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CCU

Coastal Carolina 43 at UL Monroe 51

ULM
2017 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2017 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:14 · Harrison Heim punt for 45 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for no gain to the CCaro 2 Ky'Jon Tyler fumbled, recovered by CCaro Ky'Jon Tyler
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Pregame prior+18.9Home team on offense+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:44: Ben Luckett run for 56 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +9.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:11: Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Keane pass to Malcolm Williams for Two-Point Conversion) — CCU win probability +9.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:31: Derrick Gore run for 1 yd for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +7.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:52: Tyler Keane pass complete to Maxwell Kjosa for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CCU win probability +9.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:07: Tyler Keane pass complete to Maxwell Kjosa for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +31.2 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 9CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:14ULM 4th & 6 at CCU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14CCU 4th & 14 at CCU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:14ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ULM 4th & 1 at CCU 8, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    63.9%−1.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−6.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:21ULM 4th & 6 at CCU 40, up 2
    Close callPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−0.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:33CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 21, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:16ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 25, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 30, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:11ULM 4th & 16 at ULM 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−2.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:52CCU 4th & 25 at CCU 10, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−3.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:52ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 24, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−2.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:03CCU 4th & 13 at ULM 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−2.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:26ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 49, up 9
    Close callPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:29ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 32, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−9.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 3:55CCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:42ULM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:50CCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    34.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:34ULM Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:38ULM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:21CCU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:33ULM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:44ULM Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:11CCU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    20.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    20.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:31ULM Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 14:52CCU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:07CCU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.5%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:4671% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
71.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 6 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+14
71.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 14 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
71.3%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
71.3%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+17
71.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 2 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, roughing passer (Marcus Williamson) to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
71.3%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
71.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for no gain to the CCaro 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+8
71.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 8 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
71.3%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
71.3%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+2
71.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 2 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
71.1%
Craig Ford 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
70.9%
Chance Thrasher run for 10 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.8%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the CCaro 35Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
70.9%
Dalton Demos run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 31Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
71.1%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 14
OWN 31
-2
71.2%
Evan Rabon punt for 27 yds , Rhoy Williams returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 40 Rhoy Williams fumbled, recovered by LaMon Rhoy WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
71.0%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+4
71.2%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the LaMon 47Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
71.1%
Caleb Evans run for no gain to the LaMon 47Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
70.7%
Harrison Heim punt for 45 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for no gain to the CCaro 2 Ky'Jon Tyler fumbled, recovered by CCaro Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 98 yds · 2:2129% → 33%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
70.8%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the CCaro 7Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+3
70.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+4
71.1%
Tyler Keane run for 4 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+86
67.5%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 86 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:5229% → 36%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
70.6%
Dalton Demos run for 5 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-1
70.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 19Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+13
70.9%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 13 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
70.3%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+23
70.4%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 23 yds to the LaMon 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
69.5%
Dalton Demos run for 3 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul (Cortez Sisco Jr.) to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
64.3%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 27 yds for a TD, (Tyler Keane pass to Alex James for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1666% → 71%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.6%
Derrick Gore run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+53
65.9%
Ben Luckett run for 53 yds to the CCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
67.6%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+5
67.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Josh Pederson for 5 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+2
66.8%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the CCaro 8Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+6
66.2%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the CCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
67.7%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the CCaro 1Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.1%
Ben Luckett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
69.1%
Tyler Keane pass intercepted Roland Jenkins return for 17 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:3971% → 75%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
71.1%
Marcus Green run for 5 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
75.0%
Derrick Gore run for 10 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 4:1726% → 34%
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
74.4%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+3
74.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+3
73.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+47
74.0%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 47 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
72.6%
Alex James run for 9 yds to the LaMon 1Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.6%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the LaMon 1Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.2%
Alex James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
69.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 21 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
71.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+12
70.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 12 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
71.5%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the CCaro 44Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
71.3%
Duke Carter IV run for 4 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
71.1%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
69.8%
Harrison Heim punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:2831% → 31%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
68.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+3
68.5%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 3 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+9
69.3%
