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TEM

Temple 35 at Cincinnati 24

CIN
2017 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2017 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:55 · Alex Starzyk punt for 46 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense−15.0Score differential−6.3Garbage-time factor−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Pregame prior−1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:37: Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 29 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK) — CIN win probability +9.6 pts (now 42%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:51: Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 34 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +15.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:40: Mike Boone run for 21 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK) — CIN win probability +16.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q3 7:27: Isaiah Wright 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Isaiah Wright Pass to Frank Nutile for Two-Point Conversion) — TEM win probability +25.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:03: Frank Nutile run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +13.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:26CIN 4th & 12 at CIN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:39TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:05CIN 4th & 13 at TEM 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:33TEM 4th & 10 at CIN 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:15TEM 4th & 5 at CIN 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:15CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 34, down 6
    Close callPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:32CIN 4th & 21 at TEM 38, down 13
    Close callPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    32.7%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:55TEM 4th & 7 at CIN 46, up 13
    Close callPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−1.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:37CIN 4th & 6 at TEM 29, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    27.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:21CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 30, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:42TEM 4th & 10 at CIN 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−6.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56CIN 4th & 8 at TEM 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−6.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:54CIN 4th & 21 at CIN 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:34CIN 4th & 3 at TEM 3, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    2.8%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 6:39TEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:37CIN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:51TEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:40CIN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:27TEM Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:03TEM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:34CIN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1INT
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
47.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Chris Myarick for 18 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
47.5%
Frank Nutile pass intercepted Marquese Taylor return for 7 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
47.7%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas GeddisSimilar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
47.6%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Thomas Geddis) to the Cincy 44Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+3
47.6%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 3 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q1 14:26
3RD & 12
OWN 47
0
47.6%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Tyler CogswellSimilar
Q1 14:26
4TH & 12
OWN 47
0
47.6%
James Smith punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
47.8%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+3
47.8%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+8
47.8%
David Hood run for 8 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.7%
David Hood run for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
47.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to David Hood for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
47.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for no gain to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 13:39
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+16
47.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 47 yds , Devin Gray returns for 16 yds to the Cincy 45 CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Cincy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
48.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
48.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 6 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
48.8%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
48.9%
Michael Warren II run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 1
50
+6
49.2%
Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
49.2%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 3 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-10
49.2%
BOONE, Mike rush for 5 yards to the TEM36 (MARTIN,JACOB), PENALTY CIN holding (TROUT, Kyle) 10 yards to the CIN49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 17
OWN 49
0
48.7%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 17
OWN 49
+4
48.5%
Hayden Moore run for 4 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
48.3%
James Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mike Jones at the Temp 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5FG
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:2551% → 52%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
49.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+4
49.1%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 4 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+12
49.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 12 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
48.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 2 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
48.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 9 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
48.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 12 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+27
48.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 12 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
47.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Randle Jones for 6 yds to the Cincy 14Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+4
47.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
47.8%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Keith Kirkwood, broken up by Davin PierceSimilar
Q1 5:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
47.8%
Adonis Jennings run for no gain to the Cincy 10Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
48.3%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q1 0:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
48.0%
Aaron Boumerhi 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
47.4%
Hayden Moore run for 4 yds to the Cincy 25 Hayden Moore fumbled, forced by Quincy Roche, recovered by Temp Sean Chandler , return for 6 yds to the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:0054% → 57%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
45.7%
David Hood run for 7 yds to the Cincy 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
45.2%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+8
45.8%
David Hood run for 8 yds to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
44.9%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the Cincy 7Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
44.9%
David Hood run for 2 yds to the Cincy 5Similar
Q2 14:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
45.6%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 13:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
43.0%
Aaron Boumerhi 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
44.4%
CINCINNATI Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 20Similar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
44.3%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 22Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
44.2%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 7 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
44.1%
Hayden Moore run for 5 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
44.1%
James Smith punt for 50 yds, downed at the Temp 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9TD
14 plays · 84 yds · 4:4756% → 67%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
43.6%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
43.8%
Frank Nutile run for 2 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+8
44.2%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 8 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
43.0%
David Hood run for 4 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+27
42.6%
David Hood run for 27 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
41.3%
Rob Ritrovato run for 2 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
41.4%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Chris Myarick, broken up by Kevin MouhonSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+24
40.1%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Randle Jones for 24 yds to the Cincy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
39.3%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Chris Murphy for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Chris Murphy) to the Cincy 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
39.3%
David Hood run for 6 yds to the Cincy 1Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.3%
David Hood run for no gain to the Cincy 1Similar
Q2 6:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.0%
David Hood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
28.3%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 9 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+2
28.7%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
28.5%
Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Shaun Bradley) to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+29
29.1%
Hayden Moore run for 29 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
30.5%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
30.4%
Hayden Moore run for 3 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 7
OPP 24
-15
29.6%
MOORE, Hayden pass incomplete to SAVAGE, JaQuay, PENALTY CIN illegal block (CUNNINGHAM, K.) 15 yards to the TEM39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 22
OPP 39
+1
