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TXST

Texas State 9 at Troy 62

TROY
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2017 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
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Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadTXST aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreTXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:20 · Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior+43.2Home team on offense+0.6Score differential+0.1Blowout margin−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 14:21: Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TXST win probability +0.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:01: Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sam Letton for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +0.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 2:12: Tyler Sumpter 32 yd FG GOOD — TROY win probability +0.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:44: Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 43 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:17: Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 19 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 2 of 7TXST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 14:21TXST 4th & 13 at TXST 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:20TROY 4th & 2 at TXST 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:01TXST 4th & 2 at TXST 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:12TROY 4th & 2 at TXST 15, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:12TXST 4th & 15 at TXST 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:47TROY 4th & 9 at TXST 20, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:50TROY 4th & 3 at TROY 24, up 17
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:04TXST 4th & 2 at TROY 38, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−0.9
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:53TXST 4th & 11 at TXST 17, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00TXST 4th & 11 at TXST 42, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:09TROY 4th & 4 at TROY 36, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:04TXST 4th & 9 at TXST 27, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:06TXST 4th & 7 at TROY 13, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:06TROY 4th & 3 at TROY 49, up 53
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:02TXST 4th & 4 at TXST 45, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:28TROY 4th & 2 at TROY 26, up 53
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TXST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:21TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:01TROY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:44TROY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:17TROY Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:37TROY Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:33TXST Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:04TROY Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:06TROY Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:10TROY Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 0:3994% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
94.3%
TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+48
94.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 48 yds to the TexSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
94.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
94.2%
Anthony D. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 24Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
94.2%
Damian Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSt 26Similar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-4
94.2%
Damian Williams sacked by Marcus Webb and Kelvin Lucky for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 22Similar
Q1 14:21
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
94.3%
Marcus Ripley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the Troy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
94.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 4 yds to the Troy 44Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
94.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 7 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
94.0%
Josh Anderson run for 5 yds to the TexSt 44Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
94.0%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+11
94.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 11 yds to the TexSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
94.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 6 yds to the TexSt 27Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
94.0%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the TexSt 24Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-1
94.0%
Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 25Similar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 2
OPP 25
0
94.0%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 4INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.5%
Anthony D. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 24Similar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
93.5%
Damian Williams pass intercepted Cedarius Rookard return for 2 yds to the TexSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:2894% → 94%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
93.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 7 yds to the TexSt 37Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+14
93.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 14 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
93.6%
Josh Anderson run for 12 yds to the TexSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
94.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sam Letton for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
93.9%
Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 23Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
93.9%
Eric Luna run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 22Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+11
94.0%
Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 11 yds to the TexSt 33Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+11
93.9%
Marcus Ripley punt for 36 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for 11 yds to the Troy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:3794% → 95%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
94.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 18 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
94.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 17 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
94.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the TexSt 20Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-1
94.2%
Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 21Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+5
94.2%
Silvers, B. deep pass incomplete to Johnson, John (Taylor,A.), PENALTY TXST offside defense 5 yards to the TXST16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+1
94.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the TexSt 15Similar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+32
94.5%
Tyler Sumpter 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
94.2%
Anthony D. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 21Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+4
94.3%
Willie Jones III pass complete to Hutch White for 4 yds to the TexSt 25Similar
Q1 2:12
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-8
94.3%
Team run for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSt 17 Team fumbled, recovered by TexSt Willie Jones IIISimilar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
94.4%
Marcus Ripley punt, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9MISSED FG
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:3595% → 95%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
50
+29
94.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 29 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
94.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Tray EaffordSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
94.7%
Jordan Chunn run for 6 yds to the TexSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
-5
94.6%
TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
94.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Sam LettonSimilar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
94.7%
Tyler Sumpter 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jordan MittieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 10PUNT
14 plays · 26 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
94.3%
Caleb Twyford run for 7 yds to the TexSt 27Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
94.2%
Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Elijah KingSimilar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+7
94.2%
Willie Jones III pass complete to Elijah King for 7 yds to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
94.2%
Willie Jones III run for 4 yds to the TexSt 38Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+10
94.1%
Willie Jones III run for 10 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.0%
Willie Jones III run for no gain to the TexSt 48Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
94.1%
Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 12 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
93.9%
Anthony Smith run for no gain to the Troy 40Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
93.9%
Willie Jones III run for 15 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
93.7%
Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Elijah KingSimilar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-7
93.8%
Willie Jones III sacked by Marcus Webb and Kevin Nixon for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 32Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 17
OPP 0
-15
94.1%
Smith,Anthony rush right for 15 yards to the TROY17 (Brown, Blace), PENALTY TXST holding 10 yards to the TROY42, NO PLAY, PENALTY TXST unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the TXST43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 42
OWN 43
+3
94.4%
Anthony Smith run for 3 yds to the TexSt 46Similar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 39
OWN 46
0
94.5%
Marcus Ripley punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the Troy 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
94.6%
Josh Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 14Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+6
94.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 6 yds to the Troy 20Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+4
94.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Josh Anderson for 4 yds to the Troy 24 TROY Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
