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HOU

Houston 17 at Tulane 20

TULN
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Tulan 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior−21.0Home team on offense−1.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score differential−1.1Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:28: Sherman Badie run for 16 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +13.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:00: D'Eriq King run for 33 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK) — HOU win probability +20.5 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 6:50: D'Eriq King run for 16 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK) — HOU win probability +33.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:13: Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 64 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +39.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:41: Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34 — TULN win probability +23.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 5HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00TULN 4th & 16 at TULN 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:44TULN 4th & 5 at HOU 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00HOU 4th & 1 at TULN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    65.6%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    63.0%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:28HOU 4th & 10 at HOU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:38TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 27, up 10
    Close callPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:16HOU 4th & 4 at HOU 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:06HOU 4th & 1 at TULN 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%−3.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−9.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2HOU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 7:28TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:00HOU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:50HOU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:13TULN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
23.7%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 12 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
23.7%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
23.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+4
23.7%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
23.7%
Zachary Block punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Houst 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:2475% → 74%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
24.8%
[Shotgun], CATALON, Duke rush over right end for 7 yards to the HOU47 (KUERSCHEN, C.;MARBLEY, R.J.), PENALTY HOU holding (LESLIE, Alex) 10 yards to the HOU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+46
25.0%
D'Eriq King run for 46 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
24.7%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+17
24.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Linell Bonner for 10 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (Roderic TEAMER) to the Tulan 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-15
24.7%
LEDAY, John rush over left guard for no gain to the TLN7 (LEWIS, Donnie), PENALTY HOU face mask (WILLIAMS, Jarri) 15 yards to the TLN22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 0
OPP 22
0
24.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mulbah Car for no gain to the Tulan 22Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 0
OPP 22
0
24.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Linell Bonner, broken up by Jarrod FranklinSimilar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 0
OPP 22
-1
24.8%
Duke Catalon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 0
OPP 23
+39
26.1%
Caden Novikoff 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
26.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 12 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
26.3%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
50
0
26.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
50
0
26.6%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 10
50
-6
26.2%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Ed Oliver for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 16
OWN 44
0
25.8%
Zachary Block punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+33
27.4%
D'Eriq King run for 33 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
26.9%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Steven DunbarSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-1
27.0%
Duke Catalon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 42 Duke Catalon fumbled, forced by Roderic TEAMER, recovered by Tulan Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 4:0328% → 31%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
28.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Sherman Badie for 7 yds to the Houst 35Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+4
28.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Houst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
28.5%
HOUSTON Penalty, illegal procedure (5 Yards) to the Houst 26Similar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 5
OPP 26
+2
28.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Houst 24Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+12
28.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 12 yds to the Houst 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
28.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Houst 10Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+2
28.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Houst 8Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+1
28.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Houst 7Similar
Q1 1:44
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
31.0%
Merek Glover 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 78 yds · 1:4070% → 70%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
29.8%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 13Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+14
29.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Courtney Lark for 14 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
29.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Linell Bonner for 20 yds to the Houst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+38
28.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Courtney Lark for 38 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
28.2%
D'Eriq King run for 4 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
28.8%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
29.3%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
29.9%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Tulan 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7TD
13 plays · 94 yds · 6:5232% → 47%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
31.7%
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+2
31.6%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 2 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+21
31.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 21 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
32.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 8 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-2
33.1%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+9
32.1%
Jonathan Banks run for 9 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
33.2%
Terren Encalade run for 6 yds to the Houst 48Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+7
33.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 7 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
33.5%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 43Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+17
32.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 17 yds to the Houst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
33.8%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Houst 23Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+7
33.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 7 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
47.0%
Sherman Badie run for 16 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.9%
D'Eriq King run for 4 yds to the Houst 29Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
43.3%
Mulbah Car run for 4 yds to the Houst 33Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
43.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 3 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
43.1%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Steven Dunbar, broken up by Parry NickersonSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
43.4%
Mulbah Car run for no gain to the Houst 36Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
44.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Romello Brooker for no gain to the Houst 36Similar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
45.0%
Dane Roy punt for 48 yds , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for no gain to the Tulan 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9FG
16 plays · 77 yds · 4:5148% → 57%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
47.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 18Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+5
47.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 4
OWN 23
-5
46.6%
[Shotgun], BANKS, J. slant pass complete to MOONEY, Darnell for 6 yards to the TLN29 (MYRES, A.), PENALTY TLN illegal formation 5 yards to the TLN18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+10
