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GASO

Georgia Southern 17 at Coastal Carolina 28

CCU
2017 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2017 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.8CCU 46.6%Tyler Bass 48 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q1 4:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:41 · Tyler Bass 48 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Home team on offense+0.5Pregame prior−6.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +6.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:53: L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +8.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:52: Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +13.2 pts (now 62%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:52: Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 37 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +18.8 pts (now 66%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:23: Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSo 0, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +14.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 14:14GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:12CCU 4th & 16 at GASO 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:41GASO 4th & 11 at CCU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    49.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:40CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:28CCU 4th & 2 at GASO 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    60.7%−0.9
    75% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−6.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:17CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:30GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:52CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:13GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 28, down 4
    Close callPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 5 at CCU 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−1.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:15CCU 4th & 11 at CCU 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:08CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:15GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:17CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55CCU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:53GASO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:52GASO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:52CCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:23CCU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4342% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside (Logan Hunt) to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
-5
41.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Steven Bedosky) to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
41.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 8 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+67
42.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 67 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
42.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Tommy Boynton) to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
42.5%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+2
42.5%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
42.5%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley FieldsSimilar
Q1 14:14
4TH & 7
OWN 4
+9
42.5%
Matt Flynn punt for 50 yds , Chris Jones returns for 9 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 15 yds · 4:4244% → 46%
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
43.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
43.6%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
43.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
43.6%
Kilton Anderson run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+6
43.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
43.6%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Deshon Cooper for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-5
43.6%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Tomarcio Reese for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 16
OPP 30
0
43.4%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Osharmar AbercrombieSimilar
Q1 8:12
4TH & 16
OPP 30
+48
46.4%
Evan Rabon 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:3154% → 53%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+28
46.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 28 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
45.8%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
45.7%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
45.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
45.4%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
45.4%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Monteo GarrettSimilar
Q1 8:12
3RD & 4
OPP 24
-6
45.8%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 31 Wesley Fields fumbled, forced by Jalin Walker, recovered by GeoSo Wesley FieldsSimilar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+48
46.6%
Tyler Bass 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4646% → 54%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
46.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 9 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
46.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
46.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 15 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
47.5%
Dalton Demos run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
47.7%
Kilton Anderson run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+28
47.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 28 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
47.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
47.7%
Dalton Demos run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.8%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
53.4%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
53.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Myles Campbell for 9 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
53.0%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
52.6%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-4
52.8%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+9
54.3%
Matt Flynn punt for 44 yds , Chris Jones returns for 9 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4558% → 57%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
58.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the CCaro 24Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
57.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the CCaro 24Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
57.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Rashad ByrdSimilar
Q2 10:40
4TH & 9
OWN 24
-3
56.6%
Evan Rabon punt for 53 yds , Myles Campbell returns for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 21 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the GeoSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
58.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 48 yds to the GeoSo 28 L.A. Ramsby fumbled, forced by C.J. Brewer, recovered by CCaro Myles WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
61.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
61.4%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+5
60.8%
Kilton Anderson run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 2
OPP 20
-6
59.9%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Raymond Johnson III for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
16 plays · 74 yds · 6:0140% → 52%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
59.8%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+21
60.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for 21 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
58.2%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 6
50
0
57.8%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik HenrySimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 6
50
+7
58.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 7 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
57.7%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
57.3%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Ellis RichardsonSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+5
57.7%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
56.8%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
56.4%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+8
57.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 8 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+5
56.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the CCaro 10 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the CCaro 10Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
56.4%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
57.4%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the CCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
56.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:3655% → 54%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Josh Anderson for 7 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
55.4%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Logan Hunt and Raymond Johnson III for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
54.3%
Evan Rabon punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3144% → 42%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.3%
S. Werts pass complete to M. Campbell for 18 yards to the GS43 (Hears, Dontay), PENALTY GS illegal touching (M. Campbell) 0 yards to the GS25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
56.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik HenrySimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
57.7%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-2
58.4%
Matt Flynn punt for 49 yds , Chris Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0856% → 59%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
56.2%
Kilton Anderson run for 14 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
57.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 16 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
59.5%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
59.2%
Kilton Anderson pass intercepted Joshua Moon return for 3 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
11 plays · 48 yds · 4:5748% → 62%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
51.6%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-2
51.6%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 47Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+30
53.2%
Monteo Garrett pass complete to Shai Werts for 30 yds to the CCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
50.2%
Monteo Garrett run for 2 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+5
50.2%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+7
51.5%
Wesley Fields run for 7 yds to the CCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
50.2%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 4Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
50.2%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the CCaro 3Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
51.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, DEL (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 8Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
38.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0043% → 66%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.3%
Kilton Anderson run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
43.5%
Kilton Anderson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 28Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
41.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 9 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
44.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
46.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete, broken up by Kindle VildorSimilar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+4
43.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+19
42.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 19 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
47.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+37
66.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 37 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:3839% → 34%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
61.3%
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+4
60.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-7
61.0%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 17
OWN 15
0
65.1%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik Henry, broken up by Preston CareySimilar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+13
66.4%
Shai Werts run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
66.5%
Matt Flynn punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:4967% → 84%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
66.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 14 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
68.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+41
69.8%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 41 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 1
OWN 0
+1
84.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSo 0, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:1717% → 17%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
82.9%
Wesley Fields run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
81.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to L.A. Ramsby for 6 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
81.8%
Shai Werts run for 11 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
81.6%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the CCaro 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+5
81.6%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-1
82.0%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+2
83.0%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:4887% → 89%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
87.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
87.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the CCaro 44Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
87.2%
Kilton Anderson run for 5 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
88.0%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 48Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
87.7%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Marcus OutlowSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
90.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Monquavion BrinsonSimilar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
89.0%
Evan Rabon punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20INT
8 plays · 42 yds · 0:0010% → 13%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
89.6%
Shai Werts run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
89.5%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 13
OWN 21
+6
90.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 6 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+13
90.2%
Shai Werts run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
87.6%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-1
88.8%
LaBaron Anthony sacked by Silas Kelly for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+15
89.9%
Shai Werts run for 15 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
86.7%
Shai Werts pass intercepted Preston Carey return for no gain to the CCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 2:3593% → 97%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
93.2%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 0
+7
94.3%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 7 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
94.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-5
94.7%
Anderson, K. rush for 8 yards to the COASTAL44 (R. Byrd), PENALTY COASTAL illegal formation 5 yards to the COASTAL31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 13
OWN 31
0
96.4%
Kilton Anderson run for no gain to the CCaro 31Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 13
OWN 31
-1
96.9%
Kilton Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 30Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+1
96.6%
Evan Rabon punt for 42 yds , Myles Campbell returns for 1 yd to the GeoSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
97.4%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
97.5%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik Henry, broken up by Preston CareySimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+5
97.6%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
97.5%
LaBaron Anthony pass incomplete to Ellis Richardson, broken up by Silas KellySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-2
97.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:52
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 37 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)
+18.8
TD · Q3 1:23
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd for a TD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSo 0, (Evan Rabon KICK)
+14.2
TD · Q3 9:52
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
-13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com