94.2%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 37 yds , Hutch White returns for no gain to the TexSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:206% → 6%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
93.8%
Anthony Smith run for 8 yds to the TexSt 47Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+7
93.3%
Anthony Smith run for 7 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
93.3%
Anthony Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 44Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+7
93.3%
Hutch White run for 7 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-1
93.2%
Anthony Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 38Similar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
93.8%
Marcus Ripley punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:1395% → 98%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+29
95.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 29 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
95.4%
Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the Troy 44Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+13
95.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 13 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 43 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 14INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
96.9%
Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 23 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.7%
Damian Williams pass intercepted Jawon McDowell return for no gain to the Troy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 0:4598% → 99%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
97.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Josh Anderson for 7 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+28
97.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 28 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+26
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 26 yds to the TexSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to John JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 19 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
99.3%
Robert Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 17Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 11
OWN 17
0
99.3%
Damian Williams run for no gain to the TexSt 17Similar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 11
OWN 17
+5
99.3%
Robert Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexSt 22Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 6
OWN 22
-5
99.3%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 17Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 11
OWN 17
+14
99.3%
Marcus Ripley punt for 40 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for 14 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17TD
1 play · 43 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.4%
Jordan Chunn run for 43 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.5%
Damian Williams run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.4%
Robert Brown Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 41 Robert Brown Jr. fumbled, forced by Hunter Reese, recovered by Troy Hunter ReeseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19FG
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:2699% → 99%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+38
99.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 38 yds to the TexSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.5%
TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 8Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.5%
Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the TexSt 6Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.4%
Tyler Sumpter 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
99.4%
Anthony Smith run for 5 yds to the TexSt 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+19
99.5%
Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 19 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
99.4%
Anthony Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Damian Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Baron PooleSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+2
99.4%
Damian Williams pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 2 yds to the TexSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
99.4%
Marcus Ripley punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.6%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+3
99.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 3 yds to the Troy 36Similar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
99.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 3:080% → 1%
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
99.7%
Damian Williams run for 7 yds to the TexSt 31Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Anthony D. Taylor run for no gain to the TexSt 31Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+12
99.6%
Damian Williams pass complete to Tyler Watts for 12 yds to the TexSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.7%
Damian Williams pass complete to Eric Luna for 4 yds to the TexSt 47Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+6
99.6%
Anthony Smith run for 6 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.6%
Anthony Smith run for 7 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q3 10:41
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+37
99.6%
Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 37 yds to the Troy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.5%
Damian Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Sherman PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 23TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:29100% → 100%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Kaleb Barker run for 4 yds to the Troy 38Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
99.7%
Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
99.7%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to John Johnson for 5 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.7%
Kaleb Barker run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 6
50
+2
99.7%
Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the TexSt 48Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+41
99.8%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 41 yds to the TexSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.8%
B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the TexSt 4Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Kaleb Barker run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
Caleb Twyford run for 2 yds to the TexSt 28Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-1
99.8%
Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah Rogers for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 27Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Damian Williams pass incomplete to Tyler Watts, broken up by Adarius WesleySimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Marcus Ripley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Troy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 25TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.8%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to KE'Marvin Pitts for 2 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
99.8%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q3 0:06
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+59
99.9%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Richard Hallman for 59 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Anthony Smith run for no gain to the TexSt 11 Anthony Smith fumbled, forced by Tyler Murray, recovered by Troy Adarius Wesley , return for 12 yds to the TexSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 27TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:50100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.9%
B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the TexSt 7Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
B.J. Smith run for 7 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 28FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:040% → 0%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
99.9%
Anthony Smith run for 47 yds to the Troy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.9%
Damian Williams pass complete to Tyler Watts for 3 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+9
99.9%
Anthony Smith run for 9 yds to the Troy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
99.9%
Damian Williams run for 8 yds to the Troy 8Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 2
OPP 8
-5
99.9%
Damian Williams sacked by Walter Pritchett and Bryan Slater for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 13Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Damian Williams pass incomplete to Eric LunaSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
99.9%
Gavin Graham 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.9%
B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 36Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
B.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 43Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+1
99.9%
B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 49Similar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Robert Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexSt 25Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+14
100.0%
Damian Williams pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 14 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
100.0%
Robert Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSt 42Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Robert Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSt 45Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Damian Williams pass complete to Robert Brown Jr. for no gain to the TexSt 45Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Marcus Ripley punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Troy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
100.0%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 20Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
B.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 21Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 35 yds , Hutch White returns for 5 yds to the TexSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
100.0%
Kieston Roach run for 9 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 1
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Kieston Roach run for no gain to the Troy 47Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
100.0%
Kieston Roach run for no gain to the Troy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:44
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 43 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 1:17
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 19 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q1 7:01
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sam Letton for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com