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CCU

Coastal Carolina 13 at Idaho 7

IDHO
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Evan Rabon punt for 43 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior+9.1Home team on offense−3.0Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:57: Alex James run for 42 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +10.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:18: Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor — IDHO win probability +10.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. FG · Q4 11:46: Evan Rabon 34 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +6.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:08: Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the Idaho 29 — CCU win probability +16.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:41: Mason Petrino pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 7 yds to the Idaho 32 — IDHO win probability +6.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:19CCU 4th & 15 at CCU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:19IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:14CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:18IDHO 4th & 7 at IDHO 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:19CCU 4th & 12 at IDHO 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    28.6%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00IDHO 4th & 2 at IDHO 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:50IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:31CCU 4th & 10 at IDHO 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−3.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:18IDHO 4th & 12 at CCU 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−2.8
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−12.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:00IDHO 4th & 18 at IDHO 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−5.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:46CCU 4th & 6 at IDHO 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−16.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:35IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 32, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−2.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:12CCU 4th & 14 at IDHO 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−2.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−2.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:14IDHO 4th & 5 at IDHO 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.5%−5.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:49CCU 4th & 5 at IDHO 27, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−4.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:29IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:57CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3168% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.2%
Reuben Mwehla run for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+20
68.2%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
68.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+8
68.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
68.2%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 4 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
68.2%
Mason Petrino pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+12
68.2%
Mason Petrino pass complete to David Ungerer for 12 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
68.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
69.3%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 18 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
68.7%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
68.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 39Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 15
OWN 39
0
68.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
69.1%
Evan Rabon punt for 41 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
69.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-5
69.2%
Petrino, Mason pass incomplete to Sannon, Jacob, QB hurry by Williamson, M., PENALTY IDAHO ineligible downfield on pass (Vrba, Conner) 5 yards to the IDAHO17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+1
69.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 18Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+9
69.0%
Mason Petrino run for 9 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
68.9%
Cade Coffey punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
69.5%
Jacqez Hairston run for 13 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
69.3%
Kilton Anderson run for 4 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
69.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-10
69.3%
Kilton Anderson sacked by D.J. Henderson and Ed Hall for a loss of 10 yards to the CCaro 34 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
69.9%
Evan Rabon punt for 46 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0670% → 70%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
70.0%
Mason Petrino run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 19Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
69.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
70.3%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Kaden EllissSimilar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
70.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Chris Jones at the CCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 3:4530% → 28%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
69.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 8 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
69.5%
Alex James run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
50
+5
69.3%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 5 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 5
OPP 45
-1
69.3%
Malcolm Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+10
69.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 10 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
69.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
68.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-5
70.6%
Wilson, Austin pass complete to Williams, M. for 10 yards to the IDAHO23 (Thomas, Sedrick), PENALTY COASTAL ineligible downfield on pass (Carter, Trey) 5 yards to the IDAHO38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 12
OPP 38
0
71.4%
Austin Wilson pass incomplete to Larry Collins Jr.Similar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
72.1%
Evan Rabon punt for 30 yds, downed at the Idaho 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:3372% → 72%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
71.6%
Duckworth, A rush for 2 yards to the IDAHO10 (Williamson, M.;Johnson, Kerron), PENALTY IDAHO tripping (Tulette, Sean) 4 yards to the IDAHO4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+2
71.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+12
71.6%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 12 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
71.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-1
72.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+9
71.5%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 9 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
72.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 2 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
72.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-1
72.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+44
71.6%
Cade Coffey punt for 44 yds , Chris Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:5427% → 39%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
73.2%
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+1
73.3%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the CCaro 19Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+9
73.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 9 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
73.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+15
73.0%
Anderson, K. pass incomplete to Jones, Chris (Thomas, Sedrick), PENALTY IDAHO personal foul (Coleman, Aikeem) 15 yards to the COASTAL45, 1ST DOWN COASTAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
72.2%
Malcolm Williams run for 3 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+10
71.7%
Alex James run for 10 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
60.8%
Alex James run for 42 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
66.8%
Reuben Mwehla run for 6 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+10
67.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 10 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
68.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-5
68.5%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 44Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
68.2%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Reuben MwehlaSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+5
67.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 5 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
67.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Chris Jones at the CCaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:4237% → 45%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
63.3%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 12Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+6
63.4%
Chris Jones run for 6 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+10
63.9%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 10 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
62.7%
Kilton Anderson run for 8 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-5
61.1%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Steven Bedosky) to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+19
62.4%
