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TROY

Troy 13 at Boise State 24

BOIS
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.5BOIS 74.0%Bratcher Underwood 38 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q1 10:14
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:14 · Bratcher Underwood 38 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior+22.6Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:51: Alexander Mattison run for 49 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +8.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:30: Brett Rypien pass intercepted for a TD Blace Brown return for 53 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK) — TROY win probability +6.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:58: Brett Rypien run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 21 — BOIS win probability +7.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:59: Bratcher Underwood 39 yd FG GOOD — TROY win probability +6.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:51: Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the Troy 43 — BOIS win probability +8.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TROY made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 13:24TROY 4th & 6 at TROY 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:14TROY 4th & 12 at BOIS 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:54BOIS 4th & 1 at TROY 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%−0.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:31TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:48TROY 4th & 17 at TROY 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:13BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:06TROY 4th & 6 at TROY 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:54TROY 4th & 4 at TROY 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:00BOIS 4th & 5 at TROY 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    81.6%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:14TROY 4th & 8 at TROY 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:27BOIS 4th & 4 at TROY 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:20BOIS 4th & 10 at TROY 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    77.6%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:24TROY 4th & 13 at TROY 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:26BOIS 4th & 11 at BOIS 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:48TROY 4th & 1 at BOIS 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%−5.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−3.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:50BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 28, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:59TROY 4th & 11 at BOIS 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−3.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−9.9
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:23BOIS 4th & 1 at TROY 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.9%−4.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−17.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:08BOIS 4th & 6 at TROY 23, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TROY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 7:51BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:30TROY Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 2:12BOIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0726% → 25%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 1 yd to the Troy 26Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
74.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 3 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
74.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+81
74.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 52 yds , Avery Williams returns for 81 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 2:5525% → 26%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.6%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
74.6%
Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the Troy 32Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
74.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( Yards) to the Troy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
74.5%
TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 34Similar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 15
OWN 34
-5
74.6%
TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 29Similar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+26
74.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 26 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
74.4%
Jamarius Henderson run for 26 yds to the BoiSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
74.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to John JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-2
74.2%
Tevaris McCormick run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 12
OPP 21
0
74.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+38
74.0%
Bratcher Underwood 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:5574% → 74%
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
74.2%
Ryan Wolpin run for 6 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-5
74.2%
Brett Rypien sacked by Trevon Sanders for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 44Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+11
73.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 11 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
74.2%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 34Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
74.4%
Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the Troy 34Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+10
74.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 10 yds to the Troy 24Similar
Q1 6:54
4TH & 1
OPP 24
-1
73.8%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0926% → 26%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
73.6%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Curtis Weaver for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 20Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
73.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Tevaris McCormickSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
73.9%
Josh Anderson run for 4 yds to the Troy 24Similar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+8
74.1%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 54 yds , Avery Williams returns for 8 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:1573% → 73%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
73.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Ryan Wolpin for 17 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
74.0%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
74.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+26
73.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 26 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
74.2%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Garrett Larson) to the Troy 30Similar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+2
74.1%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 13
OPP 28
-7
73.7%
Brett Rypien sacked by Zo Bridges for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 35Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 20
OPP 35
-7
73.0%
Brett Rypien sacked by Jabir Daughtry-Frye for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 42 Brett Rypien fumbled, recovered by TroySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5229% → 27%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
71.5%
Brandon Silvers run for 3 yds to the Troy 45Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-10
71.3%
TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Troy 35Similar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 17
OWN 35
0
72.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Marcus JonesSimilar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 17
OWN 35
0
72.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Damion WillisSimilar
Q1 0:48
4TH & 17
OWN 35
+5
73.2%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 43 yds , Avery Williams returns for 5 yds to the BoiSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:3073% → 71%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
72.7%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+11
72.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+3
72.4%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+15
72.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 15 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
73.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+1
72.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
72.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
71.4%
Quinn Skillin punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4528% → 27%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
71.7%
Josh Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 20Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
72.0%
Kaleb Barker pass incomplete to Damion WillisSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+13
72.5%
Kaleb Barker run for 13 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 1
OWN 33
-5
71.8%
TROY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Troy 28Similar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+8
72.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 57 yds , Avery Williams returns for 8 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:5572% → 80%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
71.9%
Ryan Wolpin run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
71.8%
Robert Mahone run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
71.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
72.0%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Ezra Cleveland) to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+5
71.7%
Montell Cozart run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+17
71.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 17 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
79.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 49 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4422% → 21%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 1 yd to the Troy 26Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
78.5%
Jamarius Henderson run for 5 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
78.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+22
79.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 47 yds , Avery Williams returns for 22 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:2880% → 80%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
80.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Octavius Evans for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 4
50
+5
80.3%
Montell Cozart run for 5 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
80.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for no gain to the Troy 45Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
80.5%
Montell Cozart run for 8 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-3
80.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to CT Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 40Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
80.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2421% → 19%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
79.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
