Try the model
ULM

UL Monroe 56 at Louisiana 50

UL
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Cajun Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTQ4OTQ4OTQ4OTOT2TDSAFETYTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:52 · Harrison Heim punt for 60 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTQ4OTQ4OTQ4OTOT2Play 94Home team on offense−9.0Score differential−4.8Garbage-time factor−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9Time remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 3:34: Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 12 yds for a TD, (Calvin Linden KICK) — UL win probability +21.9 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 0:00: Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 14 yds for a TD UL MONROE Penalty, roughing passer (2 Yards) to the LaMon 0, (Calvin Linden KICK) — UL win probability +48.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 15 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +24.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Andre Nunez run for 6 yds for a TD, (Calvin Linden KICK) — UL win probability +34.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Derrick Gore 8 Yd Run — ULM win probability +30.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 7ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:40UL 4th & 10 at UL 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:38UL 4th & 2 at UL 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:30ULM 4th & 11 at UL 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:52ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 11 at UL 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−1.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:41ULM 4th & 6 at UL 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:16UL 4th & 3 at ULM 3, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%−1.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−11.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:03UL 4th & 6 at UL 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:20ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 25, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:02ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 44, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UL 4th & 7 at ULM 22, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.1%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−11.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UL 4th & 7 at ULM 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−10.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 8:00ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:22ULM Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:21UL Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:16ULM Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:52UL Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:26ULM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:51UL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:46ULM Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:35ULM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:03UL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:34UL Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−1.5
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:00UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−7.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
52.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 5 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
52.1%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+4
52.1%
Harrison Heim punt for 43 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
52.3%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+13
52.3%
Trey Ragas run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
52.4%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-5
52.4%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
52.4%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
52.3%
Jordan Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
52.2%
Sam Geraci punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Marcus Green at the LaMon 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3TD
11 plays · 89 yds · 4:0948% → 51%
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
52.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 6 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 4
OWN 17
0
52.5%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+37
52.6%
Markis McCray run for 37 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
52.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 11 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
52.1%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+9
52.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 9 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
52.1%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+5
52.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 5 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+8
52.2%
Caleb Evans run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
52.1%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
49.4%
Caleb Evans 7 Yd Run (Craig Ford Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:2250% → 50%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
50.3%
Trey Ragas run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+9
50.7%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
50.8%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
50.9%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+4
50.6%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 4 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
50.4%
Sam Geraci punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marcus Green at the LaMon 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
50.0%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+12
49.8%
Caleb Evans run for 12 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
49.7%
Derrick Gore run for 16 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
49.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 22 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
48.7%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+2
48.8%
Duke Carter IV run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+5
48.9%
Evans, Caleb deep sideline pass incomplete to Brown, Xavier, PENALTY LA offside (Booker, Tra'Vontae) 5 yards to the LA38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-3
48.7%
Marcus Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
48.9%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
49.6%
Harrison Heim punt for 40 yds, downed at the LaLaf 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6SF
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:1649% → 47%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
48.6%
Jordan Davis run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+4
48.5%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q1 0:39
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
46.5%
Jordan Davis sacked by Nick Ingram for a loss of 6 yards for a SAFETY Jordan Davis fumbled, , return for 0 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:1753% → 63%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
47.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 5 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
47.1%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+5
47.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 5 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
46.7%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
46.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for 3 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 13:22
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+38
37.3%
Caleb Evans run for 38 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0140% → 48%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
40.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+36
40.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 36 yds to the LaMon 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
41.8%
Elijah Mitchell run for 27 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 4:0553% → 72%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
46.8%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+32
46.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 32 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
45.0%
Caleb Evans run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
44.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 4 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-10
44.7%
Gore, Derrick rush around left end for 4 yards to the LA22, PENALTY ULM holding (Sutton, Frank) 10 yards to the LA36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 16
OPP 36
0
45.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to RJ TurnerSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+18
46.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 18 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
44.7%
White, Kayin rush around left end for 9 yards to the LA9, PENALTY ULM holding (Sutton, Frank) 10 yards to the LA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+13
44.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 13 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
44.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 6 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+4
45.2%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 0
OPP 5
+3
44.4%
LOUISIANA Penalty, substitution infraction (3 Yards) to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q2 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
27.8%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:2434% → 43%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.0%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
34.1%
Andre Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
33.7%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
33.7%
LOUISIANA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+15
33.7%
Geraci, Sam punt 39 yards to the ULM34, downed, PENALTY ULM roughing the kicker (Ingram, Nick) 15 yards to the LA42, 1ST DOWN LA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
35.5%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 12
OWN 40
-5
34.6%
Andre Nunez sacked by Jaylen Veasley and Cortez Sisco Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+15
33.7%
Nunez, Andre deep sideline pass incomplete to Barnes, Keenan, PENALTY ULM pass interference (Thompson, Wesley) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN LA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
50
+9
35.8%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+15
35.9%
Trey Ragas run for 15 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
36.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+9
36.4%
Andre Nunez run for 9 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
36.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
43.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 10 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
38.3%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the LaMon 36Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
38.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 7 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-5
37.5%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+2
37.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 2 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
38.7%
Harrison Heim punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
36.5%
Jordan Wright run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-4
34.9%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 8
+3
34.6%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
33.8%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Chase RogersSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
33.3%
Sam Geraci punt for 34 yds, downed at the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0067% → 65%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
33.5%
Austin Vaughn run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
33.4%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
34.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
33.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 6 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+1
33.2%
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-3
34.1%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 13:41
