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USA

South Alabama 0 at Georgia Southern 52

GASO
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:00 · Corliss Waitman punt for 66 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Home team on offense+8.2Score differential+5.7Pregame prior−15.9Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:36: L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +3.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:17: L.A. Ramsby run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +3.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:00: Wesley Fields run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +12.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:46: Shai Werts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +16.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:58: Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 10
  1. Q1 11:28USA 4th & 11 at USA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:36GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:36GASO 4th & 11 at GASO 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:09USA 4th & 18 at GASO 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    54.7%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:00USA 4th & 1 at USA 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:46USA 4th & 2 at USA 33, down 28
    Close callPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:58GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 32, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.0%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:00USA 4th & 8 at GASO 13, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    17.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:10GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 47, up 28
    Close callPunted · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:38USA 4th & 4 at USA 38, down 28
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00GASO 4th & 4 at USA 24, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 3 at USA 37, down 31
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:58GASO 4th & 3 at USA 8, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:58USA 4th & 3 at midfield, down 38
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:03USA 4th & 15 at GASO 46, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:33GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 4, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 29, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:37USA 4th & 4 at USA 45, down 52
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:36GASO 4th & 13 at USA 46, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:36GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:17GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:00GASO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:46GASO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:58GASO Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:03GASO Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:37GASO Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:1731% → 34%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
30.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
30.5%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
30.5%
Demarcus Godfrey run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
30.5%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
30.5%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
30.5%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+51
30.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 51 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
30.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.1%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
33.1%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 24Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
33.3%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
33.3%
Corliss Waitman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
34.0%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
34.2%
Monteo Garrett run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
34.1%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+10
33.9%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
50
-5
34.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Wesley Fields) to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 15
OWN 45
0
34.1%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+4
34.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 4 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
33.9%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Fields, broken up by Khalil McDonaldSimilar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
33.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
36.3%
Jamarius Way run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 8 Jamarius Way fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Deshon Cooper , return for 12 yds to the SAlab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 7:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
41.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
40.1%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jamarius Way for 7 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+27
39.7%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Sam Harris for 27 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-8
39.6%
Cole Garvin sacked by Kindle Vildor for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 18
OPP 45
0
40.1%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 18
OPP 45
0
40.3%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 18
OPP 45
0
40.4%
Corliss Waitman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7TD
9 plays · 94 yds · 3:0344% → 57%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
43.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
43.8%
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+7
44.0%
Wesley Fields run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
44.0%
Kado Brown run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+3
44.0%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+7
43.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+48
44.0%
Kado Brown pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 48 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
44.8%
Kado Brown run for 9 yds to the SAlab 8Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+8
56.9%
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.7%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Sam HarrisSimilar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
55.9%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Jamarius Way, broken up by Monquavion BrinsonSimilar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
56.0%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Sam Harris for 9 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 2:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
55.7%
Corliss Waitman punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:5056% → 78%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
56.1%
Kado Brown run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
56.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+15
56.0%
Werts, Shai rush for 6 yards to the GS36 (Turner, Tyree;Befort, Zach), PENALTY USA face mask (Middleton, Fnss) 15 yards to the GS45, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
57.3%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+27
61.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 27 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
61.1%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+5
61.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
61.1%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the SAlab 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
61.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.7%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0021% → 23%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.7%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Jamarius Way, broken up by Kindle VildorSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
78.8%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Sam Harris for 8 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
77.7%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
77.4%
Corliss Waitman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
80.0%
Kado Brown run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
80.0%
Kado Brown run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
78.8%
Kado Brown run for no gain to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 2
OWN 32
-4
78.2%
Tyler Bass run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0019% → 21%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
81.4%
Cole Garvin run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
81.3%
Carlos Robinson II run for no gain to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
81.4%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+2
82.3%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Tra Minter for 2 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 8
