Try the model
CIN

Cincinnati 17 at Tulane 16

TULN
2017 · Week 10 · Nov 4, 2017 · Yulman Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:14 · Ryan Jones 41 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Pregame prior+1.7Home team on offense−10.4Score differential−4.1Garbage-time factor−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 39 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK) — CIN win probability +5.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Merek Glover 19 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +4.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:12: Mike Boone run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK) — CIN win probability +19.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 7:59: Merek Glover 26 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +6.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:21: Gerrid Doaks run for 57 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST down — CIN win probability +19.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9CIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:29CIN 4th & 8 at TULN 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:22CIN 4th & 6 at TULN 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    35.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53TULN 4th & 7 at CIN 35, down 3
    Close callPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    62.6%−0.2
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:08CIN 4th & 9 at CIN 2, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−1.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:38TULN 4th & 10 at CIN 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:32CIN 4th & 17 at CIN 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−2.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00TULN 4th & 2 at CIN 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−9.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:12TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:45CIN 4th & 4 at CIN 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:10TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:14CIN 4th & 7 at TULN 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    47.4%−13.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:59TULN 4th & 9 at CIN 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−15.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:54CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−1.0
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:21TULN 4th & 5 at CIN 18, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−20.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−36.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:12TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53CIN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:12CIN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:3142% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
58.1%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
58.1%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 8 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
58.1%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
58.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 18 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+40
58.1%
Hayden Moore pass complete to JJ Pinckney for 40 yds to the Tulan 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
58.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for no gain to the Tulan 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
58.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
58.1%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete, broken up by Robert KennedySimilar
Q1 11:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
57.9%
Ryan Jones 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:3958% → 58%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
58.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
57.9%
[Shotgun], HILLIARD, D. rush over left end for 65 yards to the CIN0, clock 10:43, PENALTY TLN holding (CLEWIS, J.) 10 yards to the TLN25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 20
OWN 25
0
57.8%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+8
57.6%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 8 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
57.5%
Zachary Block punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
57.9%
Mike Boone run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 17Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+33
57.9%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 33 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
50
+1
57.3%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-2
57.3%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 49Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+5
57.8%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for 5 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 9:22
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
57.8%
James Smith punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 2:5857% → 61%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
57.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+15
57.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 15 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.3%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 9 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
58.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 5 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
57.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+53
61.1%
Jonathan Banks run for 53 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1940% → 45%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
60.1%
Hayden Moore run for 3 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
60.0%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
60.5%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 10 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
59.5%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+12
59.4%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Kahlil Lewis for 12 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
58.9%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 11 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
58.9%
Michael Warren II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+39
54.8%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Devin Gray for 39 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
57.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
57.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 7 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
58.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 22 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
58.6%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+1
58.6%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Cincy 35Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
58.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Jabril ClewisSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 7
OPP 35
0
57.5%
Jonathan Banks punt for 34 yds, downed at the Cincy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
56.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Cincy 2Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
56.4%
Hayden Moore run for no gain to the Cincy 2Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
57.0%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+14
57.6%
James Smith punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 20 , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for 14 yds to the Cincy 16 CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Michael Warren II) to the Cincy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5959% → 60%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
59.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 17Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+1
59.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Cincy 16Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-4
58.3%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 20Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
60.3%
Merek Glover 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
56.7%
Mike Boone run for 9 yds to the Cincy 21Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 1
OWN 21
0
56.1%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Devin GraySimilar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+3
57.0%
Hayden Moore run for 3 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
56.5%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil LewisSimilar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
56.6%
Hayden Moore pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-12
57.3%
CINCINNATI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-12 Yards) to the Cincy 12Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 22
OWN 12
+5
57.5%
Hayden Moore run for 5 yds to the Cincy 17Similar
Q2 7:32
4TH & 17
OWN 17
+27
58.2%
James Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the TULANE 46 CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive holding (Michael Warren II) to the Cincy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10FG
21 plays · 42 yds · 5:3362% → 63%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
62.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
62.2%
Jonathan Banks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+10
61.7%
[Shotgun], BANKS, J. sideline pass complete to HILLIARD, D. for 6 yards to the CIN36, out-of-bounds (MINOR, Jaylyin), PENALTY CIN holding (TAYLOR, M.) 10 yards to the CIN32, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
63.1%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
63.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Devin Glenn for 8 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
62.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
