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GASO

Georgia Southern 16 at Troy 38

TROY
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 28, 2017 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
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Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.2TROY 91.9%Tyler Bass 46 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 14 · Q2 11:09
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:09 · Tyler Bass 46 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+36.3Home team on offense+2.2Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:17: Monteo Garrett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK) — GASO win probability +1.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:24: Jamarius Henderson run for 59 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +2.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:13: Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK) — TROY win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:45: Tyler Sumpter 28 yd FG GOOD — TROY win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:18: Wesley Fields run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass PAT MISSED) — GASO win probability +2.6 pts (now 4%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 2 of 6GASO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:24GASO 4th & 1 at TROY 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.3%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:17TROY 4th & 3 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:21GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00GASO 4th & 2 at TROY 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:09GASO 4th & 16 at TROY 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:17TROY 4th & 1 at TROY 28, up 11
    Close callPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:39GASO 4th & 20 at GASO 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 25, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:09TROY 4th & 5 at GASO 48, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:35GASO 4th & 14 at GASO 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:02TROY 4th & 10 at GASO 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:45TROY 4th & 3 at GASO 11, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%−0.3
    87% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−2.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:29TROY 4th & 8 at TROY 44, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:23TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:17GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:08TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:24TROY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:13TROY Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:18GASO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:15TROY Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3795% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
95.2%
Josh Anderson run for 20 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
95.1%
John Johnson pass complete to Tray Eafford for 40 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
15 plays · 43 yds · 7:065% → 7%
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
95.1%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the Troy 38Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
95.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q1 14:23
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
95.1%
Kado Brown run for no gain to the Troy 31 Kado Brown fumbled, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
94.8%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the Troy 30Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+5
94.8%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+3
94.8%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the Troy 22Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
94.8%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the Troy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
94.8%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the Troy 11Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 1
OPP 11
-1
94.8%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 12Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+2
94.8%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the Troy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
94.8%
Monteo Garrett run for 4 yds to the Troy 6Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
94.8%
W. Fields rush up middle for 2 yards to the TROY4 (Calloway, Seth), PENALTY TROY offside defense 3 yards to the TROY3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.2%
Monteo Garrett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.5%
Josh Anderson run for 5 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
93.5%
Brandon Silvers run for 13 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
93.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+7
93.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 3
50
0
93.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
92.9%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+4
92.9%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-3
93.0%
Monteo Garrett run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 7
OWN 21
+32
93.1%
Matt Flynn punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 32 , Cedarius Rookard returns for 32 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
93.9%
Josh Anderson run for 32 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FG
14 plays · 37 yds · 6:496% → 8%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
93.9%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+4
93.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+11
93.9%
Kado Brown pass complete to Obe Fortune for 11 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
93.7%
Kado Brown run for 10 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
93.6%
Kado Brown run for 1 yd to the Troy 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+1
92.8%
Kado Brown run for 1 yd to the Troy 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+6
92.8%
Kado Brown pass complete to D'Ondre Glenn for 6 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+11
93.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for 11 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
92.6%
Kado Brown run for 4 yds to the Troy 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-7
92.6%
Kado Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 27 Kado Brown fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Kado BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 27
-1
93.1%
Kado Brown sacked by Jamal Stadom for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 28Similar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+46
91.9%
Tyler Bass 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 0:4591% → 94%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
91.1%
Jamarius Henderson run for 12 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
93.9%
Jamarius Henderson run for 59 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8INT
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+38
93.6%
Wesley Fields run for 38 yds to the Troy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
92.9%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
92.8%
Kado Brown run for 4 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+8
93.1%
Kado Brown run for 8 yds to the Troy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
92.8%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 20Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 13
OPP 20
-5
93.1%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 25Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 18
OPP 25
0
93.3%
Kado Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 18
OPP 25
+5
93.5%
Kado Brown pass intercepted Tron Folsom return for 5 yds to the Troy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
93.4%
Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
93.4%
Josh Anderson run for 5 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+2
93.2%
Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
93.1%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 51 yds, downed at the GeoSo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:257% → 6%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
93.2%