Kilton Anderson run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
50
+15
59.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 15 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
59.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
59.1%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jacqez Hairston for no gain to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
57.5%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q2 0:31
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+52
54.6%
Evan Rabon 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11INT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:2258% → 60%
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
58.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 13 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
58.8%
Mason Petrino pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
58.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+5
59.7%
Mason Petrino pass intercepted Fitz Wattley return for 40 yds to the Idaho 24 Fitz Wattley fumbled, forced by Reuben Mwehla, recovered by CCaro Chandler Kryst , return for 5 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
55.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
55.4%
Chris Jones run for 10 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
54.6%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Malcolm Williams) to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+1
55.6%
Kilton Anderson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
55.9%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Larry Collins Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
57.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Larry Collins Jr., broken up by Aikeem ColemanSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
57.7%
Evan Rabon punt for 43 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13MISSED FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 6:1356% → 51%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
55.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 24Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
55.3%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 7 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+9
55.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 9 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
58.3%
Mason Petrino pass complete to David Ungerer for 8 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+6
59.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
59.5%
Mason Petrino pass complete to J.J. Wills for 8 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-1
59.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+29
56.4%
Mason Petrino pass complete to David Ungerer for 29 yds to the CCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
58.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the CCaro 8Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-7
58.4%
Mason Petrino sacked by C.J. Brewer for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 15Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
53.8%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 3 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
Q3 6:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
50.8%
Cade Coffey 29 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Amir HowardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0050% → 54%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.6%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Alex JamesSimilar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
50.1%
Alex James run for 6 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+17
49.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 17 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
46.4%
Alex James run for 10 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
45.6%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 10 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-14
45.6%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Kaden Elliss for a loss of 14 yards to the CCaro 49 Kilton Anderson fumbled, recovered by Idaho Kaden Elliss , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 3:1856% → 46%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
56.0%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-10
55.4%
Duckworth, A rush for 6 yards to the COASTAL43 (Howard, Amir;Hears, Dontay), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Dixon, Zion) 10 yards to the IDAHO41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 20
OWN 41
0
51.9%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Anthony ChesleySimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 20
OWN 41
+2
47.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 18
OWN 43
+11
45.6%
Cade Coffey punt for 44 yds , Chris Jones returns for 11 yds to the IDAHO 46 IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (Qendarrion Barnett) to the CCaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 44 yds · 5:3357% → 72%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
43.1%
Jacqez Hairston run for no gain to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
43.8%
Kilton Anderson run for 4 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+10
43.5%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 10 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
42.0%
Alex James run for 7 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
39.7%
Alex James run for 4 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
40.2%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
40.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 8 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+7
39.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 7 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
38.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
38.0%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Marcus OutlowSimilar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
34.9%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the Idaho 17Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+34
28.2%
Evan Rabon 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:0630% → 27%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
29.5%
Reuben Mwehla run for 7 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+4
31.0%
Mason Petrino pass complete to David Ungerer for 4 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
29.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 33Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
29.5%
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by C.J. BrewerSimilar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-1
27.1%
Mason Petrino run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 10
OWN 32
+10
26.7%
Cade Coffey punt for 48 yds , Chris Jones returns for 10 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18MISSED FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:5775% → 80%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
25.2%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 6 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+1
24.3%
Alex James run for 1 yd to the CCaro 37Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+4
24.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
23.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 17 yds to the IDAHO 42 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
21.2%
Alex James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 29Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
21.6%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Larry Collins Jr.Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 12
OPP 29
-2
22.5%
Alex James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 31Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+48
19.6%
Evan Rabon 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:5822% → 26%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
21.8%
Mason Petrino pass complete to J.J. Wills for 11 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
24.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 39Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+9
21.8%
Mason Petrino run for 9 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-1
24.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 47Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 5
OWN 47
-15
26.2%
Mason Petrino sacked by Marcus Williamson for a loss of 15 yards to the Idaho 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1990% → 96%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
9.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
9.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
10.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the Idaho 27Similar
Q4 0:49
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+2
4.1%
Kilton Anderson run for 2 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21END OF GAME
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
11.1%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 7 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-15
12.5%
Petrino, Mason pass incomplete to Onunwor, A, QB hurry by Williamson, M., PENALTY IDAHO clipping (Rose, Jordan) 15 yards to the IDAHO17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+9
11.3%
Mason Petrino pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 9 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
10.4%
Mason Petrino pass complete to David Ungerer for 9 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:08
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the Idaho 29
-16.6
TD · Q2 6:57
Alex James run for 42 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)
-10.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 6:18
Mason Petrino pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor
+10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com