46.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 10 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+45
47.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 45 yds to the Houst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
50.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 28Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+14
50.0%
Jonathan Banks run for 14 yds to the Houst 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
50.1%
Jonathan Banks run for 6 yds to the Houst 8Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
50.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Houst 5Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
53.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Houst 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Houst 1Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 0
OPP 1
-5
56.1%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Corey Dublin) to the Houst 6Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
54.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
56.9%
Merek Glover 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10INT
10 plays · 63 yds · 0:0044% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
55.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Courtney Lark for 10 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
54.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keith Corbin for 9 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+10
52.8%
Mulbah Car run for 10 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
52.8%
D'Eriq King run for 7 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
-1
52.3%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+8
53.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mulbah Car for 8 yds to the Tulan 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
51.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Linell Bonner for 19 yds to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
51.1%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Tulan 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
51.1%
D'Eriq King pass intercepted, touchback. Parry Nickerson return for no gain HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0062% → 60%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
62.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 9 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-2
63.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 27Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
61.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by Garrett DavisSimilar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
60.2%
Zachary Block punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the Houst 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
62.8%
Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 26Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+11
62.5%
Mulbah Car run for 11 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
61.9%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 42Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
60.7%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-1
60.9%
Mulbah Car run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 43Similar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
63.4%
Dane Roy punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13INT
14 plays · 49 yds · 3:1467% → 71%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
66.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 11Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+10
66.3%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 10 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
66.8%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+2
66.5%
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+17
65.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 17 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
68.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
71.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+7
71.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
50
+6
73.1%
Sherman Badie run for 6 yds to the Houst 44Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
73.2%
Jonathan Banks run for 6 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
73.3%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Houst 37Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-4
73.1%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Jerard Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 41Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+24
71.1%
Jonathan Banks pass intercepted Isaiah Johnson return for 39 yds to the Tulan 2 TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Dontrell Hilliard) to the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:3230% → 51%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
69.7%
[Shotgun], LEDAY, John rush over right guard for 4 yards to the TLN19 (KUERSCHEN, C.), PENALTY HOU holding (OLIVER, Marcus) 10 yards to the TLN33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+33
49.2%
D'Eriq King run for 33 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
55.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
55.1%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
53.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 11 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
57.2%
[Shotgun], BRADWELL, D. rush over left end for no gain to the TLN37 (ALLEN, Kyle;GODFREY, Leroy), PENALTY TLN holding (DUBLIN, C.) 10 yards to the TLN27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 27
0
55.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Jacob Robertson Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+7
54.7%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 7 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+8
53.5%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
54.3%
Zachary Block punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the Houst 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 16TD
13 plays · 91 yds · 4:4840% → 80%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
60.2%
Mulbah Car run for 15 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
59.0%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Steven DunbarSimilar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+16
59.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Linell Bonner for 16 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
55.8%
Mulbah Car run for 5 yds to the Houst 45Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
53.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Steven DunbarSimilar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+6
54.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Linell Bonner for 6 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
52.8%
Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
53.3%
D'Eriq King run for 1 yd to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+23
54.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 23 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
50.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Linell Bonner for 6 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+2
53.9%
Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+16
20.3%
D'Eriq King run for 16 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3732% → 71%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
32.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 11 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
71.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 64 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 62 yds · 0:0034% → 40%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+10
65.7%
Mulbah Car run for 10 yds to the Houst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+23
64.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Linell Bonner for 23 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
61.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mulbah Car for 7 yds to the Houst 46Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
59.2%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Linell BonnerSimilar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+13
59.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Steven Dunbar for 13 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
57.6%
Davion Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+7
57.9%
Davion Mitchell run for 7 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
57.0%
D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
59.6%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete, broken up by Luke JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19END OF GAME
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:5383% → 88%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
83.4%
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-1
86.2%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+11
84.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 11 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
90.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 42Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 12
OWN 42
-1
89.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 13
OWN 41
-1
88.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:13
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 64 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
+39
TD · Q4 6:50
D'Eriq King run for 16 yds for a TD, (Caden Novikoff KICK)
-33.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:41
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34
+23.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com