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UCF

UCF 45 at Temple 19

TEM
2017 · Week 12 · Nov 18, 2017 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:54 · Cordarrian Richardson run for 3 yds to the Temp 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 181Home team on offense−53.8Pregame prior−1.9Score differential−43.7Garbage-time factor−20.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:37: Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +4.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:25: Dredrick Snelson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +3.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:20: McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +5.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:36: McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +6.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:39: McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 22 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +6.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 11UCF made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:57TEM 4th & 2 at UCF 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.1%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:57UCF 4th & 1 at UCF 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:08TEM 4th & 1 at UCF 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    23.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:35TEM 4th & 1 at UCF 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.7%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    24.7%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:12TEM 4th & 4 at UCF 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.7%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:13UCF 4th & 15 at TEM 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:08TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:08UCF 4th & 24 at TEM 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:24TEM 4th & 2 at UCF 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−0.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00TEM 4th & 14 at UCF 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UCF 4th & 11 at UCF 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:04TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 12, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:25TEM 4th & 5 at UCF 42, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:41UCF 4th & 15 at midfield, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:12TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 26, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:53UCF 4th & 15 at UCF 40, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:37UCF 4th & 21 at TEM 45, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:37TEM 4th & 6 at UCF 32, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:54UCF 4th & 6 at TEM 30, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 1:55UCF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:37TEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:25UCF Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:20UCF Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:36UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:39UCF Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:31UCF Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:37TEM Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1MISSED FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:0317% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
16.6%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
16.6%
David Hood run for 5 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+14
16.6%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 14 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
16.6%
David Hood run for 8 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+10
16.6%
Travon Williams run for 10 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
16.6%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to David Hood, broken up by Shaquem GriffinSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
16.6%
David Hood run for no gain to the UCF 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+8
16.6%
David Hood run for 8 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+39
18.7%
Aaron Boumerhi 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
18.5%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+15
18.5%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for no gain to the UCF 22 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Sam Franklin) to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
18.4%
UCF Penalty, false start (Chavis Dickey) to the UCF 32Similar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+5
18.5%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
18.4%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+6
18.4%
McKenzie Milton run for 6 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
18.4%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for no gain to the UCF 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3FG
13 plays · 28 yds · 4:5620% → 23%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
20.0%
Frank Nutile run for 4 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
20.0%
Isaiah Wright pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+5
19.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+2
19.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.1%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Chequan BurkettSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
20.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+8
19.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 8 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
21.6%
Isaiah Wright run for 2 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
22.2%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 6 yds to the UCF 18Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
22.2%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
21.9%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
23.4%
Aaron Boumerhi 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:1078% → 80%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
22.4%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 39Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+9
22.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 9 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+10
22.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 10 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
22.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 11 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+26
21.8%
Otis Anderson run for 26 yds to the Temp 5 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
21.7%
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd to the Temp 4Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.1%
McKenzie Milton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:1522% → 28%
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
21.7%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+33
22.1%
David Hood run for 33 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
22.7%
David Hood run for no gain to the UCF 24Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
22.7%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+15
23.0%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 15 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
23.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 1 yd to the UCF 8Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
28.3%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:0674% → 79%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+41
26.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 41 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
24.4%
McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd to the Temp 32Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
24.5%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 2 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+12
25.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 12 yds to the Temp 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
24.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 16 yds to the Temp 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
21.2%
Dredrick Snelson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
23.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Temp 13Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-1
23.0%
Frank Nutile pass intercepted Pat Jasinski return for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:1379% → 83%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
21.5%
Otis Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 14
OPP 25
+1
22.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 1 yd to the Temp 24 UCF Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+15
22.7%
McKenzie Milton run for 15 yds to the Temp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
17.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
18.0%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Adonis Jennings, broken up by Brendon HayesSimilar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-4
17.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 23 Ryquell Armstead fumbled, forced by Shaquem Griffin, recovered by UCF Titus DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10FG
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:5183% → 84%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
17.3%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Taj McGowanSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-5
17.4%
Taj McGowan run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 15
OPP 28
0
17.9%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick SnelsonSimilar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+44
15.6%
Matthew Wright 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
15.4%
David Hood run for no gain to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+15
15.3%
NUTILE,FRANK pass incomplete to JENNINGS,ADONIS (NEAL, Tre), PENALTY UCF pass interference (NEAL, Tre) 15 yards to the TEM37, 1ST DOWN TEM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
15.9%
Frank Nutile run for no gain to the Temp 37Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
15.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Ventell Bryant) to the Temp 32Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
15.4%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Pat JasinskiSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 15
OWN 32
0
15.2%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q2 8:08
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
15.2%
Alex Starzyk punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mike Hughes at the UCF 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
14.9%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 7 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+13
