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IDHO

Idaho 29 at South Alabama 23

USA
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Corliss Waitman punt for 40 yds , David Ungerer returns for 10 yds to the Idaho 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorTime remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsDefense timeouts
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 92Pregame prior+8.2Home team on offense+2.9Garbage-time factor−0.1Time remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Defense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 5:11: Xavier Johnson run for 34 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +24.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 0:13: Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 10 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK) — IDHO win probability +43.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. FG · OT 0:00: Cade Coffey 39 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +18.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Gavin Patterson 38 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +29.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds for a TD — IDHO win probability +33.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10IDHO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 14:41USA 4th & 1 at IDHO 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:31IDHO 4th & 18 at USA 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:31USA 4th & 2 at USA 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:54USA 4th & 5 at IDHO 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:02USA 4th & 4 at USA 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:25IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 47, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:06USA 4th & 6 at IDHO 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−4.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 1 at USA 34, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:18IDHO 4th & 1 at USA 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    31.6%−3.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−13.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:59USA 4th & 16 at IDHO 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    66.3%−1.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00IDHO 4th & 1 at USA 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−4.0
    56% to make
    Punt
    28.8%−6.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54USA 4th & 19 at USA 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−5.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:38IDHO 4th & 2 at USA 17, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−14.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:38USA 4th & 6 at USA 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:43IDHO 4th & 18 at IDHO 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−10.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:11IDHO 4th & 16 at IDHO 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:40USA 4th & 3 at USA 20, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:46USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:02IDHO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:11USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−1.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:13IDHO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−2.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
66.4%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-2
66.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 28 Isaiah Saunders fumbled, forced by Jeremy Reaves, recovered by SAlab Tyree TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2TD
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:5567% → 68%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
66.5%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Andrew ReinkemeyerSimilar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
66.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 14:41
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+3
66.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
Q1 14:41
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+1
66.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
66.5%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-1
66.5%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 16Similar
Q1 14:41
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+14
66.5%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 14 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 4:1533% → 32%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
67.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 6 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
67.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+8
67.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 8 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
67.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+18
66.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 18 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
66.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 9 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal use of hands (10 Yards) to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
66.7%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the SAlab 10Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-5
66.7%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 15Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 14
OPP 15
0
66.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Jeremy ReavesSimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 14
OPP 15
-4
67.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Chris Henderson and Finesse Middleton for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 18
OPP 19
+36
67.6%
Cade Coffey 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:3767% → 70%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
66.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 8 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
67.3%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
67.0%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tra MinterSimilar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+6
66.7%
Dallas Davis run for 6 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
67.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 9 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+20
67.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 20 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
68.0%
Deonta Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+12
67.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 12 yds to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
68.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
68.0%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the Idaho 17Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
67.7%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sam HarrisSimilar
Q1 0:54
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
69.7%
Gavin Patterson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 63 yds · 0:5431% → 32%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
69.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+39
68.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 39 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
67.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
67.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the SAlab 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+9
68.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
67.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 0
0
67.4%
Linehan, Matt sacked for loss of 9 yards to the USA20 (McWilliams, Rcl), PENALTY IDAHO holding off-setting, PENALTY USA face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
67.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 5 yds Alfonso Onunwor fumbled, forced by Jeremy Reaves, recovered by SAlab Jeremy ReavesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:0070% → 71%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
70.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 1
OWN 11
+5
70.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
70.2%
Tra Minter run for 10 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
70.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 10 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+40
70.8%
Dallas Davis pass intercepted for a 1ST down Christian Elliss return for 31 yds to the SOUTHALA 33 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (9 Yards) to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:4332% → 41%
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
67.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 2 yds to the SAlab 6Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
59.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 6 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 3
OPP 0
0
59.2%
PENALTY IDAHO unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY USA unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0064% → 65%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.3%
Tra Minter run for 7 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
65.4%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
63.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 11 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
65.8%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+10
64.6%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 10 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
65.5%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Maaseiah FrancisSimilar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
64.6%
Corliss Waitman punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:1939% → 42%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
61.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+17
61.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 17 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
60.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+14
60.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 14 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
59.3%
Matt Linehan run for 9 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 1
OWN 47
0
58.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
58.7%
Mason Petrino run for no gain to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
57.8%
Cade Coffey punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 2:1063% → 68%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
62.6%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
62.3%
Tra Minter run for 16 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
63.6%
Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
65.3%
Dallas Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-5
64.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+31
62.9%
Evan Orth run for 41 yds to the SOUTHALA 19 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
66.3%
Dallas Davis run for 3 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+4
66.3%
Dallas Davis run for 4 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+11
64.8%
IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (11 Yards) to the Idaho 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
66.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 4 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
66.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
65.0%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jamarius Way, broken up by Dorian ClarkSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+24
67.5%
Gavin Patterson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
66.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
66.2%
Dallas Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+10
64.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 40 yds , David Ungerer returns for 10 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:4435% → 35%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