4TH & 6
OPP 30
0
35.3%
UL MONROE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:41
4TH & 6
OPP 30
0
35.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Derrick GoreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:3033% → 38%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
32.5%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 8 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
34.0%
Andre Nunez run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
33.7%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
34.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
34.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+20
35.0%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 20 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
36.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 27Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+10
36.2%
Trey Ragas run for 10 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+9
34.9%
Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
36.4%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
36.4%
Dion Ray run for 2 yds to the LaMon 3Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
34.9%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q3 5:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
38.4%
Stevie Artigue 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:5069% → 86%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
30.7%
Derrick Gore run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+46
32.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for 46 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
29.6%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 6
OPP 0
+7
14.2%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds for a TD LOUISIANA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the LaLaf 0, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3518% → 33%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
18.1%
Andre Nunez sacked by Mason Husmann for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+47
17.7%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 32 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 48 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
21.3%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for no gain to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+13
21.1%
Andre Nunez run for 13 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
21.5%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 11 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
21.5%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
33.2%
Dion Ray run for 6 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:0574% → 90%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+39
25.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 39 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
22.6%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 3 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+9
22.1%
Caleb Evans run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
21.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 24 yds to the LaLaf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
21.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
9.7%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:4315% → 13%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
14.8%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 4 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
15.0%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
14.5%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Chase Rogers, broken up by Roland JenkinsSimilar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
13.2%
Sam Geraci punt for 56 yds , Marcus Green returns for no gain to the LaMon 24 LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the LaMon 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1290% → 98%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
10.1%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
9.8%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 8 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
9.4%
Derrick Gore run for 4 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
9.2%
Duke Carter IV run for 2 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+12
9.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brian Williams for 12 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+39
8.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Duke Carter IV for 32 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (Joe Dillon) to the LaLaf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
1.6%
Caleb Evans run for 6 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 2:322% → 8%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
2.4%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
2.4%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 6 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+11
2.4%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 11 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
2.5%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 9 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+6
2.6%
Andre Nunez run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
2.7%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+16
2.7%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 16 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
3.0%
Andre Nunez run for 12 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
3.0%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Chase Rogers for 22 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
7.6%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Calvin Linden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4394% → 95%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
5.7%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
5.8%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the LaMon 19Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+6
6.0%
Caleb Evans run for 6 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+25
4.8%
Harrison Heim punt for 37 yds , Ryheem Malone returns for 25 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:336% → 28%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
5.6%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus Bradley, broken up by Juwan OffraySimilar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-1
5.5%
Andre Nunez run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 38Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+13
5.4%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 13 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
6.3%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 8 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
6.3%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jordan Wright for 5 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
6.3%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan Barnes, broken up by Juwan OffraySimilar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
28.2%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 12 yds for a TD, (Calvin Linden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:3288% → 90%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
11.7%
Derrick Gore run for 5 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
10.8%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
11.4%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 2:02
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
10.1%
Harrison Heim punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryheem Malone at the LaLaf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 25TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 1:5612% → 66%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-6
11.7%
Andre Nunez sacked by David Griffith for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+26
11.5%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 26 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
12.6%
Andre Nunez sacked by Caleb Tucker for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+20
11.5%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 20 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
15.0%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 17 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
18.6%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Jarrod Jackson for 16 yds to the LaMon 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
20.9%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
66.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 14 yds for a TD UL MONROE Penalty, roughing passer (2 Yards) to the LaMon 0, (Calvin Linden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 26TD
9 plays · 25 yds · 15:0064% → 84%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
36.2%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
36.2%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
38.4%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
36.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Duke Carter IV for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 15Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
40.5%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
40.5%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
42.6%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
40.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Duke Carter IV for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 15Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+15
16.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to RJ Turner for 15 yds for a TD, (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 27TD
13 plays · 25 yds · 30:0036% → 62%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
36.0%
Andre Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
35.9%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+3
33.5%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+14
31.9%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 14 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
36.0%
Andre Nunez run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
36.0%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 3 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
28.1%
Andre Nunez pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
24.0%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+3
21.2%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+14
19.6%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 14 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
28.1%
Andre Nunez run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 9Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
28.1%
Andre Nunez pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 3 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
62.4%
Andre Nunez run for 6 yds for a TD, (Calvin Linden KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 28MISSED FG
8 plays · 3 yds · 30:0063% → 59%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
63.3%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
63.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
61.4%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
58.4%
Calvin Linden 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
64.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
62.4%
Andre Nunez pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
58.6%
Calvin Linden 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 29TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 45:0057% → 90%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
43.3%
Derrick Gore run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
43.3%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+4
43.3%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
40.5%
Derrick Gore run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
40.5%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+4
40.5%
Caleb Evans run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
10.1%
Derrick Gore 8 Yd Run Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Andre Nunez pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 14 yds for a TD UL MONROE Penalty, roughing passer (2 Yards) to the LaMon 0, (Calvin Linden KICK)
+48.6
TD · OT 0:00
Andre Nunez run for 6 yds for a TD, (Calvin Linden KICK)
+34.3
TD · OT2 0:00
Derrick Gore 8 Yd Run
-30.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com