14.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 13 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
14.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 6 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+15
14.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Franks for 15 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
14.1%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Jordan FranksSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-4
14.2%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 35Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 14
OPP 35
-10
14.4%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Sharif Finch for a loss of 10 yards to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 6:08
4TH & 24
OPP 45
0
15.1%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mike Jones at the Temp 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+17
14.7%
Frank Nutile pass intercepted Kyle Gibson return for 17 yds to the Temp 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
7.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15FG
14 plays · 29 yds · 2:2410% → 15%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
10.4%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Chris MyarickSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
10.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 5 yds to the UCF 48Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+3
10.5%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+8
10.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 8 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
10.6%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
10.5%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+17
10.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 17 yds to the UCF 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
10.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+4
10.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to David Hood for 4 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-5
10.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 21Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 11
OPP 21
-3
10.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to David Hood for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 24Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+41
15.3%
Aaron Boumerhi 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
9.7%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
9.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
10.0%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick Snelson, broken up by Artrel FosterSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
10.2%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 62 yds, downed at the Temp 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
10.6%
Frank Nutile run for no gain to the Temp 9Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+3
10.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
10.7%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
10.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 37 yds, downed at the Temp 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:4991% → 98%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
8.6%
Otis Anderson run for 3 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+7
8.6%
McKenzie Milton run for 7 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
8.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Franks for 2 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+32
8.6%
Otis Anderson run for 32 yds to the Temp 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
8.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 7Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-15
8.2%
MILTON, M. pass complete to SNELSON, D. for 5 yards to the TEM2, out-of-bounds (FRANKLIN,SAM), PENALTY UCF pass interference (SMITH, Tre'Quan) 15 yards to the TEM22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 22
+22
1.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 22 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
1.6%
Isaiah Wright run for 26 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive holding (Branden Mack) to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
1.7%
Isaiah Wright run for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+22
1.7%
Frank Nutile pass intercepted Shaquem Griffin return for 22 yds to the UCF 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:4298% → 99%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
1.6%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 1 yd to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
1.6%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+35
1.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Michael Colubiale for 35 yds to the Temp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
1.6%
Cordarrian Richardson run for no gain to the Temp 16Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+10
1.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 10 yds to the Temp 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
1.5%
Cordarrian Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 8Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
1.0%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 8 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
1.5%
Isaiah Wright run for 4 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+12
1.5%
David Hood run for 12 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
1.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+7
1.6%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 7 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
1.7%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
1.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 5 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
1.6%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 5
OPP 42
-2
1.6%
Frank Nutile sacked by Joey Connors for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
0.8%
Taj McGowan run for 11 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
0.7%
UCF Penalty, false start (Jordan Johnson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 15
50
0
0.8%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Jordan Franks for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 15
50
0
0.7%
Noah Vedral pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 15
50
+5
0.8%
Noah Vedral run for 5 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 10
OPP 45
-5
1.0%
UCF Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 15
50
0
1.0%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:071% → 0%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
0.6%
David Hood run for 6 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+2
0.6%
David Hood run for 2 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
0.4%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Chris Myarick, broken up by Richie GrantSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
0.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
0.4%
Noah Vedral run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-5
0.4%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 39Similar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+1
0.4%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 1 yd to the UCF 40Similar
Q4 13:53
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
0.5%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Cordarrian Richardson UCF Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 15
OWN 40
+46
0.5%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 36 yds, downed at the TEMPLE 24 TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive holding (Randle Jones) to the Temp 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25TD
2 plays · 86 yds · 0:410% → 0%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
0.3%
Rob Ritrovato run for 12 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
0.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 74 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
0.5%
Taj McGowan run for no gain to the Temp 44Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
0.5%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete, broken up by Shaun BradleySimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+10
0.5%
Noah Vedral run for 10 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
0.5%
Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-2
0.5%
Taj McGowan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 34Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-6
0.5%
Noah Vedral sacked by Sharif Finch for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 16
OPP 40
-5
0.6%
UCF Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 21
OPP 45
0
0.6%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27INT
12 plays · 61 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
0.2%
Frank Nutile run for 8 yds to the Temp 23Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
0.2%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+7
0.2%
Rob Ritrovato run for 7 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
0.2%
Rob Ritrovato run for 6 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+4
0.2%
Frank Nutile run for 4 yds to the Temp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
0.2%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Randle Jones for 9 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+15
0.2%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Randle Jones for 15 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.2%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
0.2%
Rob Ritrovato run for 4 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
0.2%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+8
0.2%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 8 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
0.2%
Frank Nutile pass intercepted, touchback. Nevelle Clarke return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 53 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+46
0.2%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 46 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
0.2%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 1 yd to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+4
0.2%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-1
0.2%
Noah Vedral run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+3
0.2%
Cordarrian Richardson run for 3 yds to the Temp 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
0.1%
Rob Ritrovato run for 12 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:36
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 5 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
-6.9
TD · Q3 9:39
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 22 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q2 9:20
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com