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AAMU

Alabama A&M 0 at South Alabama 45

USA
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadAAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreAAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:44 · Corliss Waitman punt for 33 yds , Octayvius Miles returns for no gain to the AlaAM 12 Octayvius Miles fumbled, recovered by AlaAM Reginald Paige
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+18.0Home team on offense+33.3Score differential+29.1Blowout margin+15.3Garbage-time factor+11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 11:08: Gavin Patterson 19 yd FG GOOD — AAMU win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:10: Gus Nave 83 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Gavin Patterson Kick) — AAMU win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: AAMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 4:01: Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q1 3:21: Damion May pass complete to Octayvius Miles for a loss of 2 yards for a TD Octayvius Miles fumbled, forced by Nigel Lawrence, recovered by SAlab Rocel McWilliams for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AAMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:31: Dallas Davis pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 66 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 5AAMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 11:08USA 4th & 2 at AAMU 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08AAMU 4th & 4 at USA 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:10AAMU 4th & 3 at USA 5, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.6%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:10AAMU 4th & 6 at AAMU 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:21AAMU 4th & 3 at USA 37, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00USA 4th & 2 at USA 41, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:20AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:57USA 4th & 16 at USA 26, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:35AAMU 4th & 9 at AAMU 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:19AAMU 4th & 11 at USA 47, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00AAMU 4th & 4 at USA 45, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00AAMU 4th & 17 at AAMU 46, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:44USA 4th & 17 at AAMU 44, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:24AAMU 4th & 3 at AAMU 19, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:58USA 4th & 8 at AAMU 28, up 45
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:10USA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:01USA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:31USA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:54USA Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:18USA Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:5299% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
98.7%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
98.7%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+8
98.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 8 yds to the AlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+30
98.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 30 yds to the AlaAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.7%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
98.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 2Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
98.4%
Gavin Patterson 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 2MISSED FG TD
15 plays · 69 yds · 4:582% → 2%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+16
98.4%
Trevon Walters run for 16 yds to the AlaAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.4%
Aqeel Glass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
98.4%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Octayvius Miles for 5 yds to the AlaAM 47Similar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+10
98.4%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Octayvius Miles for 10 yds to the SOUTHALA 43 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
98.4%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Octayvius Miles for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 11
OPP 44
0
98.4%
Aqeel Glass pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+7
98.4%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Ledarion Heath for 7 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+5
98.4%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Marceles Clash for 5 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
98.3%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Marceles Clash, PENALTY USA offside defense (Turner, Tyree) 5 yards to the USA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 5
OPP 27
+15
98.3%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Marceles Clash, PENALTY USA pass interference (Fisher, Strrlng) 15 yards to the USA12, 1ST DOWN AAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
98.3%
Trevon Walters run for no gain to the SAlab 12Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
98.3%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Ledarion HeathSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+7
98.4%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Marceles Clash for 7 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+83
98.0%
Gus Nave 83 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Gavin Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
98.0%
Trevon Walters run for no gain to the AlaAM 8Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
98.0%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Octayvius Miles for 4 yds to the AlaAM 12Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
98.1%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Ledarion Heath, broken up by Darian MillsSimilar
Q1 6:10
4TH & 6
OWN 12
0
98.1%
Nick Carden punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Sam Harris at the SAlab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:3298% → 98%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+53
98.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 53 yds to the SOUTHALA 2 for a 1ST down ALABAMA A&M Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 5FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -16 yds · 0:402% → 1%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-7
98.3%
O Miles rush for 3 yards to the AAMU19 (Mills, Darian;Lawrence, Nigel), PENALTY AAMU holding (K Robertson) 7 yards to the AAMU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 17
OWN 9
0
98.7%
Damion May pass complete to Octayvius Miles for a loss of 2 yards for a TD Octayvius Miles fumbled, forced by Nigel Lawrence, recovered by SAlab Rocel McWilliams for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
98.6%
Damion May pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 6 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+1
98.6%
Trevon Walters run for 1 yd to the SAlab 37Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
98.6%
Damion May pass incomplete to Marceles ClashSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
98.6%
Nick Carden punt for 35 yds, downed at the SAlab 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:4699% → 99%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+8
98.7%
Tra Minter run for 8 yds to the SAlab 10Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 2
OWN 10
+4
98.8%
Tra Minter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
98.7%
Tra Minter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+16
98.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 16 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
98.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-2
98.8%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+3
98.8%
Deonta Moore run for 3 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
98.7%
Corliss Waitman punt for 53 yds, downed at the AlaAM 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
98.7%
Trevon Walters run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 7Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+3
98.7%
Damion May pass complete to Octayvius Miles for 3 yds to the AlaAM 10Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Damion May pass complete to Octayvius Miles for 5 yds to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
98.6%
Trevon Walters run for 14 yds to the AlaAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.6%
Trevon Walters run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 48Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-1
98.6%
Damion May pass complete to Octayvius Miles for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 47Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
98.6%
Damion May pass incomplete to Octayvius MilesSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
98.7%
Nick Carden punt for 32 yds , Sam Harris returns for no gain to the SAlab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
98.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+6
98.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
98.9%
