%
Terry Swanson run for 1 yd to the ElonU 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
-5
98.9%
TOLEDO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ElonU 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 15
0
98.8%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Cody ThompsonSimilar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+32
98.7%
Jameson Vest 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.6%
Davis Cheek pass intercepted Kahlil Robinson return for no gain to the Toled 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:1399% → 99%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
98.8%
Art Thompkins run for 19 yds to the ElonU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
98.8%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the ElonU 36Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
98.8%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Art Thompkins for 7 yds to the ElonU 29Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 3
OPP 29
0
98.8%
Art Thompkins run for no gain to the ElonU 29Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+2
98.6%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Art Thompkins for 2 yds to the ElonU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
98.4%
Brelynd Cyphers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 25Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+2
98.5%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 2 yds to the ElonU 27Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
98.5%
Davis Cheek pass incomplete to Brelynd CyphersSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
98.5%
Hunter Stephenson punt for 37 yds , Desmond Phillips returns for no gain to the Toled 37 Desmond Phillips fumbled, recovered by ElonU Efrim BordersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 12TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 3:242% → 3%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
98.1%
Brelynd Cyphers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 38Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+7
98.2%
Jalen Greene run for 7 yds to the Toled 31Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+6
98.1%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 6 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
98.1%
Jalen Greene run for 8 yds to the Toled 17Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+8
98.1%
De'Sean McNair run for 8 yds to the Toled 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.7%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 9 yds for a TD, (Owen Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 13FG
12 plays · 79 yds · 3:3297% → 98%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
97.2%
Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the Toled 19Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+21
97.1%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 21 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+38
97.4%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Cody Thompson for 38 yds to the ElonU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
97.3%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis, broken up by Chris BlairSimilar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
97.3%
Art Thompkins run for 7 yds to the ElonU 15Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+8
97.2%
Art Thompkins run for 8 yds to the ElonU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
97.3%
Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the ElonU 5Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.3%
Art Thompkins run for 1 yd to the ElonU 4Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.2%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Art ThompkinsSimilar
Q2 0:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
97.7%
Jameson Vest 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 23Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-3
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the ElonU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.4%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 1 yd to the ElonU 26Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
98.4%
Kortez Weeks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ElonU 25Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Jalen Greene pass incomplete to Corey JoynerSimilar
Q3 14:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.4%
Hunter Stephenson punt for 36 yds , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for 4 yds to the Toled 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:2799% → 99%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
99.0%
SWANSON, Terry rush for 3 yards to the TOLEDO46 (W. Messer), PENALTY TOLEDO illegal block (ATARIWA, Yazeed) 15 yards to the TOLEDO28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 25
OWN 28
0
98.9%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips, broken up by Matt BakerSimilar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 25
OWN 28
+16
98.7%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 16 yds to the Toled 44Similar
Q3 12:36
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-6
98.8%
Logan Woodside sacked by Tristen Cox and Tiras Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the Toled 38Similar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
98.6%
Bailey Flint punt for 39 yds, downed at the ElonU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.1%
Kortez Weeks pass incomplete to Matt FosterSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
98.2%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Kortez Weeks for 3 yds to the ElonU 26Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
98.2%
Davis Cheek pass incomplete to Cole Taylor ELON Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
98.2%
Hunter Stephenson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 19TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:5799% → 100%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
98.8%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 13 yds to the ElonU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
98.8%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 7 yds to the ElonU 39Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+10
98.8%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 10 yds to the ElonU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
98.8%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
98.8%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Jon'Vea Johnson, broken up by Cameron WrightSimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+18
98.8%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Terry Swanson for 18 yds to the ElonU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
98.8%
Terry Swanson run for 6 yds to the ElonU 5Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 4
OPP 5
0
98.8%
Terry Swanson run for no gain to the ElonU 5Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
Terry Swanson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Brelynd Cyphers run for no gain to the ElonU 26Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.7%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 3 yds to the ElonU 29Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+19
99.7%
Davis Cheek pass complete to Kortez Weeks for 19 yds to the ElonU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Davis Cheek pass incomplete to Kortez WeeksSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.7%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 6 yds to the Toled 46Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Davis Cheek pass incomplete to Brelynd CyphersSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Hunter Stephenson punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 21TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
99.7%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Diontae Johnson for 11 yds to the Toled 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+36
99.8%
Art Thompkins run for 36 yds to the ElonU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the ElonU 29Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+9
99.8%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Darryl Richards for 9 yds to the ElonU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.8%
Logan Woodside pass incomplete to Diontae JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+15
99.8%
Logan Woodside pass complete to Jon'Vea Johnson for 15 yds to the ElonU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.8%
Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the ElonU 1Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Reggie Gilliam run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
99.9%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 16 yds to the ElonU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 1 yd to the ElonU 27Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jalen Greene pass incomplete to Cole TaylorSimilar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 9
OWN 27
-2
99.9%
Jalen Greene run for a loss of 2 yards to the ElonU 25Similar
Q3 0:02
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Hunter Stephenson punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Art Thompkins run for 3 yds to the Toled 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Darryl RichardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Mitchell Guadagni pass incomplete to Cody Thompson, broken up by Daniel Reid-BennettSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Bailey Flint punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ElonU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 24TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 4:280% → 0%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
100.0%
Jalen Greene pass complete to Matt Foster for 25 yds to the Toled 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
100.0%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 1 yd to the Toled 27Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-5
100.0%
K. Weeks rush for 10 yards to the TOLEDO17 (WHITFIELD, M.;ANDERSON, Tycen), PENALTY ELON illegal formation 5 yards to the TOLEDO32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+4
100.0%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 4 yds to the Toled 28Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+19
100.0%
Malcolm Summers run for 19 yds to the Toled 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
100.0%
Malcolm Summers run for 8 yds to the Toled 1Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Malcolm Summers run for no gain to the Toled 1Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Malcolm Summers run for 1 yd for a TD, (Owen Johnson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 25INT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
99.9%
Mitchell Guadagni run for 8 yds to the Toled 29Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the Toled 37Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+13
99.9%
Shakif Seymour run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
50
+19
99.9%
Trevon Mathis pass intercepted Greg Liggs Jr. return for 19 yds to the ElonU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Malcolm Summers run for no gain to the ElonU 48Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Malcolm Summers run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 8
50
0
100.0%
Brelynd Cyphers run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 8
50
0
100.0%
Hunter Stephenson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Desmond Phillips at the Toled 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 27TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 4:13100% → 100%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+44
100.0%
Shakif Seymour run for 44 yds to the ElonU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
100.0%
Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the ElonU 31Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+9
100.0%
Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the ElonU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
100.0%
Shakif Seymour run for 8 yds to the ElonU 14Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+1
100.0%
Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the ElonU 13Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+4
100.0%
Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the ElonU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
100.0%
Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the ElonU 9Similar
Q4 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ELONDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
Brelynd Cyphers run for 4 yds to the ElonU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:33
Brelynd Cyphers run for 9 yds for a TD, (Owen Johnson KICK)
-1.3
TD · Q3 7:23
Terry Swanson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q3 14:46
Owen Johnson kickoff for 64 yds , Diontae Johnson return for 99 yds for a TD, (Jameson Vest KICK)
+0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com