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TULN

Tulane 26 at Memphis 56

MEM
2017 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2017 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:22 · Riley Ferguson pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior+33.5Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:59: Riley Ferguson pass complete to Sean Dykes for 38 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +5.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:40: Darrell Henderson run for 82 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +3.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:08: Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 6 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +6.2 pts (now 9%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q4 12:32: TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by Memph Austin Hall for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +4.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:16: Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 41 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +5.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:22MEM 4th & 8 at TULN 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:12TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:08TULN 4th & 19 at MEM 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:27TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:25MEM 4th & 3 at MEM 35, up 14
    Close callPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:12TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:53TULN 4th & 3 at TULN 36, down 21
    Close callPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:33TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−1.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:00TULN 4th & 3 at MEM 15, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:35TULN 4th & 17 at TULN 46, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:51MEM 4th & 6 at MEM 24, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:08TULN 4th & 6 at MEM 6, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:47MEM 4th & 7 at MEM 46, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:44TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 23, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:03MEM 4th & 26 at MEM 46, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:54TULN 4th & 16 at TULN 35, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:42MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:48MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:59MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:40MEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:20MEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:44TULN Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:00TULN Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:08TULN Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:16TULN Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:32MEM Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:59MEM Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 1:1884% → 84%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
84.2%
Tony Pollard run for 15 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
84.1%
Tony Pollard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+12
84.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 12 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
84.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
84.0%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
83.9%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
83.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4516% → 17%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
83.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
83.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
83.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
83.1%
Zachary Block punt for 24 yds, downed at the Memph 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:3083% → 84%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
83.2%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 30Similar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-9
83.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 31 MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Memph 21Similar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 24
OWN 21
+21
83.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 21 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+58
84.1%
Tony Pollard run for 58 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:1217% → 16%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
83.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 13 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
83.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-9
83.4%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Genard Avery for a loss of 9 yards to the Memph 47Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 19
OPP 47
0
83.7%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 19
OPP 47
0
83.9%
Zachary Block punt for 35 yds, fair catch by John Williams at the Memph 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 5TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 2:2084% → 86%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
83.7%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 7Similar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+8
83.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 8 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
83.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+13
83.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 13 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
83.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 5 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
83.7%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+45
83.4%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 45 yds to the Tulan 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
84.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 6 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+16
86.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 16 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0315% → 15%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
85.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
85.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-4
85.2%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Genard Avery and Christian Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 4:27
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
85.4%
Zachary Block punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4086% → 85%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
85.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 8 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-1
86.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 35Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 3
OWN 35
0
85.6%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+25
85.4%
Spencer Smith punt for 40 yds, downed at the MEMPHIS 25 MEMPHIS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4815% → 15%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
85.3%
Sherman Badie run for 6 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-8
84.8%
Tre Jackson run for a loss of 8 yards to the Tulan 38Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+8
85.4%
Terren Encalade run for 8 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
85.2%
Zachary Block punt for 41 yds, downed at the Memph 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 9TD
8 plays · 87 yds · 2:0686% → 92%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
85.8%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 13
-3
85.8%
Darrell Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 10Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 13
OWN 10
+22
85.6%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 22 yds to the Memph 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
86.0%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 12 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
86.6%
John Williams run for 3 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+4
86.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+11
86.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 11 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
91.8%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Sean Dykes for 38 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5410% → 9%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
90.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
90.7%
Jonathan Banks run for 7 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
90.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
90.9%
Zachary Block punt for 46 yds, downed at the Memph 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 11TD
1 play · 82 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
94.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 82 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:345% → 5%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
94.9%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-7
95.0%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Genard Avery for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 17Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+20
95.0%
Zachary Block punt blocked by JJ Russell blocked by JJ RussellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 13TD
2 plays · 37 yds · 0:0195% → 95%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
95.4%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+37
94.7%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 37 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14TD
16 plays · 62 yds · 7:314% → 3%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
96.2%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-10
96.7%
TULANE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 21
OWN 27
+16
96.9%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 16 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+22
96.8%
Jonathan Banks run for 22 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
96.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
96.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Memph 29Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-5
96.9%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 34Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+12
97.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 12 yds to the Memph 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
