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IDHO

Idaho 28 at Western Michigan 37

WMU
2017 · Week 3 · Sep 16, 2017 · Waldo Stadium
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Win probability · WMU
modelWMU aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playWMU scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Cade Coffey punt for 47 yds, downed at the WMich 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+34.8Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:38: Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK) — WMU win probability +17.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:17: LeVante Bellamy 19 Yd Run (Josh Grant PAT failed) — WMU win probability +13.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:39: Matt Linehan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK) — IDHO win probability +17.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:15: Jon Wassink 22 Yd Run (Josh Grant Kick) — WMU win probability +26.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 7:23: Jon Wassink 1 Yd Run (Giovanni Ricci Run for Two-Point Conversion) — WMU win probability +26.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8IDHO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 10 at WMU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:44WMU 4th & 6 at IDHO 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:11WMU 4th & 8 at IDHO 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−4.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:11IDHO 4th & 19 at IDHO 25, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−2.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:00WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 48, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:26IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−1.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 35, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:10IDHO 4th & 18 at IDHO 26, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−2.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:38IDHO 4th & 12 at IDHO 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:03WMU 4th & 7 at WMU 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−2.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:15IDHO 4th & 17 at IDHO 13, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−8.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:59WMU 4th & 12 at IDHO 12, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−4.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:38IDHO 4th & 22 at IDHO 12, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4IDHO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:08IDHO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:12IDHO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:38WMU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:17WMU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:39IDHO Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:15WMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:23WMU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    76.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
84.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 12 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
84.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
84.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 2 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+13
84.8%
Matt Linehan run for 13 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
84.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
84.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
84.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Robert SpillaneSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
84.8%
Cade Coffey punt for 47 yds, downed at the WMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+11
83.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 11 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
83.9%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+8
83.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 8 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+3
83.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
83.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 9 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+9
84.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 9 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
84.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+5
83.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 5 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
84.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Tyron ArnettSimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
83.8%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 44 yds, downed at the Idaho 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
82.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 6Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 15
OWN 6
+3
82.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 9Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+15
82.8%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Sannon, Jacob (CLAIBORNE, Stef), PENALTY WMU pass interference (CLAIBORNE, Stef) 15 yards to the IDAHO1724, 1ST DOWN IDAHO17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
82.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
82.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 5 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
82.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
82.5%
Matt Linehan sacked by Antonio Balabani for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 28 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by WMich Ali Fayad , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:0582% → 82%
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
82.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
82.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+11
82.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 11 yds to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
82.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 12Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+3
82.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 3 yds to the Idaho 9Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
82.2%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
81.5%
Josh Grant 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:3619% → 23%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+60
81.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 60 yds to the WMich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
77.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joseph Wysocki for 5 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0879% → 77%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
79.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 38Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-2
78.9%
Jon Wassink sacked by Zach Cable for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
77.6%
Jon Wassink pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
77.4%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:3522% → 31%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
77.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 3 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+74
77.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 74 yds to the WMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
76.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the WMich 3Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
76.5%
Mason Petrino run for 1 yd to the WMich 2Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 2 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8FG
18 plays · 48 yds · 6:0171% → 65%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
70.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 8 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
71.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
71.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 8 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+4
70.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
70.2%
Jon Wassink sacked by Arie Anderson for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 48Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+14
69.6%
LeVante Bellamy run for 14 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+1
70.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
70.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 3 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
70.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 5 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+6
65.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
65.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for no gain to the Idaho 19Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
65.8%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 8
OPP 17
0
65.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
65.2%
Josh Grant 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
64.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 17 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
63.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
63.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-15
64.2%
Linehan, Matt pass complete to Sannon, Jacob for 18 yards to the WMU47 (BEAL, Sam;SPEARS, Drake), PENALTY IDAHO17 pass interference 15 yards to the IDAHO1720, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 24
OWN 20
+5
65.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 5 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 19
OWN 25
0
65.6%
Cade Coffey punt for 35 yds, downed at the WMich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
63.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+2
63.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+4
62.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 4 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
62.5%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 41 yds, downed at the Idaho 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 1:3641% → 41%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
58.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 13Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
59.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 8
OWN 13
-5
59.7%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (Matt Linehan) to the Idaho 8Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 13
OWN 8
0
60.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 8 IDAHO Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 13
