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CCU

Coastal Carolina 29 at App State 37

APP
2017 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2017 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:00 · Evan Rabon punt for 51 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 6 yds to the AppSt 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+17.9Home team on offense+1.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:17: Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +7.2 pts (now 21%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:29: Evan Rabon 49 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +6.2 pts (now 25%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:06: Jalen Virgil 53 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — APP win probability +13.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:55: Marcus Williams Jr. 1 Yd Run (Michael Rubino Kick) — APP win probability +13.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:38: Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +7.4 pts (now 9%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:42CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:54CCU 4th & 2 at APP 8, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:54APP 4th & 11 at APP 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:21APP 4th & 8 at CCU 21, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:52APP 4th & 8 at CCU 13, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    84.6%−2.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:17APP 4th & 21 at APP 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−2.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:29CCU 4th & 20 at APP 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−1.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:41CCU 4th & 7 at APP 7, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−11.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:00CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 29, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−2.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:47CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 47, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.8%−3.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:43APP 4th & 20 at CCU 24, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−3.0
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−7.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:09CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 21, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:40APP 4th & 7 at APP 39, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 5CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 12:42APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:01APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:16CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    13.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:17CCU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:06APP Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    78.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:55APP Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:16APP Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:38CCU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.2 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:1890% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
90.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+24
90.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 24 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+39
90.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 39 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
90.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 12 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
90.2%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the CCaro 9Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
90.0%
Jalin Moore run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
89.9%
Williams, M. rush for no gain to the COASTAL25, out-of-bounds (Boggs,Eric), PENALTY COASTAL holding (Brown, Laquay) 10 yards to the COASTAL15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
89.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Alex James for 6 yds to the CCaro 21Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
89.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the CCaro 22Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+7
90.0%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Osharmar Abercrombie for 7 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
90.0%
Evan Rabon punt for 65 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 1 yd to the AppSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3TD
2 plays · 93 yds · 0:4190% → 90%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
89.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+83
90.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 83 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:0210% → 11%
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
90.2%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+44
90.2%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 44 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+21
90.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 21 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
89.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 7 yds to the AppSt 9Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+1
89.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the AppSt 8Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
90.2%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+26
89.5%
Evan Rabon 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete, broken up by Myles WhiteSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.6%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-6
89.6%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Marcus Williamson for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 24Similar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+13
89.4%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 46 , Chris Jones returns for 13 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
89.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+5
89.3%
Keane, Tyler rush for loss of 3 yards to the COASTAL48, fumble by Keane, Tyler recovered by APP Flory,Anthony at COASTAL48, PENALTY APP offside (Diarrassouba,E) 5 yards to the APP44, 1ST DOWN COASTAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
89.3%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Chris Jones for 15 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
89.1%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 15
OPP 34
-5
89.2%
Tyler Keane sacked by Tae Hayes for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 36 Tyler Keane fumbled, recovered by AppSt Caleb Spurlin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:4190% → 91%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
89.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for 9 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+5
89.7%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
50
0
89.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Dwayne PriceSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
50
-1
89.7%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+15
89.4%
Lamb,Taylor pass incomplete to Virgil,Jalen, PENALTY COASTAL personal foul (Carey, Preston) 15 yards to the COASTAL36, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
89.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+13
89.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 13 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
89.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 6 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
89.6%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the CCaro 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+1
89.5%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the CCaro 16Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 16
-5
89.2%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 21Similar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
91.2%
Michael Rubino 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:599% → 12%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
90.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
90.5%
Alex James run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+73
88.2%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 73 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:1988% → 88%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+26
88.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 26 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
88.7%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 8
50
0
88.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malik Williams APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 8
50
+35
88.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 20 yds to the APPALCHAN 30 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Nicholas Clark) to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
88.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to T.J. Watkins, broken up by Dontay HearsSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-10
88.9%
Williams,M. rush for 2 yards to the COASTAL13 (Chesley, A.), PENALTY APP holding (Hannon,Noah) 10 yards to the COASTAL25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 20
OPP 25
0
88.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis, broken up by Anthony ChesleySimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 20
OPP 25
+5
88.3%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside (Marcus Williamson) to the CCaro 20Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+7
88.3%
Taylor Lamb run for 7 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
87.9%
Michael Rubino 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:3512% → 21%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
88.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
87.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Chris Jones for 8 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
87.8%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-5
87.6%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+13
88.0%
Tyler Keane run for 13 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
87.4%
Tyler Keane run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 44 Tyler Keane fumbled, recovered by CCaro Chris JonesSimilar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
88.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the CCaro 44Similar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+47
