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SAC

Sacramento State 6 at Idaho 28

IDHO
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2017 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadSAC aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreSAC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:19 · Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 39 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Pregame prior+39.8Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:19: Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK) — IDHO win probability +1.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:39: Reuben Mwehla 35 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick) — IDHO win probability +4.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:40: D.J. Henderson 1 Yd Run (Cade Coffey Kick) — IDHO win probability +3.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:55: Kevin Thomson run for no gain to the Idaho 35 — SAC win probability +3.7 pts (now 9%) (top driver: SAC has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:58: Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the Idaho 34 — IDHO win probability +3.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9SAC made the numbers' call on 10 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:10SAC 4th & 6 at SAC 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:16IDHO 4th & 4 at IDHO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:51SAC 4th & 5 at SAC 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:53IDHO 4th & 1 at SAC 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    91.2%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:19SAC 4th & 8 at SAC 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:33IDHO 4th & 9 at IDHO 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:16SAC 4th & 5 at IDHO 33, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.4%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:16IDHO 4th & 15 at IDHO 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:52SAC 4th & 1 at SAC 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:13SAC 4th & 4 at SAC 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:33SAC 4th & 10 at IDHO 40, down 11
    Close callPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:53SAC 4th & 1 at SAC 24, down 8
    Close callPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:40IDHO 4th & 1 at SAC 1, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    86.7%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−6.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:01SAC 4th & 6 at IDHO 18, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−3.3
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:55SAC 4th & 1 at IDHO 26, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−1.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−4.0
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:58IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 48, up 15
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00SAC 4th & 5 at SAC 17, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:37IDHO 4th & 12 at IDHO 45, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:09SAC 4th & 12 at SAC 2, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−1.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:02SAC 4th & 15 at SAC 43, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:08IDHO 4th & 15 at SAC 34, up 22
    Close callWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:49SAC 4th & 7 at SAC 28, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 6:19IDHO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:39IDHO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:40IDHO Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:13IDHO Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
94.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-2
94.1%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
94.1%
Cade Coffey punt for 51 yds , Isiah Hennie returns for 1 yd to the SacSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
93.7%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete, broken up by Kaden EllissSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
93.7%
Isaiah Gable run for 4 yds to the SacSt 25Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
93.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 5 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
93.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Idaho 42Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
93.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Dariyn ChoatesSimilar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
93.5%
Cade Coffey punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
93.1%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 3 yds to the SacSt 23Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
93.1%
Kevin Thomson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SacSt 20Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
93.2%
Kevin Thomson run for 5 yds to the SacSt 25Similar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
93.2%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SacSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
92.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 9 yds to the SacSt 39Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
92.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the SacSt 39Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
92.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the SacSt 39Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+4
92.7%
D.J. Henderson run for 4 yds to the SacSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
92.9%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted, touchback. Dre Terrell return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:298% → 8%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
92.0%
Kevin Thomson sacked by Kaden Elliss for a loss of 10 yards to the SacSt 10 Kevin Thomson fumbled, recovered by SacSt Joseph Ajeigbe , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+7
92.0%
Kevin Thomson run for 7 yds to the SacSt 17Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+5
91.7%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Isiah Hennie for 5 yds to the SacSt 22Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
91.8%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 39 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-7
91.6%
Matt Linehan sacked by Dre Terrell for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 32Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 17
OWN 32
+8
91.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 8 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
91.5%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
91.3%
Cade Coffey punt for 49 yds, downed at the SacSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 8FG
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:499% → 12%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
90.9%
Isaiah Gable run for no gain to the SacSt 11Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+11
90.9%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Isiah Hennie for 11 yds to the SacSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
90.9%
Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the SacSt 26Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+11
90.8%
Elijah Dotson run for 11 yds to the SacSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.7%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+25
90.8%
Elijah Dotson run for 25 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
90.4%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 4 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+1
88.8%
Kevin Thomson run for 1 yd to the Idaho 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
89.1%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+52
88.5%
Devon Medeiros 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
89.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 10 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
89.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Malcolm Thomas for a loss of 10 yards to the Idaho 31Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 20
OWN 31
-11
88.8%
Matt Linehan sacked by George Obinna for a loss of 11 yards to the Idaho 25 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by Idaho Jacob Sannon , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 26
OWN 25
+11
88.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 11 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 15
OWN 36
+8
88.5%
Cade Coffey punt for 45 yds , Isiah Hennie returns for 8 yds to the SacSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
86.8%
Isaiah Gable run for no gain to the SacSt 27Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
86.9%
Isaiah Gable run for 1 yd to the SacSt 28Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+8
87.1%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Johnnie Rucker for 8 yds to the SacSt 36Similar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
87.0%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Denzal Brantley at the Idaho 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:4786% → 90%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
86.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 18 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+49
86.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for 49 yds to the SacSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
87.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 10 yds to the SacSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
87.8%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 4 yards to the SacSt 8Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
89.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 8 yds for a TD, (Cade Coffey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
88.4%
Isaiah Gable run for 1 yd to the SacSt 19Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
88.4%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+5
88.8%
Kevin Thomson run for 5 yds to the SacSt 24Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
88.9%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 39 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 1:0788% → 93%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
88.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Aaron Duckworth for no gain to the Idaho 37Similar
Q2 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+28
88.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 28 yds to the SacSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
92.6%
Reuben Mwehla 35 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 35 yds · 3:068% → 7%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
92.1%
