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TROY

Troy 42 at Coastal Carolina 17

CCU
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 9 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 41Pregame prior−31.7Home team on offense−2.1Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:44: Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 31 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +3.0 pts (now 19%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 13:52: Brandon Silvers run for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +2.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:26: Jordan Chunn run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +6.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:45: Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 44 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +7.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:32: Josh Anderson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +9.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 4:11CCU 4th & 10 at TROY 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00TROY 4th & 7 at CCU 27, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    79.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:43CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.9%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:54TROY 4th & 9 at CCU 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:17CCU 4th & 8 at TROY 49, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:47TROY 4th & 8 at TROY 48, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:44CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:42TROY 4th & 15 at TROY 48, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:55CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:44TROY 4th & 8 at CCU 39, up 11
    Close callPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%−0.4
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:58CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 15, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:22CCU 4th & 2 at CCU 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.5%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00CCU 4th & 13 at CCU 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:09TROY 4th & 22 at TROY 4, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−2.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:49CCU 4th & 3 at TROY 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.4
    49% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:35CCU 4th & 23 at CCU 44, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TROY made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:47TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:59TROY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:44CCU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:52TROY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:26TROY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:45CCU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:32TROY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:44TROY Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 2INT
11 plays · 59 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.0%
Jacqez Hairston run for 3 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
13.0%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Osharmar Abercrombie for 16 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
13.0%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
13.0%
Kilton Anderson run for 9 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+7
13.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 7 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
13.0%
Alex James run for 12 yds to the Troy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
13.0%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 13 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
13.0%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-1
13.0%
Kilton Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 16Similar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
13.0%
Kilton Anderson pass intercepted Blace Brown return for no gain to the Troy 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3INT
9 plays · 49 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
14.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the Troy 7Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+8
14.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 8 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
14.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Troy 19Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+15
14.2%
Silvers, B. pass incomplete to Flakes, Andre, PENALTY COASTAL pass interference (Smith, Calvin) 15 yards to the TROY34, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
14.1%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Jamarius HendersonSimilar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
14.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas TROY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+17
14.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 17 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
14.0%
Jordan Chunn run for no gain to the CCaro 49Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+28
14.0%
Brandon Silvers pass intercepted Preston Carey return for 28 yds to the Troy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 3:1416% → 17%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
15.7%
Alex James run for 2 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+8
15.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 8 yds to the Troy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
15.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the Troy 21Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-2
15.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 23Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+2
15.3%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Osharmar Abercrombie for 2 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+39
17.3%
Evan Rabon 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:1516% → 19%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
16.3%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Alex James for 7 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+6
16.3%
Alex James run for 6 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
19.3%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 31 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4682% → 84%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.0%
Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+30
17.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 30 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
17.3%
Josh Anderson run for 13 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
17.2%
Josh Anderson run for 7 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 3
OPP 23
-1
17.2%
Josh Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 24Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 4
OPP 24
-3
17.3%
Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+9
19.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 9 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
18.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 4 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
18.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
15.8%
Brandon Silvers run for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8INT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
16.1%
Kilton Anderson run for 4 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-2
16.2%
Kilton Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 34Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+7
15.8%
Kilton Anderson run for 7 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
16.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+40
16.4%
Kilton Anderson pass intercepted Blace Brown return for 40 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:2885% → 91%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
15.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
15.5%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 7
OPP 33
-2
15.6%
Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+12
16.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 12 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
15.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 15 yds to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
9.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
12.3%
Jacqez Hairston run for 6 yds to the Troy 45Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-4
12.5%
Alex James run for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 49Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
12.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 8
OPP 49
+18
11.8%
Evan Rabon punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the Troy 16 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, kick catching interference (Laqavious Paul) to the Troy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
10.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
10.3%
Jamarius Henderson run for 2 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+13
10.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 13 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
9.9%
TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 41Similar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
10.1%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus WilliamsonSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+1
10.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 1 yd to the Troy 42Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+6
10.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 6 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
10.4%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Chris Jones at the CCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 27 yds · 2:2111% → 11%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
11.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the CCaro 14Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+6
11.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 6 yds to the CCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
11.5%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 1 yd to the CCaro 21Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+8
11.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Laquay Brown for 8 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
