Try the model
WIU

Western Illinois 52 at Coastal Carolina 10

CCU
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadWIU aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreWIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:18 · Evan Rabon punt for 50 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense−53.1Score differential−41.6Garbage-time factor−21.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.4Pregame prior−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:47: Alex James run for 24 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK) — CCU win probability +3.7 pts (now 52%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:37: Sean McGuire pass complete to Brandon Gaston for 19 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK) — WIU win probability +6.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:23: Max Norris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK) — WIU win probability +10.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:11: Steve McShane 2 Yd Run (Sam Crosa Kick) — WIU win probability +16.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:45: Sean McGuire pass complete to Adam Conrady for 10 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK) — WIU win probability +13.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 15:00CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:09WIU 4th & 22 at WIU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:29CCU 4th & 13 at WIU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WIU 4th & 1 at WIU 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:48CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:32CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:01CCU 4th & 2 at WIU 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.0%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:45CCU 4th & 3 at WIU 31, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00CCU 4th & 27 at CCU 3, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.3
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:18CCU 4th & 18 at midfield, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:03WIU 4th & 5 at WIU 17, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 4:49WIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:47CCU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:37WIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:23WIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:11WIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:45WIU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:09WIU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:13WIU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.8%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
45.8%
Ky'Jon Tyler run for 5 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
45.8%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
45.8%
Evan Rabon punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIll 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
46.2%
Max Norris run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 26Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
46.2%
Sean McGuire pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+12
46.3%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Jaelon Acklin for 12 yds to the WIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
46.2%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Jaelon Acklin for 15 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
46.0%
Steve McShane run for a loss of 5 yards to the WIll 48Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+1
46.2%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Max Norris for 1 yd to the WIll 49Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-8
46.2%
Sean McGuire sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the WIll 41Similar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 22
OWN 41
+7
46.4%
Adam Fellner punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 19 , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for 7 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3FG
5 plays · 47 yds · 2:0647% → 48%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+50
47.2%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 50 yds to the WIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
48.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the WIll 30Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
48.0%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Osharmar Abercrombie, broken up by Quentin MoonSimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-4
47.7%
Alex James run for a loss of 4 yards to the WIll 34Similar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 13
OPP 34
+52
48.0%
Evan Rabon 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:3351% → 55%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
48.6%
Isaiah LeSure run for 4 yds to the WIll 30Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+30
48.5%
Max Norris run for 30 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+36
47.8%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Tony Harper for 36 yds to the CCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
47.5%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, DEL (Sean McGuire) to the CCaro 9Similar
Q1 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
45.0%
Isaiah LeSure pass complete to Sean McGuire for 9 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:5646% → 52%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
46.1%
James, Alex rush for 44 yards to the WIU39, out-of-bounds (Xavier Rowe), PENALTY COASTAL illegal block (Collins Jr., L.) 8 yards to the COASTAL9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 18
OWN 9
+14
46.0%
Marcus Outlow run for 14 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+2
46.3%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 2 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+43
45.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 43 yds to the WIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
47.9%
Tyler Keane run for 8 yds to the WIll 24Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+24
51.6%
Alex James run for 24 yds for a TD, (Evan Rabon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4350% → 49%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
50.0%
Max Norris run for 3 yds to the WIll 33Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
49.8%
Steve McShane run for 6 yds to the WIll 39Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
49.2%
Sean McGuire run for no gain to the WIll 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+21
50.6%
Adam Fellner punt for 53 yds , Ky'Jon Tyler returns for 21 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
50.6%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
50.5%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Maxwell KjosaSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-7
49.8%
Tyler Keane sacked by Pete Swenson and Kyle Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 23Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 16
OWN 23
+56
49.2%
Evan Rabon punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaelon Acklin at the COASTALCAR 36 WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WIll 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 5:5349% → 57%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
51.2%
Max Norris run for 1 yd to the WIll 22Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+12
51.3%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Steve McShane for 12 yds to the WIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
50.8%
Steve McShane run for 2 yds to the WIll 36Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+9
50.7%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Tony Harper for 9 yds to the WIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
49.8%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Steve McShane for 10 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
49.4%
Max Norris run for 5 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+2
49.2%
Max Norris run for 2 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+15
49.4%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Isaiah LeSure for 15 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
48.7%
Sean McGuire pass incomplete, broken up by Jave BrownSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
48.9%
Steve McShane run for 4 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
42.6%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Brandon Gaston for 19 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
44.9%
Austin Bradley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
44.8%
Austin Bradley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
44.2%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 10 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
45.2%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Malcolm Williams for no gain to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
45.1%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete, broken up by Xavier RoweSimilar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
44.1%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Osharmar AbercrombieSimilar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
43.5%
Evan Rabon punt for 49 yds, downed at the WIll 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 2:1456% → 69%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
44.3%
Isaiah LeSure run for 11 yds to the WIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
44.1%
Sean McGuire run for 1 yd to the WIll 28Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+57