Kevin Thomson sacked by Zach Cable for a loss of 9 yards to the SacSt 16Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+12
92.3%
Kevin Thomson run for 12 yds to the SacSt 28Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+21
92.3%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Andre Lindsey for 21 yds to the SacSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
91.6%
Elijah Dotson run for 6 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+5
91.3%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Isiah Hennie for 5 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.8%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Isiah HennieSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
91.0%
Kevin Thomson run for no gain to the Idaho 40Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
91.8%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
92.6%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · -14 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
92.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by George Obinna for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 6 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by SacSt Seperini Aumua , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 16FG
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:099% → 11%
Q2 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
90.9%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Johnnie RuckerSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
90.9%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Elijah DotsonSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
89.0%
Devon Medeiros 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
89.8%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Isiah Hennie for 6 yds to the SacSt 21Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+3
89.6%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 3 yds to the SacSt 24Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 24
0
89.8%
Christian Erickson run for no gain to the SacSt 24Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
90.4%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 36 yds, fair catch by David Ungerer at the Idaho 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:0891% → 93%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
90.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 5 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+28
90.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 28 yds to the SacSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
91.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 17 yds to the SacSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
91.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 6 yds to the SacSt 4Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
91.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 1 yard to the SacSt 5Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
90.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 4 yds to the SacSt 1Similar
Q3 9:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.8%
D.J. Henderson 1 Yd Run (Cade Coffey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 20MISSED FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:397% → 7%
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
92.8%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 16 yds to the SacSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+22
92.1%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Isiah Hennie for 22 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
91.5%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for no gain to the Idaho 37Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
91.6%
THOMSON, Kevin rush for no gain to the IDAHO37 (Elliss, Kaden), PENALTY IDAHO substitution infraction 5 yards to the IDAHO32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+10
90.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 10 yds to the Idaho 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
90.9%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for 1 yd to the Idaho 21Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-9
90.9%
Kevin Thomson sacked by Arie Anderson for a loss of 9 yards to the Idaho 30Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 18
OPP 30
+12
92.2%
Kevin Thomson run for 12 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
92.6%
Devon Medeiros 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.2%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Mister Harriel return for no gain to the Idaho 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
91.5%
Kevin Thomson run for no gain to the Idaho 35Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-3
91.7%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+12
92.6%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Andre Lindsey for 12 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
92.0%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for no gain to the Idaho 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
95.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+7
95.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
95.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
95.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 5 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
95.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 48Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+3
95.3%
Cade Coffey punt for 43 yds , Isiah Hennie returns for 3 yds to the SacSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:135% → 5%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
94.6%
Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the SacSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
94.7%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 2 yds to the SacSt 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+3
94.8%
Kevin Thomson pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 3 yds to the SacSt 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
94.8%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 36 yds , David Ungerer returns for no gain to the Idaho 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
96.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 44Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 13
OWN 44
-10
97.4%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Sannon, Jacob, PENALTY IDAHO holding (Rose, Jordan) 10 yards to the IDAHO34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 23
OWN 34
+5
97.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 18
OWN 39
+6
97.1%
Matt Linehan run for 6 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
96.9%
Cade Coffey punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SacSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
95.2%
Joseph Ajeigbe run for no gain to the SacSt 4Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 4
0
95.2%
Kevin Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 10
OWN 4
-2
95.3%
SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, delay of game (-2 Yards) to the SacSt 2Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 12
OWN 2
0
95.3%
Kevin Thomson pass incomplete to Andre LindseySimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 12
OWN 2
0
95.4%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 43 yds, downed at the SacSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 27TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:5498% → 100%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
98.1%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the SacSt 44Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+4
98.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 4 yds to the SacSt 40Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
98.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 5 yds to the SacSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
98.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the SacSt 31Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
98.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+7
98.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the SacSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
98.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 6 yds to the SacSt 18Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+18
99.7%
Aaron Duckworth 18 Yd Run (Cade Coffey Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
99.4%
Wyatt Clapper sacked by Leonard Hazewood for a loss of 5 yards to the SacSt 43Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 15
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Wyatt Clapper pass incomplete to Andre LindseySimilar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 15
OWN 43
0
99.4%
Wyatt Clapper pass incomplete to Andre LindseySimilar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 15
OWN 43
+14
99.4%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 36 yds , David Ungerer returns for 14 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 29DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
99.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 17 yds to the SacSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 9 yds to the SacSt 39Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+10
99.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 10 yds to the SacSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the SacSt 29Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the SacSt 27Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 8
OPP 27
-5
99.8%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (Joseph Wysocki) to the SacSt 32Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 13
OPP 32
-2
99.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 2 yards to the SacSt 34Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & 15
OPP 34
+9
99.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the SacSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SACDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Wyatt Clapper pass incomplete, broken up by Sam VeltmanSimilar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Christian Erickson run for 3 yds to the SacSt 28Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Wyatt Clapper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.5%
Blake Cuzzupoli punt for 47 yds , David Ungerer returns for 9 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Dylan Thigpen run for 4 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:39
Reuben Mwehla 35 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Cade Coffey Kick)
+4.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 4:55
Kevin Thomson run for no gain to the Idaho 35
-3.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:58
Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the Idaho 34
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com