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SAV

Savannah State 7 at App State 54

APP
2017 · Week 2 · Sep 9, 2017 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadSAV aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreSAV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDSAFETYFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:00 · Giovanni Lugo punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Pregame prior+47.9Home team on offense+2.3Score differential+0.8Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Garbage-time factor+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:36: Jalin Moore run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — SAV win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:55: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:30: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for 68 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:06: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 56 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — SAV win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 4:55: Michael Rubino 38 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 4SAV made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00SAV 4th & 2 at SAV 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:36SAV 4th & 2 at SAV 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:00SAV 4th & 12 at APP 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55SAV 4th & 11 at SAV 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:30SAV 4th & 13 at SAV 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:06SAV 4th & 3 at SAV 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:55APP 4th & 7 at SAV 21, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:45SAV 4th & 2 at SAV 15, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:05SAV 4th & 11 at APP 26, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:00APP 4th & 11 at SAV 45, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:45APP 4th & 6 at SAV 47, up 47
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:45SAV 4th & 5 at SAV 24, down 47
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00SAV 4th & 9 at APP 39, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:47APP 4th & 2 at APP 33, up 40
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:10SAV 4th & 15 at SAV 2, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:53SAV 4th & 17 at SAV 28, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:36APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:00APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:30APP Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:06APP Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:58APP Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:40APP Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SAVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
99.6%
TJ Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+8
99.6%
Uriah Oliver run for 8 yds to the SavSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 19
0
99.6%
TJ Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 19
+7
99.6%
Giovanni Lugo punt for 46 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 7 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 2
50
+11
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 11 yds to the SavSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the SavSt 35Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Darrell BonnerSimilar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+22
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the SavSt 27 for a 1ST down SAVANNAH ST Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (Darrell Bonner) to the SavSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for 11 yds to the SavSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.5%
Uriah Oliver run for 7 yds to the SavSt 32Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.5%
TJ Bell run for no gain to the SavSt 32Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.5%
Uriah Oliver run for 1 yd to the SavSt 33Similar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.5%
Giovanni Lugo punt for 45 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 6 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
99.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 23Similar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+4
99.5%
Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+7
99.5%
Terrence Upshaw run for 7 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+9
99.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Levi Duffield for 57 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
TJ Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Uriah Oliver run for 3 yds to the SavSt 28Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
99.4%
TJ Bell pass complete to Cameron White for 13 yds to the SavSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.4%
TJ Bell run for 3 yds to the SavSt 44Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+13
99.4%
Uriah Oliver run for 13 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.4%
Uriah Oliver run for 4 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
-5
99.4%
Rashad Saxton run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 11
OPP 44
-5
99.4%
BELL,TJ pass complete to KIRKLAND,Derek for 8 yards to the APP36 (Jean-Charles,S.;Duck, Clifton), PENALTY SSU ineligible downfield on pass (BAKER,Paris) 5 yards to the APP49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 16
OPP 49
+4
99.4%
Uriah Oliver run for 4 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 8:00
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Giovanni Lugo punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:1999% → 99%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+22
99.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for 22 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+20
99.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for 20 yds to the SavSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
99.3%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Edward Goubadia for a loss of 7 yards to the SavSt 43Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 17
OPP 43
+12
99.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for 12 yds to the SavSt 31Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+15
99.3%
Terrence Upshaw run for no gain to the SavSt 31 for a 1ST down SAVANNAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Isaiah Bennett) to the SavSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.4%
Uriah Oliver run for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 24Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-9
99.4%
TJ Bell sacked by Caleb Spurlin for a loss of 9 yards to the SavSt 15Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+9
99.4%
TJ Bell pass complete to Uriah Oliver for 9 yds to the SavSt 24Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Giovanni Lugo punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
99.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for 68 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.7%
Uriah Oliver run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 23Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.7%
TJ Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-1
99.7%
TJ Bell pass complete to D'Andre Snead for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 22Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Giovanni Lugo punt for 38 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for no gain to the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.7%
Terrence Upshaw run for 4 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+56
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 56 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Rashad Saxton run for 1 yd to the SavSt 26Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.8%
TJ Bell run for 6 yds to the SavSt 32Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
TJ Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Giovanni Lugo punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+12
99.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 12 yds to the SavSt 43 Taylor Lamb fumbled, forced by Tyqueze Johnson, recovered by AppSt Jalin Moore for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for 10 yds to the SavSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 10 yds to the SavSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the SavSt 23Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the SavSt 16Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 3
OPP 16
-5
99.6%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the SavSt 9 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-12 Yards) to the SavSt 21Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