OWN 8
+15
60.8%
Coffey, Cade punt 52 yards to the WMU40, PHILLIPS, Dariu return to the WMU47 (Kirby, Logan), PENALTY WMU roughing the kicker (MCCREE, Roy) 15 yards to the IDAHO1723, 1ST DOWN IDAHO17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
58.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 9 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 1
OWN 32
-3
56.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 29Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
57.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Sam BealSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+8
58.9%
Cade Coffey punt for 52 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 8 yds to the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
57.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
57.8%
Jon Wassink run for no gain to the WMich 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
57.4%
LeVante Bellamy run for 5 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
57.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 4 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
57.1%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 53 yds , Reuben Mwehla returns for no gain to the Idaho 11 Reuben Mwehla fumbled, recovered by Idaho Reuben MwehlaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
53.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 8 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+3
53.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
53.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+10
53.6%
Matt Linehan run for 10 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
52.6%
Dylan Thigpen run for 4 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
51.4%
Dylan Thigpen run for 3 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-5
52.1%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (Zion Dixon) to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-10
53.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Robert Spillane for a loss of 10 yards to the Idaho 26Similar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 18
OWN 26
+41
55.9%
Cade Coffey punt for 55 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 41 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:1855% → 72%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
54.5%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+25
54.3%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 25 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
71.9%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
65.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 9 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+2
65.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
65.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-9
65.7%
Linehan, Matt pass complete to Ungerer, David for 9 yards to the IDAHO1727 (PHILLIPS, Dariu), PENALTY IDAHO17 holding (Dixon, Zion) 9 yards to the IDAHO179, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 19
OWN 9
+5
66.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 5 yds to the Idaho 14Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 14
OWN 14
-5
67.0%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (Joseph Wysocki) to the Idaho 9Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 19
OWN 9
+7
67.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the Idaho 16Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 12
OWN 16
+49
68.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 52 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 49 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
81.4%
LeVante Bellamy 19 Yd Run (Josh Grant PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:3824% → 44%
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
75.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+22
76.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Kaden Elliss for 22 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+47
72.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 47 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
70.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the WMich 3Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
53.3%
Matt Linehan run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
Q3 3:39
1ST & GOAL
50
0
56.1%
IDAHO17 ball on IDAHO1735, PENALTY WMU roughing the kicker 0 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:4362% → 57%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 25Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to LeVante Bellamy for 6 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
61.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 6 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
63.0%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Giovanni RicciSimilar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-6
60.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 1:56
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+7
57.4%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 7 yds Giovanni Ricci fumbled, forced by Jacob Sannon, recovered by Idaho Sedrick ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0035% → 32%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
34.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+1
34.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 1:03
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
33.6%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to Jamauri BoganSimilar
Q3 1:03
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
32.2%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21INT
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:0369% → 72%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+37
31.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for 37 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
27.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
27.9%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted, touchback. Obbie Jackson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:0232% → 64%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
32.0%
LeVante Bellamy run for 1 yd to the WMich 21Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
32.1%
Jon Wassink run for 10 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+32
33.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 32 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
37.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 7 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
39.2%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q4 14:02
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+8
37.2%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 8 yds to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
64.0%
Jon Wassink 22 Yd Run (Josh Grant Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0050% → 46%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
49.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Idaho 21Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
50.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 20Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-7
52.5%
Matt Linehan sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 13Similar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
54.0%
Cade Coffey punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:3663% → 90%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
63.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-4
63.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 34Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+12
59.5%
Jon Wassink run for 12 yds to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
63.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Idaho 22Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+21
63.0%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 21 yds to the Idaho 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.8%
Jon Wassink 1 Yd Run (Giovanni Ricci Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
83.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for no gain to the Idaho 18Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
83.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Asantay BrownSimilar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+4
84.9%
Matt Linehan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 28 Matt Linehan fumbled, forced by Asantay Brown, recovered by WMich Stefan ClaiborneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26FG
12 plays · 16 yds · 4:3390% → 96%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
90.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 5
OPP 23
-1
90.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 24Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+7
89.7%
Jon Wassink pass complete to Giovanni Ricci for 7 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
90.3%
Jon Wassink pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+10
90.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 10 yds to the Idaho 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
90.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 5Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
90.3%
BOGAN, Jamauri rush for no gain to the IDAHO175 (Hall, Ed), PENALTY WMU clipping (JURIGA, Luke) 15 yards to the IDAHO1720, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+2
89.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+6
94.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q4 1:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
95.7%
Josh Grant 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 27PUNT
7 plays · -12 yds · 1:213% → 3%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
96.6%
Matt Linehan sacked by Ali Fayad and Robert Spillane for a loss of 12 yards to the Idaho 12Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 22
OWN 12
+5
96.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 5 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 17
OWN 17
0
96.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q4 1:59
4TH & 17
OWN 17
-5
96.9%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (Matt Linehan) to the Idaho 12Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 22
OWN 12
0
97.4%
Cade Coffey punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:15
Jon Wassink 22 Yd Run (Josh Grant Kick)
+26.8
TD · Q4 7:23
Jon Wassink 1 Yd Run (Giovanni Ricci Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+26.8
TD · Q3 8:38
Jon Wassink pass complete to D'Wayne Eskridge for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Grant KICK)
+17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com