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GASO

Georgia Southern 34 at Louisiana 24

UL
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.4UL 27.3%Stevie Artigue 50 yd FG GOOD GASOUTHERN Penalty, roughing the kicker( Yards) declinedAWAY 24 - HOME 10 · Q3 8:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:51 · Stevie Artigue 50 yd FG GOOD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Home team on offense−16.1Pregame prior+5.2Score differential−8.2Garbage-time factor−4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:40: Darius Hoggins run for 75 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +8.1 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:15: Shai Werts run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +16.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:54: Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 17 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +9.2 pts (now 30%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:56: L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +14.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:00: Jordan Davis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 26 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +13.3 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UL 4th & 5 at UL 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:56GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:48UL 4th & 5 at UL 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55GASO 4th & 17 at UL 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:40GASO 4th & 6 at UL 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:20UL 4th & 4 at UL 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:29GASO 4th & 13 at UL 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    48.5%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:29UL 4th & 17 at GASO 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:51UL 4th & 9 at GASO 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:51GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−3.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:58GASO 4th & 7 at UL 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−10.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:56GASO 4th & 1 at UL 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    71.4%−4.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    60.0%−15.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:47GASO 4th & 7 at UL 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%−1.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:53UL 4th & 4 at GASO 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−2.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:40GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:48GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:30GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:40UL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:15GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:54UL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:56GASO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:00UL Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.2%
Darius Hoggins run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
63.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
63.2%
Sam Geraci punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0837% → 40%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
63.1%
Wesley Fields run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
63.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Myles Campbell for 2 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+5
63.0%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
63.0%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+5
63.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
63.0%
Wesley Fields run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
63.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+5
63.0%
Werts, Shai rush around left end for 5 yards to the LA26 (Booker, Tra'Vontae), PENALTY LA offside (Middleton, Justin) 5 yards to the LA26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 4
OPP 26
0
63.0%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+12
63.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 12 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
63.0%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
59.7%
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.5%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
60.4%
Levi Lewis run for no gain to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
60.1%
Sam Geraci punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:5741% → 47%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
59.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 27 Wesley Kennedy III fumbled, forced by Levarious Varnado, recovered by GeoSo Myles Campbell , return for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+14
59.3%
Wesley Fields run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
58.6%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+53
53.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 53 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
55.0%
Levi Lewis run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
55.4%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
55.3%
Levi Lewis pass intercepted Monquavion Brinson return for no gain to the LaLaf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:2148% → 54%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
52.0%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+5
52.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+15
52.1%
Wesley Fields run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
51.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 4
OPP 12
-4
51.9%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 8
OPP 16
-9
52.1%
Shai Werts sacked by Damar'ren Mitchell and Justin Middleton for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 17
OPP 25
+42
45.8%
Tyler Bass 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
53.8%
Darius Hoggins run for 75 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.6%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
54.2%
L.A. Ramsby run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
53.7%
Wesley Fields run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 3
50
+3
53.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
53.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 8 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
53.5%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Darion Anderson, broken up by Simeon ThomasSimilar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-4
53.8%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
54.3%
Matt Flynn punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
50.9%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
50.8%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
50.2%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
49.8%
Sam Geraci punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10MISSED FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 5:5150% → 55%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
50.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
50.5%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 2
50
+4
50.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
50.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+3
50.3%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+11
50.7%
Monteo Garrett run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
50.1%
Demarcus Godfrey run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+8
50.1%
Monteo Garrett run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
50.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-2
50.1%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-3
50.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to D'Ondre Glenn for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 13
OPP 20
+37
45.1%
Tyler Bass 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+42
44.4%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 42 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
47.2%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-1
48.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 8
OPP 36
-9
46.7%
Jordan Davis sacked by Tomarcio Reese for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 17
OPP 45
0
44.1%
Sam Geraci punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
42.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+10
42.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
41.8%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
42.5%
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:4559% → 77%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
40.8%
L.A. Ramsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-10
41.5%
Ramsby, L.A. rush around right end for no gain to the GS32 (Mitchell, Damar'ren), PENALTY GS holding (Rainey, Curtis) 10 yards to the GS22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 22
+63
41.9%
Wesley Fields run for 48 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 30 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the LaLaf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
39.4%
Demarcus Godfrey run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+5
39.4%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
23.1%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:2426% → 27%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.2%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
26.2%
Trey Ragas run for 27 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
28.7%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 6 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+6
27.8%
Jordan Davis run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
28.0%
Jordan Davis sacked by Logan Hunt and Tomarcio Reese for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
27.7%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus Bradley, broken up by Lane EctonSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+2
27.0%
Jordan Davis run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+50
27.3%
Stevie Artigue 50 yd FG GOOD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
23.1%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
23.2%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-5
23.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 13
OWN 26
0
24.2%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Myles Campbell, broken up by Simeon ThomasSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 13
OWN 26
0
24.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 41 yds, downed at the LaLaf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
23.2%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
23.9%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete, broken up by Deshon CooperSimilar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
23.1%
Jordan Davis pass intercepted Kindle Vildor return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:4982% → 85%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
50
+11
18.0%
Wesley Fields run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+27
18.0%
Shai Werts run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, personal foul (Tracy Walker) to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
17.5%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
17.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 3 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
17.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Myles CampbellSimilar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+26
15.1%
Tyler Bass 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0418% → 30%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
18.1%
Jordan Davis run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
18.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Trey Ragas for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
18.3%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
18.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 21 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
20.4%
Davis, Jordan sideline pass incomplete to Jackson, Jarrod, PENALTY GS pass interference (Brinson, Monquavion) 15 yards to the GS28, 1ST DOWN LA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-8
21.3%
Ryheem Malone run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 21 LOUISIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ryheem Malone) to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 18
OPP 36
+13
19.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 13 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+6
20.8%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
30.0%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 17 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:5874% → 94%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+77
26.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 77 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
21.6%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 3 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Shai WertsSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
21.8%
L.A. Ramsby run for no gain to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
22.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q4 11:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:569% → 22%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+49
8.7%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 49 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
10.6%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
8.8%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+26
22.1%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 26 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:1382% → 88%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
18.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+16
17.8%
Wesley Fields run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
17.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
16.6%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
-5
16.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Ryan Northrup) to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
11.0%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
12.1%
Matt Flynn punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ryheem Malone at the LaLaf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
14.2%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Jarrod JacksonSimilar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+17
13.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 17 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
14.5%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 21 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
16.0%
Jordan Davis run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
17.1%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+1
16.7%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Earnest Patterson for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
15.1%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Earnest PattersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3292% → 93%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
8.5%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+1
8.6%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
8.9%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
7.2%
Matt Flynn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Earnest Patterson at the LaLaf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
6.9%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Darius Hoggins for 6 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 19
0
6.9%
Jordan Davis pass intercepted Joshua Moon return for no gain to the LaLaf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
5.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-5
5.0%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Ellis Richardson) to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+6
5.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+8
5.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-2
5.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:15
Shai Werts run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
-16.3
TD · Q4 11:56
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q4 11:00
Jordan Davis pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 26 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
+13.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com