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UL

Louisiana 14 at App State 63

APP
2017 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2017 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:17 · Sam Geraci punt for 38 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior+34.6Home team on offense−0.9Score differential−0.3Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:39: Taylor Lamb run for 29 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +1.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:14: Jalin Moore run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +1.7 pts (now 85%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:51: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +3.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:20: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 33 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +6.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:03: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 12 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 14:03APP 4th & 1 at UL 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:17UL 4th & 3 at UL 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:44UL 4th & 5 at APP 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:16APP 4th & 8 at APP 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:58UL 4th & 5 at UL 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:06UL 4th & 2 at midfield, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:06UL 4th & 12 at midfield, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:02UL 4th & 2 at APP 32, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:05APP 4th & 3 at UL 18, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:01APP 4th & 2 at UL 2, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:10UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:39APP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:14APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:51APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:20APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:03APP Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:17APP Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:02APP Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:48APP Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 11:05UL Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:01APP Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5014% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
86.4%
Jordan Davis run for 47 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
86.4%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
86.0%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Devin Scott for 28 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
86.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 16 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-5
86.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+10
86.0%
Jalin Moore run for 10 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+11
86.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
86.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
86.0%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
86.0%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 1
OPP 37
-2
86.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
84.4%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 3 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-2
84.4%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+6
84.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 6 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
84.5%
Sam Geraci punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
4 plays · 84 yds · 1:3584% → 85%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
83.5%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+3
83.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 3 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+48
83.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 48 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
84.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 29 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
84.1%
Darius Hoggins run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+5
84.0%
Darius Hoggins run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
84.0%
Jordan Davis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+1
84.0%
Darius Hoggins run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+16
84.1%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 16 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
83.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Devin Scott for 5 yds Devin Scott fumbled, forced by Rashaad Townes, recovered by AppSt Desmond Franklin , return for 28 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:1684% → 85%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
83.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 8 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+5
83.9%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-15
84.0%
Moore,Jalin rush for 3 yards to the LA0, clock 03:39, PENALTY APP illegal block (Reed,Collin) 15 yards to the LA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 0
OPP 18
+11
83.8%
Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
83.7%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.3%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7INT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0016% → 17%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
84.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 10 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
84.0%
Jordan Davis run for 2 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+12
84.0%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Devin Scott for 12 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.6%
Ja'Marcus Bradley pass incomplete to Jordan DavisSimilar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+12
83.6%
Jordan Davis run for 12 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
83.5%
Jordan Davis pass intercepted Clifton Duck return for 3 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:1985% → 89%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
84.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 15 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
84.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
85.3%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+6
85.3%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+31
85.1%
Jalin Moore run for 31 yds to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
85.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
85.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
88.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
87.4%
Jordan Davis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+2
87.1%
Jordan Davis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
87.2%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
87.3%
Raymond Calais run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+18
87.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 18 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
86.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-4
86.6%
Jordan Davis sacked by Eric Boggs for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+2
86.9%
Jordan Davis run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
87.2%
Sam Geraci punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
88.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for no gain to the AppSt 9Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+1
88.1%
Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the AppSt 10Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+12
87.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 12 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
88.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-2
88.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 24Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
87.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Daetrich HarringtonSimilar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+6
87.6%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 40 yds , Earnest Patterson returns for 6 yds to the LaLaf 30 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, illegal helmet contact (15 Yards) to the LaLaf 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
87.8%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
87.7%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
87.4%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone, broken up by Caleb FullerSimilar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 5
OWN 47
-1
88.0%
Levarious Varnado run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 1:1890% → 96%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
89.6%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+11
89.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
96.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 33 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13INT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:385% → 5%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.8%
Jordan Davis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
94.6%
Jordan Davis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
94.6%
Jordan Davis sacked by Tim Frizzell for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 17
OWN 30
0
95.2%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem Malone, broken up by Tae HayesSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+21
95.3%
Jordan Davis pass intercepted Eric Boggs return for 21 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:1697% → 99%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
96.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to T.J. WatkinsSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
96.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 3 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+12
99.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 12 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:3899% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
98.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
98.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 2 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+4
98.8%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to T.J. WatkinsSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
98.9%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+12
99.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 12 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
99.0%
Jalin Moore run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 42 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.3%
Levi Lewis run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-9
99.3%
Darius Hoggins run for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+16
99.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 16 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 2
50
+2
99.3%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.3%
Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
99.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 8
OPP 46
-4
99.3%
Levi Lewis sacked by Caleb Fuller for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 12
50
0
99.4%
Sam Geraci punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 12Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+33
99.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 33 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+6
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 6 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 8 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+6
99.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+23
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 23 yds to the LaLaf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+32
99.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 32 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
99.7%
Levi Lewis run for 9 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
99.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Earnest PattersonSimilar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-1
99.7%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 2
OPP 32
-5
99.6%
Dion Ray run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+35
99.8%
Daetrich Harrington run for 35 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
99.8%
Zac Thomas run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+6
99.8%
Zac Thomas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+10
99.9%
Trey Ragas run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Matt BarnesSimilar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+42
99.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 42 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Levi Lewis run for 14 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 8:04100% → 100%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
99.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
50
+11
99.9%
Jacob Huesman run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
99.9%
DeMarcus Harper run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
DeMarcus Harper run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
99.9%
Malik Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 27 Malik Williams fumbled, recovered by AppSt Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+4
99.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+9
99.9%
Curtis Fitch pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 9 yds to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.9%
Curtis Fitch run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q4 3:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Curtis Fitch run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
100.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Curtis Fitch) to the AppSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Darius Hoggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+18
100.0%
Darius Hoggins run for 18 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
100.0%
Darius Hoggins run for 9 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Jake Arceneaux run for 9 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
Jake Arceneaux pass complete to Chris Collins for 6 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+11
100.0%
Darius Hoggins run for 11 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:20
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 33 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q2 11:51
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q2 0:03
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 12 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com