Try the model
TULN

Tulane 31 at East Carolina 24

ECU
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Austin Barnes punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 44Home team on offense+0.3Pregame prior−11.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:49: Dontrell Hilliard run for 60 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +9.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:13: Hussein Howe run for 25 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +11.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:36: Dontrell Hilliard run for 26 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +15.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:36: Gardner Minshew pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +44.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jonathan Banks 16 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick) — TULN win probability +15.5 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00TULN 4th & 2 at ECU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    65.1%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:09ECU 4th & 2 at TULN 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    35.1%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−4.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:09TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ECU 4th & 10 at ECU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:54TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:25ECU 4th & 21 at ECU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−1.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30TULN 4th & 8 at ECU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−6.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:35TULN 4th & 15 at TULN 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−4.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:03ECU 4th & 2 at TULN 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−2.8
    47% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−4.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:16TULN 4th & 11 at ECU 40, up 3
    Close callWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.2%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    60.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00ECU 4th & 10 at TULN 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:18ECU 4th & 7 at TULN 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.4%
    86% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−7.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:12ECU 4th & 2 at TULN 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    24.4%−1.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−14.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:54TULN 4th & 14 at ECU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    86.3%−0.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:05ECU 4th & 5 at TULN 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%−4.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−7.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:42TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:09ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:49TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:13ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:36TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:36ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−7.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:1865% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
35.5%
Jonathan Banks run for 19 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
35.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for no gain to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
35.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+17
35.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 17 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
35.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the ECaro 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-5
35.5%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+6
35.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 6 yds to the ECaro 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+8
35.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 8 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
35.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 10 yds to the ECaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
35.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the ECaro 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
35.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the ECaro 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+2
35.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the ECaro 7Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+5
35.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the ECaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the ECaro 2Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
34.7%
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:3336% → 40%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.6%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for no gain to the ECaro 25Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
35.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
35.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davon Grayson for 11 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
35.8%
Hussein Howe run for 22 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
36.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
36.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 7 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+8
36.4%
Hussein Howe run for 8 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
36.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for 20 yds to the Tulan 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
36.8%
Darius Pinnix run for 5 yds to the Tulan 2Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
36.8%
Darius Pinnix run for no gain to the Tulan 2Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
36.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davon Grayson, broken up by Parry NickersonSimilar
Q1 3:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
40.3%
Darius Pinnix run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
39.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 13 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
38.9%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
39.0%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-10
38.9%
BANKS, J. sideline pass complete to ENCALADE, T. for 13 yards to the ECU45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TLN holding 10 yards to the TLN32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 16
OWN 32
+4
40.1%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
40.2%
Zachary Block punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:3041% → 41%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
41.1%
Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+8
41.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 8 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+14
41.2%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for 14 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
42.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
42.3%
Davon Grayson run for no gain to the ECaro 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
41.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Hussein Howe, broken up by Robert KennedySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
40.7%
Austin Barnes punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
40.9%
Sherman Badie run for 10 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
40.8%
Sherman Badie run for 8 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 2
OWN 31
0
39.7%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
40.4%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
41.0%
Zachary Block punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Quay Johnson at the ECaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
42.9%
Devin Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
42.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Quay JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 11
OWN 20
-10
41.7%
HOWE, Hussein rush over right end for 13 yards to the ECU33, out-of-bounds (HARRIS, Zachery), PENALTY ECU holding 10 yards to the ECU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 21
OWN 10
0
41.7%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 21
OWN 10
0
41.3%
Austin Barnes punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7TD
1 play · 60 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
32.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 60 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3634% → 48%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.9%
Hussein Howe run for 6 yds to the ECaro 31Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
34.8%
Gardner Minshew run for 6 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
34.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Quay JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
34.4%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+28
33.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 28 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
37.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Quay Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+11
36.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 11 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
47.9%
Hussein Howe run for 25 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 5:4359% → 62%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
41.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
39.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
40.6%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 8 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
39.2%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+9
39.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 9 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+6
38.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
38.7%
BANKS, J. middle pass incomplete to ENCALADE, T., PENALTY TLN ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TLN48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+10
40.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 10 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
38.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the ECaro 39Similar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+23
37.9%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 23 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
37.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the ECaro 9Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
37.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the ECaro 8Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
38.9%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by Keyshawn CanadySimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
37.9%
Merek Glover 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:1242% → 42%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