88.3%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Chris Jones for 47 yds to the AppSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
86.7%
Tyler Keane run for 4 yds to the AppSt 5Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
79.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 20Similar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
83.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
83.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 8
OWN 0
-13
82.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, holding off-setting (-13 Yards) to the AppSt 14Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
82.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
82.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chris Jones at the AppSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 16 yds · 1:5521% → 25%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
79.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
79.0%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Chris Jones, broken up by A.J. HowardSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
78.9%
Tyler Keane run for 6 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+5
79.6%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 5 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
78.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 15
OPP 27
-5
79.3%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 20
OPP 32
0
79.4%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Marcus Outlow, broken up by Caleb FullerSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 20
OPP 32
0
78.7%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 20
OPP 32
0
79.8%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Ky'Jon Tyler, broken up by Austin ExfordSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 20
OPP 32
+49
75.3%
Evan Rabon 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13MISSED FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:2976% → 80%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
76.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 20 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
78.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 11 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
79.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Myles WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+11
79.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 11 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
80.0%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+5
79.6%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, (5 Yards) to the CCaro 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+38
79.7%
Michael Rubino 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:1927% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
73.3%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 28 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
71.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+26
71.1%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Chris Jones for 26 yds to the AppSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
70.1%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 11 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
70.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the AppSt 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
70.1%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Ky'Jon Tyler, broken up by A.J. HowardSimilar
Q3 11:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
69.2%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
64.1%
Evan Rabon 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 4:2666% → 80%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
66.1%
Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the AppSt 11Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+5
66.3%
Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+7
65.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
66.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 7 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+2
68.2%
Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
67.4%
Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike Lewis, broken up by Preston CareySimilar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
67.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 12 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
80.3%
Jalen Virgil 53 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
76.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
76.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+7
77.4%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 7 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
76.0%
Alex James run for no gain to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-4
76.5%
Alex James run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 29Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 14
OWN 29
0
77.9%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 14
OWN 29
+6
78.7%
Evan Rabon punt for 51 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 6 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 5:3476% → 93%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+29
76.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 29 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
79.3%
Malik Williams run for 7 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
79.3%
Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
78.9%
Malik Williams run for 1 yd to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
80.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
80.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+5
77.9%
Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
79.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 6 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+14
79.3%
Taylor Lamb run for 14 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.3%
Malik Williams run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. 1 Yd Run (Michael Rubino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.3%
Tyler Keane run for no gain to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
87.4%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 8 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
86.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the CCaro 47Similar
Q4 12:47
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
87.4%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19MISSED FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:0292% → 91%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
92.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+26
92.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 11 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-10
92.8%
Williams,M. rush for 9 yards to the COASTAL5 (Hears, Dontay), PENALTY APP holding 10 yards to the COASTAL24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 20
OPP 24
0
92.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to T.J. Watkins, broken up by Preston CareySimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 20
OPP 24
0
92.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike LewisSimilar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 20
OWN 0
0
90.6%
Taylor Lamb run for no gain to the CCaro 24 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 20
OPP 24
+41
91.0%
Michael Rubino 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
89.6%
Malcolm Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 19 Malcolm Williams fumbled, recovered by AppSt Okon GodwinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:2193% → 98%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
93.0%
Malik Williams run for 4 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+2
93.0%
Taylor Lamb run for 2 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+10
92.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for 10 yds to the CCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.0%
Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. 1 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
96.7%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Osharmar Abercrombie, broken up by Eric BoggsSimilar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
96.8%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Ky'Jon Tyler, broken up by Anthony FlorySimilar
Q4 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
96.9%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Chris JonesSimilar
Q4 6:09
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+5
96.9%
Evan Rabon punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 36 , Clifton Duck returns for 5 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0697% → 98%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
97.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
97.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike LewisSimilar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+5
97.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the AppSt 39 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
97.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Chris Jones at the CCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:353% → 9%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
97.1%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 23 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Tyler Keane run for no gain to the CCaro 48Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
96.8%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 8
50
+9
96.8%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 9 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
96.6%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 14 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
95.9%
Tyler Keane sacked by Rashaad Townes for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+22
98.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Osharmar Abercrombie for 22 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
91.5%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
96.4%
Malik Williams run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+34
96.5%
Malik Williams run for 34 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
96.8%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 27Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 12
OPP 27
-3
96.7%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:55
Marcus Williams Jr. 1 Yd Run (Michael Rubino Kick)
+13.3
TD · Q3 7:06
Jalen Virgil 53 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+13.1
TD · Q4 2:38
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)
-7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com