44.3%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Adam Conrady for 57 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
41.2%
Steve McShane run for 14 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.3%
Max Norris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 2:1632% → 31%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
32.4%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 9 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 1
OWN 26
-2
33.1%
Tyler Keane sacked by Khalen Saunders for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 24Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+5
32.1%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
32.8%
Tyler Keane pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 14 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
32.5%
Tyler Keane run for 9 yds to the WIll 48Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
33.7%
Tyler Keane pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Quentin MoonSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-1
33.5%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 49Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
30.8%
Dalton Demos pass incomplete to Malcolm Williams, broken up by Xavier RoweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:4369% → 87%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
31.0%
Steve McShane run for 3 yds to the WIll 38Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+16
30.1%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Clint Ratkovich for 16 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
30.0%
Steve McShane run for 1 yd to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+16
30.0%
Sean McGuire run for 16 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
29.8%
Max Norris run for 6 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+17
29.8%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Steve McShane for 17 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
29.6%
Max Norris run for 4 yds to the CCaro 2Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.1%
Steve McShane 2 Yd Run (Sam Crosa Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0017% → 16%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
16.5%
Dalton Demos run for 3 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-7
16.3%
Demos, Dalton rush for 3 yards to the COASTAL16 (Khalen Saunders), PENALTY COASTAL holding (Mitchell, R.) 7 yards to the COASTAL6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+3
16.0%
Dalton Demos pass intercepted Riggs Baxter return for 3 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 14TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
3.0%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Adam Conrady for 10 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15FUMBLE
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.7%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+20
2.8%
Ky'Jon Tyler run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
50
+1
2.9%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 1 yd to the WIll 49Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+11
2.9%
Alex James run for 11 yds to the WIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
3.0%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for 2 yds to the WIll 36Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+6
3.0%
Dalton Demos run for 6 yds to the WIll 30Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 2
OPP 30
-1
3.2%
Osharmar Abercrombie run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 31Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 3
OPP 31
-2
3.1%
Dalton Demos run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 41 Dalton Demos fumbled, forced by J'Len Smith, recovered by WIllSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:5098% → 99%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
1.9%
Max Norris run for 5 yds to the WIll 46Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
1.9%
Max Norris run for 2 yds to the WIll 48Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+8
1.9%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Tyler Slamans for 8 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
1.8%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Jaelon Acklin for 19 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
1.8%
Clint Ratkovich run for 3 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-1
1.8%
Steve McShane run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 23Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+15
1.9%
Sean McGuire pass incomplete to Isaiah LeSure, PENALTY COASTAL pass interference (Chesley, A.) 15 yards to the COASTAL8, 1ST DOWN WIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
1.7%
Jaelon Acklin run for 3 yds to the CCaro 5Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.7%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Clint Ratkovich for 5 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 0:041% → 1%
Q3 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
0.9%
Tyler Keane sacked by Mick Nelson for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 16 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 16
-12
0.7%
Austin Bradley sacked by Colin Olson for a loss of 12 yards to the CCaro 4 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 26
OWN 4
-1
0.7%
Austin Bradley run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 3Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 27
OWN 3
0
0.7%
Evan Rabon punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaelon Acklin at the CCaro 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:2799% → 100%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
0.6%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Jaelon Acklin for 15 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
0.6%
Max Norris run for 4 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+18
0.5%
Max Norris run for 18 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
0.5%
Victavious Johnson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 5Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
0.5%
Sean McGuire pass incomplete to Adam Conrady, PENALTY WIU personal foul (Drew Wagner) 15 yards to the COASTAL20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+2
0.5%
Victavious Johnson run for 2 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+1
0.5%
Victavious Johnson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 17Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 0
OPP 17
+35
0.3%
Sam Crosa 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
0.2%
Chance Thrasher run for 10 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.2%
Chance Thrasher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
0.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 10 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
0.2%
Chance Thrasher pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 14 yds to the WIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
0.3%
Chance Thrasher pass incomplete to Larry Collins Jr.Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-8
0.2%
Chance Thrasher pass complete to Alex James for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 18
50
0
0.2%
Chance Thrasher pass incomplete to Marcus WilliamsonSimilar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 18
50
0
0.2%
Evan Rabon punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 20TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
0.2%
Devon Sanders run for 80 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21INT
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
0.2%
Jacqez Hairston run for 2 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+17
0.1%
Chance Thrasher pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 17 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
0.2%
Chance Thrasher run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 36Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+23
0.1%
Chance Thrasher pass complete to Larry Collins Jr. for 23 yds to the WIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
0.2%
Ra'Quan Bennett run for 11 yds to the WIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
0.2%
Chance Thrasher pass intercepted Justin Fitzpatrick return for no gain to the WIll 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
0.2%
Victavious Johnson run for 7 yds to the WIll 19Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 3
OWN 19
0
0.1%
Devon Sanders run for no gain to the WIll 19Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 3
OWN 19
-2
0.1%
Devon Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 17Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 5
OWN 17
+8
0.2%
Adam Fellner punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 41 , Shane Johnson returns for 8 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23INT
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
0.1%
Chance Thrasher pass complete to Omar Black for 6 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+17
0.1%
Chance Thrasher run for 17 yds to the WIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.1%
Chance Thrasher pass intercepted Justin Fitzpatrick return for no gain to the WIll 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:11
Steve McShane 2 Yd Run (Sam Crosa Kick)
-16.4
TD · Q3 8:45
Sean McGuire pass complete to Adam Conrady for 10 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)
-13.1
TD · Q2 2:23
Max Norris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)
-10
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com