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ULM

UL Monroe 23 at Idaho 31

IDHO
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:30 · Cade Coffey punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Home team on offense+10.5Score differential+5.0Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Pregame prior+1.7Time remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:55: Aaron Duckworth 6 Yd Run (Cade Coffey Kick) — IDHO win probability +4.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:06: Kaden Elliss 45 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick) — IDHO win probability +14.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:36: D'Marius Gillespie 54 Yd pass from Caleb Evans (Craig Ford Kick) — ULM win probability +10.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:17: Alfonso Onunwor 11 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick) — IDHO win probability +11.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:51: Derrick Gore 13 Yd pass from Caleb Evans (Craig Ford Kick) — ULM win probability +11.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 3:36ULM 4th & 6 at IDHO 31, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.2%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:36IDHO 4th & 7 at ULM 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    66.3%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:14ULM 4th & 2 at IDHO 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    29.3%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−7.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:30IDHO 4th & 15 at IDHO 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:29ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:55ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:46IDHO 4th & 8 at ULM 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:12IDHO 4th & 1 at ULM 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.5%−1.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−4.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:17ULM 4th & 14 at IDHO 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:17IDHO 4th & 8 at ULM 48, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:15IDHO 4th & 19 at IDHO 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−2.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:21ULM 4th & 9 at IDHO 9, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−4.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 11:39IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:55IDHO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:06IDHO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:36ULM Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:17IDHO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:19ULM Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    7.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:51ULM Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%−1.0
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2153% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
52.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 6 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
52.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+17
52.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 17 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
52.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+14
52.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 14 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
52.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+26
55.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 26 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2INT
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
54.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to D'Marius Gillespie for 17 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
54.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 15 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
54.1%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Ed Hall return for 7 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:5455% → 60%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
55.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Reuben MwehlaSimilar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
55.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 15 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
55.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 8 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+7
55.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
55.5%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+12
55.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 12 yds to the LaMon 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
55.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 9 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+6
60.4%
Aaron Duckworth 6 Yd Run (Cade Coffey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:1941% → 38%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.1%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
59.0%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
59.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 15 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
58.8%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 41Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+12
59.1%
Derrick Gore run for 12 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
58.5%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
58.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 10 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
58.2%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the Idaho 35Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
58.3%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the Idaho 31 Caleb Evans fumbled, recovered by LaMon Caleb EvansSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
58.5%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+48
62.5%
Craig Ford 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
63.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
64.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+14
64.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 14 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
64.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Mason Petrino for 4 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-1
64.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
64.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David Ungerer, broken up by Roland JenkinsSimilar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
63.6%
Cade Coffey punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaMon 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 95 yds · 4:5435% → 32%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
64.6%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+10
64.7%
Caleb Evans run for 10 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
64.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Ben Luckett for 17 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
64.8%
Ben Luckett run for 21 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
64.1%
Duke Carter IV run for 7 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+26
63.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 26 yds to the Idaho 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
63.2%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the Idaho 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
63.2%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
63.8%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q2 11:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.1%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the Idaho 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 4:0371% → 87%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
70.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Caleb TuckerSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+8
70.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 8 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+14
70.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 14 yds to the Idaho 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
71.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+2
71.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 2 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+12
70.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 12 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
71.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Idaho 41Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+14
71.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 14 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
86.6%
Kaden Elliss 45 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:2417% → 27%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
82.8%
Caleb Evans sacked by Kaden Elliss for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 18
OWN 33
+13
83.7%
Caleb Evans run for 13 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+54
73.0%
D'Marius Gillespie 54 Yd pass from Caleb Evans (Craig Ford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+16
74.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 16 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
74.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 15Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
74.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
74.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+7
75.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
75.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the LaMon 48Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
75.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 9
OPP 48
-6
75.0%
Matt Linehan sacked by Sam Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 46Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
73.7%
Cade Coffey punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
