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SMU

SMU 45 at Memphis 66

MEM
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadSMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreSMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:57 · Jamie Sackville punt for 52 yds, downed at the Memph 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior+23.9Home team on offense−0.7Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:03: Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 1 yd for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +7.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 10:19: Riley Ferguson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +7.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:55: Ben Hicks pass complete to Raymond Epps for 17 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +12.2 pts (now 26%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:44: Riley Ferguson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +7.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:50: Xavier Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK) — SMU win probability +12.7 pts (now 25%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 4SMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:59SMU 4th & 10 at MEM 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:57MEM 4th & 1 at SMU 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:57SMU 4th & 7 at SMU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:37MEM 4th & 16 at SMU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SMU 4th & 7 at SMU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:28SMU 4th & 1 at SMU 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:17SMU 4th & 9 at SMU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:56MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:51SMU 4th & 11 at SMU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:25SMU 4th & 4 at SMU 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:33MEM 4th & 1 at SMU 49, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:24SMU 4th & 9 at MEM 44, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 9SMU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:41SMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:57MEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:34MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:17MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:54SMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:49MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:03SMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:19MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:55SMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:44MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 0:50SMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 14:36MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 13:29MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 8:24MEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 3:38SMU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1922% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.2%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
78.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland Sutton, broken up by Terrell CarterSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
78.2%
HICKS, Ben pass incomplete to PROCHE, James, PENALTY MEM holding (CARTER, T.J.) 11 yards to the SMU40, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
78.2%
Xavier Jones run for 12 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
78.2%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+7
78.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 7 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
76.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 35 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
77.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 6 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+19
77.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 19 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
77.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 44Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-6
77.1%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 17
50
+19
77.0%
Riley Ferguson pass intercepted Jordan Wyatt return for 19 yds to the Memph 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:3625% → 26%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
75.5%
Xavier Jones run for 6 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+4
75.5%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
75.5%
HICKS, Ben pass incomplete to GARY, Demerick (PERRY, Josh), PENALTY MEM pass interference (WINDHAM, Tito) 16 yards to the MEM10, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Myron GailliardSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.5%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q1 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Braeden WestSimilar
Q1 8:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
74.3%
Kevin Robledo 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 3:5775% → 75%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
74.7%
Tony Pollard run for 7 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+6
74.9%
Tony Pollard run for 6 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
74.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Sean DykesSimilar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+48
74.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 48 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
75.4%
MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Drew Kyser) to the SMU 17Similar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 15
OPP 17
-1
75.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 18Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 16
OPP 18
+16
75.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 16 yds to the SMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
75.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the SMU 1Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.1%
Riley Ferguson run for no gain to the SMU 1Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
74.7%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
75.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
75.3%
Jamie Sackville punt for 52 yds, downed at the Memph 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6FG
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:0774% → 74%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
73.9%
Mechane Slade run for 20 yds to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
74.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Mechane Slade for 11 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
75.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 17 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+21
75.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 21 yds to the SMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
75.4%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Sean Dykes, broken up by Rodney ClemonsSimilar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-6
75.4%
Riley Ferguson sacked by Justin Lawler for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 17Similar
Q1 3:44
3RD & 16
OPP 17
0
74.3%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Sean Dykes, broken up by Jordon WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 16
OPP 17
+34
74.4%
Riley Patterson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3726% → 26%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.0%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 28Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
73.9%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the SMU 33Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
73.8%
SMU Penalty, false start (Chad Pursley) to the SMU 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
73.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
74.2%
Jamie Sackville punt for 40 yds, downed at the Memph 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:0774% → 79%
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
74.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 13 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
75.2%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 3 yds to the Memph 48Similar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
75.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 5
50
+7
75.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 7 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
75.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 9 yds to the SMU 34Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+34
79.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 34 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
77.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
77.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 4 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
77.8%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 1 yd to the SMU 27Similar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 1
OWN 27
+43
78.4%
Jamie Sackville punt for 33 yds, downed at the MEMPHIS 40 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive holding (Terrell Carter) to the Memph 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
84.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 70 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
82.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 22 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
82.0%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 48Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
82.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
82.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
82.7%
Jamie Sackville punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
84.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 6 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+3
84.8%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-2
84.5%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
83.9%
Spencer Smith punt for 53 yds, downed at the SMU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 93 yds · 3:2916% → 25%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+44
84.0%
Xavier Jones run for 44 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
82.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 16 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
82.2%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 7 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 3
OPP 26
-1
81.9%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 27Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-5
82.5%
SMU Penalty, false start (Bryce Wilds) to the Memph 32Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+13
82.8%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 13 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
81.9%
Xavier Jones run for 7 yds to the Memph 12Similar
Q2 3:54