Jamarius Way run for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 23 Jamarius Way fumbled, recovered by SAlab Parker MasonSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 19
OWN 23
-4
98.8%
Dallas Davis sacked by Yurik Bethune and Zack Oglesby for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 23
OWN 19
+7
98.8%
Tra Minter run for 7 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+6
98.8%
Corliss Waitman punt for 43 yds , Devonte King returns for 6 yds to the AlaAM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
98.6%
Joseph Burke run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 36Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete to Ledarion HeathSimilar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+2
98.6%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Joseph Burke for 2 yds to the AlaAM 38Similar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+13
98.6%
Nick Carden punt for 41 yds , Sam Harris returns for 13 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11TD
2 plays · 66 yds · 0:1599% → 100%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
98.8%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sa'Mory Collier, broken up by Yurik BethuneSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+66
99.6%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 66 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 11 yds · 3:121% → 0%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Aqeel Glass pass incomplete, broken up by Chason MilnerSimilar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.5%
Joseph Burke run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 48Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+6
99.6%
Joseph Burke run for 6 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.6%
Joseph Burke run for 8 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 2
OPP 38
-4
99.5%
Joseph Burke run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-5
99.5%
Damion May sacked by Finesse Middleton and Tyree Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Nick Carden punt for 40 yds, downed at the SAlab 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
99.6%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Octayvius Miles for 24 yds to the AlaAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.6%
Joseph Burke run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+5
99.6%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Kalias Robertson for 5 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
99.6%
Aqeel Glass run for no gain to the SAlab 45 Aqeel Glass fumbled, recovered by AlaAM Joseph BurkeSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Nick Carden punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:54100% → 100%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Andrew Reinkemeyer for 9 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
99.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+32
99.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jamarius Way for 32 yds to the AlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
99.8%
Johnson, Xavier rush for 30 yards to the AAMU5 (Adrian Portlock), PENALTY USA holding (Taylor,D'Tvieus) 10 yards to the AAMU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+6
99.7%
Dallas Davis run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 39Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 14
OPP 39
+13
99.7%
Davis, Dallas pass incomplete to Baker, Kawaan, PENALTY AAMU pass interference (Devonte King) 13 yards to the AAMU26, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 20
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Davis, Dallas pass complete to Taylor, Jahmmir for 43 yards to the AAMU2 (Reginald Paige), PENALTY USA illegal touching (Taylor, Jahmmir) 0 yards to the AAMU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
99.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Andrew Reinkemeyer for 13 yds to the AlaAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
99.8%
Tra Minter run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 6Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
99.7%
Dallas Davis run for no gain to the AlaAM 6Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 16INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Aqeel Glass pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 5 yds to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Aqeel Glass pass intercepted Gus Nave return for no gain to the SAlab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 3:01100% → 100%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
99.8%
Deonta Moore run for 15 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Deonta Moore run for 4 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-8
99.9%
Deonta Moore run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Ryan Alexander) to the SAlab 40Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+33
99.9%
Denzel Foster run for 33 yds to the AlaAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
99.9%
Denzel Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jahmmir Taylor for 28 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 18PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 4:180% → 0%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
99.9%
Joseph Burke run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 13Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Joseph Burke run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+18
99.9%
Damion May pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 18 yds to the AlaAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Joseph Burke run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 34Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Joseph Burke run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 38Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Damion May pass complete to Ledarion Heath for 3 yards to the AAMU41 (Mills, Darian), PENALTY USA pass interference (Mills, Darian) 3 yards to the AAMU41, 1ST DOWN AAMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Damion May pass complete to Kalias Robertson for 5 yds to the AlaAM 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+7
99.9%
Joseph Burke run for 7 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
99.9%
Damion May sacked by Chason Milner for a loss of 10 yards to the AlaAM 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Joseph Burke run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Damion May pass incomplete to Ledarion HeathSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Nick Carden punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Sa'Mory Collier at the SAlab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Carlos Robinson II run for 4 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Carlos Robinson II run for 7 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Jalin Buie run for 4 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+12
99.9%
Jalin Buie run for 12 yds to the AlaAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
Denzel Foster run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 42Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Denzel Foster run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
99.9%
Walters, Tywun rush for 18 yards to the AAMU19, out-of-bounds, PENALTY USA holding (Alexander, Ryan) 10 yards to the AAMU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Tywun Walters run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 45Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 18
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Evan Orth pass incomplete, broken up by Desmond FletcherSimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Jalin Buie run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 44Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 33 yds , Octayvius Miles returns for no gain to the AlaAM 12 Octayvius Miles fumbled, recovered by AlaAM Reginald PaigeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
100.0%
Zabrian Moore run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 14Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+5
100.0%
Byran Brower run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 19Similar
Q4 5:24
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Damion May run for no gain to the AlaAM 19Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Nick Carden punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AlaAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
100.0%
Tywun Walters run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 25Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-1
100.0%
Tywun Walters run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 26Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 6
OPP 26
-2
100.0%
Carlos Robinson II run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+2
100.0%
Jalin Buie run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
100.0%
Byran Brower run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:31
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 66 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q1 6:10
Gus Nave 83 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Gavin Patterson Kick)
-0.4
TD · Q1 4:01
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com