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AKR

Akron 17 at Troy 22

TROY
2017 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2017 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
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Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:40 · Nick Gasser punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Troy 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 87Pregame prior+24.7Home team on offense+8.7Score differential+3.9Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Time remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:25: Kaleb Barker run for 48 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood PAT MISSED) — TROY win probability +4.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:59: Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 29 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +15.3 pts (now 27%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  3. TD · Q4 5:37: Warren Ball run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +37.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:14: Silvers, B. screen pass complete to Thompson, E. for 1 yard to the TROY4 (FEATHERSTONE, S), PENALTY AKRON offside defense 5 yards to the TROY8, NO PLAY. — TROY win probability +14.2 pts (now 54%) (top driver: TROY hurrying with no timeouts left).
  5. TD · Q4 1:06: Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — TROY win probability +30.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 6 of 9AKR made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 9:36AKR 4th & 7 at TROY 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36TROY 4th & 1 at AKR 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:03AKR 4th & 3 at AKR 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54TROY 4th & 5 at AKR 5, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54AKR 4th & 23 at AKR 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:00TROY 4th & 8 at TROY 48, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:40AKR 4th & 4 at AKR 26, down 13
    Close callPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:21TROY 4th & 16 at TROY 19, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:47TROY 4th & 13 at AKR 32, up 13
    Close callWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.5%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    90.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:37TROY 4th & 4 at AKR 15, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%−0.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−9.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00AKR 4th & 5 at TROY 47, down 6
    Close callPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:59TROY 4th & 2 at TROY 20, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:37AKR 4th & 1 at TROY 4, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.5%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    19.5%−1.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−15.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:27TROY 4th & 6 at TROY 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:23AKR 4th & 2 at AKR 41, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.5 ptsPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−3.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:14TROY 4th & 5 at TROY 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.4%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:03TROY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:25TROY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:59AKR Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:37AKR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−2.7
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:06TROY Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    83.0%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    84.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
89.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 6 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
89.6%
Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
89.6%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-7
89.6%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Ibrahima Camara for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+8
89.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 8 yds Damion Willis fumbled, forced by John Lako, recovered by AkronSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:1211% → 12%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
88.9%
Warren Ball run for no gain to the Troy 43Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
88.9%
Warren Ball run for 5 yds to the Troy 38Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+24
88.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 24 yds to the Troy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
88.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 3 yds to the Troy 11Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
88.9%
Warren Ball run for no gain to the Troy 11Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
88.9%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
87.8%
Tom O'Leary 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3TD
15 plays · 83 yds · 4:3388% → 88%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
87.8%
Jamarius Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 15Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+18
87.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 18 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
87.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 7 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+5
88.1%
Chunn, Jordan rush right for 3 yards to the TROY43 (CAMARA, I.), PENALTY AKRON substitution infraction 5 yards to the TROY45, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
88.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 7 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
88.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
88.1%
Jordan Chunn run for no gain to the Akron 46Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
88.0%
Brandon Silvers run for 2 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+14
88.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 14 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
88.2%
Jamarius Henderson run for 2 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+7
88.2%
Brandon Silvers run for 7 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+2
88.1%
Josh Anderson run for 2 yds to the Akron 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
88.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 13 yds to the Akron 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
87.8%
Jordan Chunn run for 6 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Warren Ball for 7 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
87.0%
WOODSON, Thomas sideline pass complete to YOUNG, Anthony for 2 yards to the AKRON34, PENALTY AKRON illegal touching 0 yards to the AKRON32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:03
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
87.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:03
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
87.5%
Nick Gasser punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Troy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 4:1487% → 87%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
87.0%
Jordan Chunn run for 13 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
87.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 5 yds to the Troy 46Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+7
87.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 7 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
87.5%
Silvers, B. sideline pass incomplete to Saleem, Ismail, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 11 yards to the AKRON36, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
87.5%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+13
87.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 13 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
87.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 4 yds to the Akron 18Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
87.6%
Brandon Silvers run for 2 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+7
87.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 7 yds to the Akron 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
87.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre Douglas, broken up by Darian DaileySimilar
Q1 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
86.7%
Silvers, B. sideline pass complete to Douglas, D. for 9 yards to the AKRON0, clock 00:39, PENALTY TROY pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 24
+19
86.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 19 yds to the Akron 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
86.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
87.4%
Bratcher Underwood 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · -13 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
