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ALST

Alabama State 7 at Troy 34

TROY
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
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Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadALST aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreALST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Tyler Sumpter punt for 30 yds TROY Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior+44.7Home team on offense+0.5Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:21: Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 46 yds to the AlbSt 49 for a 1ST down — ALST win probability +1.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:37: Jamarius Henderson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK) — TROY win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Trevor Vincent kickoff for 62 yds , Marcus Jones return for 27 yds to the TROY 38 TROY Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Troy 20 — ALST win probability +0.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ALST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:51: Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK) — TROY win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:03: Jamarius Henderson run for 36 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK) — TROY win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ALST made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 14:01ALST 4th & 13 at ALST 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:23ALST 4th & 8 at ALST 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:07TROY 4th & 1 at ALST 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:44ALST 4th & 11 at TROY 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00TROY 4th & 10 at ALST 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:16ALST 4th & 7 at ALST 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:00ALST 4th & 1 at midfield, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:00ALST 4th & 8 at TROY 34, down 6
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−<0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:16ALST 4th & 30 at ALST 8, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00TROY 4th & 18 at ALST 39, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:51ALST 4th & 18 at TROY 41, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:59TROY 4th & 11 at ALST 24, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:59ALST 4th & 8 at ALST 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:51ALST 4th & 5 at TROY 34, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ALST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:23TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:07ALST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:00TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:37TROY Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:51TROY Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:03TROY Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALSTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.2%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
99.2%
Kobie Jones deep pass incomplete to Willis White, PENALTY TROY pass interference (Harris, Jalen) 15 yards to the ALST35, 1ST DOWN ALST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.2%
Kobie Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.2%
Kobie Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlbSt 32Similar
Q1 14:01
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Kobie Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:01
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+1
99.2%
Trevor Vincent punt for 45 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 1 yd to the Troy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 2:1999% → 99%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.1%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the Troy 29Similar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
99.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 18 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 5 yds to the AlbSt 48Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+3
99.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 3 yds to the AlbSt 45Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+5
99.1%
Jamarius Henderson run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
99.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 11 yds to the AlbSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 26Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+16
99.2%
Silvers, B. rush up middle for 6 yards to the ALST20, fumble forced by Dennis Roberts, fumble by Silvers, B. recovered by ALST Darius King at ALST20, PENALTY ALST personal foul (Dennis Roberts) 16 yards to the ALST10, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 6 yds to the AlbSt 4Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Kobie Jones pass complete to Nygel Lee for 3 yds to the AlbSt 28Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.0%
Darius King run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 27Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Kobie Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Trevor Vincent punt for 42 yds, downed at the Troy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4INT TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:5599% → 98%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
99.0%
Jamarius Henderson run for 9 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
99.0%
Tevaris McCormick run for no gain to the Troy 40Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+5
98.9%
Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
98.9%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+10
98.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 10 yds to the AlbSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for no gain to the AlbSt 42Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+12
98.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 12 yds to the AlbSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.9%
Josh Anderson run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 25Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-1
98.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 26Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+80
98.4%
Brandon Silvers pass intercepted for a TD Ronnie Scott return for 80 yds for a TD, (Hunter Hanson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
98.4%
Jamarius Henderson run for 6 yds to the Troy 38Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+6
98.4%
Jordan Chunn run for 6 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
98.4%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
98.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
98.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Ismail Saleem for 5 yds to the AlbSt 47Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
98.4%
Jordan Chunn run for no gain to the AlbSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
97.9%
Kobie Jones run for 7 yds to the TROY 46 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Sam Lebbie) to the Troy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
97.9%
Alex Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 32Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 11
OPP 32
0
97.9%
Kobie Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
98.0%
Kobie Jones pass incomplete to Nygel LeeSimilar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 11
OPP 32
0
98.0%
Trevor Vincent punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Troy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:2098% → 98%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