Alex James run for 9 yds to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
68.4%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
68.6%
Tyler Keane pass intercepted Chase Day return for 6 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:3273% → 80%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
73.1%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+20
80.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 20 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
77.3%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the CCaro 21Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
77.3%
Tyler Keane pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
77.9%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Alex JamesSimilar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
78.4%
Evan Rabon punt for 59 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:1879% → 78%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.7%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
78.6%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
78.5%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
77.5%
Harrison Heim punt for 46 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for no gain to the CCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
79.2%
Tyler Keane sacked by Chase Day and Caleb Tucker for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 23Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+13
79.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 13 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.2%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
77.2%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Omar Black, broken up by Jarell BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+13
78.3%
Evan Rabon punt for 50 yds , Marcus Green returns for 13 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:3279% → 88%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
78.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 7 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+1
79.8%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
78.8%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
87.9%
Ben Luckett run for 56 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:3317% → 26%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
83.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 7 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
83.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.1%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Keane pass to Malcolm Williams for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0081% → 78%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
81.3%
Derrick Gore run for 5 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-6
81.3%
Caleb Evans sacked by James Heft for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 43 UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
79.6%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 11
OWN 43
-5
78.3%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (Semaj Franklin) to the LaMon 38Similar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 16
OWN 38
0
78.1%
Harrison Heim punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
78.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 15 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 4 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
79.1%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Omar Black, broken up by JJ DallasSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-9
80.0%
Tyler Keane sacked by Caleb Tucker and Kerry Starks for a loss of 9 yards to the CCaro 10Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
80.5%
Evan Rabon punt for 39 yds , Marcus Green returns for no gain to the 50 yard line Marcus Green fumbled, , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:1083% → 91%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
50
+15
82.6%
Evans, Caleb pass incomplete to Batiste, Brandius, QB hurry by White, Myles, PENALTY COASTAL roughing passer (White, Myles) 15 yards to the COASTAL35, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
83.1%
Ben Luckett run for 8 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+26
83.1%
Marcus Green run for 26 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.0%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3911% → 18%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.8%
Tyler Keane run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
88.1%
Tyler Keane run for 4 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+38
88.0%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 38 yds to the ULMONROE 27 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
86.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for no gain to the LaMon 27Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+10
86.6%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 10 yds to the LaMon 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
86.0%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 5 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+2
86.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+3
91.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
90.8%
Alex James run for 2 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
91.4%
Dalton Demos pass incomplete to Laquay BrownSimilar
Q4 14:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.8%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Maxwell Kjosa for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.9%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 23Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-3
85.7%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 20Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
84.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 4 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
84.2%
Harrison Heim punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ky'Jon Tyler at the CCaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:0016% → 14%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
83.9%
Tyler Keane sacked by David Griffith for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 14
OWN 38
-5
85.0%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Brock Hoffman) to the CCaro 33Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 19
OWN 33
+14
85.3%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 14 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+9
83.7%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 9 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
82.6%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Maxwell Kjosa) to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+1
83.6%
Tyler Keane run for 1 yd to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 14
OPP 48
0
84.1%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Corey StraughterSimilar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+1
84.9%
Tyler Keane run for 1 yd to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
85.7%
Evan Rabon punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
88.4%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
88.5%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
88.6%
Derrick Gore run for 5 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+9
88.8%
Ben Luckett run for 9 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
89.4%
Ben Luckett run for 2 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
89.3%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
88.7%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Derrick Gore, broken up by C.J. BrewerSimilar
Q4 9:26
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
88.2%
Harrison Heim punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 27TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:188% → 41%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
92.5%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 12 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
91.7%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Omar Black for 19 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
90.5%
Tyler Keane run for 4 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+20
90.4%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 20 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
89.4%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Osharmar Abercrombie for 5 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
89.4%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+10
90.3%
Keane, Tyler pass incomplete to Black, Omar, PENALTY ULM roughing passer (Veasley, Jalen) 10 yards to the ULM9, 1ST DOWN COASTAL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
59.1%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Maxwell Kjosa for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 2:3877% → 91%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
76.9%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+4
78.8%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
78.9%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-2
78.8%
Ben Luckett run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 30Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+2
85.1%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
90.8%
Harrison Heim punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 29FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -18 yds · 0:2016% → 4%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
83.9%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
84.7%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Omar Black, broken up by Donald Louis Jr.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+15
95.6%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Gary Bradshaw for 6 yds lat. to Malcolm Williams for a loss of 3 yards lat. to Tyler Keane for a loss of 17 yards for a TD Tyler Keane fumbled, recovered by LaMon Caleb Tucker , return for 15 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:07
Tyler Keane pass complete to Maxwell Kjosa for 9 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)
-31.2
TD · Q4 14:52
Tyler Keane pass complete to Maxwell Kjosa for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-9.6
TD · Q3 10:11
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Keane pass to Malcolm Williams for Two-Point Conversion)
-9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com