87.1%
EDWARDS, Van rush up middle for loss of 1 yard to the AKRON24 (Lebbie, Sam;Pritchett, W.), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
87.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-7
87.3%
EDWARDS, Van rush up middle for 2 yards to the AKRON17 (Folsom, Tron), PENALTY AKRON holding 7 yards to the AKRON8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 27
OWN 8
+9
87.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kevin Gladney for 9 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-5
87.5%
AKRON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Akron 12Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 23
OWN 12
0
87.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. Coney, broken up by Tyquae RussellSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+8
87.7%
Nick Gasser punt for 49 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 8 yds to the Troy 20 TROY Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Troy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:2287% → 91%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
87.3%
Kaleb Barker run for 9 yds to the Troy 46Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
87.7%
Kaleb Barker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-10
87.4%
Barker, Kaleb rush right for 4 yards to the 50 yardline (REINKE, Brian), PENALTY TROY holding 10 yards to the TROY36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+16
86.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 16 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
91.1%
Kaleb Barker run for 48 yds for a TD, (Bratcher Underwood PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8INT
13 plays · 56 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
89.5%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 5 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
89.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 9 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
89.3%
WOODSON, Thomas deep pass complete to YOUNG, Anthony for 10 yards to the 50 yardline (Melton, Kamryn), PENALTY TROY pass interference 15 yards to the TROY45, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
89.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
89.1%
Warren Ball run for 1 yd to the Troy 44Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+10
89.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 10 yds to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
88.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 6 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+8
88.5%
Warren Ball run for 8 yds to the Troy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
88.5%
Van Edwards Jr. run for 1 yd to the Troy 19Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
88.5%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Anthony YoungSimilar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
89.0%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted, touchback. Kris Weatherspoon return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Clark QuisenberrySimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
90.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 11 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
90.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for no gain to the Troy 31Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
90.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sam Letton for 4 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+11
90.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for 11 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.0%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Deondre DouglasSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
90.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Sidney Davis for 2 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
90.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
90.2%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4510% → 10%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
89.7%
Deltron Sands run for 2 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
89.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 4 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
89.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kevin Gladney, broken up by Terence DunlapSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
89.7%
Nick Gasser punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Troy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:0890% → 90%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.9%
Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
90.0%
Jordan Chunn run for 4 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q2 2:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-15
89.8%
Chunn, Jordan rush left for 15 yards to the TROY49 (GILBERT, U.;WARD, Josh), PENALTY TROY personal foul 15 yards to the TROY19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
90.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Jordan ChunnSimilar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
90.3%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 48 yds, fair catch by A.J. Coney at the Akron 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 1:0910% → 12%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
90.1%
WOODSON, Thomas deep pass incomplete to SMITH, Kwad., PENALTY TROY pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON48, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
89.7%
Thomas Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
89.9%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 15 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
89.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+13
89.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Manny Morgan for 13 yds to the Troy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
88.3%
TROY Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Troy 19Similar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 5
OPP 19
0
87.3%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Austin Wolf, broken up by Kamryn MeltonSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+12
87.3%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 12 yds to the Troy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
87.9%
WOODSON, Thomas rush right for 5 yards to the TROY2 (Sanders, Trevon), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the TROY17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+34
88.1%
Tom O'Leary 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13FUMBLE
20 plays · 48 yds · 3:5210% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.8%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kevin GladneySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
89.9%
BALL, Warren rush right for 4 yards to the AKRON29 (Stadom, Jamal;Reese, Hunter), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+2
90.0%
Warren Ball run for 2 yds to the Akron 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+21
90.1%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 21 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
89.4%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kevin Gladney, broken up by Tyquae RussellSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
89.5%
Warren Ball run for 3 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+5
89.5%
TROY Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+16
89.0%
Warren Ball run for 16 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
89.0%
Warren Ball run for 8 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+8
88.2%
Warren Ball run for 8 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
87.8%
Warren Ball run for 1 yd to the Troy 21Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-8
87.8%
Warren Ball run for 4 yds to the Troy 17 AKRON Penalty, Offensive holding (-12 Yards) to the Troy 29Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 17
OPP 29
0
88.6%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Warren BallSimilar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 17
OPP 29
+5
89.5%
WOODSON, Thomas deep pass incomplete to YOUNG, Anthony (Melton, Kamryn), PENALTY TROY offside defense 5 yards to the TROY24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+15
89.0%
WOODSON, Thomas deep pass incomplete to WOLF, Austin, PENALTY TROY pass interference 15 yards to the TROY9, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
87.8%
BALL, Warren rush up middle for 2 yards to the TROY7 (Pritchett, W.), PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the TROY19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+1
88.2%
Thomas Woodson run for 1 yd to the Troy 18Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
-7
88.4%
Thomas Woodson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Troy 27 Thomas Woodson fumbled, recovered by Troy Walter PritchettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+29
91.3%
Jordan Chunn run for 29 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