97.9%
Brandon Silvers run for 4 yds to the Troy 12Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+7
97.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 7 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+19
97.9%
Josh Anderson run for 19 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
97.7%
Josh Anderson run for 6 yds to the Troy 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+7
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Josh Anderson for 7 yds to the AlbSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for no gain to the AlbSt 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
97.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 49
+25
97.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 30 yds TROY Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
97.2%
Kobie Jones screen pass incomplete to Trevor Goodrum, QB hurry by Lebbie, Sam, PENALTY TROY face mask 15 yards to the ALST39, 1ST DOWN ALST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
97.1%
Kobie Jones pass complete to Joe Williams IV for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 38Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+4
97.2%
Darius King run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 42Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
97.1%
Kobie Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
97.3%
Trevor Vincent punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Troy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9TD
3 plays · 82 yds · 0:4897% → 98%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+53
97.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 53 yds to the AlbSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
97.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 14 yds to the AlbSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
97.7%
Jordan Chunn run for 15 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 10PUNT
14 plays · 49 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
97.5%
Kobie Jones run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 21Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 21
-3
97.5%
Alex Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlbSt 18Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+23
97.6%
Kobie Jones pass complete to Joe Williams IV for 23 yds to the AlbSt 41 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
97.4%
Kobie Jones pass complete to Chett LeVay for 5 yds to the AlbSt 46Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-3
97.4%
Kobie Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlbSt 43 Kobie Jones fumbled, recovered by AlbSt Kobie JonesSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+7
97.5%
Kobie Jones pass complete to Joe Williams IV for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 1
50
+3
97.4%
Darius King run for 3 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
97.3%
Kobie Jones pass complete to Jamir Hannah for 4 yds to the Troy 43Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+7
97.3%
Kobie Jones run for 7 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
97.3%
Kobie Jones sacked by Baron Poole for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 43Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 17
OPP 43
+9
97.4%
Kobie Jones pass complete to Darius King for 9 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
97.3%
Kobie Jones pass incomplete to Nygel Lee, broken up by Tron FolsomSimilar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
97.5%
Trevor Vincent punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Troy 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 2:4497% → 98%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+46
96.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 46 yds to the AlbSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
96.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 5 yds to the AlbSt 44Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
96.9%
Josh Anderson run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 41Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+11
96.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 11 yds to the AlbSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
96.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 3 yds to the AlbSt 27Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+3
96.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 3 yds to the AlbSt 24Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+12
96.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sidney Davis for 12 yds to the AlbSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.1%
Jamarius Henderson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · -20 yds · 0:213% → 2%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
97.5%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 23Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+2
97.6%
Kobie Jones run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 25Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 13
OWN 25
-5
97.5%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 20Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 18
OWN 20
-10
97.5%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-10 Yards) to the AlbSt 10Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 28
OWN 10
-4
97.5%
Kobie Jones sacked by Andre Flakes for a loss of 4 yards to the AlbSt 6Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 32
OWN 6
+2
97.5%
Kobie Jones run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 8Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 30
OWN 8
0
97.6%
Trevor Vincent punt for 45 yds, downed at the Troy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
97.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 12 yds to the AlbSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
97.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 9 yds to the AlbSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Damion WillisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
97.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 16 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
97.5%
Jamarius Henderson run for 15 yds to the AlbSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
97.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 4 yds to the AlbSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+14
97.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 14 yds to the AlbSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-15
97.6%
Silvers, B. sideline pass complete to Davis, Sidney for 11 yards to the ALST20 (TJ Presley), PENALTY TROY pass interference 15 yards to the ALST46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 25
OPP 46
0
97.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Tevaris McCormickSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 25
OPP 46
+7
97.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 7 yds to the AlbSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OPP 39
0
97.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Sam LettonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 18
OPP 39
0
97.2%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 21 yds, downed at the AlbSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
96.8%
Darius King run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 23Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+6
96.8%
Darius King run for 6 yds to the AlbSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
96.8%
Kobie Jones pass complete to Nygel Lee for 1 yd to the AlbSt 30Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
