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CONN

UConn 21 at Cincinnati 22

CIN
2017 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2017 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-11.5CIN 30.6%Michael Tarbutt 53 yd FG GOODAWAY 15 - HOME 7 · Q3 2:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:07 · Michael Tarbutt 53 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Pregame prior+5.5Home team on offense−16.5Score differential−5.4Garbage-time factor−5.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:43: Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 13 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK) — CIN win probability +14.3 pts (now 71%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:02: David Pindell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CONN win probability +19.1 pts (now 56%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:42: Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 12 yds for a TD, (Hayden Moore pass to Mike Boone for Two-Point Conversion) — CIN win probability +29.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:28: Hayden Moore run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK) — CIN win probability +28.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt PAT MISSED) — CONN win probability +26.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00CIN 4th & 5 at CIN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:50CONN 4th & 5 at CIN 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:47CONN 4th & 16 at CIN 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:47CIN 4th & 3 at CONN 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    63.3%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    60.5%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:07CONN 4th & 8 at CIN 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−5.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:55CIN 4th & 11 at CIN 22, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:06CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 43, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:17CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 41, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:02CONN 4th & 1 at CIN 1, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−4.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−15.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:02CIN 4th & 10 at CIN 25, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−3.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:07CONN 4th & 8 at CIN 35, up 5
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.5%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:34CONN 4th & 1 at CIN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.3%−7.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:34CONN 4th & 10 at CIN 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    38.5%−4.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:17CIN 4th & 16 at CIN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−8.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:00CONN 4th & 8 at CONN 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−5.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:35CONN 4th & 3 at CIN 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−3.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−4.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 0:43CIN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:02CONN Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    55.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:42CIN Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    51.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:28CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−1.7
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:00CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
69.2%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 11 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
69.2%
Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
69.2%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Cincy 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
69.2%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray, broken up by Tyler CoyleSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
69.2%
James Smith punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 5:3531% → 33%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
69.0%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the UConn 21Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+16
68.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 16 yds to the UConn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
68.9%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
68.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+8
68.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 8 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
68.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 9
50
+8
68.8%
David Pindell run for 8 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+6
68.8%
Nate Hopkins run for 6 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
68.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Kevin Mensah for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 39Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+16
68.9%
David Pindell run for 16 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-9
68.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Cincy 22 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Cincy 32Similar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 19
OPP 32
+8
68.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 8 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+6
68.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 6 yds to the Cincy 18Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
68.8%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+37
67.4%
Michael Tarbutt 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3INT
10 plays · 68 yds · 0:0067% → 69%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.4%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.4%
Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
67.3%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 12 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
68.0%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 2
50
0
68.2%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Jerron RollinsSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 2
50
+16
68.0%
Mike Boone run for 16 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
68.5%
Kahlil Lewis run for 24 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
68.5%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Javan Hawes for 3 yds to the UConn 7Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
68.5%
Hayden Moore pass intercepted Marshe Terry return for 6 yds to the UConn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4MISSED FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 5:5333% → 35%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
66.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 6 yds to the UConn 12Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 4
OWN 12
0
66.7%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+6
67.1%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
66.7%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 18Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+26
66.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 26 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
66.0%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
66.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+15
66.5%
David Pindell run for 15 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
65.8%
David Pindell run for 4 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+5
65.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 5 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+6
65.8%
Nate Hopkins run for 6 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
62.6%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the Cincy 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
62.8%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 25
-7
63.4%
David Pindell sacked by Lyndon Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 32 David Pindell fumbled, recovered by UConn Brendan Vechery , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 16
OPP 32
+49
64.6%
Michael Tarbutt 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 43 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
64.6%
Hayden Moore pass complete to JaQuay Savage for 25 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
66.3%
Mike Boone run for 13 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
66.8%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+8
66.8%
Michael Warren II run for 8 yds to the UConn 23Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 2
OPP 23
-1
66.0%
Mike Boone run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 24Similar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 3
OPP 24
-2
65.2%
Hayden Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:1237% → 45%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
63.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 15 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
61.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
62.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+8
62.1%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to DONALDSON, Maso (STEPHENS, L.), PENALTY CIN pass interference (STEPHENS, L.) 8 yards to the CIN45, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
61.6%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
61.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+14
61.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Alec Bloom for 14 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
60.9%
David Pindell run for 19 yds to the Cincy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
60.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the Cincy 5Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
60.9%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 8Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
61.6%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
54.7%
Michael Tarbutt 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
55.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive offside (Marshe Terry) to the UConn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
57.0%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
56.8%
Mike Boone run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 22Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
55.8%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Tyler CogswellSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
55.3%
James Smith punt for 35 yds, downed at the UConn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
52.8%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UConn 43Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
53.1%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
53.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Arkeel Newsome CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+5
55.4%
Brett Graham punt for 30 yds , Devin Gray returns for 5 yds to the Cincy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
56.4%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
56.4%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 6 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
57.4%
Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the Cincy 41Similar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
56.4%
