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TXST

Texas State 10 at Wyoming 45

WYO
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadTXST aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreTXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:07 · Marcus Ripley punt for 50 yds , Austin Conway returns for 18 yds to the Wyom 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Pregame prior+20.4Home team on offense+14.1Score differential+4.2Blowout margin+0.9Garbage-time factor+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:35: Damian Williams pass intercepted for a TD Rico Gafford return for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +4.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:11: Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 5 yds for a TD, (Foster Hilborn KICK) — TXST win probability +7.9 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 2:57: James Sherman kickoff for 60 yds , Tyler Hall return for 95 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +10.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:35: Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 15 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +4.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:00: Cooper Rothe 28 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +3.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TXST made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00TXST 4th & 11 at TXST 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:41TXST 4th & 16 at WYO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:43TXST 4th & 4 at WYO 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:35TXST 4th & 14 at TXST 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:24WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 15, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:54TXST 4th & 1 at WYO 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.2%−0.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:29TXST 4th & 3 at TXST 32, down 11
    Close callPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:07TXST 4th & 17 at TXST 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 1 at WYO 34, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:21TXST 4th & 9 at TXST 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:31TXST 4th & 1 at WYO 26, down 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:31WYO 4th & 25 at WYO 10, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:06TXST 4th & 6 at TXST 43, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:44WYO 4th & 3 at WYO 31, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:09TXST 4th & 10 at WYO 28, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:54WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 41, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TXST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 9:46WYO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:35WYO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:11TXST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:57WYO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:35WYO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:29WYO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSTDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
85.8%
Damian Williams run for 3 yds to the TexSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+4
85.8%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 4 yds to the TexSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+5
85.8%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 5 yds to the TexSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
85.8%
Anthony D. Taylor run for no gain to the TexSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
85.8%
Robert Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+13
85.8%
Williams, D. pass incomplete to Haydel,J., PENALTY WY pass interference 13 yards to the TXST44, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
85.8%
Robert Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
85.8%
Damian Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 48
-5
85.8%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
85.8%
Damian Williams pass incomplete to Anthony D. TaylorSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+5
85.8%
Marcus Ripley punt for 44 yds , Austin Conway returns for 5 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
84.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
84.8%
Trey Woods run for 2 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
84.7%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
84.6%
Tim Zaleski punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 3MISSED FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:5416% → 17%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
84.3%
Damian Williams pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 21 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
84.2%
Damian Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+11
84.2%
Anthony Smith run for 11 yds to the Wyom 28 Anthony Smith fumbled, forced by Tyler Hall, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
84.1%
Damian Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
84.1%
Damian Williams run for 3 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-5
84.2%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+16
84.3%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 16 yds to the Wyom 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
84.1%
Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 6 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-1
84.1%
Damian Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 9Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-11
84.2%
Damian Williams sacked by Youhanna Ghaifan and Josiah Hall for a loss of 11 yards to the Wyom 20Similar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+37
83.3%
Foster Hilborn 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4FUMBLE
12 plays · 52 yds · 0:0083% → 84%
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
83.2%
Josh Allen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
83.3%
Josh Allen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
83.3%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 32Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
83.2%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+12
83.0%
ALLEN, Josh pass incomplete to COX, Avante' (Rosemond,Dila), PENALTY TXST pass interference 12 yards to the WY44, 1ST DOWN WY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
83.6%
Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+11
83.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Avante' Cox for 11 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
83.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 4 yds to the TexSt 37Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
83.7%
Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the TexSt 33Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+2
83.7%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the TexSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
83.8%
Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the TexSt 27Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+39
83.8%
Trey Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 33 Trey Woods fumbled, forced by Stephan Johnson, recovered by TexSt A.J. Krawczyk , return for 39 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 5FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:1920% → 22%
Q1 1:02
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+25
79.6%
Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah Rogers for 25 yds to the Wyom 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
79.5%
Robert Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 34Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
78.9%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.9%
Damian Williams pass incomplete to Gabe SchradeSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
79.3%
Damian Williams pass complete to Tyler Watts for 1 yd to the Wyom 4Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
78.1%
Foster Hilborn 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5779% → 82%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
78.8%
ALLEN, Josh pass complete to VAN MAANEN, D. for 6 yards to the WY31 (Johnson,S.), PENALTY WY illegal shift 5 yards to the WY20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+12
78.7%
Trey Woods run for 12 yds to the Wyom 32Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
79.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 10 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
79.8%
Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
80.0%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+6
79.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 6 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
80.1%
Josh Allen sacked by Frankie Griffin and Sami Awad for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 48Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+30
79.1%
Nick Smith pass complete to Kellen Overstreet for 30 yds to the TexSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
82.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 22 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 7INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
85.3%
Damian Williams pass intercepted for a TD Rico Gafford return for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.3%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 6 yds to the TexSt 31 Anthony D. Taylor fumbled, forced by Youhanna Ghaifan, recovered by TexSt Anthony D. TaylorSimilar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
84.9%
Robert Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.0%
Robert Brown Jr. run for no gain to the TexSt 37Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
85.1%
Damian Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-4
85.6%
Robert Brown Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 33Similar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+52
86.0%
Marcus Ripley punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the WYOMING 15 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
85.9%
Trey Woods run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 11Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+4
85.8%
Trey Woods run for 4 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
85.4%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
85.0%
Tim Zaleski punt, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 10TD
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:4316% → 24%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
83.7%
Damian Williams pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 4 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
