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APP

App State 23 at Idaho 20

IDHO
2017 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2017 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:41 · Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds , David Ungerer returns for 1 yd to the Idaho 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior−1.4Home team on offense−18.3Score differential−5.2Garbage-time factor−7.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:09: Joseph Wysocki 5 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick) — IDHO win probability +11.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:28: Cade Coffey 23 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +17.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:59: Ike Lewis 38 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Michael Rubino Kick) — APP win probability +15.2 pts (now 33%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:04: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 45 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +27.9 pts (now 60%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:24: Michael Rubino 31 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +11.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 9 of 10APP made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 9 at IDHO 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:55APP 4th & 4 at APP 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:38IDHO 4th & 19 at IDHO 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:29APP 4th & 7 at APP 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:24IDHO 4th & 9 at APP 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:24APP 4th & 5 at APP 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00IDHO 4th & 26 at IDHO 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:22IDHO 4th & 10 at APP 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:22APP 4th & 11 at APP 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:19APP 4th & 16 at APP 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−2.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:28IDHO 4th & 6 at APP 7, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−11.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:28APP 4th & 2 at APP 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.8%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:54IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 13, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−3.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:42APP 4th & 6 at IDHO 36, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−0.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−1.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00APP 4th & 1 at IDHO 16, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%−2.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−11.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:23IDHO 4th & 13 at IDHO 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−5.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:24APP 4th & 7 at IDHO 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−1.6
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−21.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:17IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−2.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:10APP 4th & 3 at APP 8, up 3
    Close callPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:41APP 4th & 11 at APP 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−10.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:33IDHO 4th & 24 at IDHO 32, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 3.5 ptsWent for it · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%−3.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 5:24IDHO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:09IDHO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:59APP Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:04APP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
21.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+17
21.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 17 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
21.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-7
21.7%
Matt Linehan sacked by Eric Boggs for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 41
+5
21.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
21.7%
Cade Coffey punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
23.3%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 14Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+3
23.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 3 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 4
OWN 17
0
23.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Sedrick ThomasSimilar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 4
OWN 17
0
23.4%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
24.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
24.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 5 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+4
24.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
24.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Dylan Thigpen for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+1
24.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-10
24.1%
Linehan, Matt rush for 16 yards to the APP28 (Godwin,Okon), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Rose, Jordan) 10 yards to the IDAHO46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 20
OWN 46
+1
23.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 47Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 19
OWN 47
0
23.8%
Cade Coffey punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
25.9%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 9Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 11
OWN 9
0
26.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Zy Letman, broken up by Dorian ClarkSimilar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 11
OWN 9
+17
26.3%
Taylor Lamb run for 17 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
25.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 22Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 14
OWN 22
-2
25.9%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 20Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 16
OWN 20
+9
26.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 9 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
26.3%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5MISSED FG
6 plays · 48 yds · 1:2128% → 28%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+47
27.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 47 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
29.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the AppSt 20Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
29.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Kaden EllissSimilar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
28.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Tae HayesSimilar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
28.4%
Cade Coffey 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
27.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike LewisSimilar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
27.5%
Taylor Lamb run for 7 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-2
27.3%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 25Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
28.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:5930% → 29%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
29.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Eric BoggsSimilar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+12
29.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 12 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
30.4%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
30.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-10
30.7%
Linehan, Matt pass complete to Wysocki, Joe for 5 yards to the APP36 (9), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Schuster, I) 10 yards to the IDAHO49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 49
-11
29.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Antonious Sims for a loss of 11 yards to the Idaho 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 26
OWN 38
+3
28.7%
Cade Coffey punt for 45 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 3 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
29.4%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
29.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 13 yds Malik Williams fumbled, forced by Armond Hawkins, recovered by Idaho Armond HawkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9FG
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:1433% → 34%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
33.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 24 yds to the AppSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
33.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 12Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+4
33.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 4 yds to the AppSt 8Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-3
32.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Myquon Stout for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 11 IDAHO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
33.7%
Cade Coffey 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 6 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
32.8%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
32.6%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
33.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for no gain to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
34.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+43
34.7%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IDAHO 35 IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Idaho 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:3536% → 49%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+36
35.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 36 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
38.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
38.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
37.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
38.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Clifton DuckSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
38.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 7 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+6
37.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joseph Wysocki for 6 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
48.5%