28.4%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 1 yd to the Temp 38Similar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 21
OPP 38
0
28.1%
James Smith punt for 16 yds, downed at the Temp 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
30.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 12 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
30.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 6 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+11
29.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 11 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
29.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 3 yds to the Cincy 46Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
29.3%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Ventell Bryant, broken up by Jaylyin MinorSimilar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
29.5%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Randle JonesSimilar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
30.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 1:1326% → 31%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
26.0%
Hayden Moore run for 14 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
26.4%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (William Kwenkeu) to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
27.6%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
27.2%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 6 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+14
27.4%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 14 yds to the Temp 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
28.9%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin Gray, broken up by Linwood CrumpSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+46
31.1%
Ryan Jones 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:1831% → 42%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
31.0%
Mike Boone run for 4 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+6
31.3%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 6 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
31.6%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis, broken up by Sharif FinchSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
31.3%
Mike Boone run for 3 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+22
30.9%
Hayden Moore run for 7 yds to the CINCINNATI 48 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, illegal use of hands (Freddie Booth-Lloyd) to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
33.8%
Mike Boone pass complete to Hayden Moore for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
33.8%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
32.3%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+29
41.9%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 29 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:3962% → 78%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+19
37.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 19 yds to the Temp 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
35.6%
David Hood run for no gain to the Temp 45Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
36.0%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Chris MurphySimilar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+21
36.7%
Frank Nutile run for 21 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
21.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 34 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:0628% → 46%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
27.7%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
27.3%
Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+11
27.2%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 11 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
28.6%
Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
29.5%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+28
29.1%
Mike Boone run for 28 yds to the Temp 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
45.5%
Mike Boone run for 21 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
20.4%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas GeddisSimilar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
20.1%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+4
19.7%
Hayden Moore run for 4 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+5
19.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cincy James Smith , return for 5 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:1885% → 84%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
15.1%
David Hood run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-4
15.4%
David Hood run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 30Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 13
OPP 30
-5
15.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Ventell Bryant) to the Cincy 35Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+8
15.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Randle Jones for 8 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
15.8%
Aaron Boumerhi 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 3:4618% → 22%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
17.5%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 4 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
18.0%
Hayden Moore run for 3 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+31
18.1%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 31 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
20.4%
Michael Warren II run for 13 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
20.7%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
20.3%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Michael Warren II for 9 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
20.2%
Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Temp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
20.7%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin GraySimilar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
20.7%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Temp 9Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
20.1%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for no gain to the Temp 9Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
22.0%
Ryan Jones 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:5380% → 96%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
19.8%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
19.8%
Rob Ritrovato run for 3 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+17
19.1%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 17 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
18.2%
David Hood run for 6 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+6
18.0%
Frank Nutile run for 6 yds to the Cincy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
17.8%
Frank Nutile sacked by Marquise Copeland for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 37Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+29
18.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 29 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
17.5%
David Hood run for 5 yds to the Cincy 3Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.1%
Frank Nutile run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
5.6%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Thomas GeddisSimilar
Q4 10:54
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-6
5.4%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 36Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 16
OWN 36
0
5.1%
Hayden Moore run for no gain to the Cincy 36Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 16
OWN 36
-5
5.1%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Michael Warren II) to the Cincy 31Similar
Q4 10:54
4TH & 21
OWN 31
0
5.1%
James Smith punt for 43 yds, downed at the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22FUMBLE
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
3.9%
Rob Ritrovato run for 7 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+4
3.9%
Rob Ritrovato run for 4 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
3.7%
Rob Ritrovato run for 9 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+4
3.6%
Rob Ritrovato run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
50
+6
3.6%
Rob Ritrovato run for 6 yds to the Cincy 44Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+7
3.5%
Rob Ritrovato run for 7 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
3.6%
Rob Ritrovato run for 2 yds to the Cincy 35 Rob Ritrovato fumbled, forced by Tyrell Gilbert, recovered by Cincy Tyrell GilbertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 23TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:113% → 8%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+35
2.8%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 35 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
3.4%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 6 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
3.4%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+4
3.3%
Hayden Moore pass complete to JaQuay Savage for 4 yds to the Temp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
3.4%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to JaQuay SavageSimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-5
3.4%
Hayden Moore sacked by Dan Archibong for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 25Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+20
3.1%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 20 yds to the Temp 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
3.4%
Mike Boone run for 1 yd to the Temp 4Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
3.4%
MOORE, Hayden pass incomplete to LEWIS, Kahlil, PENALTY CIN pass interference (GEDDIS, Thomas) 15 yards to the TEM19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+16
3.2%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 16 yds to the Temp 3Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
3.4%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis, broken up by Sam FranklinSimilar
Q4 2:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
8.2%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0695% → 95%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
5.5%
David Hood run for 5 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
4.7%
David Hood run for 6 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
4.9%
David Hood run for 3 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
4.8%
David Hood run for 5 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 2
OPP 26
-3
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:27
Isaiah Wright 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Isaiah Wright Pass to Frank Nutile for Two-Point Conversion)
-25.2
TD · Q3 7:40
Mike Boone run for 21 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)
+16.3
TD · Q3 9:51
Frank Nutile pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 34 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
-15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com