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CONN

UConn 24 at UCF 49

UCF
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 11, 2017 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:36 · TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:15: Michael Tarbutt 20 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 9:57: David Pindell pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +1.3 pts (now 3%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:21: David Pindell run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +2.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:11: Otis Anderson run for 65 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +4.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:54: McKenzie Milton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CONN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 5:15CONN 4th & 2 at UCF 2, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00CONN 4th & 9 at CONN 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:46UCF 4th & 1 at CONN 46, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:43CONN 4th & 5 at UCF 23, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:14UCF 4th & 8 at UCF 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:20UCF 4th & 2 at UCF 11, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:21CONN 4th & 11 at CONN 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:35UCF 4th & 28 at UCF 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:42CONN 4th & 1 at UCF 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−1.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:44UCF 4th & 6 at CONN 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:49CONN 4th & 8 at UCF 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:13CONN 4th & 4 at CONN 37, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:54CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 34, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:38CONN 4th & 20 at CONN 25, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:51UCF 4th & 8 at UCF 32, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:06UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:52UCF Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:20UCF Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:57CONN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:43UCF Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:21CONN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:11UCF Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:54UCF Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:03UCF Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:36CONN Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 3:5499% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
98.7%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for no gain to the UCF 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
98.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 9 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-2
98.7%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+5
98.7%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
98.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 3 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
98.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith, broken up by Chris BrittonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+20
98.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 20 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
98.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 3 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
98.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete UCF Penalty, illegal touching ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+7
98.7%
McKenzie Milton run for 7 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+30
98.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 30 yds to the UConn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.4%
Otis Anderson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2FG
16 plays · 73 yds · 5:512% → 2%
Q1 11:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
98.4%
Tyraiq Beals run for 9 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
98.3%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+7
98.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 7 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+8
98.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
98.3%
David Pindell run for 17 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
98.3%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to SKANES, Quayvon, PENALTY UCF pass interference (NEAL, Tre) 15 yards to the UCF13, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
98.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for 6 yds to the UCF 7Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+6
98.3%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the UCF 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.3%
Nate Hopkins run for no gain to the UCF 1Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
98.3%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 6Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
98.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UCF 2Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.3%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UCF 2Similar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
UCF Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UConn 30Similar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
98.4%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
97.6%
Michael Tarbutt 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2398% → 98%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
97.6%
McKenzie Milton run for 23 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
97.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 3 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
97.7%
Otis Anderson run for 3 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+11
97.7%
McKenzie Milton run for 11 yds to the UConn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
97.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+18
97.7%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 18 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
97.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 13 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-4
97.7%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 13 Kevin Mensah fumbled, recovered by UCF Tony GueradSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5TD
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:3298% → 98%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
97.8%
MILTON, Mckenzie rush for no gain to the UCONN28 (DIGGS, Vontae), PENALTY UCF holding (JOHNSON, Jordan) 10 yards to the UCONN38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 20
OPP 38
-5
97.8%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 43Similar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 25
OPP 43
+1
97.8%
McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd to the UConn 42Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 24
OPP 42
+15
97.7%
Tre'Quan Smith run for 15 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+10
97.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Taj McGowan for 10 yds to the UConn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
97.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 11 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-15
97.8%
UCF Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Marlon Williams for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:202% → 2%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
98.2%
David Pindell run for 7 yds to the UConn 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 17
-3
98.2%
Arkeel Newsome run for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-3
98.2%
David Pindell sacked by Shawn Burgess-Becker for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 11Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 11
0
98.2%
Brett Graham punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
98.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 8 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+1
98.2%
Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
98.1%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Adrian Killins Jr.Similar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
98.1%
Taj McGowan run for no gain to the UConn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:402% → 3%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.0%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
98.0%
David Pindell run for 11 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
97.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 8 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+14
97.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 14 yds to the UCF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
97.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UCF 13 Kevin Mensah fumbled, forced by Kyle Gibson, recovered by UConn Kevin MensahSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+1
97.8%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UCF 12Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+12
96.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1497% → 98%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.0%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 8 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
97.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 9 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.1%
Otis Anderson run for no gain to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+27
97.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 12 yds to the UCONN 46 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marshe Terry) to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
97.2%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
97.2%
MILTON, Mckenzie rush for 3 yards to the UCONN28 (DIGGS, Vontae), PENALTY UCF holding (JOHNSON, Jordan) 10 yards to the UCONN41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+41
97.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
97.7%
MENSAH, Kevin rush for loss of 2 yards to the UCONN28 (PITTMAN, Jamiyus), PENALTY UCF face mask (PITTMAN, Jamiyus) 15 yards to the UCONN45, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
97.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 2 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
97.6%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+15
97.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 15 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
97.5%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
97.4%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+1
97.5%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UCF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
97.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UCF 25Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
97.4%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+2
97.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UCF 23Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 5
OPP 23
0
97.6%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
97.6%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCF 24Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+1
