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TULN

Tulane 38 at SMU 41

SMU
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:09 · Jonathan Banks sacked by Delontae Scott for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 33 Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by SMU Demerick Gary , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the SMU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Pregame prior+17.8Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:27: Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 15 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +12.8 pts (now 44%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:07: Dontrell Hilliard run for 14 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +22.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:46: Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 29 yds for a TD TULANE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Josh Williams KICK) — SMU win probability +12.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. FG · Q3 0:32: Merek Glover 25 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +10.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:05: Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 19 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK) — SMU win probability +53.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 3:54SMU 4th & 1 at TULN 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−1.8
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:45TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:52SMU 4th & 10 at SMU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00TULN 4th & 22 at TULN 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−1.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:09TULN 4th & 10 at SMU 26, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    27.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:46TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 44, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.4%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:46SMU 4th & 5 at TULN 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    35.8%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−9.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:32TULN 4th & 8 at SMU 8, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−16.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:29TULN 4th & 2 at SMU 36, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−4.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    55.8%−5.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:06SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:50TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:55SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:27SMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:16TULN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:55SMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:56TULN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:27TULN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:07TULN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:46SMU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:05SMU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−2.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5475% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
75.4%
JONES, Xavier rush for loss of 4 yards to the SMU21 (WILSON, Sean), PENALTY SMU holding (EPPS, Raymond) 10 yards to the SMU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
75.4%
Braeden West run for 7 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+14
75.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 14 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
75.4%
Ben Hicks run for 16 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
75.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 21 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
75.4%
Braeden West run for no gain to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
75.4%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+21
75.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 21 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
76.2%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:1324% → 26%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
75.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+6
75.6%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 6 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
75.6%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 7 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
75.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete, broken up by Mason GentrySimilar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+7
75.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 7 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
73.6%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 52 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:5574% → 77%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
74.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 18 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
74.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Jones for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 3
50
+3
74.9%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
74.9%
Ben Hicks run for 1 yd to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+10
74.9%
Ben Hicks run for 10 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
74.9%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 39Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+5
74.6%
HICKS, Ben pass incomplete to SUTTON, C., PENALTY TLN offside defense (ARUNA, Ade) 5 yards to the TLN34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
75.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+2
74.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+5
74.6%
HICKS, Ben pass incomplete to GAILLIARD, M., PENALTY TLN offside defense (ARUNA, Ade) 5 yards to the TLN27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+20
73.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 20 yds to the Tulan 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
74.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the Tulan 4Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
77.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
75.0%
Jonathan Banks run for 1 yd to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
75.3%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by Rodney ClemonsSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
75.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q1 2:45
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
76.1%
Zachary Block punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
76.1%
Ben Hicks sacked by Tirise Barge for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 14Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+23
76.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 23 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
76.5%
Ben Hicks run for no gain to the SMU 37Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
76.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Shelby WalkerSimilar
Q1 1:52
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
75.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by Ade ArunaSimilar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+1
75.5%
Jamie Sackville punt for 37 yds , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for 1 yd to the Tulan 38 TULANE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-6
76.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 11
-7
76.4%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Kyran Mitchell and Delontae Scott for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 4
+1
76.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 5Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 5
0
77.2%
Zachary Block punt for 24 yds, downed at the Tulan 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
77.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Jones for 5 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+12
77.4%
Xavier Jones run for 12 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
77.4%
Ben Hicks sacked by Jarrod Franklin for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 17Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
77.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 15
OPP 17
+38
76.5%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted Taris Shenall return for 38 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
75.3%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 9 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+21
74.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 21 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
73.8%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
73.8%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 8
OPP 24
-2
75.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 11:09
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+5
76.3%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Delontae Scott for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 33 Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by SMU Demerick Gary , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the SMU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:5177% → 85%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
76.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 24 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
78.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Jones for 8 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+11
78.2%
Xavier Jones run for 11 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
78.2%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
84.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ryan Becker for 23 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
75.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 57 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
83.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 77 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:5017% → 28%