James Smith punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10INT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0048% → 50%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
52.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+13
51.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 13 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+21
50.9%
David Pindell pass intercepted Carter Jacobs return for 21 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
50.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
50.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 0:4157% → 71%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
56.7%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 12 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
58.2%
Hayden Moore run for 14 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
58.2%
Hayden Moore run for 2 yds to the UConn 13Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
70.6%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 13 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4366% → 67%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.7%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 0
0
67.4%
JONES, Ryan kickoff 60 yards to the UCONN5, SKANES, Quayvon return to the UCONN25 (PIERCE, Davin;FORREST, D.), PENALTY UCONN holding off-setting, PENALTY CIN offside off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
21 plays · 75 yds · 7:5334% → 56%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
66.5%
David Pindell run for 8 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
65.7%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
65.6%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the UConn 38Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
64.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 6 yds to the UConn 44Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
64.3%
David Pindell run for 3 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
63.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+6
63.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 6 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.5%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
63.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 8 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+3
63.4%
Donovan Williams run for 3 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
62.5%
Keyion Dixon run for 11 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
62.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy Mayala, broken up by Carter JacobsSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
62.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Cincy 18Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+13
63.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 13 yds to the Cincy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
62.2%
Donovan Williams run for no gain to the Cincy 5Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
62.2%
PINDELL, David sacked for loss of 5 yards to the CIN10 (WHITE, Jarell), PENALTY CIN holding (PIERCE, Davin) 3 yards to the CIN2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
62.2%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.4%
Nate Hopkins run for 1 yd to the Cincy 1Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.3%
David Pindell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.8%
Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
47.7%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
47.1%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas GeddisSimilar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-5
45.6%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Mike Boone) to the Cincy 25Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
45.1%
James Smith punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:4855% → 69%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
45.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 9 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
43.3%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
44.0%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
44.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 6 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+6
42.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 6 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.3%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Nate HopkinsSimilar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+18
42.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 18 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
41.6%
David Pindell run for no gain to the Cincy 37Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
41.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
42.1%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+53
30.6%
Michael Tarbutt 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2532% → 67%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
31.9%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 11 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
33.0%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 8 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+17
35.7%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 17 yds Kahlil Lewis fumbled, forced by Vontae Diggs, recovered by Cincy Mike Boone for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
36.6%
Mike Boone run for 5 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+6
38.4%
Jaelen Greene run for 6 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
37.0%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 17 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
66.9%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 12 yds for a TD, (Hayden Moore pass to Mike Boone for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
16 plays · 44 yds · 4:0343% → 44%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
57.0%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 12
OWN 10
0
57.4%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 12
OWN 10
+1
58.9%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 11Similar
Q4 14:37
4TH & 11
OWN 11
+15
60.3%
GRAHAM, Brett punt 44 yards to the CIN45, fair catch by GRAY, Devin, PENALTY CIN personal foul (BRYANT, Coby) 15 yards to the UCONN26, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
56.5%
David Pindell run for 9 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+9
54.0%
Nate Hopkins run for 9 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
53.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 3 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
52.5%
Nate Hopkins run for 2 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+4
52.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 4 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+3
53.7%
Nate Hopkins run for 3 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
50.6%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Cincy 44Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
50.7%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLean, broken up by Chris MurphySimilar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
52.7%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
56.5%
Brett Graham punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Devin Gray at the Cincy 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
60.5%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 6 yds to the Cincy 19Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+5
60.7%
Mike Boone run for 5 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
60.9%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 23Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
60.6%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+11
58.3%
Hayden Moore run for 11 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-9
61.6%
Hayden Moore sacked by Junior Joseph for a loss of 9 yards to the Cincy 22 Hayden Moore fumbled, recovered by Cincy Michael Warren II , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 22
OWN 22
+13
60.3%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 13 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 9
OWN 35
-7
59.8%
Hayden Moore sacked by Folorunso Fatukasi for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 28Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 16
OWN 28
0
57.5%
James Smith punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0047% → 44%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-9
53.0%
David Pindell sacked by Marquise Copeland and Jarell White for a loss of 9 yards to the UConn 13Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 19
OWN 13
+6
53.7%
Nate Hopkins run for 6 yds to the UConn 19Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+5
55.4%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
56.5%
Brett Graham punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Devin Gray at the Cincy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:4561% → 97%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
61.4%
Mike Boone run for 8 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
64.8%
Hayden Moore run for no gain to the Cincy 44Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
63.2%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 5 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
64.7%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 9 yds to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+13
65.8%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 13 yds to the UConn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+25
67.8%
Mike Boone run for 25 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.7%
Hayden Moore run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21TD
20 plays · 93 yds · 1:229% → 36%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
91.3%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+34
91.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 34 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
88.9%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UConn 42Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+12
90.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 12 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
89.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Quayvon Skanes, broken up by Jarell WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
89.6%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+7
90.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 7 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+24
89.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 24 yds to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
83.9%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
83.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
87.4%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q4 0:02
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+13
90.9%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to MAYALA, Hergy (STEPHENS, L.), PENALTY CIN pass interference (STEPHENS, L.) 13 yards to the CIN2, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
64.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt PAT MISSED)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
64.1%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Hergy Mayala) to the Cincy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+35.9
TD · Q4 14:42
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 12 yds for a TD, (Hayden Moore pass to Mike Boone for Two-Point Conversion)
+29.9
TD · Q4 1:28
Hayden Moore run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)
+28.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com