99.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+38
99.8%
Michael Rubino 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
99.8%
Uriah Oliver run for 3 yds to the SavSt 10Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 7
OWN 10
-5
99.8%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, delay of game (TJ Bell) to the SavSt 5Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+8
99.8%
TJ Bell run for 8 yds to the SavSt 13Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+2
99.8%
Tino Smith run for 2 yds to the SavSt 15Similar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 2
OWN 15
+5
99.8%
Giovanni Lugo punt for 50 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 5 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+34
99.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 34 yds to the SavSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.8%
Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the SavSt 20Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+4
99.8%
Terrence Upshaw run for 4 yds to the SavSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
99.9%
Tino Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16FUMBLE
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 11Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+10
99.9%
Malik Williams run for 10 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Malik Williams run for no gain to the AppSt 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
D'Andre Hicks run for 5 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
99.9%
Malik Williams run for 10 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.9%
Malik Williams run for 9 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
D'Andre Hicks run for 4 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
99.9%
De'Vonta Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 45
-15
99.9%
De'Vonta Smith run for 5 yds to the AppSt 25 De'Vonta Smith fumbled, forced by Mekhi Cooper, recovered by SavSt Mekhi Cooper APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Noah Hannon) to the AppSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 17MISSED FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
99.9%
TJ Bell pass incomplete to Cameron WhiteSimilar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
99.9%
Uriah Oliver run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 11
OPP 26
0
99.9%
TJ Bell pass incomplete to Uriah OliverSimilar
Q3 10:05
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+34
99.9%
Giovanni Lugo 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:05100% → 100%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.9%
Malik Williams run for 7 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-3
99.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+14
99.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Zy Letman for 14 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Malik Williams run for no gain to the AppSt 44Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+12
99.9%
Malik Williams run for 12 yds to the SavSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.9%
Malik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 45Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Brad AbsherSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamichael Baldwin at the SavSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 19SF
1 play · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-7
99.9%
TJ Bell run for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Malik Williams run for 5 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-6
99.9%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 20 Zac Thomas fumbled, recovered by AppSt Zac ThomasSimilar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+18
99.9%
Zac Thomas run for 18 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
99.9%
De'Vonta Smith run for 11 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
De'Vonta Smith run for 4 yds to the SavSt 47Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to A'Darius Purifoy for 2 yds to the SavSt 45Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-2
99.9%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 47Similar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SavSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.9%
TJ Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
TJ Bell run for 5 yds to the SavSt 24Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
99.9%
TJ Bell pass incomplete to D'Andre SneadSimilar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 5
OWN 24
+15
99.9%
TJ Bell pass incomplete to D'Andre Snead for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Austin Exford) to the SavSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
I Abdul-Qawee run for no gain to the SavSt 39Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+21
99.9%
Rashad Saxton run for 21 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Rashad Saxton run for 3 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-1
99.9%
Rashad Saxton run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
D'Vonn Gibbons run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
99.9%
D'Vonn Gibbons pass incomplete to Derek KirklandSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Jacob Huesman run for 2 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+45
99.9%
De'Vonta Smith run for 4 yds De'Vonta Smith fumbled, forced by Juwuan Tolbert, recovered by SavSt Stephen Dorsey , return for 45 yds, (Giovanni Lugo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jacob Huesman pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 49 yds , Jamichael Baldwin returns for 6 yds to the SavSt 39 SAVANNAH ST Penalty, illegal block (17 Yards) to the SavSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
99.9%
Octavious James run for 2 yds to the SavSt 9Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
100.0%
D'Vonn Gibbons pass incomplete to Octavious JamesSimilar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 8
OWN 9
-7
100.0%
D'Vonn Gibbons sacked by Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the SavSt 2Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 15
OWN 2
+16
100.0%
Giovanni Lugo punt for 54 yds , Malik Williams returns for 16 yds to the SavSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-11
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, IB (Anthony Flory) to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 21
OWN 49
+1
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 20
50
+50
100.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for 50 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 26PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
100.0%
9K kickoff -9 yards to the SSU1, Roscoe, C. return to the SSU31 (KICKLIGHTER,J.), PENALTY SSU holding (SINGLETON,J.) 0 yards to the SSU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
100.0%
Jaylen Mccloud run for 3 yds to the SavSt 13Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+11
100.0%
Jaylen Mccloud run for 11 yds to the SavSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
100.0%
James Kicklighter run for 11 yds to the SavSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
D'Vonn Gibbons pass incomplete to Kendarius DukesSimilar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-6
100.0%
D'Vonn Gibbons sacked by Josh Houser and Cameron Pack for a loss of 6 yards to the SavSt 29Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 16
OWN 29
-9
100.0%
D'Vonn Gibbons pass complete to Ronnie Stevens for 8 yds to the SavSt 37 SAVANNAH ST Penalty, personal foul (Charles Barnes III) to the SavSt 20Similar
Q4 6:53
3RD & 25
OWN 20
+8
100.0%
D'Vonn Gibbons pass complete to Jamichael Baldwin for 8 yds to the SavSt 28Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Giovanni Lugo punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
De'Vonta Smith run for 5 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-23
100.0%
Smith, De'Vonta rush for no gain to the APP26 (GUINN,Christian;VERDREE,Edward), PENALTY APP clipping (Haskins, Nate) 23 yards to the APP3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 28
OWN 3
+23
100.0%
DeMarcus Harper run for 23 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
DeMarcus Harper run for 5 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
DeMarcus Harper run for no gain to the AppSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:30
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for 68 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
+0.3
FG · Q2 4:55
Michael Rubino 38 yd FG GOOD
+0.2
TD · Q1 11:36
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com