97.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Memph 18Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
97.6%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Memph 18Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+3
98.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+13
96.9%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 13 yds to the Memph 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
97.8%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 4 Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by TulanSimilar
Q2 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 15INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:3198% → 98%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
97.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 31Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+9
98.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Tony Pollard for 9 yds to the Memph 40Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+15
98.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 15 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
98.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
98.4%
Riley Ferguson pass intercepted Jarrod Franklin return for 1 yd to the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16END OF HALF
11 plays · 77 yds · 1:402% → 6%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
98.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Sherman Badie for 4 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+34
98.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 34 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
98.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 5 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+9
98.2%
Jonathan Banks run for 9 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.2%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
98.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+18
98.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 18 yds to the Memph 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.9%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 7 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:105% → 4%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
95.0%
Jonathan Banks run for 4 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
94.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+23
95.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.2%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-3
95.4%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 13
50
-4
95.9%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Christian Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 17
OWN 46
0
96.1%
Zachary Block punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Anthony Miller at the Memph 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:2596% → 96%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Memph 24Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
96.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
96.5%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:51
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
96.3%
Nick Jacobs punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 6:044% → 9%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
96.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+2
96.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+13
96.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 13 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
96.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Memph 48Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+13
96.7%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 13 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.5%
Jonathan Banks run for no gain to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
96.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 1 yd to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+28
97.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Kendall Ardoin for 28 yds to the Memph 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
96.9%
Jonathan Banks run for 3 yds to the Memph 3Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
97.2%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 6Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.5%
Dontrell Hilliard run for no gain to the Memph 6Similar
Q3 4:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
91.3%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 6 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0495% → 94%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
94.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
94.6%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Memph 46Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
94.4%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
93.9%
Spencer Smith punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:377% → 7%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
93.0%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
93.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
93.2%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
93.4%
Zachary Block punt for 44 yds, downed at the Memph 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 3:3095% → 95%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
94.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+6
94.9%
Riley Ferguson run for 6 yds to the Memph 42Similar
Q3 0:24
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+10
95.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 10 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
95.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+6
95.1%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 6 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.3%
Riley Ferguson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-1
95.5%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Darrell Henderson for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 11
OPP 39
-15
95.4%
Ferguson, Riley pass incomplete, PENALTY MEMPHIS illegal use of hands 15 yards to the MEMPHIS46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 26
OWN 46
0
95.3%
Riley Ferguson run for no gain to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 26
OWN 46
0
95.1%
Nick Jacobs punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jacob Robertson Jr. at the Tulan 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:236% → 1%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
93.9%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-9
94.0%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Genard Avery for a loss of 9 yards to the Tulan 3Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 19
OWN 3
0
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by Memph Austin Hall for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 0:391% → 6%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
98.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 15 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
98.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 8 yds to the Memph 46Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
98.7%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+5
98.8%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Memph 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
93.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 41 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 25TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:2496% → 99%
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
96.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Anthony Miller for 1 yd to the Tulan 48Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
96.3%
Darrell Henderson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+30
96.3%
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Phil Mayhue for 30 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+16
96.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 14 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
96.5%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tulan 11Similar
Q4 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+10
96.6%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 10 yds to the Tulan 1Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for no gain to the Tulan 1Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Riley Ferguson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 9 yds · 2:261% → 1%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
99.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+6
99.3%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Dontrell Hilliard for 6 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+6
99.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.3%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
99.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 8 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+5
99.3%
Jonathan Banks run for 5 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.3%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.3%
Dontrell Hilliard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-6
99.4%
Jonathan Banks sacked by John Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 35 Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by TulanSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 16
OWN 35
-13
99.4%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 13 yards to the Tulan 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 27TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:3199% → 100%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+7
99.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
99.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 11Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Riley Ferguson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
100.0%
Tre Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+11
100.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 11 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+7
100.0%
Tre Jackson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
50
+1
100.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Memph 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:08
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 6 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-6.2
TD · Q2 13:59
Riley Ferguson pass complete to Sean Dykes for 38 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q4 11:16
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 41 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com