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
82.9%
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
83.0%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
82.9%
Jonathan Banks run for 5 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
82.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
82.2%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
82.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
82.6%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 11 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
81.9%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Devin GlennSimilar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
82.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by Mikial OnuSimilar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+37
82.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 37 yds to the SMU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
80.9%
Jonathan Banks run for 5 yds to the SMU 1Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:2077% → 78%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
76.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 15 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
78.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 6 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
78.0%
Ben Hicks pass intercepted Parry Nickerson return for no gain to the Tulan 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
76.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3326% → 44%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
74.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 15 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
73.1%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Jordan WyattSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
73.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+8
72.9%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 8 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
70.7%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 20 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
69.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
69.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Mikial OnuSimilar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+8
70.4%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the SMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
69.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the SMU 13Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-2
69.0%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 15Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+15
56.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 15 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
37.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 14 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2143% → 60%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.8%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
43.4%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey Quinn, broken up by Cameron SampleSimilar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
42.1%
HICKS, Ben sacked for loss of 23 yards to the SMU6 (SAMPLE, C.), PENALTY TLN face mask (SAMPLE, C.) 15 yards to the SMU44, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
46.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Xavier Jones for 8 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-2
47.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 4
50
+6
46.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
47.5%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+5
47.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 5 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
49.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+1
49.1%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
47.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland Sutton, broken up by Parry Nickerson SMU Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+29
60.0%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 29 yds for a TD TULANE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:1444% → 59%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+51
54.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 51 yds to the SMU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
49.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the SMU 17Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+8
49.5%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the SMU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
49.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the SMU 8Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
49.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 3:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
51.3%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 0:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
41.0%
Merek Glover 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:2747% → 44%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
46.5%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-5
45.6%
SMU Penalty, false start (Bryce Wilds) to the SMU 24Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+1
45.2%
Ben Hicks run for 1 yd to the SMU 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+17
43.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 17 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
49.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Ke'Mon Freeman for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+2
47.5%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
46.0%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
44.2%
Jamie Sackville punt for 38 yds, downed at the Tulan 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0061% → 62%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
39.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 5 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
38.2%
Jonathan Banks run for 5 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
38.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+9
37.1%
Jonathan Banks run for 9 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
35.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Jordan WyattSimilar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+14
36.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 14 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-9
34.7%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 19
OWN 47
+13
37.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 13 yds Terren Encalade fumbled, forced by Mikial Onu, recovered by Tulan John LeglueSimilar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
34.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the SMU 36Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 2
OPP 36
-14
37.6%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Justin Lawler for a loss of 14 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22TD
14 plays · 50 yds · 5:0145% → 89%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
50
+7
44.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 7 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
45.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
45.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
48.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+1
45.2%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
48.0%
SMU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+4
47.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+10
47.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 10 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+4
45.2%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
48.0%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 12
OPP 18
-1
39.2%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 19Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 13
OPP 19
+19
88.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 19 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23END OF GAME
17 plays · 72 yds · 1:5022% → 22%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
78.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
79.6%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 8 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+4
77.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
76.7%
Jonathan Banks run for 10 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
73.9%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 5 yds to the SMU 46Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+9
71.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 9 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
70.6%
BANKS, J. pass incomplete to ROBERTSON, J., QB hurry by DAVIS, C., PENALTY TLN ineligible downfield on pass (ARDOIN, Kendall) 5 yards to the SMU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+19
75.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 19 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
67.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 18 yds to the SMU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
67.1%
BANKS, J. pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell, PENALTY SMU pass interference (GUY-ROBINSON,J.) 3 yards to the SMU2, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
67.1%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q4 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
67.1%
Jonathan Banks run for no gain to the SMU 2Similar
Q4 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
79.2%
BANKS, J. pass incomplete to JONES, Charles, PENALTY SMU pass interference (CLEMONS, Rodney) 1 yards to the SMU1, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.2%
Jonathan Banks run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:05
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 19 yds for a TD, (Josh Williams KICK)
+53.4
TD · Q3 9:07
Dontrell Hilliard run for 14 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-22.1
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+21.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com