41.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davon Grayson for 6 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
42.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 5 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
42.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
42.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
40.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
39.8%
Derrell Scott run for 2 yds to the ECaro 4Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+27
38.6%
Derrell Scott run for 27 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
41.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 6 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
0
43.0%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
41.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Derrell ScottSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
39.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12INT
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:0061% → 64%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
39.2%
Jonathan Banks run for 15 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
38.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
37.2%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Jacob Robertson Jr.Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+8
38.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
37.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 17 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
35.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the ECaro 34Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+12
35.8%
Jonathan Banks pass intercepted Jalen Price return for 12 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
44.2%
Gardner Minshew pass intercepted Parry Nickerson return for no gain to the Tulan 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
38.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 11Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
39.2%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 10
OWN 11
-5
40.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 6Similar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 15
OWN 6
-5
41.9%
Zachary Block punt for 41 yds , Colby Gore returns for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
44.6%
Hussein Howe run for 6 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+4
45.4%
Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
45.3%
Thomas Sirk run for 2 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-1
45.3%
Darius Pinnix run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+7
44.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for 7 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
42.8%
Thomas Sirk pass incomplete to Darius Pinnix, broken up by Ade ArunaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:4062% → 81%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
37.7%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 9 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+7
36.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
50
+3
35.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds to the ECaro 47Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
35.4%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the ECaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
35.4%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 42Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+2
36.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the ECaro 40Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
36.8%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 5:16
4TH & 11
OPP 40
+11
39.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 11 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
33.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+26
18.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 26 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:3621% → 21%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
21.0%
Devin Anderson run for 10 yds to the ECaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
21.5%
Gardner Minshew sacked by Robert Kennedy for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
22.4%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for 2 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+8
22.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for 8 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
23.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
23.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Tahj DeansSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
22.5%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Jimmy WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
20.6%
Austin Barnes punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
21.7%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 15 Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by ECaro Kiante AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1025% → 29%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
24.9%
Devin Anderson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+1
24.9%
Thomas Sirk run for 1 yd to the Tulan 12Similar
Q4 13:28
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
23.2%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
28.7%
Jake Verity 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
24.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 7Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+3
24.4%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
24.9%
Jonathan Banks pass intercepted Aaron Ramseur return for no gain to the Tulan 34 Aaron Ramseur fumbled, forced by Terren Encalade, recovered by ECaro Davondre RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:3833% → 25%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
33.4%
MINSHEW, Grdnr sideline pass complete to BAGGETT, Steve for 17 yards to the TLN17 (HALL, P.J.;NICKERSON, P.), PENALTY ECU holding 10 yards to the TLN44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+6
29.3%
Devin Anderson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+8
29.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 8 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+7
31.3%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 7 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
33.5%
Hussein Howe run for 10 yds to the Tulan 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
33.5%
Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
33.5%
Hussein Howe run for 3 yds to the Tulan 5Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
31.4%
Hussein Howe run for no gain to the Tulan 5Similar
Q4 7:12
4TH & 2
OPP 5
0
25.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Stephen Baggett, broken up by Taris ShenallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:1482% → 89%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
17.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 4Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+5
18.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+35
19.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 35 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
14.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+10
14.5%
Jonathan Banks run for 10 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-13
14.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 39 TULANE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dominique Briggs) to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 23
OWN 46
0
16.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 23
OWN 46
+9
16.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 9 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
11.5%
Zachary Block punt for 34 yds, downed at the ECaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23TD
18 plays · 89 yds · 2:0619% → 66%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
19.0%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 17 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
19.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
18.8%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Deondre Farrier, broken up by TEAMER, R.Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+8
17.9%
MINSHEW, Grdnr middle pass complete to WILLIAMS, Jimmy for 8 yards to the ECU36 (HALL, P.J.), PENALTY TLN pass interference 8 yards to the ECU36, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
20.6%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Thakarius KeyesSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
20.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 6 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+8
12.1%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
50
0
13.3%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Trevon BrownSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
50
+8
12.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davon Grayson for 8 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+18
15.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Davon Grayson for 18 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
18.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
16.9%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Davon GraysonSimilar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+5
14.5%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Hussein Howe for 5 yds to the Tulan 19Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+10
13.9%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Jimmy Williams for 10 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
65.8%
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24END OF GAME
15 plays · 0 yds · 15:3649% → 23%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
49.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
40.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
40.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Jacob Robertson Jr.Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+6
43.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 6 yds to the ECaro 16Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+16
27.7%
Jonathan Banks 16 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
28.1%
Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+13
28.1%
Hussein Howe run for 13 yds to the Tulan 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
28.1%
Hussein Howe run for no gain to the Tulan 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
28.1%
MINSHEW, Grdnr pass incomplete to FARRIER, Deondr, PENALTY TLN pass interference 4 yards to the TLN3, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
28.8%
Hussein Howe run for 1 yd to the Tulan 2Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
28.1%
Gardner Minshew pass incomplete to Deondre FarrierSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
25.8%
Devin Anderson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 1Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.0%
Darius Pinnix run for no gain to the Tulan 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:36
Gardner Minshew pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)
+44.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-23
TD · OT 0:00
Jonathan Banks 16 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)
-15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com