64.6%
Matt Linehan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+24
63.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Jeremy Reaves) to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
62.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the SAlab 36Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
62.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 11 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
61.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Kaden Elliss, broken up by Jeremy ReavesSimilar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
61.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+10
62.0%
Linehan, Matt pass intercepted by Buggs, Malcolm at the USA14, Buggs, Malcolm return to the IDAHO0, clock 09:40, PENALTY USA roughing passer (Middleton, Fnss) 10 yards to the USA11, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
60.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+4
60.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+3
63.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 3 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 1
OPP 2
-1
64.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 52 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+31
68.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 31 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
69.1%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 35Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+17
69.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Malik Stanley for 17 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
71.8%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 16
OWN 46
0
69.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 16
OWN 46
0
68.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Malik Stanley, broken up by Lloyd HightowerSimilar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 16
OWN 46
+15
67.4%
Waitman,Corliss punt 49 yards to the IDAHO5, downed, PENALTY IDAHO roughing the kicker (Barnett, Q) 15 yards to the IDAHO39, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
71.9%
Denzel Foster run for 2 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-3
71.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Denzel Foster for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 40Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
70.1%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jamarius Way, broken up by Dorian ClarkSimilar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 11
OPP 40
-5
68.6%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Quinton Lane) to the Idaho 45Similar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
67.8%
Corliss Waitman punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:0432% → 34%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
67.6%
Linehan, Matt pass intercepted by Songy, Darrell at the IDAHO26, Songy, Darrell return to the IDAHO0, clock 04:04, PENALTY USA holding (Moss, Tobias) 10 yards to the IDAHO30, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
67.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+2
65.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+2
64.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
64.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 6 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
63.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 46Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+15
64.3%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Mwehla, Reuben, QB hurry by Middleton, Fnss, PENALTY USA pass interference (Lane, Quinton) 15 yards to the USA39, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
63.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
63.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 9 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
63.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
65.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joseph WysockiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
69.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+8
71.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
71.7%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-5
71.7%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 43 Dallas Davis fumbled, recovered by SAlab Dallas DavisSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 13
OWN 43
-6
68.1%
Dallas Davis sacked by Leonard Hazewood for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 37Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 19
OWN 37
0
66.6%
Corliss Waitman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17FG
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:1130% → 47%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
69.9%
Matt Linehan run for 20 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+36
67.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 36 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
62.9%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
63.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 8 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
64.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Jeremy ReavesSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
52.7%
Cade Coffey 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
61.2%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
64.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tra MinterSimilar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
61.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sa'Mory Collier, broken up by Christian EllissSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
59.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 47 yds, downed at the Idaho 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0045% → 41%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+18
55.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 18 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
53.9%
Saunders, I rush for 2 yards to the IDAHO34 (Songy, Darrell), PENALTY IDAHO holding (Johnson, Noah) 10 yards to the IDAHO22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 20
OWN 22
0
55.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 20
OWN 22
-10
55.9%
Duckworth, A rush for 8 yards to the IDAHO30 (Lawrence, Nigel), PENALTY IDAHO holding 10 yards to the IDAHO12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 30
OWN 12
+4
55.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 4 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 26
OWN 16
+8
57.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 8 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 18
OWN 24
0
58.8%
Cade Coffey punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:5066% → 92%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
65.5%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 6 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
67.6%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+34
92.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 34 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
88.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 4 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+20
87.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 20 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
84.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joseph Wysocki, broken up by Darrell SongySimilar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
85.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Darian MillsSimilar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-6
86.9%
Matt Linehan sacked by Finesse Middleton and Tyree Turner for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 40Similar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 16
OWN 40
+3
89.1%
Cade Coffey punt for 50 yds , Sam Harris returns for 3 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:3094% → 94%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
93.8%
Tra Minter run for 5 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+3
93.7%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 2
OWN 21
-5
94.5%
Johnson, Xavier rush for 13 yards to the USA34 (Hawkins, Armond;Elliss, Kaden), PENALTY USA illegal formation 5 yards to the USA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+4
94.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+13
94.4%
Corliss Waitman punt for 54 yds , David Ungerer returns for 13 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 1:178% → 62%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
91.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Nigel LawrenceSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
91.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 12 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
90.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 10 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
89.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
90.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jante Boston for 5 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+6
89.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 6 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
85.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 18 yds to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
85.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
38.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 10 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
58.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 25FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0060% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Darian MillsSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-7
41.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Tyree Turner and Finesse Middleton for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 32Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 17
OPP 32
+10
47.0%
Matt Linehan run for 10 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
28.5%
Cade Coffey 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0041% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
41.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 14 yds to the Idaho 11 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamarius Way) to the Idaho 21Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 6
OPP 21
+5
41.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-4
41.3%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-1
37.8%
Denzel Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 21Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
58.6%
Gavin Patterson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 27MISSED FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0065% → 56%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
64.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
64.7%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the Idaho 21Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-5
62.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 26Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
61.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Jordan McCraySimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+43
55.7%
Gavin Patterson 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 28TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 90%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
40.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 27Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+3
41.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+22
43.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 22 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:13
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 10 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)
-43.3
TD · OT 0:00
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds for a TD
-33.6
FG · OT 0:00
Gavin Patterson 38 yd FG GOOD
+29.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com