Alfonso Onunwor 20 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0054% → 52%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
46.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 10 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
46.1%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 11
OWN 26
-5
46.8%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 21Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 16
OWN 21
0
47.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Zy Letman, broken up by Lloyd HightowerSimilar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 16
OWN 21
0
48.5%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 2:5552% → 64%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
51.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 43Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+8
50.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 8 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+13
50.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 13 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
52.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 11 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
52.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 9 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+2
56.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
56.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joseph WysockiSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
56.1%
Matt Linehan run for 9 yds to the AppSt 5Similar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
64.3%
Joseph Wysocki 5 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
64.4%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
64.5%
Jalin Moore run for 9 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
68.6%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Sedrick Thomas return for 20 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16FG
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:1871% → 86%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
70.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+8
69.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 8 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+10
68.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 10 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
69.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
69.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the AppSt 3Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+1
68.8%
D.J. Henderson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 2Similar
Q3 13:59
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-5
67.7%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 7Similar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+23
85.6%
Cade Coffey 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2917% → 33%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
82.3%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 31Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
82.6%
Lamb,Taylor pass incomplete to Lewis,Ike, PENALTY IDAHO offside 5 yards to the APP36, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
82.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 3 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
82.3%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
82.0%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 44Similar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+18
82.5%
Jalin Moore run for 18 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
67.3%
Ike Lewis 38 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Michael Rubino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
73.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 11Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 12
OWN 11
-5
73.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 6Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 17
OWN 6
+12
71.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 12 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 5
OWN 18
-5
71.6%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (Ty Graham) to the Idaho 13Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
71.5%
Cade Coffey punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19TD
14 plays · 53 yds · 7:1929% → 34%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
70.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 4 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
68.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 4 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+5
68.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 5 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
68.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 5 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+1
66.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 1 yd to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 4
OPP 34
-2
67.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 5:42
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+11
69.5%
Taylor Lamb run for 11 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
66.4%
Taylor Lamb run for 3 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
66.4%
Terrence Upshaw run for 4 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
68.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for 2 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+3
75.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
72.7%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the Idaho 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+6
72.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 6 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
66.2%
T. Lamb pass,to C. Reed for 6 yds for a TD, (M. Rubino PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0077% → 74%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
76.6%
Matt Linehan sacked by Chris Willis for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 22Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
75.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
74.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Reuben MwehlaSimilar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
73.7%
Cade Coffey punt for 40 yds, downed at the AppSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:2630% → 60%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
70.4%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+8
70.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+5
68.9%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
67.6%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+45
39.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 45 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
49.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the Idaho 28 Aaron Duckworth fumbled, forced by Rashaad Townes, recovered by AppSt Eric Boggs , return for 2 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:3263% → 71%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
37.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for 11 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
37.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 18Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+5
37.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 6
OPP 13
-1
40.7%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Aikeem Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 14Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 7
OPP 14
+31
29.0%
Michael Rubino 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 31%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
34.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by A.J. HowardSimilar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
34.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 31Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
31.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
31.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 68 yds, downed at the AppSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0072% → 68%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
28.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 5 yds to the AppSt 6Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+2
28.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for 2 yds to the AppSt 8Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
30.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to T.J. WatkinsSimilar
Q4 6:10
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
31.6%
Rylee Critcher punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 26FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
41.2%
Linehan, Matt rush for 1 yard to the APP17, out-of-bounds (Townes,Rashaad), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Rose, Jordan) 10 yards to the APP28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+10
40.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 10 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
41.2%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+6
38.3%
Matt Linehan run for 6 yds to the AppSt 12 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by AppSt Eric BoggsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:5776% → 78%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
24.1%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 11Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 11
OWN 11
+3
24.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 3 yds to the AppSt 14Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 8
OWN 14
-3
22.3%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 11Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 11
OWN 11
+1
22.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds , David Ungerer returns for 1 yd to the Idaho 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 29%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
36.8%
Matt Linehan sacked by Antonious Sims and Caleb Fuller for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 39Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+3
32.3%
Matt Linehan run for 3 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 14
OWN 42
-10
31.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Antonious Sims for a loss of 10 yards to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 24
OWN 32
+23
29.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 23 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
6.2%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-1
6.6%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:04
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 45 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
-27.9
FG · Q3 11:28
Cade Coffey 23 yd FG GOOD
+17.9
TD · Q3 7:59
Ike Lewis 38 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Michael Rubino Kick)
-15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com