Try the model
GASO

Georgia Southern 6 at App State 27

APP
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 9, 2017 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:44 · Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 30 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Pregame prior+8.9Home team on offense+24.7Score differential+10.8Garbage-time factor+11.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:12: Collin Reed 23 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Chandler Staton Kick) — APP win probability +4.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Chandler Staton 53 Yd Field Goal — APP win probability +2.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:24: Tyler Bass 44 Yd Field Goal — GASO win probability +3.7 pts (now 18%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:03: Timeout GA SOUTHERN, clock 01:03 — APP win probability +4.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:55: Ike Lewis 20 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Chandler Staton Kick) — APP win probability +4.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 7GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:10GASO 4th & 12 at GASO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:32APP 4th & 12 at GASO 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:38GASO 4th & 5 at APP 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:49APP 4th & 9 at GASO 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.0%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:56GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 19, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:38GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 49, down 4
    Close callPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:20APP 4th & 1 at APP 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.3%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:23GASO 4th & 17 at APP 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:38APP 4th & 10 at GASO 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:44GASO 4th & 1 at APP 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−2.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    10.8%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:24GASO 4th & 3 at APP 27, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.0%−0.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−6.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:35APP 4th & 3 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.1%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:06GASO 4th & 23 at GASO 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−1.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:44APP 4th & 6 at GASO 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:51GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:35APP 4th & 2 at GASO 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 7:12APP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:55APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:40APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:2610% → 11%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
89.6%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+3
89.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+12
89.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 12 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
89.2%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-2
88.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-4
88.8%
Shai Werts sacked by Austin Exford for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
88.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:2189% → 87%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
88.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 7 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+7
88.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
88.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+10
88.4%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete, PENALTY GASOUTHERN holding (Brinson, Monquavion) 10 yards to the GASOUTHERN46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.Similar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
88.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 41 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dante Jones) to the AppSt 47Similar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 17
OWN 47
+3
87.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 14
50
+2
87.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
87.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
87.3%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 6:2813% → 16%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
87.2%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
87.1%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
87.0%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
86.6%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
86.2%
L.A. Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
85.7%
Wesley Fields run for 12 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
85.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Myles Campbell for 3 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
85.3%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+4
85.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+18
84.2%
Shai Werts run for 28 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
84.1%
Wesley Fields run for 7 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-2
83.6%
L.A. Ramsby run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 12Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
84.1%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
84.0%
Tyler Bass 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 4:2684% → 82%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
84.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
84.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
84.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+12
84.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
84.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-13
84.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the AppSt 39 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-16 Yards) to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 20
OWN 45
-5
82.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 25
OWN 40
+17
82.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 17 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 8
OPP 43
-1
83.1%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
81.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4119% → 19%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
81.4%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+3
81.3%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+4
81.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 4 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+10
81.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 47 yds , Clifton Duck returns for 10 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:3882% → 86%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
81.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+21
81.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 21 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
81.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+7
81.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
85.8%
Collin Reed 23 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2216% → 17%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
84.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Anthony Flory) to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
83.0%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+2
82.6%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-2
82.5%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
83.5%
Tyler Bass punt for 38 yds , Clifton Duck returns for no gain to the AppSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:0583% → 83%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
83.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+10
83.2%
Taylor Lamb run for 10 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
83.4%
Malik Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 24Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 13
OWN 24
0
82.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+12
82.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 12 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
82.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the AppSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:3719% → 16%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
80.6%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 38Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 12
OPP 38
0
81.2%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik HenrySimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 12
OPP 38
-5
83.4%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 43Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 17
OPP 43
0
83.8%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik HenrySimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 17
OPP 43
0
84.5%
Matt Flynn punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:1282% → 88%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the AppSt 20Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
82.2%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the AppSt 21Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+44
81.4%
Taylor Lamb run for 44 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+53
87.7%
Chandler Staton 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:0786% → 88%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+51
85.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 51 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
86.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+5
86.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+8
86.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 8 yds to the GeoSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
86.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
86.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 0
OPP 7
-5
86.4%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
85.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 10:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
87.6%
Chandler Staton 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 5:3613% → 18%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
87.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for no gain to the GeoSo 37 L.A. Ramsby fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Tommy BoyntonSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
87.1%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+15
87.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 15 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
86.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 6 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
85.6%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 1
OPP 35
0
85.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for no gain to the AppSt 35Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
86.8%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
84.9%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+4
84.9%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+1
85.7%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the AppSt 27Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
82.0%
Tyler Bass 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2286% → 96%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
85.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 18 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
86.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
87.1%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-2
87.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:35
4TH & 3
50
+23
86.1%
Caleb Fuller run for 23 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
90.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 19
-1
91.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+20
95.9%
Ike Lewis 20 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:046% → 5%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
94.4%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 15
OWN 26
0
94.8%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to D'Ondre GlennSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 15
OWN 26
-8
94.9%
Shai Werts sacked by Antonious Sims for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 23
OWN 18
0
95.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:1796% → 99%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.2%
Malik Williams pass incomplete to Collin ReedSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
96.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+15
96.2%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete, PENALTY GASOUTHERN personal foul (Cooper, Deshon) 15 yards to the GASOUTHERN38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.Similar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
96.5%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+1
96.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
96.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Marcus Williams Jr.Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+30
96.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 30 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
96.9%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 0
OPP 5
+2
97.5%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Reed, Collin, PENALTY GASOUTHERN roughing passer (Johnson III, Raymond) 2 yards to the GASOUTHERN3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.Similar
Q4 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.3%
Daetrich Harrington 3 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:090% → 0%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.6%
Demarcus Godfrey run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+8
99.6%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Wesley Kennedy III pass incomplete to Malik HenrySimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
99.6%
Shai Werts sacked by Rashaad Townes for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Clifton Duck at the AppSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 4:4599% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+8
99.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 8 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+5
99.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
99.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+5
99.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+2
99.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 2
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the GeoSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18END OF GAME
11 plays · 60 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
99.8%
Kado Brown run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Kado Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Kado Brown pass incomplete to Malik HenrySimilar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.8%
Kado Brown pass complete to Malik Henry for 12 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 5
OPP 44
+4
99.8%
Kado Brown pass complete to Wesley Fields for 4 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
99.7%
Kado Brown pass complete to D'Ondre Glenn for 4 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
99.8%
Kado Brown pass complete to Myles Campbell for 12 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 19Similar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 5
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Kado Brown pass incomplete to Mark MichaudSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+8
99.7%
Kado Brown pass complete to Wesley Fields for 8 yds to the AppSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:55
Ike Lewis 20 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Chandler Staton Kick)
+4.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:03
Timeout GA SOUTHERN, clock 01:03
+4.5
TD · Q2 7:12
Collin Reed 23 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Chandler Staton Kick)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com