Try the model
UL

Louisiana 21 at Idaho 16

IDHO
2017 · Week 6 · Oct 7, 2017 · Kibbie Dome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:50 · Cade Coffey punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ryheem Malone at the LaLaf 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+10.8Home team on offense−10.5Garbage-time factor−2.8Score differential−5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:19: Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +9.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:41: Cade Coffey 26 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +6.5 pts (now 60%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:50: Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 45 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +14.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:22: Cade Coffey 46 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +6.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:47: Trey Ragas run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down — UL win probability +21.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 11 of 12UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:34UL 4th & 19 at UL 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:50IDHO 4th & 4 at UL 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:42UL 4th & 5 at UL 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:25IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:05IDHO 4th & 7 at IDHO 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:12IDHO 4th & 17 at IDHO 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−2.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:41IDHO 4th & 6 at UL 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−8.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:40UL 4th & 22 at UL 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−3.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:50IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:28UL 4th & 16 at UL 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−3.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:23IDHO 4th & 6 at UL 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−8.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:23UL 4th & 4 at IDHO 43, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    62.6%−2.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:47IDHO 4th & 5 at IDHO 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00UL 4th & 18 at UL 7, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−5.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:22IDHO 4th & 13 at UL 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−3.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    15.8%−9.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:14UL 4th & 16 at UL 30, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−6.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:13IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 36, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.4 ptsPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%−5.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:54UL 4th & 10 at IDHO 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−4.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:54IDHO 4th & 3 at UL 30, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    28.8%−2.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−8.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:49IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:05UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:19UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:50UL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
72.9%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
72.9%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
72.9%
Cade Coffey punt for 48 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34 LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the LaLaf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
72.6%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
72.6%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 8
OWN 14
-9
72.7%
Jordan Davis sacked by Leonard Hazewood and D.J. Henderson for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 17
OWN 5
-2
72.7%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-2 Yards) to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 19
OWN 3
+7
72.7%
Sam Geraci punt for 42 yds , David Ungerer returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:0173% → 74%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
72.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
72.6%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+4
72.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+9
72.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
72.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+15
72.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.1%
D.J. Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
73.3%
Jordan Davis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
73.1%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for no gain to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
73.2%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
73.6%
Sam Geraci punt for 42 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
73.7%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (Jacob Sannon) to the Idaho 11Similar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+4
73.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+2
73.7%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+6
73.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 6 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 3
OWN 23
+20
73.2%
Cade Coffey punt for 49 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for 20 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 3:1627% → 32%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
73.2%
Andre Nunez run for no gain to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+19
73.4%
Trey Ragas run for 19 yds to the Idaho 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
72.6%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 15 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
72.6%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
72.6%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 1 yd to the Idaho 15Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+12
73.0%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 12 yds to the Idaho 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
68.0%
Dion Ray run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Trev MillerSimilar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
69.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
69.5%
Cade Coffey punt for 55 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for no gain to the LaLaf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 6:4831% → 42%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
69.3%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 9 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+4
68.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
69.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
68.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
68.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
67.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+12
68.7%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 12 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+5
67.8%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
67.6%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 17 yds to the Idaho 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
67.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 5 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+6
67.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Trey Ragas for 6 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
67.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 12 yds to the Idaho 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
67.1%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.6%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-7
60.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Trev Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 24 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by Idaho Aaron Duckworth , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 17
OWN 24
0
59.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 17
OWN 24
0
59.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Simeon ThomasSimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 17
OWN 24
+2
58.7%
Cade Coffey punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 17 , Ryheem Malone returns for 2 yds to the LaLaf 26 LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal block (Kamar Greenhouse) to the LaLaf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:0042% → 43%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
57.6%
Darius Hoggins run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+2
57.2%
Andre Nunez run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+6
57.7%
Darius Hoggins run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
57.1%
Andre Nunez pass intercepted Jalen Hoover return for 1 yd to the LaLaf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11FG
11 plays · 28 yds · 4:2860% → 60%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
59.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
60.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+4
59.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
60.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Corey TurnerSimilar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
60.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+11
59.3%
Matt Linehan run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
60.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-2
60.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+3
59.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 3 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
60.4%
