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ULM

UL Monroe 23 at South Alabama 33

USA
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+1.3USA 61.8%Gavin Patterson 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 17 · Q2 6:54
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:54 · Gavin Patterson 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Home team on offense+3.2Pregame prior+3.9Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+0.3Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:39: Caleb Evans run for 17 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford PAT MISSED) — ULM win probability +4.0 pts (now 45%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:00: Ben Luckett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +12.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:04: Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +12.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:38: Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 20 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson PAT MISSED) — USA win probability +14.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:50: Gavin Patterson 32 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +3.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 1:12USA 4th & 1 at ULM 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    64.0%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−4.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:04USA 4th & 2 at USA 25, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:54USA 4th & 3 at ULM 20, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%−0.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:03ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:47ULM 4th & 4 at USA 14, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.9%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−6.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:38ULM 4th & 4 at USA 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    28.3%−0.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−10.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:15USA 4th & 25 at USA 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−5.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:02ULM 4th & 1 at USA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    23.1%−4.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:38ULM 4th & 4 at USA 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−13.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:50USA 4th & 9 at ULM 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−9.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:04USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:14USA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:24ULM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:39ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    38.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:00ULM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:04USA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:38USA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5656% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
56.4%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
56.4%
Dallas Davis run for 7 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+33
56.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 33 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
56.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 41 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+3
56.4%
Dallas Davis run for 3 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+38
57.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tra Minter for 38 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2FUMBLE
11 plays · 61 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
57.4%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
57.5%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+13
57.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 13 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
57.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 6 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+17
57.3%
Derrick Gore run for 17 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
57.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 5 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+2
57.1%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q1 12:04
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+16
57.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for 16 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
57.1%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+88
57.1%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the LaMon 4 Derrick Gore fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by SAlab Jeremy Reaves , return for 92 yds to the LaMon 0 UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jeremy Reaves) to the LaMon 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 63%
Q1 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
60.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.1%
Xavier Johnson 4 Yd Run (Gavin Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:5038% → 41%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
61.7%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+29
61.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to D'Marius Gillespie for 29 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
61.3%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+7
60.9%
Ben Luckett run for 7 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
58.6%
Ben Luckett run for 22 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
58.6%
UL MONROE Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5DOWNS
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:1260% → 62%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+25
60.1%
Tra Minter run for 25 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
60.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 11 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
60.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 7 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
60.9%
Denzel Foster run for 4 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
60.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+27
61.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 27 yds to the LaMon 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
61.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 8Similar
Q1 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
61.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 2Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
61.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 1Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.7%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
62.0%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:0638% → 39%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
61.6%
Ben Luckett run for 6 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+2
61.7%
Ben Luckett run for 2 yds to the LaMon 11Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+23
62.1%
Caleb Evans run for 23 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
61.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to RJ Turner, broken up by Tobias MossSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
61.5%
Caleb Evans run for 8 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
60.5%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
61.5%
Harrison Heim punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Sam Harris at the SAlab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
62.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Xavier JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+8
62.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 8 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
61.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sam HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
61.2%
Corliss Waitman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Green at the LaMon 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:2038% → 45%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
61.8%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
60.9%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
60.9%
Derrick Gore run for 5 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+30
60.7%
Ben Luckett run for 30 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
59.4%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+1
59.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 1 yd to the SAlab 17Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+17
55.5%
Caleb Evans run for 17 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9FG
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:4559% → 62%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+47
58.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 47 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
61.4%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+9
61.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 9 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 2
OPP 19
-1
60.6%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
61.8%
Gavin Patterson 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:5440% → 53%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+74
59.8%
Marcus Green run for 74 yds to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.3%
Ben Luckett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0051% → 54%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
51.2%
Tra Minter run for 9 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+3
52.9%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
52.1%
Davis, Dallas pass incomplete (Tucker, Caleb), PENALTY ULM offside defense 5 yards to the USA41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 5