97.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 1 yd to the UCF 25Similar
Q2 3:14
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
97.5%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 33 yds, downed at the UConn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:183% → 3%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
97.4%
David Pindell sacked by Trysten Hill for a loss of 4 yards to the UConn 38Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+17
97.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 17 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
97.0%
David Pindell pass intercepted Mike Hughes return for no gain to the UCF 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0497% → 97%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
96.9%
BUSS, Kyle return to the UCF5, PENALTY UCF holding (JOHNSON, Jordan) 1 yards to the UCF2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+3
96.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 3 yds to the UCF 5Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
96.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre'Quan Smith UCF Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+6
96.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 6 yds to the UCF 11Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 2
OWN 11
0
97.1%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 69 yds, downed at the UConn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 15TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 1:392% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+17
97.6%
David Pindell run for 17 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
96.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 2 yds to the UCF 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
96.9%
PINDELL, David pass incomplete to BEALS, Tyraiq, QB hurry by GUERAD, Tony, PENALTY UCF pass interference (BURKETT, Chequan) 3 yards to the UCF9, 1ST DOWN UCONN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+60
97.5%
David Pindell pass complete to Arkeel Newsome for 60 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
94.5%
David Pindell run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 63 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.6%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
95.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 19 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
95.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 5 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-3
95.9%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Cole Ormsby for a loss of 3 yards to the UConn 49Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+8
95.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 34 yds Otis Anderson fumbled, forced by Tre Bell, recovered by UConn Tyler Coyle , return for 8 yds to the UConn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.0%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy Mayala, broken up by Antwan CollierSimilar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
95.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 19Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
95.4%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Quayvon Skanes, broken up by Brandon MooreSimilar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+43
95.5%
Brett Graham punt for 43 yds , Mike Hughes returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -18 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-14
95.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the UCF 23Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 24
OWN 23
-2
95.1%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 21Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 26
OWN 21
-2
94.9%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Darrian Beavers for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 19Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 28
OWN 19
0
94.7%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
94.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 35Similar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
94.2%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Mason DonaldsonSimilar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+12
94.5%
Arkeel Newsome run for 12 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
94.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 7
50
+5
93.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Quayvon Skanes for 5 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
93.9%
Arkeel Newsome run for 1 yd to the UCF 44Similar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
94.3%
Arkeel Newsome run for no gain to the UCF 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
95.0%
Taj McGowan run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 4
50
+3
95.0%
Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the UConn 47Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
94.7%
McKenzie Milton run for 2 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.0%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick SnelsonSimilar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
95.0%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+4
94.6%
McKenzie Milton run for 4 yds to the UConn 41Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
94.4%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre'Quan SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
93.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 12 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
93.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 9 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
93.1%
Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the UCF 38Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-5
93.2%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Trey Rutherford) to the UCF 43Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-2
93.5%
David Pindell sacked by Shaquem Griffin for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 45Similar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
94.2%
Brett Graham punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:0494% → 99%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
94.2%
Otis Anderson run for no gain to the UCF 16Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
94.0%
Otis Anderson run for 2 yds to the UCF 18Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+11
93.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 11 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
94.4%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel Davis, broken up by Tyler CoyleSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
94.4%
Otis Anderson run for 6 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+65
98.5%
Otis Anderson run for 65 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:582% → 2%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 5 yds to the UConn 25Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
97.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 6 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Aaron McLeanSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
97.9%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the UConn 37Similar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
97.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyraiq BealsSimilar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
97.9%
Brett Graham punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mike Hughes at the UCF 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 24TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:0899% → 100%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
98.7%
WILLIAMS, Marlon rush for loss of 3 yards to the UCF25 (CARREZOLA, Luke), PENALTY UCONN face mask (CARREZOLA, Luke) 15 yards to the UCF43, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
98.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Franks for 4 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+39
98.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 39 yds to the UCONN 14 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
98.8%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+1
98.8%
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd to the UConn 9Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+5
98.8%
McKenzie Milton run for 5 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Jordan Franks, broken up by Marshe TerrySimilar
Q4 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
McKenzie Milton run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
99.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 11 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
99.7%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UConn 34Similar
Q4 8:54
4TH & 2
OWN 34
+1
99.8%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UConn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 26TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.9%
Noah Vedral pass complete to Cam Stewart for 35 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
100.0%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UConn 40Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-15
100.0%
PINDELL, David pass complete to BEALS, Tyraiq for 9 yards to the UCONN49 (COLLIER, Antwan;CAUSEY, Rashard), PENALTY UCONN pass interference (MCLEAN, Aaron) 15 yards to the UCONN25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:38
3RD & 20
OWN 25
0
100.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for no gain to the UConn 25Similar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 20
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Brett Graham punt for 45 yds , Chris Johnson returns for no gain to the UCF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Manny Logan-Greene run for 5 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-5
100.0%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 32Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Noah Vedral pass incomplete to Cam Stewart, broken up by Jamar SummersSimilar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Quayvon Skanes at the UConn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 29TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:360% → 0%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 5 yds to the UConn 24Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Arkeel Newsome run for 3 yds to the UConn 27Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+25
100.0%
Donovan Williams run for 25 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
100.0%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UCF 47Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+10
100.0%
David Pindell run for 10 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
100.0%
David Pindell run for 7 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+8
100.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 8 yds to the UCF 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 22 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:11
Otis Anderson run for 65 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q3 13:21
David Pindell run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)
-2.9
TD · Q2 9:57
David Pindell pass complete to Mason Donaldson for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Tarbutt KICK)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com