OPP 13
0
78.8%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
86.9%
Monteo Garrett run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+12
86.8%
Shai Werts run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
86.9%
Shai Werts run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
87.1%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
87.1%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-1
87.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
86.6%
Matt Flynn punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.5%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Sam HarrisSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
92.5%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
92.8%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jordan McCray for 8 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.1%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
92.4%
Cole Garvin run for 6 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
91.8%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Tra MinterSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
92.0%
Corliss Waitman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 2:2694% → 96%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.7%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+16
93.6%
Monteo Garrett run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
93.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 20 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
93.9%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
95.1%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+6
95.0%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
95.2%
Shai Werts sacked by Jimmie Gipson and Tyree Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 11
OPP 31
0
95.1%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik Henry, broken up by Tobias MossSimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+7
94.9%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
95.6%
Tyler Bass 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.4%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Sam Harris, broken up by Deshon CooperSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
95.5%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jordan McCray for 7 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
95.1%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Jamarius Way, broken up by Kindle VildorSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
95.2%
Corliss Waitman punt for 43 yds , Myles Campbell returns for no gain to the GeoSo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:1297% → 98%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
96.6%
Myles Campbell run for 19 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
96.7%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+40
96.7%
Shai Werts run for 40 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
96.8%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
96.8%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+1
96.8%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the SAlab 8Similar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+8
98.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.1%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
98.0%
Carlos Robinson II run for 1 yd to the SAlab 44Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+6
98.1%
Jamarius Way run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 3
50
0
97.9%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Carlos Robinson IISimilar
Q3 10:58
4TH & 3
50
0
97.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 4:0699% → 99%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
98.7%
Kado Brown run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+3
98.7%
Kado Brown pass complete to Wesley Fields for 3 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+9
98.6%
Kado Brown run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
98.7%
Monteo Garrett run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+44
98.7%
Kado Brown pass complete to Darion Anderson for 44 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
98.8%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-2
98.8%
Myles Campbell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 25Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+25
99.3%
Kado Brown pass complete to Wesley Fields for 25 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
99.4%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 34 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
99.3%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Noah Fisher) to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 15
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne, broken up by Joshua MoonSimilar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 15
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Jordan McCraySimilar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 15
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Jordan McCraySimilar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Corliss Waitman punt for 45 yds, downed at the GeoSo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.5%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
99.5%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+1
99.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
99.5%
TEAM punt, downed at the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.6%
Cole Garvin pass intercepted, touchback. Kindle Vildor return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:33100% → 100%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.6%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+11
99.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 1 yd to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Tyler Bass punt for 61 yds, downed at the SAlab 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-4
99.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24INT
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
99.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 10 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to David Gardner for 10 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
99.8%
Dallas Davis run for 15 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+50
99.8%
Dallas Davis pass intercepted Monquavion Brinson return for 50 yds to the SAlab 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q4 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.8%
Kado Brown run for 3 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Demarcus Godfrey 1 Yd Run (Tyler Bass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (T'Qwan Robinson) to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
99.9%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 11 Dallas Davis fumbled, recovered by SAlab Dallas DavisSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+6
99.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to David Gardner for 6 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 6
OWN 17
-5
99.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Noah Fisher) to the SAlab 12Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+14
99.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jahmmir Taylor for 14 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 7 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to David Gardner for 6 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to David Gardner for 6 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-5
99.9%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 40Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tra Minter for 5 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:27100% → 100%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.9%
Monteo Garrett run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+10
99.9%
Demarcus Godfrey run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 39 Demarcus Godfrey fumbled, forced by Nigel Lawrence, recovered by GeoSo Demarcus Godfrey for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+14
99.9%
Demarcus Godfrey run for 14 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Demarcus Godfrey run for 1 yd to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
99.9%
LaBaron Anthony run for no gain to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+1
100.0%
LaBaron Anthony run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 8
OPP 41
-5
100.0%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (Matt Flynn) to the SAlab 46Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
100.0%
Carlos Robinson II run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 5Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+1
100.0%
Carlos Robinson II run for 1 yd to the SAlab 6Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+1
100.0%
Carlos Robinson II run for 1 yd to the SAlab 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:46
Shai Werts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
+16.5
TD · Q1 2:00
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
+12
TD · Q1 7:17
L.A. Ramsby run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com