OWN 41
-10
53.9%
Davis, Dallas pass incomplete to Gardner, David, dropped pass, PENALTY USA holding (Alexander, Ryan) 10 yards to the USA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+14
51.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 14 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+1
53.9%
Dallas Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
53.8%
Dallas Davis pass intercepted Corey Straughter return for 16 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
48.3%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
48.5%
Ben Luckett run for 4 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+3
48.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 3 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
49.6%
Harrison Heim punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 1:2950% → 66%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
49.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 8 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+20
51.5%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Malik Stanley for 20 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+24
53.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 24 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
54.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Malik StanleySimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
54.8%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Malik StanleySimilar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+14
52.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 14 yds to the LaMon 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
54.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 9 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 1
OPP 5
0
54.7%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jordan McCraySimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
65.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
62.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:1339% → 41%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
61.5%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
61.1%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to D'Marius Gillespie, broken up by Darrell SongySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+10
62.3%
Evans, Caleb pass incomplete to Turner, RJ (Moss, Tobias), PENALTY USA pass interference (Moss, Tobias) 10 yards to the ULM45, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
59.8%
Caleb Evans run for 9 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+3
58.4%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
58.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 23 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
57.4%
Ben Luckett run for 1 yd to the SAlab 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
57.4%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the SAlab 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+1
59.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 1 yd Brian Williams fumbled, forced by Bull Barge, recovered by LaMon D'Marius GillespieSimilar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
58.8%
Craig Ford 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0961% → 79%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
61.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
63.1%
Dallas Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
61.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
62.2%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Harrison Louden) to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+6
61.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tra Minter for 6 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+11
61.8%
Dallas Davis run for 11 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
64.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 32 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
78.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 20 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson PAT MISSED)Similar
Q3 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
78.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Ryan Alexander) to the LaMon 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 67 yds · 0:0029% → 31%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
71.3%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+57
71.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 57 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
65.6%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
65.6%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
67.5%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+2
69.4%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the SAlab 9 UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+22
75.6%
Jamarius Way run for 22 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
76.5%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Xavier JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
76.3%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jordan McCraySimilar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-15
75.1%
Davis, Dallas pass complete to McCray, Jordan for 27 yards to the ULM42, out-of-bounds, PENALTY USA pass interference (McCray, Jordan) 15 yards to the USA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 25
OWN 16
0
74.7%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete, broken up by Caleb TuckerSimilar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 25
OWN 16
+28
73.6%
Corliss Waitman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Marcus Green at the SOUTHALA 41 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the SAlab 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19MISSED FG
13 plays · 37 yds · 5:2431% → 23%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
69.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 2 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+7
69.4%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-4
69.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Eastwood Thomas) to the SAlab 39Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
69.9%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+1
71.3%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
67.6%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 39 Caleb Evans fumbled, recovered by LaMon Caleb EvansSimilar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+13
71.2%
Ben Luckett run for 13 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+2
71.6%
Ben Luckett run for 2 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
69.5%
Caleb Evans run for 11 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
69.5%
Derrick Gore run for 9 yds to the SAlab 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 4
-3
69.5%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
71.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Brian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
76.9%
Craig Ford 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:4884% → 89%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
83.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+25
83.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 25 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
85.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 11 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
85.9%
Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
86.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
85.2%
Dallas Davis run for 5 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
86.2%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 12 yds to the LaMon 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
86.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Maaseiah FrancisSimilar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
86.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Malik StanleySimilar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+1
85.2%
Deonta Moore run for 1 yd to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
88.8%
Gavin Patterson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0011% → 14%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
88.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 10 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 4 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
86.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 5 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
87.0%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
86.5%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Jeremy Reaves return for no gain to the SAlab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22END OF GAME
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:5991% → 96%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
91.1%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
91.6%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
91.3%
Dallas Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
94.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 11 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
94.2%
Denzel Foster run for 16 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
94.3%
Denzel Foster run for 6 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+7
96.3%
Denzel Foster run for 7 yds to the LaMon 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
96.3%
Deonta Moore run for 1 yd to the LaMon 13Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-5
96.3%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:38
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 20 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson PAT MISSED)
+14.3
TD · Q2 0:04
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)
+12.6
TD · Q2 6:00
Ben Luckett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)
-12.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com