92.0%
Silvers, B. sideline pass incomplete to McCormick, T., PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON29, 1ST DOWN TROY, NO PLAY, QB hurry by WARD, Josh.Similar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
92.0%
Jordan Chunn run for 6 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-5
92.0%
Silvers, B. screen pass complete to Thompson, E. for 10 yards to the AKRON13 (GILBERT, U.), PENALTY TROY illegal formation 5 yards to the AKRON28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
92.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tevaris McCormick for no gain to the Akron 28Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-6
91.7%
Chunn, Jordan rush left for 12 yards to the AKRON16 (DAVIS, Alvin), PENALTY TROY holding 6 yards to the AKRON34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 15
OPP 34
-10
91.5%
Silvers, B. screen pass complete to Thompson, E. for 9 yards to the AKRON25 (FEATHERSTONE, S), PENALTY TROY holding 10 yards to the AKRON44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 25
OPP 44
+12
91.3%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 12 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 13
OPP 32
0
90.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:0211% → 27%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
89.5%
Warren Ball run for 3 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+11
89.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to A.J. Coney for 11 yds to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Tra'Von ChapmanSimilar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
89.2%
Warren Ball run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 6
50
+10
88.8%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 10 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
88.3%
Warren Ball run for 11 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
73.0%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 29 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16MISSED FG
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:2283% → 84%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
83.2%
Jamarius Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 32Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+47
82.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tray Eafford for 47 yds to the TROY 21 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-6
85.6%
Jamarius Henderson run for 9 yds to the Akron 12 TROY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the Akron 27Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 16
OPP 27
0
85.0%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel ThompsonSimilar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 16
OPP 27
+12
83.6%
Jordan Chunn run for 12 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q3 0:37
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
84.1%
Evan Legassey 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:3722% → 23%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. Coney, broken up by Tyquae RussellSimilar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
78.3%
Warren Ball run for 8 yds to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
77.5%
Warren Ball run for 8 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
76.3%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Zo Bridges for a loss of 8 yards to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+17
78.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 17 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
74.6%
Warren Ball run for 3 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
74.3%
Warren Ball run for 4 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
73.8%
Warren Ball run for 1 yd to the Troy 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
74.2%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kevin GladneySimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
76.8%
Nick Gasser punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Troy 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
86.1%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete, broken up by Ibrahima CamaraSimilar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+8
85.8%
Jordan Chunn run for 8 yds to the Troy 20Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
85.3%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Emanuel Thompson, broken up by Kyron BrownSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
84.4%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 37 yds, downed at the Akron 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:2323% → 58%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
77.0%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to Kwadarrius SmithSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
77.7%
Warren Ball run for no gain to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+42
78.6%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 42 yds to the Troy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
72.2%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 16Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
73.1%
Thomas Woodson pass incomplete to A.J. ConeySimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+3
75.2%
WOODSON, Thomas middle pass incomplete to BALL, Warren, QB hurry by Bridges, Zo, PENALTY TROY pass interference 3 yards to the TROY13, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
72.2%
Warren Ball run for 4 yds to the Troy 9Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-1
72.2%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 10Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+6
79.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Tra'Von Chapman for 6 yds to the Troy 4Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+4
41.6%
Warren Ball run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:1053% → 52%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
52.8%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
52.7%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Damion Willis, broken up by Ulysees Gilbert IIISimilar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+2
49.6%
Jordan Chunn run for 2 yds to the Troy 32Similar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
51.9%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 35 yds, downed at the Akron 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:5657% → 61%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
42.8%
Warren Ball run for 2 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
41.0%
Warren Ball run for 6 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
36.8%
Warren Ball run for no gain to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
39.4%
Nick Gasser punt for 56 yds, downed at the Troy 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22TD
10 plays · 97 yds · 2:0854% → 95%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
53.6%
Silvers, B. screen pass complete to Thompson, E. for 1 yard to the TROY4 (FEATHERSTONE, S), PENALTY AKRON offside defense 5 yards to the TROY8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 5
OWN 8
+14
53.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 14 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
54.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 13 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
55.4%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Sam LettonSimilar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
55.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to John Johnson for 5 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
57.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Sidney Davis, broken up by Jordan GeorgeSimilar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+16
53.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 16 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
61.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Damion Willis for 12 yds to the Akron 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
64.2%
Jordan Chunn run for 9 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+23
94.9%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0010% → 12%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
89.9%
Thomas Woodson sacked by Baron Poole and Zo Bridges for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+15
90.4%
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 15 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
88.5%
Thomas Woodson pass intercepted Kris Weatherspoon return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
50
-2
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:37
Warren Ball run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
-37.8
TD · Q4 1:06
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Deondre Douglas for 23 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+30.7
TD · Q3 2:59
Thomas Woodson pass complete to Kwadarrius Smith for 29 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
-15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com