Kado Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 14
OWN 17
+8
93.3%
Wesley Fields run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+15
93.3%
Kado Brown pass complete to Obe Fortune for 15 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
92.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
92.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the GeoSo 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Wesley FieldsSimilar
Q2 2:44
3RD & 30
OWN 20
+10
93.8%
Kado Brown pass complete to Obe Fortune for 10 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
93.9%
Matt Flynn punt for 32 yds, downed at the Troy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 2:1593% → 95%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
93.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 4 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
93.3%
Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the Troy 44Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+6
93.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
50
0
93.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
50
0
93.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Tray EaffordSimilar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 10
50
-5
93.0%
TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 45Similar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 15
OWN 45
+33
92.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 33 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
93.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Damion WillisSimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
93.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas, broken up by Kindle VildorSimilar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+16
93.2%
Josh Anderson run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
93.4%
Josh Anderson run for no gain to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
95.3%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+4
95.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
95.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-5
95.1%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+4
95.4%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Shai Werts pass incomplete, broken up by Blace BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Matt Flynn punt for 28 yds, downed at the Troy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.8%
Josh Anderson run for no gain to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
96.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 5 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
96.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
96.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
95.3%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
95.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
95.2%
Kado Brown run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
95.1%
Kado Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 13
OWN 28
-1
95.4%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 14
OWN 27
0
95.5%
Kado Brown pass incomplete, broken up by Baron PooleSimilar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 14
OWN 27
0
95.5%
Matt Flynn punt for 37 yds, downed at the Troy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:1797% → 99%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
97.0%
Jamarius Henderson run for 6 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
97.1%
Brandon Silvers run for 1 yd to the Troy 43Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+6
97.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 6 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
97.1%
Josh Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+16
97.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 16 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.1%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Josh AndersonSimilar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
97.1%
Jamarius Henderson run for no gain to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
97.0%
Josh Anderson run for no gain to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+19
96.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 19 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
97.1%
Josh Anderson run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+1
97.1%
Josh Anderson run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 3
OPP 11
0
97.1%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
98.7%
Tyler Sumpter 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:452% → 1%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
98.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-7
98.4%
Kado Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 24
+3
98.9%
Kado Brown run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+7
98.9%
Kado Brown run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
98.9%
Matt Flynn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cedarius Rookard at the Troy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.1%
Kaleb Barker run for 3 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
99.1%
Kaleb Barker run for 5 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+7
99.1%
Josh Anderson run for 7 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.1%
Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.1%
Kaleb Barker run for 5 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+2
99.1%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 3
OWN 49
-5
99.1%
TROY Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Troy 44Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 8
OWN 44
+4
99.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 42 yds , Myles Campbell returns for 4 yds to the GeoSo 48 TROY Penalty, illegal touching (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 7:271% → 4%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.1%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
99.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+6
99.1%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.1%
Monteo Garrett run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
99.0%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Myles CampbellSimilar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+9
99.1%
Wesley Fields run for 9 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.1%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
99.0%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the Troy 41Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+4
99.1%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
99.1%
Shai Werts run for 20 yds to the Troy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
98.9%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the Troy 14Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
98.9%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the Troy 14Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+9
99.0%
Monteo Garrett run for 9 yds to the Troy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.9%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the Troy 3Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.3%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20TD
11 plays · 44 yds · 1:0398% → 100%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
98.0%
Kaleb Barker run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
98.4%
Kaleb Barker run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
98.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
98.9%
B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+28
98.8%
Kaleb Barker run for 28 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
B.J. Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 54 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to D'Ondre Glenn for 7 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+33
99.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Henry for 33 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
99.8%
Shai Werts run for 14 yds to the Troy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:24
Jamarius Henderson run for 59 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q4 2:18
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Bass PAT MISSED)
-2.6
TD · Q2 0:13
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 6 yds for a TD, (Tyler Sumpter KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com