96.8%
Kobie Jones pass complete to Willis White for 8 yds to the AlbSt 38Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+5
96.6%
Darius King run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
96.7%
Kobie Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the AlbSt 39Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 14
OWN 39
-10
96.8%
Kobie Jones rush left for 11 yards to the 50 yardline (Poole, Baron), PENALTY ALST holding 10 yards to the ALST29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 24
OWN 29
-7
96.9%
Kobie Jones sacked by Marcus Webb for a loss of 7 yards to the AlbSt 22Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 31
OWN 22
0
97.0%
Kobie Jones pass incomplete to Darius King, broken up by Andre FlakesSimilar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 31
OWN 22
+47
97.0%
Trevor Vincent punt for 44 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 47 yds to the AlbSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:1097% → 99%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
97.1%
Chunn, Jordan rush left for 9 yards to the ALST10 (Treyon Garnett), PENALTY TROY holding 10 yards to the ALST29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+12
97.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 12 yds to the AlbSt 17Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+11
97.1%
Jamarius Henderson run for 11 yds to the AlbSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
97.1%
Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 4 yards to the AlbSt 10Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
97.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 7 yds to the AlbSt 3Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
98.9%
Darius King run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 22Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 22
-5
98.9%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 17Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+2
99.0%
Darius King run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 19Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+11
99.0%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass complete to Darius King for 11 yds to the AlbSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
98.9%
ALABAMA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 25Similar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+42
98.9%
George Golden run for 42 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.7%
Jr. Darryl Pearson run for no gain to the Troy 33Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
98.8%
George Golden run for 2 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-10
98.9%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass complete to George Golden for a loss of 10 yards to the Troy 41Similar
Q3 5:51
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Trevor Vincent punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18MISSED FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:1999% → 99%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
99.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sam Letton for 15 yds to the Troy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.3%
Josh Anderson run for 1 yd to the Troy 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+15
99.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Richard Hallman for 15 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down ALABAMA ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
99.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 14 yds to the AlbSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 8 yds to the AlbSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+13
99.3%
Jamarius Henderson run for 13 yds to the AlbSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.3%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-5
99.3%
TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
99.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Josh Anderson for no gain to the AlbSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
99.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+41
99.3%
Bratcher Underwood 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
99.4%
George Golden run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlbSt 21Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 13
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+5
99.4%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass complete to Jamir Hannah for 5 yds to the AlbSt 26Similar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Trevor Vincent punt for 30 yds, downed at the Troy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:0099% → 100%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.4%
Kaleb Barker run for 5 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Tevaris McCormick, broken up by Joshua HillSimilar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+9
99.4%
Kaleb Barker pass complete to Sam Letton for 9 yds to the AlbSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.4%
Kaleb Barker run for 6 yds to the AlbSt 36Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
Jamarius Henderson run for 36 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALSTDrive 21DOWNS
17 plays · 61 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
99.9%
Darius King run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 9Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+15
100.0%
Trevor Vincent punt 33 yards to the ALST42, Jones, Marcus return to the ALST0, clock 07:51, PENALTY TROY roughing the kicker 15 yards to the ALST24, 1ST DOWN ALST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Anthony Jones Jr. run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 28Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Anthony Jones Jr. run for 5 yds to the AlbSt 33Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Anthony Jones Jr. run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Anthony Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 37Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass complete to Marquez Spencer for 10 yds to the AlbSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Anthony Jones rush left for loss of 2 yards to the ALST45 (Clemons, Rasool;Whisenhunt, J.), PENALTY TROY substitution infraction 5 yards to the TROY48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 5
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
George Golden run for 9 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
Anthony Jones Jr. run for 2 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass complete to Marlon Archer for 3 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q4 7:51
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
Jr. Darryl Pearson pass complete to Anthony Jones Jr. for 2 yds to the Troy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+7
100.0%
Kaleb Barker run for 7 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
100.0%
Kaleb Barker run for 15 yds to the AlbSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
100.0%
B.J. Smith run for 9 yds to the AlbSt 32Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+6
100.0%
Barker, Kaleb rush right for 6 yards to the ALST26, PENALTY ALST offside defense 6 yards to the ALST26, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:51
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK)
+2
TD · Q2 1:37
Jamarius Henderson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK)
+1.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 4:21
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 46 yds to the AlbSt 49 for a 1ST down
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com