Try the model
IDHO

Idaho 21 at Troy 24

TROY
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 2, 2017 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:10 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:01: Jordan Chunn run for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +6.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 8:55: Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 23 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK) — IDHO win probability +24.7 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 4:12: Jordan Chunn run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +15.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:23: Mason Petrino pass complete to David Ungerer for 6 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK) — IDHO win probability +28.8 pts (now 35%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:10: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 49 — TROY win probability +17.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4IDHO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:35IDHO 4th & 9 at TROY 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:10TROY 4th & 9 at IDHO 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:38IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:32IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:41IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:43IDHO 4th & 4 at TROY 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    12.6%−0.8
    49% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:53TROY 4th & 4 at midfield, up 10
    Close callPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:25IDHO 4th & 2 at TROY 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−1.9
    47% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:24TROY 4th & 8 at TROY 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:35TROY 4th & 1 at IDHO 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    72.0%−7.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−25.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IDHO made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 3:02IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:01TROY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:55TROY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:55IDHO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:12TROY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:23IDHO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 4:1010% → 11%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 3 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
89.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
89.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 10 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
89.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 16 yds Alfonso Onunwor fumbled, recovered by IdahoSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
89.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Troy 43Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+18
89.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 18 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
88.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Troy 24Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
88.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
88.7%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+40
88.7%
Cade Coffey 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:1989% → 88%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
88.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
88.7%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+14
88.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 14 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
88.5%
Jordan Chunn run for 8 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
88.4%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
88.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
88.3%
Josh Anderson run for 1 yd to the Idaho 48Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 9
OPP 48
0
87.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
87.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 33 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2412% → 13%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
87.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 4 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
87.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
87.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
87.4%
Cade Coffey punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-6
87.6%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Aikeem Coleman and TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line Brandon Silvers fumbled, forced by Aikeem Coleman, recovered by Idaho Aikeem Coleman , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:1714% → 17%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
50
+29
86.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 29 yds to the Troy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
86.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Troy 21Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
86.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 5 yds to the Troy 16Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+9
86.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 9 yds to the Troy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
83.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 7 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 6INT
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:0384% → 82%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
84.0%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 23Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+26
83.4%
Jordan Chunn run for 26 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
83.8%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-5
83.8%
TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 48Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+3
83.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+13
82.8%
Josh Anderson run for 13 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
83.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 4 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+7
83.4%
Josh Anderson run for 7 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
83.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 10 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
82.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 16Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 11
OPP 16
+3
82.5%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+10
81.7%
Brandon Silvers pass intercepted Ed Hall return for 10 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 4:0220% → 23%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
80.3%
Duckworth, Aaron rush for loss of 1 yard to the IDAHO12, PENALTY IDAHO holding 6 yards to the IDAHO7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 16
OWN 7
0
80.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+9
80.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 9 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+12
79.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 12 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
78.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+8
78.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 8 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
77.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
76.8%
Cade Coffey punt for 24 yds, downed at the Troy 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 8TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:2378% → 84%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
77.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jamarius Henderson for 3 yds to the Troy 44Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
77.0%
Jamarius Henderson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 1
50
+3
76.8%
Brandon Silvers run for 3 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
76.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 27 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
77.5%
Brandon Silvers run for 4 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
84.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 16 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 3:0320% → 21%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
79.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 5
OWN 31
-9
78.8%
Matt Linehan sacked by Sam Lebbie and Antione Barker for a loss of 9 yards to the Idaho 22Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 14
OWN 22
+15
80.2%
Matt Linehan run for 15 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
78.5%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
78.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-7
76.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the Idaho 49 IDAHO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
77.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:41
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+4
79.1%
Cade Coffey punt for 38 yds , Cedarius Rookard returns for 4 yds to the Troy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 10END OF HALF
18 plays · 50 yds · 2:3481% → 83%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
81.0%
Brandon Silvers run for 2 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
80.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+20
79.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 20 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
81.6%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-1