11.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 3 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
11.7%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
11.5%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marcus Outlow for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+5
10.6%
TROY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the CCaro 36Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
11.0%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
10.8%
Evan Rabon punt for 34 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for no gain to the Troy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:4691% → 91%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
8.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Tevaris McCormick, broken up by Dontay HearsSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
8.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 11 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
8.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 12 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
7.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 3 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
7.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Jordan ChunnSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-8
7.9%
Brandon Silvers sacked by C.J. Brewer for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 48Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 15
OWN 48
+2
8.8%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 34 yds , Chris Jones returns for 2 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
10.7%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Osharmar AbercrombieSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
10.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:1010% → 17%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
9.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 6 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+2
9.8%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
9.7%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+4
9.6%
Alex James run for 4 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
9.8%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 14 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
10.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-12
10.5%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Terrance Corbett and Marcus Webb for a loss of 12 yards to the CCaro 35 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 19
OWN 35
+21
9.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 21 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
17.1%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 44 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
14.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 5
50
+9
14.8%
Deondre Douglas run for 9 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
14.8%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
14.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
14.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel Thompson, broken up by Anthony ChesleySimilar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
15.4%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 33 yds, downed at the CCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
15.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the CCaro 9Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 9
-1
15.1%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Tyquae Russell for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 8Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 8
OWN 8
-4
14.4%
Anderson, K. pass complete to Williams, M. for 16 yards to the COASTAL24 (Rookard, C.), PENALTY COASTAL illegal block (Franklin, Jack) 4 yards to the COASTAL4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 12
OWN 4
+11
14.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 11 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 1
OWN 15
+4
14.4%
Evan Rabon punt for 41 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for 4 yds to the Troy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:4886% → 96%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
14.0%
Josh Anderson run for 8 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+5
13.8%
Josh Anderson run for 5 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
13.9%
Josh Anderson run for 9 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+4
13.5%
Josh Anderson run for 4 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
13.5%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the CCaro 25Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
13.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Clark QuisenberrySimilar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+14
13.9%
Brandon Silvers run for 14 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
4.4%
Josh Anderson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 3:228% → 6%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
7.9%
Kilton Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+11
7.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Maxwell Kjosa for 11 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
8.3%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the CCaro 37Similar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+3
8.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
8.4%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Jamal Stadom for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 37Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+14
7.7%
Kilton Anderson run for 14 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
6.8%
Kilton Anderson run for 2 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-3
6.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 0
-2
5.7%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Hunter Reese for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 48 TROY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the CCaro 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
6.2%
Evan Rabon punt for 47 yds, downed at the Troy 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
3.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 3 yds to the Troy 8Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+4
3.7%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Troy 12Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+4
4.0%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Troy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
3.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas, broken up by Anthony ChesleySimilar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
3.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 5 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 5
OWN 21
-13
3.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the Troy 8 TROY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 18
OWN 8
-4
3.9%
TROY Penalty, Offensive offside (Terence Dunlap) to the Troy 4Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 22
OWN 4
0
3.9%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chris Jones at the Troy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:044% → 4%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
4.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chris Jones, broken up by Tyquae RussellSimilar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-10
4.2%
Anderson, K. pass incomplete, PENALTY COASTAL holding (Howard, Ethan) 10 yards to the COASTAL45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 20
OWN 45
+15
3.8%
Anderson, K. pass incomplete to Williams, M., PENALTY TROY roughing passer (Poole, Baron) 15 yards to the TROY40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
4.3%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
4.3%
Austin Wilson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 7 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
4.6%
Austin Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus JonesSimilar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 3
OPP 33
0
4.2%
Austin Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 2:0297% → 100%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+33
2.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sam Letton for 33 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+32
2.5%
John Johnson pass complete to Gabe Hill for 32 yds to the CCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-17
2.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the CCaro 19Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
0.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 19 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
0.2%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Laquay BrownSimilar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-7
0.2%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Marcus Webb for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 17
50
-6
0.2%
Kilton Anderson run for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 44Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 23
OWN 44
0
0.2%
Evan Rabon punt for 34 yds , Marcus Jones returns for no gain to the Troy 23 Marcus Jones fumbled, recovered by Troy Marcus JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 58 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
0.2%
B.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+3
0.2%
Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the Troy 32Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
0.2%
B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
0.2%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Damion Willis for 16 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
0.2%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Richard Hallman for 5 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
0.2%
Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
0.2%
B.J. Smith run for 3 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
0.2%
B.J. Smith run for 13 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
0.2%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+4
0.2%
B.J. Smith run for 4 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:32
Josh Anderson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q3 10:45
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Chris Jones for 44 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q2 8:26
Jordan Chunn run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com