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+12
75.1%
Xavier Jones run for 12 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:5879% → 88%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
79.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 22Similar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+32
78.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 17 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, roughing passer (Delontae Scott) to the SMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
80.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 18 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
80.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 10 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
80.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds to the SMU 9Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
88.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 15TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 1:3914% → 24%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
86.0%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 24Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+19
85.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 19 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
85.3%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland Sutton, broken up by Genard AverySimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
85.4%
HICKS, Ben pass incomplete (TATE, John), QB hurry by JOHNSON, Khalil, PENALTY MEM holding (COOK, Jonathan) 10 yards to the MEM47, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
84.3%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 12 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.2%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland Sutton, broken up by Tito WindhamSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+17
83.5%
Braeden West run for 17 yds to the Memph 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
83.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+17
83.4%
Ben Hicks run for 17 yds to the Memph 1 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.3%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the Memph 1Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.4%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 1 yd for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
79.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 17TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4179% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.1%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
79.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 15 yds to the Memph 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+24
80.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 24 yds to the SMU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
80.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+4
80.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
80.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the SMU 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
80.9%
Anthony Miller run for 4 yds to the SMU 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+6
80.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 6 yds to the SMU 13 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
80.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Mechane Slade for 7 yds to the SMU 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 6
-2
80.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 8Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
88.7%
Riley Ferguson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:2413% → 26%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
87.0%
Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
86.0%
Braeden West run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 12
50
+9
86.7%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 9 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 3
OPP 0
+9
85.8%
Ben Hicks sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
73.6%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Raymond Epps for 17 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 19TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:0682% → 92%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
81.7%
Doroland Dorceus run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
81.4%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Anthony MillerSimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+13
80.6%
Riley Ferguson run for 13 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
82.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
50
+12
83.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 12 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
83.6%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 39Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+21
83.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 21 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
83.9%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Sean Dykes for 6 yds to the SMU 12Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 4
OPP 12
0
83.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incomplete to Tony PollardSimilar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
91.8%
Riley Ferguson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:5010% → 25%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
90.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James ProcheSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
90.3%
Xavier Jones run for no gain to the SMU 15Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+15
90.5%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Myron Gailliard for 15 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+58
89.4%
Xavier Jones run for 58 yds to the Memph 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
87.4%
Xavier Jones run for 8 yds to the Memph 4Similar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+3
87.4%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the Memph 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.7%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 21TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:0487% → 94%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
87.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 17 yds to the SMU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-8
87.8%
Anthony Miller run for 2 yds to the SMU 14 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SMU 24Similar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 18
OPP 24
+24
94.2%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 24 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:458% → 8%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.8%
Xavier Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 24Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
91.7%
Ben Hicks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
92.1%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by Jacobi Francis SMU Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:51
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
92.3%
Jamie Sackville punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 23TD
1 play · 52 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
98.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 52 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+12
98.7%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 12 yds to the SMU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland Sutton, broken up by Tito WindhamSimilar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
98.6%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 6 yds to the SMU 23Similar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
98.6%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q4 13:25
4TH & 4
OWN 23
+5
98.6%
Jamie Sackville punt for 40 yds , Anthony Miller returns for 5 yds to the Memph 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:2099% → 99%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
98.9%
HENDERSON, D. rush for 58 yards to the SMU0, PENALTY MEM holding (POLLARD, Tony) 10 yards to the MEM32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+1
98.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 1 yd to the Memph 33Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 19
OWN 33
+16
98.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 16 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+2
98.8%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Spencer Smith punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.8%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland Sutton, broken up by Terrell CarterSimilar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-3
98.8%
D.J. Gillins run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 18 D.J. Gillins fumbled, forced by Genard Avery, recovered by Memph Josh PerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27TD
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:4699% → 100%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
99.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 16 yds to the SMU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Riley Ferguson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 28TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:460% → 1%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the SMU 25Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Ben Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 24Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+17
99.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to James Proche for 17 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
99.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 14 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Ben Hicks pass incomplete to Ke'Mon Freeman, broken up by Genard AverySimilar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Braeden West for 1 yd to the Memph 44Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 9
OPP 44
+15
99.9%
Ben Hicks run for 15 yds to the Memph 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Ke'Mon Freeman run for 2 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+27
99.1%
Ben Hicks pass complete to Trey Quinn for 27 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK) MEMPHIS Penalty, ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.6%
Doroland Dorceus run for 1 yd to the SMU 45Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+7
99.6%
Doroland Dorceus run for 7 yds to the SMU 38Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+11
99.6%
David Moore pass complete to Ross Burcham for 11 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 29Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:50
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)
-12.7
TD · Q3 7:55
Ben Hicks pass complete to Raymond Epps for 17 yds for a TD, (Kevin Robledo KICK)
-12.2
TD · Q3 3:44
Riley Ferguson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+7.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com