81.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 9 yds to the Idaho 38 TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Idaho 48Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
81.7%
Jordan Chunn run for no gain to the Idaho 48Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+9
80.3%
Jordan Chunn run for 9 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
80.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-15
80.7%
Silvers, Brandon pass complete to Willis, Damion for 7 yards to the IDAHO32, PENALTY TROY personal foul 15 yards to the TROY46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 25
OWN 46
0
79.0%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 25
OWN 46
+15
78.0%
IDAHO Penalty, Personal Foul (Armond Hawkins) to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
80.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 4 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+10
81.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 10 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
81.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
81.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 2 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+40
82.5%
Tyler Sumpter 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4582% → 89%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
81.6%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-1
82.7%
Sidney Davis run for 9 yds to the Troy 48 TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Troy 38Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
82.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 7 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
82.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 7 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+26
82.4%
Jamarius Henderson run for 26 yds to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
82.7%
Tevaris McCormick run for 8 yds to the Idaho 14Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+14
89.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 14 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:0112% → 13%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
87.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
87.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 4 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
87.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 11 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
86.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+13
86.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 13 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
86.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Troy 36Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
86.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+3
86.4%
Matt Linehan run for 3 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
87.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:4188% → 88%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
88.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sidney Davis for 6 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+5
89.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
89.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+1
89.2%
Brandon Silvers run for 1 yd to the Troy 48Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+2
88.6%
Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 4
50
0
88.3%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 4:2013% → 12%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
87.5%
TROY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
86.8%
Matt Linehan run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 5
50
+3
86.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+5
86.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 5 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
85.8%
Matt Linehan sacked by Hunter Reese for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 48Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+7
86.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 7 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+7
86.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
88.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5689% → 89%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
89.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-6
90.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 4 yds to the Troy 38 TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Troy 28Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+5
89.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 5 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+3
88.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 3 yds to the Troy 36Similar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 8
OWN 36
+55
88.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 45 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the TROY 19 IDAHO Penalty, Personal Foul (10 Yards) to the Idaho 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 4:1511% → 35%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
89.3%
Matt Linehan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+3
89.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+5
89.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+45
89.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Kaden Elliss for 45 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
87.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Marcus Webb and Braijon Carr for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 40Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+3
89.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+14
90.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 14 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
65.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 23 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:3477% → 94%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
76.6%
Jamarius Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 22Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
75.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 8 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
75.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 13 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
78.4%
Josh Anderson run for 3 yds to the Troy 46 TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Troy 36Similar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 17
OWN 36
+47
76.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 47 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
81.0%
Josh Anderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 22Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+10
80.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 10 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
80.0%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+4
77.7%
IDAHO Penalty, Running Into Kicker (4 Yards) to the Idaho 8Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+1
78.1%
Brandon Silvers run for 1 yd to the Idaho 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.9%
Jordan Chunn run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18TD
16 plays · 81 yds · 3:357% → 35%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
92.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 16 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
92.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 8 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
92.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+9
92.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 9 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
92.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 9 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+11
91.8%
Matt Linehan run for 11 yds to the Troy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-7
91.5%
Matt Linehan sacked by Trevon Sanders and Hunter Reese for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 35Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 17
OPP 35
+14
94.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 14 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+13
93.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 13 yds to the Troy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 0
OPP 8
+4
92.4%
TROY Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (4 Yards) to the Troy 4Similar
Q4 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
93.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Hunter Reese for a loss of 9 yards to the Troy 13Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 0
OPP 13
+6
92.8%
Petrino, Mason pass incomplete, PENALTY TROY personal foul 6 yards to the TROY7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IDAHO.Similar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
93.5%
Mason Petrino sacked by Kelvin Lucky for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 12 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (6 Yards) to the Troy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
64.7%
Mason Petrino pass complete to David Ungerer for 6 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
94.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:23
Mason Petrino pass complete to David Ungerer for 6 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)
-28.8
TD · Q4 8:55
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 23 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)
-24.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:10
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 49
+17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com