63.2%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Cincy 20Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-10
63.2%
[Shotgun], BANKS, J. rush up middle for no gain to the CIN20 (COPELAND, M.;BROUGHTON, C.), PENALTY TLN holding (ARDOIN, Kendall) 10 yards to the CIN30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+7
60.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 7 yds to the Cincy 23Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+14
59.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 14 yds to the Cincy 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
64.0%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 11Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
64.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
62.5%
[Shotgun], BANKS, J. flag pass incomplete to ARDOIN, Kendall, PENALTY CIN holding (JACOBS, Carter) 6 yards to the CIN5, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
64.0%
Sherman Badie run for no gain to the Cincy 5Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
62.8%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
61.4%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 2Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
63.4%
Merek Glover 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
62.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
61.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
60.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 3 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+9
60.5%
Zachary Block punt for 40 yds , Devin Gray returns for 9 yds to the Cincy 40 CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Cincy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:5539% → 60%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
61.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 30Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
61.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 10 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
59.7%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Tyler Cogswell for 5 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+14
59.0%
Hayden Moore run for 14 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
58.4%
Hayden Moore run for 5 yds to the Tulan 36 CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal block (Kahlil Lewis) to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+4
59.5%
Hayden Moore run for 4 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+13
58.8%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Jerron Rollins for 13 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
57.0%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Javan Hawes for 6 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 4
OPP 23
-10
57.0%
[Shotgun], MOORE, Hayden rush quarterback draw for 2 yards to the TLN21 (LEWIS, Donnie;ARUNA, Ade), PENALTY CIN holding (CUNNINGHAM, K.) 10 yards to the TLN33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 14
OPP 33
-5
58.8%
CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Garrett Campbell) to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 19
OPP 38
+33
59.8%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 33 yds to the Tulan 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
40.2%
Mike Boone run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
47.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
47.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+6
46.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 6 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
46.1%
Zachary Block punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devin Gray at the Cincy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
44.8%
Gerrid Doaks run for 14 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
44.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
43.9%
Mike Boone run for 6 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 17
OWN 22
+13
46.5%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Thomas Geddis for 13 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
46.0%
James Smith punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
42.7%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
42.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
41.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 30 yds to the 50 yard line TULANE Penalty, illegal touching (Darnell Mooney) to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
39.8%
Zachary Block punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Devin Gray at the Cincy 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:4864% → 63%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
36.4%
Hayden Moore pass incomplete to Kahlil Lewis, broken up by Jarrod FranklinSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+20
37.1%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 20 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
35.6%
Mike Boone run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
34.5%
Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+1
35.5%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Javan Hawes for 1 yd to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
32.4%
Hayden Moore run for 5 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
32.4%
Mike Boone run for no gain to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
-2
34.1%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Mike Boone for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 24Similar
Q4 13:14
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
36.7%
Ryan Jones 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 5:1541% → 52%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
41.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 7 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+5
43.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
42.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 9 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+6
45.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
46.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 13
OWN 48
-5
42.8%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Corey Dublin) to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 18
OWN 43
+47
41.6%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 32 yds to the TULANE 25 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Jarell White) to the Cincy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
48.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Cincy 7Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
48.3%
Jonathan Banks run for no gain to the Cincy 7Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
45.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 9Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
52.0%
Merek Glover 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
43.5%
Gerrid Doaks run for 21 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
40.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Cincy 42Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
40.5%
Gerrid Doaks run for 5 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
39.9%
Hayden Moore pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 1
50
-5
42.1%
CINCINNATI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 45Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
44.5%
James Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19MISSED FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 3:5448% → 51%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
47.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+31
47.7%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 31 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
54.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 2 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-10
54.8%
[Shotgun], BANKS, J. middle pass complete to HILLIARD, D. for no gain to the CIN49 (MINOR, Jaylyin), PENALTY TLN holding (JOHNSON, Tyler) 10 yards to the TLN41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+10
49.0%
Jonathan Banks run for 10 yds to the Cincy 49Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+9
52.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 9 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
55.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+13
55.3%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 13 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
57.3%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 6 yds to the Cincy 17Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+2
57.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Cincy 15Similar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
55.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Cincy 14Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 1
OPP 14
-4
53.4%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Corey Dublin) to the Cincy 18Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
50.7%
Merek Glover 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 20END OF GAME
8 plays · 66 yds · 0:2969% → 83%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+57
31.2%
Gerrid Doaks run for 57 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
17.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 5 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+9
16.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 9 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
16.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 11Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-3
16.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:12
Mike Boone run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Jones KICK)
-19.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:21
Gerrid Doaks run for 57 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST down
-19.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-16.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com