83.5%
Anthony Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+3
84.1%
Anthony Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
84.7%
Damian Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
83.5%
Damian Williams pass complete to Hutch White for 6 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
83.5%
Damian Williams pass incomplete to Hutch WhiteSimilar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+10
84.1%
Williams, D. pass incomplete to King,Elijah (HALL, Tyler), PENALTY WY roughing passer 10 yards to the WY9, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
83.5%
Damian Williams run for 4 yds to the Wyom 5Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
75.6%
Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 5 yds for a TD, (Foster Hilborn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:2814% → 12%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.2%
Damian Williams pass incomplete to Gabe SchradeSimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.3%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 6 yds to the TexSt 31Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
86.3%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 1 yd to the TexSt 32Similar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
87.8%
Marcus Ripley punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13TD
3 plays · 60 yds · 0:4688% → 92%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
88.2%
Josh Allen run for 6 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+39
88.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Avante' Cox for 39 yds to the TexSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
92.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 15 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:289% → 8%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
91.5%
Damian Williams pass complete to Tyler Watts for 15 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.0%
Damian Williams pass incomplete to Hutch WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
91.2%
Damian Williams pass complete to Tyler Watts for 3 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-10
91.2%
Damian Williams sacked by Youhanna Ghaifan for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSt 33Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 17
OWN 33
+18
91.7%
Marcus Ripley punt for 50 yds , Austin Conway returns for 18 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 0:5392% → 96%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
91.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to James Price for 40 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
91.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 4 yds to the TexSt 21Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
92.1%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Austin ConwaySimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+9
91.7%
Josh Allen run for 9 yds to the TexSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
91.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
92.1%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to James PriceSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+28
96.0%
Cooper Rothe 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.9%
Trey Woods run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
96.0%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
95.9%
Trey Woods run for no gain to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.6%
Tim Zaleski punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 17FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:365% → 1%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.5%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 1 yd to the TexSt 26Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
99.1%
Damian Williams sacked by Logan Wilson for a loss of 8 yards Damian Williams fumbled, recovered by Wyom Logan Wilson , return for 0 yards , return for 18 yds, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.1%
Anthony D. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 24Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
99.1%
Damian Williams sacked by Youhanna Ghaifan and Garrett Crall for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 21Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+5
99.1%
Damian Williams pass complete to Tyler Watts for 5 yds to the TexSt 26Similar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.1%
Marcus Ripley punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 21 , Austin Conway returns for no gain to the Wyom 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 6:5399% → 100%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
99.3%
Trey Woods run for 8 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+3
99.3%
Trey Woods run for 3 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
99.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to John Okwoli for 13 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
99.4%
Trey Woods run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 42Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+17
99.3%
Josh Allen pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 17 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
99.4%
Trey Woods run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 43Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-3
99.4%
Josh Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 44 Josh Allen fumbled, recovered by Wyom Josh AllenSimilar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+16
99.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 16 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.4%
Trey Woods run for 5 yds to the TexSt 23Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+14
99.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Josh Harshman for 14 yds to the TexSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.4%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the TexSt 8Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.4%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Austin Conway for 8 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 20MISSED FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 5:580% → 0%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
99.7%
Jaylin Nelson run for 4 yds to the TexSt 15Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+5
99.8%
Willie Jones III run for 5 yds to the TexSt 20Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+1
99.7%
Jaylin Nelson run for 1 yd to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
99.7%
Jaylin Nelson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 18Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 13
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Jaylin Nelson run for no gain to the TexSt 18Similar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+36
99.8%
Willie Jones III pass complete to Hutch White for 36 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.7%
Jaylin Nelson run for 5 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
99.8%
Jaylin Nelson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
Jaylin Nelson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.8%
Willie Jones III run for 7 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
99.8%
Jaylin Nelson run for 2 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Jaylin Nelson run for no gain to the Wyom 26Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+42
99.8%
Foster Hilborn 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 12:31
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Trey Woods run for no gain to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-9
99.9%
Josh Allen sacked by Gabe Loyd for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 10 Josh Allen fumbled, recovered by Wyom Josh Allen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Tim Zaleski punt for 51 yds , Hutch White returns for no gain to the TexSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Jaylin Nelson run for 4 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Jaylin Nelson run for no gain to the TexSt 43Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Willie Jones III pass incomplete to Hutch WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Marcus Ripley punt for 37 yds , Austin Conway returns for 4 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Trey Woods run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Kellen Overstreet run for 6 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Nick Smith pass incomplete to Josh Harshman, broken up by Gavin GrahamSimilar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
Tim Zaleski punt for 46 yds , Hutch White returns for 15 yds to the TexSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+34
99.9%
Willie Jones III run for 34 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
Anthony Smith run for 1 yd to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-2
99.9%
Willie Jones III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Willie Jones III run for 1 yd to the Wyom 28Similar
Q4 8:09
4TH & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Willie Jones III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Kellen Overstreet run for 5 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Kellen Overstreet run for 7 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Kellen Overstreet run for 3 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Kellen Overstreet run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-3
99.9%
Nico Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
Tim Zaleski punt for 43 yds , Hutch White returns for 15 yds to the WYOMING 44 TEXAS STATE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
100.0%
Anthony Smith run for 13 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Anthony Smith run for no gain to the TexSt 44Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+12
100.0%
Anthony Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 47 Anthony Smith fumbled, recovered by TexSt Willie Jones III , return for 12 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
100.0%
Anthony Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Willie Jones III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
100.0%
Anthony Smith run for 7 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 3
OPP 38
-5
100.0%
Anthony Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:57
James Sherman kickoff for 60 yds , Tyler Hall return for 95 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+10.6
TD · Q2 3:11
Damian Williams pass complete to Elijah King for 5 yds for a TD, (Foster Hilborn KICK)
-7.9
TD · Q2 9:35
Damian Williams pass intercepted for a TD Rico Gafford return for 37 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com