77.3%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 19Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
77.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Brian WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
77.8%
Harrison Heim punt for 37 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 0:2380% → 91%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+29
80.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 29 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
79.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 10 yds to the LaMon 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
79.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 6 yds to the LaMon 11Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+11
91.2%
Alfonso Onunwor 11 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
91.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 9 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
91.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
91.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
89.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 9 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+8
88.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 8 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
88.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
88.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete, broken up by Arie AndersonSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+5
89.4%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
89.0%
Harrison Heim punt for 49 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:4292% → 94%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
91.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+21
91.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 21 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+40
91.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 40 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
92.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Mason Petrino, broken up by Juwan OffraySimilar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
92.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the LaMon 28Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-5
92.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 10 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (Maxim Moore) to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
92.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+10
92.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 10 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
92.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
92.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for no gain to the LaMon 21Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
92.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
94.1%
Cade Coffey 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:276% → 11%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.2%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.2%
Caleb Evans run for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
94.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Ben Luckett for 8 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
93.9%
Evans, Caleb pass incomplete to Green, Marcus, QB hurry by Elliss, Kaden, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Hall, Ed) 15 yards to the IDAHO46, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
93.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Duke Carter IV for 12 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
93.3%
Evans, Caleb pass intercepted by Onunwor, A at the IDAHO20, Onunwor, A return to the IDAHO33 (Reynolds, Bobby), PENALTY IDAHO offside defense (Anderson, Arie) 1 yards to the IDAHO33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
93.2%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+26
89.1%
Brian Williams 26 Yd pass from Caleb Evans (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
92.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 30Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
92.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 9 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
92.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Rashaad HardingSimilar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+19
92.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 19 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
92.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 4 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
92.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
92.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Mason Petrino for 5 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 1
OPP 29
-1
92.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:486% → 8%
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
93.7%
Marcus Green run for 3 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-1
93.6%
Ben Luckett run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+33
94.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 33 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
92.9%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+27
93.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for 27 yds to the Idaho 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
92.6%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the Idaho 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-5
92.6%
Caleb Evans sacked by Leonard Hazewood for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 15
0
93.5%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+32
92.1%
Craig Ford 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 7 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
94.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 33Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
94.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 3 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 36Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+14
94.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
50
+3
95.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
95.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-1
94.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
94.3%
Cade Coffey punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:235% → 17%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
94.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 11 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+29
94.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 29 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to RJ TurnerSimilar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+27
94.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 27 yds to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
82.6%
Derrick Gore 13 Yd pass from Caleb Evans (Craig Ford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 2 yds · 2:3690% → 94%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 9 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
90.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
90.8%
Duckworth, A rush for 1 yard to the IDAHO37 (Sisco, Cortez), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Schuster, I) 10 yards to the IDAHO26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-3
90.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 23Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 23
OWN 23
+6
90.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 17
OWN 29
-2
89.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 27Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 19
OWN 27
+42
93.7%
Cade Coffey punt for 35 yds , Marcus Green returns for 42 yds to the IDAHO 31 UL MONROE Penalty, illegal block (Sam Miller) to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 19
OWN 27
+45
93.7%
Coffey, Cade punt 35 yards to the ULM38, Green, Marcus return to the IDAHO20 (Coffey, Cade), PENALTY ULM illegal block (Miller, Sam) 45 yards to the ULM28, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22DOWNS
15 plays · 63 yds · 2:5410% → 7%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
90.0%
Caleb Evans run for 8 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-1
88.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Roland Jenkins for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+14
89.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for 14 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
87.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Brian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-8
88.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 18
OWN 41
+32
90.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 32 yds to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
85.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 13 yds to the Idaho 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
85.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 8 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+3
85.6%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the Idaho 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
85.6%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 4Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
89.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Sloan SpillerSimilar
Q4 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
90.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q4 0:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
91.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Trace Ellison) to the Idaho 9Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
92.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Brian WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:06
Kaden Elliss 45 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick)
+14.8
TD · Q2 0:17
Alfonso Onunwor 11 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick)
+11.7
TD · Q4 5:51
Derrick Gore 13 Yd pass from Caleb Evans (Craig Ford Kick)
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com