Cade Coffey 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 12 yds · 1:0143% → 40%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
56.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 11 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
55.8%
Darius Hoggins run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
55.2%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 8 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
55.2%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
55.3%
Andre Nunez sacked by Aikeem Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 15
OWN 44
-7
58.5%
Andre Nunez sacked by Leonard Hazewood for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 22
OWN 37
0
59.6%
Sam Geraci punt for 43 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:1957% → 55%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
56.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Aaron DuckworthSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+11
55.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 11 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
55.6%
Linehan, Matt pass complete to Sannon, Jacob for 13 yards to the IDAHO44, out-of-bounds (Walker, Tracy), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Vrba, Conner) 10 yards to the IDAHO21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+15
54.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 15 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1043% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
57.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 15 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
55.1%
Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-1
54.9%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+9
55.4%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Chase Rogers for 9 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
40.7%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 45 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
42.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
43.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
43.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Levarious VarnadoSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
43.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
43.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
41.8%
Cade Coffey punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ryheem Malone at the LaLaf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-8
39.0%
Andre Nunez sacked by Leonard Hazewood for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 18
OWN 10
+9
39.3%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-7
40.1%
Andre Nunez sacked by Kaden Elliss for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 16
OWN 12
0
40.6%
Sam Geraci punt for 61 yds, downed at the Idaho 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:0437% → 42%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
36.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 25 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
39.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+21
39.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 21 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
41.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
40.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
39.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
42.1%
Cade Coffey 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:0062% → 63%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
38.2%
Nunez, Andre pass incomplete to Barnes, Keenan, PENALTY LA ineligible downfield on pass (Hunt, Robert) 5 yards to the LA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
38.8%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
39.2%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 6 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
39.6%
IDAHO Penalty, Defensive offside (Aikeem Coleman) to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+19
38.1%
Darius Hoggins run for 4 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Armond Hawkins) to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
35.5%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Raynard FordSimilar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
35.5%
Andre Nunez sacked by D.J. Henderson for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+8
37.2%
Andre Nunez run for 8 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
37.5%
Sam Geraci punt for 33 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
33.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 12 yds to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-8
33.5%
Matt Linehan sacked by Joe Dillon for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 14Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 18
OWN 14
+2
33.3%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+11
31.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 11 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
31.2%
Cade Coffey punt for 58 yds, downed at the LaLaf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0970% → 67%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
30.2%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-4
30.4%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 11
-4
31.4%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 7
0
32.9%
Sam Geraci punt for 40 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the LaLaf 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:1033% → 39%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
32.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 9 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+12
32.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 12 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
34.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
34.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David Ungerer, broken up by Tracy WalkerSimilar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 7
OPP 23
-6
32.5%
Matt Linehan sacked by Kevon Perry for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+46
39.1%
Cade Coffey 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0067% → 62%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
32.8%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-6
31.6%
Andre Nunez sacked by Leonard Hazewood for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 35 LOUISIANA Penalty, intentional grounding (Andre Nunez) to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-5
35.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (Robert Hunt) to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 16
OWN 30
0
36.3%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus Bradley, broken up by Lloyd HightowerSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 16
OWN 30
-8
37.7%
Sam Geraci punt for 46 yds , David Ungerer returns for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
39.5%
Matt Linehan run for 8 yds to the Idaho 24 IDAHO Penalty, illegal block (Noah Johnson) to the Idaho 14Similar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 12
OWN 14
0
39.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 14Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+9
39.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+4
38.2%
Matt Linehan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
40.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
40.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Levarious VarnadoSimilar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 6
OWN 0
0
36.5%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Mwehla, Reuben (Thomas, Simeon), PENALTY IDAHO holding off-setting, PENALTY LA pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+5
38.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jante Boston for 5 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
38.4%
Cade Coffey punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24MISSED FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:3574% → 78%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
25.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 24 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
23.4%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 10 yds to the IDAHO 46 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST down for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
21.0%
Dion Ray pass incomplete to Darius HogginsSimilar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
21.1%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 10
OPP 0
0
22.7%
Nunez, Andre pass complete to Bradley, J. for 29 yards to the IDAHO2, out-of-bounds (Hightower, L), PENALTY IDAHO offside off-setting, PENALTY LA pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
22.8%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
22.2%
Stevie Artigue 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
30.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 15 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
34.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
34.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+12
34.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 12 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
35.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+1
38.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 3
OPP 30
0
35.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 3
OPP 30
0
32.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:2089% → 93%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
11.2%
Trey Ragas run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
8.3%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
8.1%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+13
7.9%
Trey Ragas run for 13 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
7.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:47
Trey Ragas run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down
-21
TD · Q3 12:50
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 45 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q2 9:19
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
-9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com