79.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Sidney DavisSimilar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
79.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
80.6%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13INT TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:3380% → 74%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
80.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Ryan Wolpin for 20 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+53
73.8%
Brett Rypien pass intercepted for a TD Blace Brown return for 53 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 14FG
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:5174% → 77%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
74.2%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
74.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 12 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
74.5%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-5
74.5%
BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 32Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+6
74.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 6 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+3
73.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 3 yds to the Troy 23Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+41
77.3%
Haden Hoggarth 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:1623% → 23%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
76.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 6 yds to the Troy 22Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+5
76.7%
Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the Troy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
78.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 8 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-4
76.7%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Leighton Vander Esch for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:3177% → 77%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
77.3%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
77.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for no gain to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+20
76.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Octavius Evans for 20 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
78.8%
Ryan Wolpin run for 9 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 1
OWN 48
-6
79.1%
Brett Rypien sacked by Austin Stidham for a loss of 6 yards to the BOISEST 46 BOISE ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brett Rypien) to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+13
79.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 13 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alexander MattisonSimilar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
79.6%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
78.6%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
76.9%
Quinn Skillin punt for 30 yds, downed at the Troy 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:3023% → 21%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
76.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 1 yd to the Troy 12Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+5
77.1%
Jamarius Henderson run for 5 yds to the Troy 17Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+14
77.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sam Letton for 14 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
76.3%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the Troy 32Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-10
76.6%
TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the Troy 22Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 19
OWN 22
+6
77.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 6 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 13
OWN 28
0
78.1%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Curtis Weaver for 0 yards to the Troy 28Similar
Q3 7:24
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
78.8%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 58 yds, downed at the BoiSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5380% → 79%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
80.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jake RohSimilar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-1
80.1%
Ryan Wolpin run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 11
OWN 13
0
79.3%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:26
4TH & 11
OWN 13
+3
78.5%
Quinn Skillin punt for 60 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 3 yds to the Troy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19FUMBLE
17 plays · 70 yds · 5:2124% → 24%
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
76.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Jordan ChunnSimilar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
76.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+17
77.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 17 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
74.4%
Jordan Chunn run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
73.4%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
74.1%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Tevaris McCormickSimilar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
76.0%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
74.3%
Jamarius Henderson run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-4
74.4%
Jabir Daughtry-Frye run for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 45 Jabir Daughtry-Frye fumbled, recovered by Troy Jabir Daughtry-FryeSimilar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
77.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 13
OPP 45
+15
78.6%
BOISE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
72.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 5 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
72.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+1
74.0%
Brandon Silvers run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
72.1%
Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+3
74.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+18
76.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 18 yds Deondre Douglas fumbled, forced by Desmond Williams, recovered by BoiStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:0884% → 84%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
83.9%
Brett Rypien run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
84.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 7 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
84.5%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
83.6%
Joel Velazquez punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 21FG
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:2623% → 26%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
76.8%
TROY Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Troy 43Similar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+8
79.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sidney Davis for 8 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-5
75.9%
TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Troy 46Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+15
78.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 15 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
78.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Sidney DavisSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
78.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sam Letton for 5 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+13
78.5%
Jordan Chunn run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
76.1%
B.J. Smith run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-3
76.7%
Josh Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
81.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Damion WillisSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+39
74.4%
Bratcher Underwood 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:1976% → 81%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
75.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
77.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
76.6%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+15
75.4%
Rypien, Brett pass incomplete to Modster, Sean, PENALTY TROY personal foul 15 yards to the TROY45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOISEST.Similar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
79.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 16 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
81.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the Troy 27Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
81.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
81.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jake Roh for 7 yds to the Troy 20Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 1
OPP 20
-2
81.3%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
74.6%
Brandon Silvers pass intercepted Kekoa Nawahine return for no gain to the Troy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 24TD
12 plays · 49 yds · 4:3983% → 97%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
83.3%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the Troy 43Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
83.8%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
82.6%
Montell Cozart run for 5 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
85.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 9 yds to the Troy 26Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
88.1%
Ryan Wolpin run for no gain to the Troy 26Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
87.7%
Ryan Wolpin run for 1 yd to the Troy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
88.7%
Ryan Wolpin run for 10 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
89.1%
Ryan Wolpin run for 2 yds to the Troy 13Similar
Q4 2:14
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+6
90.2%
Ryan Wolpin run for 6 yds to the Troy 7Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
97.1%
Jake Roh 7 Yd pass from Montell Cozart (Quinn Skillin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:123% → 4%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 8 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
96.4%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Sam Whitney for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 27 Brandon Silvers fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Sonatane Lui , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1198% → 98%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
97.6%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 28Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
97.6%
Alexander Mattison run for no gain to the Troy 28Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+5
97.6%
Ryan Wolpin run for 5 yds to the Troy 23Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+2
98.0%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Troy 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
97.7%
B.J. Smith run for 8 yds to the Troy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 6:51
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the Troy 43
+8.8
TD · Q2 7:51
Alexander Mattison run for 49 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
+8.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:58
Brett Rypien run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 21
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com